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Solutions to practice problems for 3/2/06: Chapter 10 Test Yourself, Problem 3 (a) In Chapter 9, question 2, we saw that the marginal propensity to consume was 0.9, and the (oversimplified) multiplier 10. The table in this question confirms that when investment rises by 20, from 240 to 260, aggregate demand rises by 200, no matter what the price level, as long as the price level is constant. For example, at a price level of 105 aggregate demand rises from 3770 to 3970. (b) Initial equilibrium: P = 100, Y = 3800. Eventual equilibrium: P = 110, Y = 3940. The multiplier, taking account of price increases, is 140/20 = 7. Test Yourself, Problem 4 The steeper the aggregate supply curve, the smaller the multiplier effect of an increase in aggregate demand, and the larger the inflationary effect. So, with an identical increase in aggregate demand, Figure 27-3(a) shows a larger output increase but a smaller price increase than Figure 27-3(b), because its aggregate supply curve is flatter. In the limiting case of Figure 27-3(c), where the aggregate supply curve is vertical, an increase in aggregate demand results only in inflation, and the multiplier is zero. In the other limiting case of Figure 27-3(d), where the aggregate supply curve is horizontal, inflation is absent and the multiplier is equal to the “oversimplified” multiplier. See the graphs on the next page. Chapter 27/Supply-Side Equilibrium: Unemployment and Inflation? Y 375 FIGURE 27-3 QUESTIONS FOR DISCUSSION 1. A decrease in the price of foreign oil reduces the costs of production and thus raises the profits of firms, inducing them to produce more output. This is represented by a rightward shift of the aggregate supply curve, with a consequent increase in output and reduction in the price level. 2. The statement is overly optimistic; gaps are worrisome. An inflationary gap will eventually be eliminated, but only at a cost of the social disruption caused by inflation. A recessionary gap may not be cured at all, because the cure requires both prices and money wages to fall, and such falls are usually strenuously resisted. Even if prices and wages do fall, and the recessionary gap is eventually eliminated, the process is likely to take a long period, during which time the country will suffer from unemployment and lost output. 3. (a) Stagflation follows naturally from an increase in aggregate demand above full employment that causes an inflationary gap. Initially, prices and output rise. But later, costs rise to catch up with prices. This is represented by a leftward movement in the aggregate supply curve, which produces stagflation, that is to say, rising prices coupled with falling output. Discussion Question 1 A decrease in the price of foreign oil reduces the costs of production and thus raises the profits of firms, inducing them to produce more output. This is represented by a rightward shift of the aggregate supply curve, with a consequent increase in output and reduction in the price level. Discussion Question 2 The statement is overly optimistic; gaps are worrisome. An inflationary gap will eventually be eliminated, but only at a cost of the social disruption caused by inflation. A recessionary gap may not be cured at all, because the cure requires both prices and money wages to fall, and such falls are usually strenuously resisted. Even if prices and wages do fall, and the recessionary gap is eventually eliminated, the process is likely to take a long period, during which time the country will suffer from unemployment and lost output. Chapter 11 Test Yourself, Problem 1 GDP Taxes 1360 1480 1600 1720 1840 DI 400 400 400 400 400 C 960 1080 1200 1320 1440 I 720 810 900 990 1080 G 200 200 200 200 200 X-IM 500 500 500 500 500 Total expenditure 30 1450 30 1540 30 1630 30 1720 30 1810 Equilibrium GDP is 1720. The marginal propensity to consume is 0.75 and the multiplier is 4. If government purchases fell by 60, and the price level were unchanged, GDP would fall by 240, to 1480. After G falls, the new chart is: GDP Taxes 1360 1480 1600 1720 1840 DI 400 400 400 400 400 C 960 1080 1200 1320 1440 I 720 810 900 990 1080 G 200 200 200 200 200 X-IM 440 440 440 440 440 Total expenditure 30 1390 30 1480 30 1570 30 1660 30 1750 Test Yourself, Problem 2 GDP Taxes 1360 1480 1600 1720 1840 DI 320 360 400 440 480 C 1040 1120 1200 1280 1360 I 810 870 930 990 1050 G 200 200 200 200 200 X-IM 500 500 500 500 500 Total expenditure 30 1540 30 1600 30 1660 30 1720 30 1780 Compared to Question 2, the expenditure line has a flatter slope, but it still crosses the 45-degree line at a GDP of 1720. The marginal propensity to consume is still 0.75. Now, however, the marginal tax rate is 1/3 (that is, when income rises by 3, taxes rise by 1). Consequently the multiplier falls to 2. A reduction in G of 60 will lower equilibrium GDP by 120 (provided prices do not change), to a new level of 1600. Comparison of the two questions shows that the introduction of a variable tax lowers the multiplier. After G falls, the new chart is: GDP Taxes 1360 1480 1600 1720 1840 DI 320 360 400 440 480 C 1040 1120 1200 1280 1360 I 810 870 930 990 1050 G 200 200 200 200 200 X-IM 440 440 440 440 440 Total expenditure 30 1480 30 1540 30 1600 30 1660 30 1720 Test Yourself, Problem 3 At each level of GDP, G rises by 120, while C falls by three quarters of 120, or 90. Therefore there is a net increase in expenditures of 30, as follows: GDP Taxes DI C I G X-IM Total expenditure 1360 1480 1600 1720 1840 520 520 520 520 520 840 960 1080 1200 1320 630 720 810 900 990 200 200 200 200 200 620 620 620 620 620 30 30 30 30 30 1480 1570 1660 1750 1840 Equilibrium GDP has risen by 120, to 1840. (This is an example of what is sometimes called “the balanced budget multiplier.” When government spending and autonomous taxes are raised by the same amount, in this case GDP rises by that amount.) Test Yourself, Problem 5 Because the marginal propensity to consume is 0.75, and the marginal tax rate is 1/3, the multiplier is 2. Therefore, you must take some action that will have the initial effect of raising expenditure by 60. You may raise government spending on GDP by 60, or you may lower taxes or raise transfer payments by 80. Discussion Question 2 An increase in autonomous spending, whether it be consumption, investment or government spending, increases GDP in the initial round by exactly the amount of the increase in spending: there is no difference between C, I and G in this respect. A tax reduction, however, does not initially increase GDP, but only disposable income. The initial increase in GDP is less than this; it is equal to the reduction in taxes (increase in disposable income) times the marginal propensity to consume. Discussion Question 3 To reduce aggregate demand, the government can reduce its spending on goods and services, raise taxes or reduce transfer payments. To increase aggregate demand, it can do the opposite: increase government spending, reduce taxes or increase transfer payments. Discussion Question 5 A capital gains tax cut will increase aggregate supply only insofar as it persuades people to increase their capital investments. Whether or not this happens, the tax cuts will lead to an increase in aggregate demand and a reduction in tax revenue. a. A tax cut on the gains from all investments will result in the largest loss in tax revenue and the largest increase in aggregate demand. In terms of its effects on investment, it will influence only new investment, not investments already made. b. If the tax cut is applied only to gains on investments made since the tax cut, the revenue loss and impact on aggregate demand will be less than in part (a). The impact on aggregate supply should be exactly the same as in (a), since only new investments can be affected by a change in policy. c. A tax cut only on certain strategic types of investments would have the least effect of the three policies on tax revenue and aggregate demand. It would probably have a somewhat smaller effect on aggregate supply, but not much smaller if the tax cuts are carefully targeted. If the goal is to increase aggregate supply, without having too much effect on aggregate demand, in order to increase production while at the same time easing inflationary pressures, then policy (c) is the most desirable.