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German Business in the U.S.: Opportunities amidst the turmoil By Ulrich Korff and Jonathan Hardt, Droege & Comp., Inc. New York, USA In Germany the downturn was initially viewed largely as an American problem. While the difficulties are now clearly global, the strength of German companies in the U.S. market creates tremendous opportunities amidst the turmoil. To better understand German business in the U.S., it is useful to look at the financial results of the top 50 German companies operating there. Many of Germany’s largest companies are directly immersed in the U.S. market with production facilities, service centers, and highly active sales and marketing organizations. The strength of German companies shows through in the results. While nominal private sector GDP in the U.S. grew Table #1: German-U.S. Revenue vs. U.S GDP growth by 5.8% per year from Revenue of German-Owned businesses in the 2004 to 2007, Total U.S. Private Sector GDP (in $ Tln)2 U.S. (In $ Bln)1,2 revenues of the top 50 CAGR: 9.4% CAGR: 5.8% German-owned 284.5 275.3 12.1 11.5 249.6 companies grew at a 10.9 229.4 10.2 9.4% CAGR (see Table #1). Half of the companies surveyed – which were often 2004 2005 2006 2007 2004 2005 2006 2007 leaders in their fields showed growth at a rate of 10% or higher for those four years. The only companies to show negative growth appear to have lost sales through divestment of revenue-earning divisions. German business activity in the U.S. has a well-known focus on tangible products. When compared against a Table #2: Sector Breakdown of German-U.S. company revenue vs. U.S. GDP breakdown of U.S. GDP, the variation is even Sector German-Owned Businesses Overall US Private Sector starker, showing that 46% Utilities 1.5% 2.0% of German-U.S. business Transportation 7.1% 2.9% is in Durable Goods, while Information 9.1% 4.2% only 6.7% of overall U.S. Construction 2.9% 4.4% output comes from this Nondurable Goods Manufacturing 17.9% 5.0% sector. A slightly smaller Retail Trade 7.0% 6.5% divide is evident in NonDurable Goods Manufacturing 46.0% 6.7% Durable goods, where Professional and Technical services 0.5% 7.3% nearly 18% of GermanFinance & insurance 6.3% 7.9% U.S. business is concentrated, versus only Other/Unclassified (incl. mining, recreation, etc.) 1.7% 53.0% 5% of the broader U.S. economy. Combined, the Durable Goods and Non-Durable Goods sectors account for nearly twothirds of top German company revenue in the U.S. TH DROEGE & COMP., INC. • CHRYSLER BUILDING • 405 LEXINGTON AVENUE • 35 FLOOR • NEW YORK, NY 10174 PHONE 212 557-7616 • FAX 212 557-6788 • www.droegeusa.com © 2009 by Droege & Comp. USA The U.S. recession began earliest in Durable Goods and in the discretionary segments of the NonDurable Goods sector, and the response by market participants has been aggressive. Cost-cutting, restructuring, and other actions were undertaken in many of these U.S. industries as early as 2007, well before anyone realized that Germany’s economy would also fall into a significant decline. Of course, the more flexible legal and economic structures of the U.S. also meant that these changes could be enacted much more quickly in the U.S. than in Germany. Having led the decline, these sectors are being re-tooled to lead the next expansion. The opportunities for growth and market share gains are made more pronounced by the incentives that President Obama’s administration has been pursuing to stabilize the economy and slow job losses. Much of the focus has been on tangible products, such as infrastructure or green/renewable energy equipment where German firms are world leaders. Overall, 2009 presents opportunities for German companies in the U.S. to strategically grow market share, producing a strong return on investment. While multi-nationals slowly address cost concerns in the Germany, changes have already been made in their U.S. divisions which should allow them to outperform. German companies with the strength to do so will find it smart to invest in the U.S. during 2009. Droege & Comp. is a leading German management consulting firm with U.S. offices in New York City and a strong track record of assisting German companies in the North American market, including identification of add-on acquisitions, post-merger integration, and operational improvements. Ulrich Korff is a Senior Advisor to Droege & Comp. USA and an experienced executive in the technology and insurance industries. Jonathan Hardt is a Principal with Droege & Comp. USA focusing on strategy, marketing, and growth. TH DROEGE & COMP., INC. • CHRYSLER BUILDING • 405 LEXINGTON AVENUE • 35 FLOOR • NEW YORK, NY 10174 PHONE 212 557-7616 • FAX 212 557-6788 • www.droegeusa.com © 2009 by Droege & Comp. USA