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HEALTH ECONOMICS Health Econ. 14: S151–S168 (2005) Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI:10.1002/hec.1033 Analysing the Greek health system: A tale of fragmentation and inertia Elias Mossialos*, Sara Allin and Konstantina Davaki London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Health and Social Care, UK Summary The Greek health system does not yet offer universal coverage and has fragmented funding and delivery. Funding is regressive, with a reliance on informal payments, and there are inequities in access, supply and quality of services. Inefficiencies arise from an over reliance on relatively expensive inputs, as evidenced by the oversupply of specialists and undersupply of nurses. Resource allocation mechanisms are historical and political with no relation to performance or output, therefore providers have little incentive to improve productivity. Some options for future health system reform include focusing on coordinating funding by developing a monopsony purchaser with the aim of improving quality of services and efficiency in the health system and changing provider incentives to improve productivity. Copyright # 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Keywords Greece; health care reform Introduction Greece enacted legislation in 1983 that established a universal health system with the aim to expand coverage and reduce inequities in the system, particularly in finance, access and resource allocation. Although efficiency was not high on the 1983 reform agenda, it has become a central aspect of recent reform initiatives. Yet the current system is characterised by a high degree of centralisation, fragmentation of coverage, a regressive system of funding, inequitable coverage and access to health services, distortions in the allocation of resources, perverse incentives for providers, escalating costs, and heavy reliance on relatively expensive inputs. This paper offers an evaluation of health system change in Greece in the last 20 years on the basis of a number of criteria: distribution of costs and benefits to the population, allocative and technical efficiency and health gain. Assessing whether the reform has achieved the objectives of improving efficiency and equity is made difficult for several reasons, not least of which is that the government has been unwilling to support any evaluative research. The Greek health system evolved in a fragmented manner, with a political climate unfavourable for universalistic ideals and strong vested interests successfully blocking reform attempts [1,2]. Following the Civil War of 1946–1949 and the defeat of the left-wing party, the Greek economy suffered, there was strong political polarisation, and significant population groups were left inadequately insured for health care. Furthermore, with no definable period of industrialisation nor the development of a middle class (rather a proliferation of small firms employing mainly unskilled labour in the 1950s–1960s), there was limited unionisation and heavy state control of the few existing trade unions. During this time, some white-collared trade unions gained more comprehensive insurance coverage, which, coupled with *Correspondence to: London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Health and Social Care, Cowdray House, Houghton Street, London WC2A 2AE, UK. E-mail: [email protected] Copyright # 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. S152 clientelistic relations between certain social groups and the state, exacerbated the unequal distribution of privileges. Historical institutionalist perspectives shed some light on why the fragmented Greek health system is difficult to reform. Moreover, rational choice institutionalism offers insights on the role of powerful stakeholders who view major reform plans as a zero sum game. The incomplete implementation of the 1983 National Health System (NHS) reform attempting to universalise the system and the 2000 reform that had similar objectives have been discussed elsewhere [1,2]. To summarise, in 1984 unification of the insurance funds was abandoned and the focus shifted to hospital sector expansion. The health system was not universalised, benefiting several groups, for example hospital doctors and staff, and privileged insurance funds who had access to an expanded hospital sector without bearing the full costs because of governmental subsidies. The 2000 reform attempted to alter the institutional setting of the health system and coordinate the purchasing activities of the insurance funds, threatening to reduce many interest groups’ privileges. Overall, it is important to consider the political, economic and cultural context of the Greek health system when analysing reform efforts and posing suggestions for future policies. Specifically, the influence of stakeholders, the presence of clientelistic relationships between the political party in power and certain groups, and fiscal constraints (significant national debt) that prevent health care from being placed high on the political agenda pose significant barriers to health system reform [1,2]. The next section describes the organisation of the Greek health system in terms of financing and delivery, and addresses the following areas: levels of population coverage, sources of revenue for health care, and trends in health expenditure. Following this, the paper highlights the methods of resource allocation at the macro level (budget allocation) and micro level (payment of providers). Next, the degree of equity of access to care, outputs and health outcomes is discussed. Finally, some suggestions are posed for future policy developments. Structure of the Greek health system The Greek health system has a mix of public and private funding and delivery. The system is highly Copyright # 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. E. Mossialos et al. centralised. The Ministry of Health and Welfare (MoH) is responsible for the NHS. The Ministry of Labour and Social Insurance is responsible for the insurance funds, which play a significant role in financing and providing health services. The Ministry of Finance (MoF) is responsible for retrospectively subsidising the NHS and health insurance funds (HIFs) and so far, has not shown any interest in playing a more significant role. Figure 1 depicts health care funding and delivery in Greece. Public financing consists of taxation (for NHS staff salaries and NHS and health insurance fund deficits) and social insurance, but entitlements are defined through occupationally based insurance fund membership and not on the basis of citizenship. Also, private financing plays a significant role in the health system, particularly in the form of direct and informal payments, and less so, private medical insurance (PMI). Health care provision can be described as tripartite: the NHS provides public hospitals, public primary health centres and rural posts; one insurance fund (IKA, that covers about 45% of the population) provides 242 urban primary health centres and a few hospitals; and the private sector is either contracted by the health insurance funds (for hospitals, physicians, and diagnostic centres) or directly provides services to the population (private consultations, diagnostic tests, hospitalisation). The NHS law of 1983 (implemented in 1985) primarily addressed the delivery side of the health system by expanding the public hospital sector (nationalising not-for-profit hospitals), and improving primary health care by initiating the establishment of about 200 rural and semi-urban primary care centres coordinated by the MoH. Coverage of pharmaceutical care was extended, mainly for the agricultural population. Also, the NHS law aimed to unify the social insurance funds into a single purchasing body; however this was never implemented as a result of considerable resistance by the trade unions of the privileged social groups who enjoy better coverage and good links with political parties. Since then, several small insurance funds have been merged with IKA, but there are still about 30 funds and the largest ones and other stakeholders continue to resist increased coordination, as it has been viewed as a first step towards establishing a universal system [2]. In theory, the MoH is responsible for managing and organising hospital and rural primary health Health Econ. 14: S151–S168 (2005) S153 Analysing the Greek Health System Private Doctors (contracted by Health Insurance Funds) N NHS Hospitals & Semi-urban and Rural Primary Care Centres & Rural Posts IKA Primary Care Centres * f-f-s Direct payments or surcharges on f-f-s paid by HIFs