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PREPARED enabling change Utility responses to climate change Gerard van den Berg (KWR Watercycle Research Institute, The Netherlands) Adriana Hulsmann (KWR), Anders Lynggaard-Jensen (DHI) Gesche Gruetzmacher (KWB) IWA/ESKTN Catchment Management Conference, 21st November 2013, Oxford Prepared enabling change 1 Environment Programme - Call FP7-ENV-2009-1 ENV.2009.3.1.1.1 - Grant agreement 244232 Project information • Title: PREPARED - Enabling Change • Budget: 10.7 mill EUR • EU Support: 7 mill EUR (FP7) • Project duration: 4 years • Project start: 1 February 2010 • Partners: 35 Prepared enabling change 2 Prepared enabling change 3 Challenges for water supply and sanitation Vulnerability and risks Water supply: • Water availability • Run-off patterns and surface water quality • Saline intrusion in coastal area • Changing demand patterns, land use • Flooding of well fields • Biogrowth in distribution network • Treatment efficiency Sanitation: • Extreme precipitation • Sustainable drainage • CSO’s • Storage potential • WWTP treatment efficiency Prepared enabling change 4 PREPARED objectives and approach PREPARED – “Research and demonstration project on adaptation of water supply and sanitation systems to climate change “ • Exploits opportunities for innovative adaptation technologies and solutions • Supports climate-proof EU policies and Directives Demand driven project • Proposal evolved from the WssTP European Water Technology Platform • Strong utility/end-user driven definition of the overall research • Research activity is developed with/for the utilities and demonstrated by the utilities • Links comprehensive research with development programmes in participating utilities Prepared enabling change Utilities Technology supplier Research Portfolio of demonstrative adaptive solutions 5 6 PREPARED Enabling change City / Utility partners Oslo Norway Århus, Denmark KWR Wales Seattle, USA Berlin, Germany Eindhoven, The Netherlands Lyon, France Melbourne, Australia Lisbon, Portugal Barcelona, Spain Gliwici, Poland Simferopol, Ukraine Genea, Italy Istanbul, Turkey Climate Change Adaptation Strategy System Performance Performance declines over time due to external influences and asset deteoriation Knowledge about Climate Change Performance standard Incremental adaptation responses Large investment in infrastructure More rapid change in external drivers than anticipated will after a few years result in more rapid decline in performance Prepared enabling change Time 7 Portfolio of tested adaptive solutions • Development and demonstration of tools, methodologies, new designs, systems, frameworks, software and procedures for the water sector • The portfolio of adaptive solutions helps stakeholders, planners and engineers integrate climate change in their investments Securing and planning water supply (3) Integrating Climate Change Impacts in Sanitation systems investment planning (2) Prepared enabling change Promoting the use of alternative water resources (2) Preparing Sanitation systems operation under Climate change influences (7) Adapting water supply systems (4) Integrated approaches to enable climate change adaptation (8) 8 Water Cycle Safety Planning • • • • • Expansion of Water Safety Planning approach Water cycle level allows integration of different stakeholders views and collaborative actions Common risk approach and risk criteria facilitates comparison of different risks Generic tools to facilitate risk process are key to ensure adequate application and increase trust in the results Adaptation at different decision levels (operators, managers) improves effectiveness Prepared enabling change 9 Toolbox for real time monitoring and modelling in urban water systems • • • • • Sensoring increases the technological capacity and performance RT control requires standardisation Optimisation of sensor locations Evohé software tool facilitates guidance and protocols for sensor calibration, uncertainty assessment, off-line data validation and data processing Linked to model for online RT model software tool Prepared enabling change 10 Real time monitoring and management • • • • • Prepared enabling change DIMS.CORE software toolbox for RT monitoring and modeling provides a better knowledge of traditional water and sanitation systems promotes a better operation, management and planning May prevent unnecessary construction of additional (new) infrastructure reduction in operational costs of WWTPs (Aarhus case) 11 Integrated RT monitoring system software (DIMS.CORE) Radar system – one sensor Signal receiving Signal processing Reflectivity calculation Radar calibration Polar Carthesian Forecast calculation ... DIMS.CORE Radar data plug-in features and viewer for images (p00 and i00). Intensity [mm/hr] Adjustment Factor Offset x + Adjusted rainfall intensity [mm/hr] = • • • RT use of weather radar images RT use of absorbence spectra RT data validation (online) Marshall Palmer Z = A * Rb .i00 ”byte” dBZ x .P00 .P00 Intensity [mm/hr] Weight factors MAR intensity [mm/hr] Mean Area Rainfall Radar image files, Reflectivity [dBZ]. Scaled to ”byte” range, 0..255. Observation and forecast (optional). Prepared enabling change 12 SIMDEUM, stochastic water demand model • • 7 Tue 13 June Wed 14 June simulation 6 3 • SIMDEUM improves the quality of (drinking water) network models Improved network models lead to a better understanding of e.g. flows and water quality in networks This improves the understanding and interpretation of sensor measurements Better understanding of water flows and processes in networks helps to optimize (necessary) investments costs in networks flow (m /h) • 5 4 3 2 1 Prepared enabling change 0 0 6 12 time (hr) 18 24 13 Planning for resilient water supply Integrated Water Resource Management promotes • water resources allocation • better planning for more resilient water supply and sanitation systems • safety against flooding • reliability of water supply during extreme hydrologic events and stimulates economic development Prepared enabling change 14 Towards new design concepts Regions under water stress need to consider: • New design concepts (e.g. flood proof well fields) • New (additional) water resources • Adaptive Water Sensitive Cities Breakthrough sector-wise approach (drinking water supply, waste water and stormwater management) Prepared enabling change 15 START OF FLOODING Safeguarding water supply during flooding Need for clear guidelines and mgm procedures Short-term risk (days to weeks) Mid-term risks (weeks to months) Long-term risks (months to years) Interruption of power supply, assets out of business Leakage through infrastructure (direct risk) Infiltration into underlying aquifers Risks for microbial infection no water supply Risks for microbial infection of raw water and introduction of chemical substances Increased concentrations of chemical substances in raw water Need for backup water supply Prepared enabling change Additional monitoring and ad hoc Need for adjustment in treatment treatment and distribution 16 ASR as instrument providing freshwater during periods of water scarcity • • • • • Subsurface as solution to periodic water scarcity (Aquifer Storage and Recovery concept) Alternative to lakes, ponds and reservoirs; decrease in surficial land use Recovery of infiltration water Multiple partially penetrating wells (MPPW) Freshkeeper/freshmaker and/or HDDW application Prepared enabling change 17 Enabling Change Adaptive Water Sensitive Cities • • • • • • Prepared enabling change Framework for Adaptation Audit Tool Socio-technical simulation tools (DAnCE4Water) a (modules) framework for the water and sanitation sector (dealing with uncertainty) helps utilities to adopt flexible adaptive approaches to deal with climate change effects enables scenario testing. 18 Climate proofing of European Water directives • GWD implementation in MS can cause barriers to MAR & dune infiltration for subsurface water storage and water quality improvement. • WFD pricing policy for water in some MS will cause barrier to sustainable water use (selling price lower than production cost). • DWD inclusion of RA/RM concept would boost WCSP approach. • UWWTD and BWD drivers behind investments urban water cycle; Stricter national standards will increase investment needs (CSO). • BWD allows the use of EWS for overflows in receiving waters. • Infiltration of residual waste concentrate from desalination in the subsurface. Prepared enabling change 19 Final remarks • • • • • Water Cycle Safety Planning encourages stakeholder collaboration Real time monitoring promotes optimal use of existing infrastructure and reduces operational costs Integrated Water Resources Management improves reliability of water supply and sanitation systems during periods of water stress Adoption of flexible approaches strenghtens climate proofing of water systems More info: www.prepared-fp7.eu Prepared enabling change 20 Prepared enabling change 21