Private Hospital Services f-f-s Capitation Per diem Diagnostic Centres f-f-s PMI Per Subsidies & diem Staff Salaries IKA OGA OAEE Other Funds Contributions for group contracts f-f-s Health Insurance Funds Informal Payments Subsidies Taxes Contributions Formal Private Payments Enterprises Population (not for OAEE, OGA, self-employed, or liberal professions) *OGA contracts private doctors for repeat prescriptions Note: f-f-s refers to payment by fee-for-service Figure 1. Organisation of the Greek health system: financing flows and delivery of health services care services and the insurance funds are responsible for their financing. However, insurance funds actually pay about half of the hospital costs, while the MoH and MoF cover the deficits through taxation. Because of ideological reasons, the Socialist government of the 1980s wanted to restrict private sector provision by prohibiting the establishment of new private hospitals, and preventing existing private hospitals from changing their functions. To further restrict private sector activity the MoH introduced regulation equalising private and public hospital prices, while keeping public hospital prices low. As a result, huge deficits were created in the public hospitals, and there was a reorientation of private activity from hospitals to more profitable investments (diagnostic centres which were, and still are, unregulated). The insurance funds incurred significant deficits after 1993 for two reasons: the government increased hospital prices to address the public hospital deficits; and prices for diagnostic services, Copyright # 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. which are almost fully private, were very high. Put together, there was considerable financial pressure on the insurance funds and therefore the government intervened and subsidised their deficits. The government has been reluctant to allow insurance contributions to rise because of the potential labour market implications that would result from rising labour costs to compensate for high insurance premiums. Although one would expect the government to put pressure on the insurance funds to improve efficiency by limiting or ceasing their subsidies that cover funds’ deficits, this option remains politically unfeasible. Health services coverage, funding and conditions of access Two main types of coverage are available to the population: the health insurance funds and private Health Econ. 14: S151–S168 (2005) S154 E. Mossialos et al. medical insurance. Indirectly, the NHS offers a third type of coverage to the population, since anyone can access the public hospitals and rural and semi-urban primary health centres, even if they have no insurance or are illegal immigrants (who are estimated to constitute 4–5% of the population). Most funding is public from taxation and social insurance (56.3% of total expenditure), with payments from private health insurance accounting for about 2.3% and the remaining 41.4% from out-of-pocket payments, a significant proportion of which are informal (see Table 1). At present approximately 30 social health insurance funds provide coverage to about 95% of the Greek population. The three largest funds cover about 80% of the population: the Social Insurance Organisation (IKA) covers the majority of the working population; the Agricultural Insurance Organisation (OGA) covers agricultural workers, and OAEE covers professionals, small businesses and merchants. The remainder of the population is covered by individual funds for the self-employed, civil servants and military personnel, banking and public utilities. Insurance coverage is compulsory for all of the employed population and their dependants. The unemployed are covered through government subsidies, and the retired population continues to be covered by their pre-retirement insurers (apart from OAEE, which shifts its retired population to IKA). Contributions and benefits are unequal across insurance funds. For most insurance funds, funding is via proportional employer–employee contributions (with no tax deductions). However, the government heavily subsidises schemes for civil Table 1. Sources of revenue for health care in Greece as % of total revenue (1987, 1992 and 2000) (OECD estimates in brackets) 1987 General taxes Social insurance Total public 1992 2000 33.7 33.3 30.4 25.4 24.1 25.9 59.1 (59.9) 57.4 (54.6) 56.3 (53.9) Private insurance Na 2.1 2.3 Direct payments 40.9* 40.4 41.4 Total private 40.9 (40.1) 42.6 (45.4) 43.7 (46.1) Total 100 100 100 Source: Authors’ estimates, Sissouras et al. [6], and Ministry of Health unpublished data. n Including PMI. Copyright # 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. servants (OPAD), military personnel, and agricultural workers (OGA). Furthermore, contribution rates are lowest for the self-employed as they have an incentive to under-report their income. Generally the benefits received by the members of OPAD, OAEE and of banking, public utility sector funds and professionals exceed those provided by IKA and OGA, particularly regarding freedom of choice of primary care providers (including private providers) and improved access to private hospitals (Figure 1). In 2000, taxation and social insurance accounted for 30.4 and 25.9%, respectively, of total health expenditure [3]. Tax revenues are mainly indirect taxes on goods and services (58.4% of total tax revenue) and direct taxes (41.6% of total tax revenue), with taxes on income representing a much smaller proportion (39.3% of direct taxes, 16.3% of total tax revenue). Approximately 8% of the population has PMI which covers services in the private sector. Policies tend to be selective in nature – targeting young and healthy people – and lack comprehensiveness [4]. PMI coverage remains low despite high direct payments. One reason for this may be a reluctance of individuals to pay a third party, in addition to cultural and historical factors. When people are accustomed to paying their doctor or hospital directly, the transfer of money to a third party may be seen as an unnecessary erosion of the patient– doctor relationship and reduces the assurance of quality of care [5]. Out-of-pocket payments, mostly in the form of direct and informal payments, are the highest in the European Union (EU). There are several reasons for the high level of this form of private expenditure. The way primary health care provision is structured and financed forces patients to use both public and private services concurrently [6]. Doctors are able to transfer patients from social insurance funds, where they work part-time, to their private practices [7]. In a health interview and utilisation survey in the area of Patras, it was shown that 30% of insured patients used both social insurance funds and private doctors’ services in the same period [8]. Similar trends were found in surveys of IKA patients [9]. Although private practice for public hospital doctors has been forbidden since 1983 (except for university hospital doctors and doctors working for the army), many doctors have illegal private practices or ask for informal payments. However, there is no available evidence on the size of Health Econ. 14: S151–S168 (2005) S155 Analysing the Greek Health System informal payments as no reliable surveys have yet been conducted in this area. Since 2002 the government has attempted to legalise limited private practice for hospital based doctors in order to formalise some informal payments. However, few physicians have taken up this practice, though the number is increasing. Although there has been no formal evaluation of this measure, there are several possible explanations for its limited uptake so far: some physicians are ideologically opposed to private practice and refuse to accept payments; surgeons have no incentive to take part in this partial private practice since the level of fees are the same across all specialisations and are thought to be much lower than the informal payments; physicians prefer to continue accepting informal payments rather than to legitimise these payments and hence pay taxes on them; and given the oversupply of specialists in Greece, some physicians may not have had the opportunity to attract private patients. Despite the efforts to diminish the private sector involvement in health care provision, there has been significant private sector expansion in the area of diagnostic services. Other areas with significant private sector involvement include: gynaecology (due to cultural reasons, the preference among Greek women for high quality hospital amenities); mental health (due to the substandard quality of public sector psychiatric hospitals); and elective surgery (due to long waiting lists in the public sector). A summary of the public–private mix in health care is depicted in Box 1. The vertical division is between public and private providers and the horizontal division separates the public and private sources of funding. The rural population is insured by OGA and has access to rural health centres and rural doctors. There are now about 200 rural health centres staffed with GPs and specialists and 1311 rural health posts staffed with medical graduates without clinical experience. The entire population has access to the outpatient departments of hospitals in urban centres. In the urban centres, IKA operates its own network of primary health centres, a few hospitals, and contracted doctors to which their patients Box 1. Summary of the mix of public and private funding and provision of health care in Greece Funding Public Public Provision Private NHS: Public hospitals and health centres provide services (almost) free at the point of use, however there are informal payments. Social Insurance (IKA): Private medical services, e.g. laboratories, radiology and pathology, are reimbursed (fee-for-service) for services provided to patients. Social Insurance (OGA): Same as IKA, but also contracts doctors for repeat prescriptions. Social Insurance (other funds): reimburse contracted providers (fee-for-service, or capitation for OAEE) for private medical consultations, medical services obtained in the private sector and services provided by private clinics and hospitals. Social Insurance: In theory should reimburse NHS for use of hospital services by members. IKA (covering 45% of the population) directly employ doctors to provide primary care services to members. OGA members (25% of the population) use free-of-charge NHS rural health centres and surgeries. Private Private health insurance: In theory should reimburse NHS for use of public services by enrolees. In practice this never happens. Out of pocket payments: Direct payments by patients to cover co-payments in the NHS for hospital outpatients consultations (rarely collected), and pharmaceuticals. Most self-employed pay 25% for diagnostic tests and therapeutic procedures. Additional fees (fixed fee-for-service) for private consultations by specialists in NHS hospitals. Copyright # 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Private health insurance: reimburses enrolees for fees paid for consultations, services and inpatient care provided by the private sector. Out of pocket payments: direct payments by patients for private consultations and other medical services (e.g. hospital and diagnostics). Health Econ. 14: S151–S168 (2005) S156 have access free at the point of use. The other funds contract doctors to provide services to their members. Several funds, such as OAEE, OPAD, and funds for banking, public utilities and professionals offer freedom of choice of private doctors. Office-based specialists are usually the first point of contact and people have direct access to secondary care as there is no gatekeeping system. In general, access to first level, primary care providers is free at the point of use. However, patients usually visit a doctor contracted by their insurance fund or another doctor on a private basis, either for a second opinion (for which patients do not have to pay) or because of unsatisfactory public services. Moreover, there is no national regulation specifying the standards of services required by contracted providers and the overall amount they will be reimbursed. As prices do not vary according to the standard of service, providers have little incentive to improve quality. Long waiting times at health centres encourage people to go directly to hospital emergency departments. As much of this demand is for non-urgent treatment, emergency services are used to treat minor health complaints. Inefficiencies also arise from the lack of a gatekeeping system resulting in poor information transfer and loss of continuity between ambulatory care and secondary care and incomplete patient information and medical records which causes a repetition of tests and prescriptions [10]. Fairness of the financing system The continual dependence on indirect taxation coupled with the high level of private expenditure in the form of direct payments and unequal social health insurance contributions that favour the wealthier population groups suggests that the financing system is regressive. Moreover, analyses of the Greek Household Budget surveys have shown that between 1981 and 1994, private expenditure increased for all socio-economic groups, but the relative and absolute increase among low income groups was higher than for middle-to high income families [4,11,12]. There is significant social security contribution evasion in Greece at the equivalent of 15–20% of the total income of most social insurance funds, and 30% in the case of IKA, which further compromises fairness [13]. The situation is exacerbated by a significant informal economy Copyright # 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. E. Mossialos et al. accounting for 28.5% of GDP in 2001/2 (an increase of 26.1% from 1989/90) and a workforce with a large share of self-employed (32.5% of total employment in Greece, compared to the EU average of 14.7%) [13,14]. According to Bronchi, horizontal and vertical equity (defined respectively as the principles that taxpayers with the same income should pay the same tax; and those with different levels of income should pay different taxes) are undermined through an ever-increasing number of exemptions to certain social groups (particularly the self-employed) irrespective of their ability to pay, and a reliance on indirect taxation [15]. Although Bronchi estimated that personal income taxes in Greece were relatively progressive, this crude measure of progressivity does not account for tax deductions which compromise progressivity because higher income groups have larger allowances [16]. In a recent analysis of equity of finance in the Greek system the funding system in 1998 was found to be regressive [17]. In other words, lowincome households paid a higher proportion of their income towards health care than the rich. The WHO index of financial contribution and financial risk protection, for which a value of 1 indicates equity of financing, was estimated to be 0.930 (no uncertainty interval was reported) compared with the WHO estimate based on experts’ views of 0.963 (uncertainty interval 0.946–0.978) in 1997 [18]. These figures should be treated with caution, however, because data from the household budget surveys (HHBS) were matched with taxation data reported by the MoF. Overall, it appears that low income groups bear a disproportionately large share of the health care funding burden. Furthermore, because of more comprehensive social health insurance coverage in some ‘privileged’ funds, one study found that OPAD members, who are better covered, are less likely to seek private health care than IKA members [12]. Health care delivery Following the 1983 reform, the next noteworthy development was the establishment of regional directorates (PESYs) in 2001. The legal status of each individual hospital was abolished with PESYs acting as intermediaries between the MoH and the hospitals. Regional directors would be able to influence personnel allocation, for Health Econ. 14: S151–S168 (2005) Analysing the Greek Health System example, by allowing personnel to move across hospital departments and across hospitals, where previously there had been considerable rigidity, with personnel being tied to particular departments and hospitals. Because this change represented a shift in power away from both the MoH and the hospitals (doctors and civil servants) and towards the regions, there was significant opposition from both fronts. Although the potential effect of the 2001 reform on the efficiency of health care delivery may be limited by the regions’ lack of purchasing powers over providers, to date there has been no formal evaluation of its impact. The proportion of different services provided in the public system or by private providers is not known but most primary care consultations are provided by contracted office-based doctors and dentists. This is also the case with laboratory tests and imaging techniques (X-rays, nuclear medicine). The integrated model of health service provision, where the government or social insurance funds are both the financer and provider of health services, exists in the NHS for hospital inpatient care, GP and specialist services in NHS and IKA health centres and health posts in rural areas [19]. Public health. Reforms of the health sector have largely neglected public health. However, there are some important weaknesses in public health system in Greece: there is no national public health policy, no national screening programme, no population health survey, no information system to gather and organise public health data, and no career path for public health professionals. Although the district-level has public health directors, their responsibilities are mainly limited to inspection of health facilities and hygiene, rather than developing and implementing public health strategies. Hospitals. Following the establishment of the NHS, many medical facilities previously operated by non-profit institutions and the social welfare system were brought under the ownership and control of the NHS through a process of ‘nationalisation’. Between 1983 and 1985, 8347 beds that belonged to the non-profit hospital sector were nationalised, representing about 9% of total beds. Subsequently there was a reduction in bed numbers throughout the 1980s and 1990s, mainly in the psychiatric sector. Also there was a significant decline in private beds due to the Copyright # 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. S157 closure of many small clinics and hospitals resulting from their fees being linked to the low public sector fees. In 1997, there were 350 hospitals in Greece providing a total of 52 474 beds, with about 71.2% belonging to the NHS. This is equivalent to a ratio of 5 beds per 1000 inhabitants, compared to the EU average of 7.4. However, the average occupancy rate in Greek hospitals is very low (65% in 1998 compared to the EU average of 80.9%), suggesting that availability of beds is not a problem. Average occupancy rate masks the problem of large discrepancies within hospital departments and across hospitals in different regions in Greece, favouring the urban centres. Among 896 departments of NHS hospitals in 1997, 34.3% of hospital departments had a very low occupancy ratio (under 50%), while 60.1% had an occupancy ratio of up to 100% [20]. The remaining 5.6% had an occupancy ratio of above 100%, reflecting the use of extra ‘stretcher’ beds in the wards of urban general hospitals (mainly cardiology and general surgery). The wide variation in occupancy results from the policy of allocating an equivalent number of beds to each clinic within the hospital, irrespective of variation in production. The situation is further exacerbated by the policy of allocating personnel to hospitals on the basis of hospital bed numbers rather than outputs. Hospitals with low output but a high number of beds will be allocated more staff than needed. Health care professionals. By 2002 there were about 47 944 doctors, 12 394 dentists, 41 151 nurses and 8977 pharmacists in Greece [21]. Less than 2% of the doctors are general practitioners, a specialty that is not highly esteemed and, compared to specialists, are not as well paid. Because of the lack of organised primary health care coupled with a limited encouragement to produce more general practitioners, there is no system of referral. The oversupply of doctors, dentists and pharmacists and the under-supply of nurses is revealed through comparisons with other EU countries. Greece has the highest ratio of doctors (4.5), specialists (3.0) and dentists (1.2) per 1000 inhabitants [21]. Greece’s ratio of pharmacists per 1000 population is ranked 4th. Conversely, Greece had one of the lowest ratios of nurses per 1000 inhabitants (3.9) in 1999, less than half the EU average. The supply of nurses is low because of Health Econ. 14: S151–S168 (2005) S158 low salaries and the oversupply of doctors, who are substituting for, and taking on many of the responsibilities typically allocated to nurses. Thus Greece is relying on expensive inputs to deliver health care. Equipment and technology. There is an active private sector in the provision of diagnostic and therapeutic services (i.e. clinical pathology, radiology and computerised tomography, MRIs and haemodialysis). The main implications of the 1983 NHS restrictions on private hospitals were a change in the focus of private investment, and a rapid development of private diagnostic centres: 84.4% of radiology laboratories, 74.9% of nuclear medicine laboratories, 80% of MRI scanners and 68% of CT scanners are in the private sector. The number of CT scanners per million population in Greece in 2002 was 17.7, higher than in the UK (5.8), France (9.0 in 2001), Denmark (13.2), Germany (13.3), Finland (13.7), Spain (12.8) and the US (12.8 in 2001) [21]. The dispersion of high technology equipment in the private sector over which the state has very weak controls, combined with strict controls over procurement in the NHS has led to wide discrepancies in the availability of equipment. Because of undersupply in the public sector, the NHS or social insurance funds pay the private sector for any use patients make of these services. Moreover, it is likely that many NHS and insurance fund doctors receive informal payments from private centres to channel patients for CT and MRI scans. Therefore, the current organisation of medical technologies in Greece and lack of regulation leads to inflated costs and consumption. Mental health policy. There has been some effort to reform mental health care in Greece, with some improvements; however, the situation is still far from satisfactory [10]. A psychiatric reform programme has been in effect since 1984 focussing on decentralising mental health services, deinstitutionalising long-stay mental health patients, and training mental health personnel [22]. An analysis of the impact of this reform up to 1996 suggests that although some improvements were seen such as an increase in community-based services, significant regional disparities were found favouring urban areas, particularly those with higher levels of socioeconomic development [23]. For instance, in urban centres there has been more development of community-based alternatives to Copyright # 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. E. Mossialos et al. hospital care and increased number of mental health care staff and services than rural and disadvantaged areas [23]. Therefore, despite some efforts at deinstitutionalisation, many mental health patients remain in psychiatric hospitals with poor conditions. Expenditure trends Greece spends a significant proportion of its wealth on health care and is heavily dependent on private expenditure. Greece spent 9.4% of its GDP on health care in 2001 (up from 5.6% in 1970), 4th highest among EU countries. Public sources of funding accounted for 52.9% of total health expenditure in 2002, which was the lowest in the EU [21]. Private health expenditure in Greece has grown faster than GDP, while public expenditure has grown less quickly than private expenditure, as shown in Table 1. Private expenditure increased from 3.4% of GDP in 1990 to 4.5% in 2002 whereas in the same period public expenditure rose from 4.0 to 5.0% [21]. Increases in private expenditure may be explained by the undersupply of diagnostics and technology in the public sector, disorganised primary care, increasing informal payments in the public sector, and limited coverage of dental care. Also, there have been pressures to reduce public expenditure, despite economic growth, during the period prior to qualifying for membership of European Monetary Union in 2000. Table 2 outlines the expenditure of different categories of health service provision in 1990 and 1998. Public expenditure includes taxation and social health insurance, while private expenditure includes PMI and out-of-pocket payments. In 1998, inpatient care accounted for the largest proportion of health care expenditure, followed by ambulatory care, pharmaceuticals and dental care [22]. Inpatient care accounted for 37.1% of total expenditure in 1998, a decline from 40.1% in 1990. Ambulatory care accounted for 26.5% of expenditure compared to 24.1% in 1990. Pharmaceuticals consume a growing proportion of health expenditure, increased from 14.4% in 1990 to 15.6% in 1998. Expenditure on dental care exceeded that of pharmaceuticals in 1998 (15.6%), representing 1.4% of GDP. Public expenditure exceeds private expenditure in the hospital sector; the opposite is seen in the Health Econ. 14: S151–S168 (2005) S159 Analysing the Greek Health System Table 2. Health care expenditure by categories and public–private mix in Greece as % of total expenditure on health care, 1990 and 1998 1990 Inpatient care Ambulatory care Dental care Pharmaceuticals Other Total 1998 Public Private Total Public Private Total 54.90 22.18 1.36 12.32 9.24 100 15.30 27.26 34.10 17.07 5.37 100 40.13 24.07 13.57 14.43 7.79 100 55.91 22.85 1.23 15.82 4.19 100 12.36 31.36 33.98 15.38 6.92 100 37.11 26.52 15.37 15.63 5.37 100 Source: Souliotis [24]. ambulatory and dental care sector, and they are equally divided in the pharmaceutical sector. Resource allocation Budget allocation (the macro level) In Greece there is no pooling of health resources and there are large geographical inequalities in service provision. Social health insurance contributions are collected and retained by the insurance funds, but there is poor co-ordination of the insurance funds’ purchasing activities. Pursuing equity and efficiency objectives requires allocating resources according to health care need. However, in Greece, resources are allocated on the basis of historical precedent and political negotiation. This patchy approach to health care financing compromises equity and efficiency by hindering the effective application of budget ceilings, reducing the negotiating power of the MoH, MoF and social insurance funds, and impeding cross-subsidisation amongst insurance funds. A recent study that applied the UK Resource Allocation Working Party resource allocation method in Greece confirmed that there are significant regional inequalities in resource allocation and suggests that there is a need to transfer resources between regions, particularly away from the urban centres of Athens and Central Macedonia towards the Peloponnese, Western Macedonia, Thessalia, Central Greece and the islands [25]. However, with continuing urbanisation and depopulation of rural areas, whereby young adults migrate from rural to urban areas (mainly Athens and Central Macedonia), there may be a shift in Copyright # 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. demand for health services (particularly as the migrants age) to the urban and away from rural areas and thus current patterns of resource allocation may be more closely aligned with future needs. A soft budget for public health expenditure financed by the MoF and MoH is established within the annual national budget. The Regional Health Systems (PESYs) have been, in theory, responsible for co-ordinating NHS hospitals. However, they have no powers regarding major capital investments or paying providers, which remain under the control of the MoH. The insurance funds are, in theory, responsible for determining budgets for primary health care, pharmaceutical care and hospital services provided to their members. Budgets are mainly calculated on a historical basis. In reality, these budgets do not set expenditure limits as the expenditure of the social insurance organisations is demand-led; i.e. the social insurance funds reimburse all providers’ claims, without regulating and monitoring activities. Both the hospital deficits, and the social insurance fund deficits are not dealt with in a rational or effective way. Deficits are retrospectively covered through subsidies, thus providing no incentive to economise or to improve efficiency. In 2001 the then Minister of Health was planning to introduce a coordinating body for the insurance funds to develop the contracting of clinical services. The plan was to establish contracts with public or private bodies, individuals or collectives as long as efficiency objectives were upheld in the delivery of care. However, in 2002 these plans were shelved due to widespread resistance from the medical profession, civil servants, and by the trade unions of sectors covered by the privileged insurance funds. It is unlikely that a coherent resource allocation mechanism will be established in the near future. Health Econ. 14: S151–S168 (2005) S160 Furthermore, the powers of the MoH and insurance funds are currently quite limited due to the lack of information systems providing details of provider activities and insufficient leverage over providers. Paying providers (the micro level) The payment of providers is complex due to the public–private mix of provision and funding. Private providers include for-profit institutions such as private hospitals and clinics as well as independent solo providers (doctors, dentists and pharmacists). Payment of hospitals. In NHS hospitals the historical budgets reinforce established inequities in the funding and provision of health care services. Hospitals are still paid per day of care, and although this system is administratively simple, it does not offer incentives to economise. Private providers are used by health insurance funds and private medical insurance funds and are paid either by fee-per-item or per diem for their services. Insurance funds reimburse the providers retrospectively. Staff in public hospitals are employed as civil servants, as are most NHS doctors. Non-clinical services, e.g. maintenance, security, catering, laundry and incineration, are generally contracted out to the private sector. Since many private hospitals are contracted by more than one fund it is very difficult to know the number of privately contracted hospital beds and data is not available in a consolidated format. Patients can choose any public or private contracted hospital and they often choose to travel to Athens or to visit the large University hospitals outside Athens, by-passing their local district hospitals. There are a number of reasons for the significant inter-regional flow of hospital patients. For example, the NHS reform was mainly hospital-focused and trade unions in the hospital sector are based in the two urban centres, Athens and Thessaloniki; therefore, more resources were directed there. Thus, local district hospitals are often understaffed and have poor capital infrastructure. Due to the lack of a referral system, patients can choose the hospitals themselves and as a result, they prefer to be hospitalised in institutions offering expensive, high technology services delivered by reputable doctors. Although Copyright # 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. E. Mossialos et al. admission to a hospital depends on individual clinicians, it is unlikely that a patient would not be admitted if they offer to pay informally, whereas those who cannot afford to pay may be delayed with longer waiting times. Payment of doctors. Currently, the medical care payment system does not provide doctors with incentives to improve efficiency and quality. Specialist doctors working in public hospitals and health centres (both NHS and IKA) are paid on a salaried basis, and contracted doctors in ambulatory settings on a fee-for-service basis. Public hospital doctors until recently were not allowed to see patients privately for fees, although, as previously mentioned, in practice many did so. Many insurance fund doctors work part time. For instance, in the IKA primary care centres, doctors are often contracted on a part-time basis, but most of them work even fewer hours than those for which they are contracted. There are powerful financial incentives to minimise the time and effort devoted to salaried institutional practice, and to spend time instead in private work, whether permitted or not. Medical associations in Greece usually argue that informal payments exist in the public sector because of the low payments to specialists. In 1985, in an attempt to attract doctors to NHS hospitals and reduce informal payments, the government offered higher salaries (up to 250% increases) in return for them ceasing private practice [26]. However, this policy failed and many senior doctors who were enjoying significant privileges in hospitals (mainly because of dual practices in the public and private sectors) resigned from government service (and most other NHS doctors ignored the rules). Moreover, in 1992 the Conservative government permitted NHS employment on a full-time or part-time basis. There was limited uptake of this partial private practice (less than 2% of doctors). It seems, therefore, that in a culture of informal markets doctors do not increase their NHS productivity because of salary increases and do not respond to offers to work part-time and practice privately. It is likely that informal activity will continue to take place within the system as doctors’ performance is not recorded and their payments are not related to performance. Apart from OAEE, IKA and OGA, primary care doctors (mainly specialists) contracted by insurance funds are paid on a fee-for-service basis. Anecdotal evidence suggests that physician fees Health Econ. 14: S151–S168 (2005) S161 Analysing the Greek Health System are set relatively low, and physicians inflate their claims by adding false consultations in order to generate more income, and that they increase referrals to private diagnostic centres for which they are given referral fees. OAEE pays its contracted doctors on a capitation basis and IKA doctors are salaried, but many work parttime. Paradoxically, OGA patients have access to salaried NHS doctors and health centres as well as a network of 8000 specialists who are contracted, but are not paid by the fund to prescribe pharmaceuticals to its members. Rather, OGA members pay for non-NHS consultations out of pocket, although there is anecdotal evidence suggesting that these specialists may be sponsored by the pharmaceutical industry. The different physician payment methods appear to impact insurance funds’ primary care expenditure. For example, the per capita health expenditure (including formal out-of-pocket payments) of OPAD, where physicians are paid feefor-service, is around three times that of OAEE, where physicians are paid capitation, and twice that of IKA, which has salaried physicians [9]. This finding should be interpreted with caution, because the retired population of OAEE is insured by IKA, and IKA engages in cost-shifting to private providers. In the NHS and insurance funds, pay scales are rigid and there is limited ability for local management to reward good service or discipline those who neglect their work. There is a lack of incentives for almost all grades of staff, except the incentive to leave early for other work. There is limited professional satisfaction for doctors or patient satisfaction because of the lack of continuity of care, limited user friendliness and inconvenience, particularly in the over-crowded hospital outpatient departments which often lack separate accident and emergency departments [10]. Paying pharmacists, drug pricing and reimbursement. There is no formal health technology assessment (HTA) policy in Greece. The state is involved in price setting and reimbursement of pharmaceuticals. Until recently, pharmaceutical prices could not exceed the three lowest prices in the EU, which shifted to the lowest price. Subsequently, the High Court declared this process unfair for the industry and requested it to be changed. It is currently unclear how the pricing system will be changed. Copyright # 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Pricing and reimbursement decision-making is currently fragmented. The Ministry of Trade is responsible for pricing, and the MoH (specifically the National Medicines Organisation) for market authorisation. The health insurance funds (under the Ministry of Labour) finance the pharmaceuticals, and are also jointly involved with the MoH in defining the positive list. First, the price is established, then, without any formal HTA, the decision for reimbursement is made. Therefore, the prices and decisions to reimburse are made separately, making coordination of these procedures extremely difficult. In theory, if reimbursement is denied, companies can negotiate a lower price, but in practice, almost all products are reimbursed. Following the introduction of extended patent periods in 1998, the government has decided that when a patent expires, products maintain their original patent price, and generic products’ prices are fixed with a discount of only 20%. The fixed pricing of all products means that there is no room for generics to compete on price with the original brand and amongst themselves. This practice certainly does not create an environment that encourages consumption in the generic market [27]. All the attempted pharmaceutical policy changes have focused to date on supply side measures, but there have been no efficiencyimproving measures targeting physicians or pharmacists such as budgets to influence doctors’ prescribing habits, substitution rights for pharmacists, or prescribing guidelines to facilitate costeffective prescribing. The criterion for inclusion in the recently introduced positive list is only a product’s average daily treatment cost, with no consideration of clinical or cost effectiveness. The distribution margins set by the government give the wholesaler 7.8% (without VAT) and the pharmacy 35% of the retail price, which does not provide any incentive for pharmacists to dispense cheaper alternatives. Rather, the high profit margins encourage the sale of more expensive drugs and sustain a large number of pharmacies, fuelling the excessive consumption of pharmaceuticals. It is questionable whether so many pharmacies are needed to ensure high quality pharmaceutical care [28]. Appropriateness of care There is no system in place to assess the quality or appropriateness of services [10]. Additionally, Health Econ. 14: S151–S168 (2005) S162 there are no effective systems of organising and coordinating medical records, measuring how health resources are used, and measuring and monitoring the outcome of care. This problem is exacerbated by the fact that most doctors do not keep medical records in private practice even if they are contracted by health insurance funds, and if they do, they are inaccessible [10]. There are no practice guidelines, and prescribing patterns are idiosyncratic. It appears that most Greek doctors do not prescribe according to evidence-based practice [29]. A recent study of the prescribing patterns of office-based doctors in Larissa in central Greece showed that many doctors are poorly equipped for asthma management and mainly carry out asthma treatment after recommendations from a pulmonologist or internist, which are also incompatible with established treatment guidelines [30]. In 1997 Greece had the highest number of antibiotic prescriptions per 1000 population amongst 13 EU member states [31]. In addition, studies have shown that Greece has a very high, and growing, rate of caesarean section deliveries, which is unlikely to reflect need [32,33]. The results of a recent study of the predictors of caesarean sections in three Greek hospitals suggest that physicians are motivated to perform caesarean sections for financial incentives (due to high informal payments or PMI) and convenience (ability to plan the time of delivery) as opposed to medical necessity [34]. Dental care is an area where appropriateness of care has been questioned. It is likely that because of the high number of dentists, and high dental care expenditure, dentists are providing excessive services. A recent study of patients’ expectations and perceptions of the quality of dental care revealed that despite the high number of dentists, there was a gap between expected and perceived quality and responsiveness [35]. Access, outputs and health outcomes Equity of access It appears that there may be inequities in access in Greece arising from supply-side variation, different entitlements and benefits coverage across insurance funds, and high informal and direct Copyright # 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. E. Mossialos et al. payments. Although there is limited evidence on how informal payments affect access and utilisation of health services, it is clear that patients who cannot afford to pay cannot access the same level of services or have to wait longer for care [10]. Three studies have attempted to estimate equity of utilisation of health services in Greece. The studies were based on estimates of self-reported visits to health services, with no comparison with other surveys or official statistics. They all focused on demand side factors. The first study found significant horizontal inequities in utilisation of total doctor visits, but with disaggregated data, only specialist service use was inequitable, favouring the rich [36]. Furthermore, the study found PMI coverage and regional disparities slightly reduced equity in doctor visits. The survey questions separated specialist and GP visits, and since there are so few GPs in Greece yet a high number of GP visits were reported, the results should be treated with caution. The second study was based on a survey in 2001 on health care access in Greece [17]. This study found that there were no regional differences in access to health services. Also, several factors were associated with higher use of office-based doctors, as opposed to specialists: low income, worse health status and low educational level. The results of this study suggested a pro-poor bias; worse selfreported health status, low educational level and lack of insurance coverage for primary health care are correlated with higher use of hospital care. Caution is needed when interpreting these results, as the study methodology had many limitations including a very low response rate (less than 40%) to the mailed surveys. The third study using Eurobarometer data from 1996 found that income was a determinant of utilisation of health services in Greece (with the exception of hospital stays and hearing tests) where higher income groups appear to have better access than lower income groups [37]. The effect of income on diagnostic service use was particularly strong. As shown in some other countries, it is possible that low income groups may compensate for their under utilisation of non-hospital services by using more hospital services [38]. Nonetheless, these findings should be treated with some caution since income data in the Eurobarometer surveys are not carefully collected, and the study did not distinguish between GPs and specialists [36]. Overall, the evidence is by no means comprehensive and is somewhat contradictory, owing to Health Econ. 14: S151–S168 (2005) Analysing the Greek Health System study limitations. Although some studies did not find significant regional inequities in access, they did not consider cross-boundary flows (mainly people travelling to urban centres) or private payments, therefore neglecting potentially significant time and financial costs, which could create barriers to access. Outputs The only updated indicators of hospital performance are fairly crude measures of process outcomes such as length of stay, occupancy rate and admission rate (not including psychiatric hospitals) from 1997. Accounting systems play a marginal role in the NHS because the system favours overtly political evaluation criteria of organisational and individual performance [39]. There was a reduction in hospital occupancy rates from 69% in 1980 to 65% in 1997. The percentage of admissions to public hospitals increased from 77.82% in 1987 to 81% in 1997. The average length of stay for acute treatment hospitals has declined from 11 days in 1980 to 6 days in 1997 and has been accompanied by an increase in admission rates from 1134 per 1000 population in 1980 to 1516 per 1000 population in 1997. These figures show similar trends to other European countries and, taken together with the reduction in bed numbers, suggest a higher throughput. It is likely that the decrease in length of stay can be attributed to new pharmaceutical treatments and medical technologies, as opposed to health policy efforts; however, it is unclear whether the increase in admissions is a reflection of population ageing. There is some evidence, although relatively dated, that significant inefficiencies exist. One study using data envelope analysis (comparing total costs with four outputs: number of inpatient days in medical and surgical care, outpatient visits, and ancillary services) estimated that in 1992 hospital inefficiency amounted to about 20% of total costs, thus suggesting a potential to reduce hospital spending [40]. The study also reports that the difference between the actual and most efficient costs was 27% for general hospitals and 16% for teaching hospitals. These findings highlight the variation in performance across Greek hospitals, favouring the urban, teaching hospitals. Aletras found similar results using a sample of 91 general public hospitals in 1992 and estimated that the average hospital X-inefficiency was 20–34% of Copyright # 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. S163 observed hospital costs [41]. Athanassopoulos et al. found that in 1992 urban hospitals exhibited very high output slacks, which suggests an opportunity to increase the number of patients they serve [42]. Athanassopoulos and Gounaris estimated that 10–18% of hospital expenditure could have been saved in 1992 [43]. Similarly, Prezerakos used 1995 data from 106 public hospitals and measured technical efficiency by employing data envelope analysis. His analysis suggested that 58.4% of the sample hospitals had an efficiency deficit which was, on average, 20% less efficient than the most efficient hospitals. However, the most efficient hospitals included many small hospitals (with less than 40 beds) operating at a high efficiency level possibly because they function as transhipment points for health services that are then provided in the large scale urban hospitals [44]. One study indicated that hospitals with between 250 and 400 beds operated more efficiently than both smaller and larger hospitals, as measured by general cost analysis (comparing total costs and revenues per day across hospitals) [45]; however, these results could be questioned since the hospitals used in the sample appeared to overinvest in beds [42]. Not all of these reported inefficiencies can be translated into cost savings, however, because of potential differences across hospitals in levels of slack in their operations, and equity considerations that may allow some hospitals to operate below capacity. The evidence regarding the performance of IKA and NHS primary care centres is very limited. Among 133 IKA primary care centres, it appears that those with the technological infrastructure to perform laboratory and/or radiographic examinations are more efficient [46]. Also, Sissouras et al. examined the efficiency of 24 NHS primary care centres in rural and semi-urban areas in 1996 and found that most health centres were inefficient and the lowest cost-efficiency was revealed to be in health centres located close to hospitals, perhaps because without an organised system of primary care, people bypass local health centres and go directly to hospitals [47]. In the pharmaceutical sector, the evidence suggests that expenditure is rising as a result of expensive new products. Between 1994 and 2000, although relative drug prices (i.e. prices of the drugs available in 1994) fell by 17% and the number of prescriptions rose by only 16.34%, drug expenditure at current prices increased by Health Econ. 14: S151–S168 (2005) S164 204.36%. Most of the cost increase was attributed to new, costly, but not necessarily innovative products [48]. Similarly, a recent study modelling the increase in outpatient antibiotic expenditures found that new expensive products account for much of the non-rational acceleration in pharmaceutical expenditures [49]. Two studies found that the positive list resulted in a one-off reduction (for only one year) of the growth rate of the market. The velocity of growth increased sharply afterwards suggesting that, since consumption remained stable between 1999 and 2000, there has been a shift in prescription behaviour towards more expensive drugs [50,51]. Overall, the evidence reveals significant inefficiencies in the hospital sector, and continuous rapid increase in pharmaceutical expenditure, perhaps as a result of the lack of a coherent regulatory framework in the pharmaceutical sector. Health outcomes Life expectancy at birth in Greece has been consistently increasing since the 1950s and is currently 80.7 years for women and 75.4 years for men [21]. In 2001, Greece ranked 9th for both male and female life expectancy in the EU [21]. Between 1990 and 2000, male and female life expectancy at birth increased at a slower pace than the preceding 10 year period. Moreover, there was a slight reduction in male and female life expectancy between 1997 and 1998, which was the only year since the early 1950s that a reduction has been reported [52]. Nonetheless, these crude measures of health outcome simply indicate the existence of an effect, but say nothing about its causes. Much of the gains in life expectancy from 1970 to 1998 can be attributed to a reduction of infant mortality [53]. Gains in the 1980s can partly be attributed to improvements in pharmacological treatments (mainly for breast cancer and cardiovascular diseases), Mediterranean diet, and possibly income improvements, a reduction of socioeconomic inequalities and improved access to hospital care with the establishment of the NHS [53,54]. However, gains in the 1990s have been much lower due to increasing mortality from traffic accidents, rising rates of obesity and smoking related diseases (lung cancer and respiratory diseases) [53]. Copyright # 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. E. Mossialos et al. Furthermore, the adult probability of death (ages 15–59) has increased for males since the 1970s whereas it has continuously declined for females, but at a slower pace in the last 10 years. Overall, against a background of continuous rises in health expenditure and significant increases in expensive health care inputs life expectancy in Greece shows signs of slowing down, particularly for women [53]. Amenable mortality has been used as an alternative measure of health outcome, and one that, unlike more crude measures such as life expectancy, specifically attributes health outcome to the health system [55]. Disability-adjusted life expectancy in Greece has been reported by the WHO to be 72.5 [56] (which is inflated due to methodological limitations [55]), which places Greece 5th in the EU; however, when comparing amenable mortality, Greece falls to 8th place in the EU [55]. Most improvements in life expectancy in the 1980s and 1990s were due to reductions in amenable mortality, indicating that the NHS likely had a positive effect on health outcomes. In the 1980s, at least 70% of the total improvements in life expectancy were due to falling amenable mortality in both sexes, about half of which was due to falling infant mortality, consistent with other studies [53]. Also during the 1980s, ischemic heart disease increased among men and women, which slightly reduced the effect of health care on amenable mortality during this time. In the 1990s, amenable mortality explained two-thirds of the total increase in life expectancy. Falling infant mortality was again the most important driver of this improvement, explaining 36% of the increase in female and 47% in male life expectancy. A recent review of perinatal mortality compares the quality of care provided in 10 different European regions [57]. Compared to the other countries, Greece had the highest perinatal mortality rate (around 9 per 1000). Greece also had one of the highest percentages of perinatal deaths that were associated with ‘suboptimal factors’ (e.g. failure to detect severe intrauterine growth retardation) contributing to the fatal outcome. This study suggests that the high perinatal mortality rate in Greece may be explained in part by suboptimal quality of care. The literature in the area of health inequalities in Greece is practically nonexistent. One study reviewed socioeconomic inequalities (measured by income and education) in health among the Health Econ. 14: S151–S168 (2005) Analysing the Greek Health System European elderly [58]. The study showed that Greece has one of the largest absolute and relative inequalities in health among men and women. The future The NHS Law outlined its fundamental principles of universal coverage and equitable access to health care. More recently efficiency considerations have been highlighted. However, analysis of the current system demonstrates that these principles have not been met. Funding has become more regressive since 1980 with a shift towards private sources. Unequal coverage results from a fragmented financing system, varying contribution rates and differing benefits packages across insurance funds. Patients face significant direct costs or have to purchase services in the private sector. Although access to primary care appears equitable, or even pro-poor, access to specialists favours high income groups. Resource allocation is based on a historical and political basis and, although the evidence is unclear, it appears there are regional inequalities in the quantity and quality of services provided. Finally, there is considerable incoherence in mental and public health policy, with much improvement needed in the quality of mental health services, and developing public health infrastructure, specifically information systems for monitoring, evaluating health trends in addition to developing coherent prevention strategies. In future reform initiatives, it will become increasingly important to emphasise preventive health policies [10]. Furthermore, there is an over reliance on expensive inputs. There is an excess of heavy medical equipment particularly in the private sector which remains unregulated, coupled with an excessive use of emergency departments for non-emergency treatments. There is an excess of doctors and dentists and a serious shortage of nurses. High pharmacy profit margins on pharmaceutical sales, the lack of generic price competition, a lack of generic substitution and a lack of formal HTA contribute to pharmaceutical cost escalation. Although formal HTA has been criticised in the UK due to the observed inflationary pressure on health expenditure [59], since almost all pharmaceutical and medical products in Greece are reimbursed, formal HTA could play a role in rationalising resource allocation; drug Copyright # 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. S165 pricing and reimbursement decisions could be linked with the therapeutic value and cost-effectiveness of new medicines. Overall, Greece has not yet fully established a comprehensive and universal health care service free at the point of use and health gains appear to have reached their limit. Future health system reform should consider focusing on funding, HTA, purchasing mechanisms, and quality of care. This proposed agenda is far from complete, however, as it does not account for the fragmented character of the Greek health system. It would be unrealistic and ineffective to apply solutions used in other health systems, as one cannot ignore the history of health reform in Greece, its highly politicised system, cultural idiosyncrasies and the vested interests involved in policy development [2]. In terms of funding, a potential strategy is to pool all resources through taxation and social health insurance into a coordinated fund, in order to establish a public sector monopsony purchasing structure. With coordinated purchasing, there may be pressures placed on providers to improve efficiency, with appropriate monitoring systems in place. This proposal will equalise benefits (hence access to care) only under the condition that public spending increases, and resources are distributed to the less privileged funds. In the case that benefits are similar, it would be possible to move from the current system of entitlements based on occupation to one based on citizenship. Furthermore, with a monopsony purchaser, regional resource allocation methods could be introduced, as well as a formal HTA policy for pricing and reimbursement decisions. However, creating a single purchaser with concentrated public resources is not the only way to improve efficiency. It is important that providers have incentives to be productive and improve quality. The hospital payment system is currently on a per diem basis. Therefore, a revised pricing system is needed based on a combination of DRGs, in order to account for hospitals’ activities, and annual budgets to put a limit on expenditure. Payment of hospital doctors is currently salaried and uniform across specialties. The introduction of a fee-for-service payment for hospital specialists, coupled with an annual expenditure ceiling (to curb the inflationary tendencies of a fee-for-service payment system), could improve the efficiency of the NHS. A feefor-service payment system would require the establishment of a fee schedule and a corresponding reporting system. Such a payment system may Health Econ. 14: S151–S168 (2005) S166 place indirect pressure on hospital managements to move patients through faster without compromising patients’ health. To improve primary health care, since a GP system is impractical due to the high number of specialists and relative lack of GPs, the coordinated purchaser could encourage group specialist practices that function as a referral system to hospitals and maintain a medical records system. Currently doctors take advantage of the system that allows different contract arrangements with different funds. Therefore, a standardised contract in addition to payment by capitation, as opposed to fee-for-service, will improve primary care and remove the incentive for specialists to inflate health expenditure. Furthermore, a better coordinated primary care system could contribute to an improvement of quality and appropriateness of care for people with chronic health conditions [60]. It is unclear, however, whether specialists would accept new roles without the appropriate incentives in place. In the long term, given the high number of physicians in Greece, group practices with specialists paid individually on a capitated basis may be an attractive approach, but much will depend on the development of a coordinated purchaser. Because the reform of 2000–2002 failed to move towards this suggested direction, it is unclear how future government plans will evolve. Politicians might be cautious to attempt a major reform that will aim at increasing equity of finance and rationalising delivery. It is more likely that for the foreseeable future no major changes will take place. References 1. Mossialos E, Allin S. Interest groups and health system reform in Greece. West Eur Polit 2005; 28(2): 420–444. 2. Davaki K, Mossialos E. Plus ça change: health sector reforms in Greece. J Health Policy Polit Law 2005; 30(1–2): 143–168. 3. Hellenic General Accounting Office. Annual Report of Revenues and Expenditure for 2000, vol. 1, Part 1: Central Government. 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