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International Plant Protection Convention Develop guidelines for choosing a substitute pest for next meeting 2010_TPPT_Jul_79 Agenda: 13.1 Using surrogate species in the development of phytosanitary treatments Background Extract from: Report of the meeting of the Technical Panel on Phytosanitary Treatments (excerpts), 26-30 January 2009, Tokyo, Japan 6.4 TPFQ (December 2008) A member enquired whether there were any criteria for determining appropriate surrogates. The TPPT noted that the draft criteria for future ISPM No. 15 treatments use the terms ‘equal biological characteristics and response to the treatment’, but the Secretariat indicated that additional work could be done to define criteria for choosing surrogates. It was agreed that the TPPT should develop draft guidelines for choosing a surrogate pest and put this on the work programme. Some members expressed the view that the new system may be very strict in regard to the provision of data and these may limit the number of applications for the approval of treatments. Extract from the Report of the Standards Committee (November 2008) 101. The SC agreed the following criteria should be used when considering treatment suitability for inclusion in ISPM No. 15: that all treatments submitted in response to the 2006 and 2007 call for treatments for inclusion in ISPM No. 15 should be evaluated for equivalence to the current ISPM No. 15 methyl bromide treatment in the following manner. It must be demonstrated in compliance with ISPM No. 28 and to be at least 99.99683% effective against Anoplophora glabripennis (Asian longhorn beetle) and Bursaphelenchus xylophilus (Pinewood nematode) or appropriate surrogates. Box 1 Target species: The species that is of quarantine concern to an importing country. Surrogate species: The species that is tested instead of the target species. Target treatment: The quarantine treatment being demonstrated by the exporting country to protect the importing country from a quarantine pest (i.e. the target species) that is present in the importing country. It is assumed (usual approach), or can be demonstrated (preferable), that the surrogate species responds to the target treatment in the same way (or preferably is less tolerant) as the target species. It is acknowledged that surrogate species are not the same as the target species and that they may not react to a treatment in the same way as the target species may. It is also acknowledged that many target species are very difficult to use in scientificallybased studies due to a number of good reasons and that it is desirable that more tractable surrogate species can be used instead. We need to produce selection criteria that takes account of the positives while acceding to the possibility of negatives. Such Page 1 of 10 International Plant Protection Convention Develop guidelines for choosing a substitute pest for next meeting 2010_TPPT_Jul_79 Agenda: 13.1 negatives may be used in bilateral negotiations and in reviewing proposed treatment schedules for future regional and international approval. Some definitions 1. Simply put, a surrogate species is one that can be studied so that data from it will also apply to another species (which I will label “target species”). One can use a set of species or just one species (“umbrella” species) to represent all target species. One species can be used to represent another single target species. The surrogate species concept is used in environmental as well as dose-response studies. 2. Surrogate Species: A species that is tested to estimate responses of other species, for which direct testing is impractical (ASTM, 2002). 3. When target species are not available to a research group, more readily available surrogate species may be used if these have been shown to be more tolerant of the treatment (Ormsby, 2009). This is applicable to the “most treatment-tolerant species” concept where treatments are applied to a set of similar target species and the most treatment-tolerant of those species is then used as a “surrogate” representing all target species in that group. 4. Definition of Focal species (or Surrogate species) - small number of species whose distributions and abundances are well known; used in conservation planning; assumed to reflect the distribution and abundance of the regional biota; subsumes indicators and umbrella species (Hannon and McCallum, 2003) Examples in practise USDA Fruit Fly Cooperative Control Program, 2001: “Risk was characterized by comparing the estimated dose and the benchmark toxicity value. The benchmark values were the LD1 and the LC1 (the calculated dose lethal to 1% of the population, usually for a surrogate species).” “The test organism selected as a surrogate for each species was the most taxonomically similar species or one of similar size and trophic level. Generally, the lowest literature toxicity value for this species was selected.” “Toxicity data are available for very few species, requiring the selection of surrogate species for analysis. This is particularly true for SureDye and spinosad which have only recently been developed for use as pesticides. Often there were no data for similar species, and selection was based primarily on sensitivity. The choice of a surrogate had a great effect on the assessment of risk. Information about surrogate species is given in the Nontarget Species Risk Assessment (USDA, APHIS, 1998b).” (Author’s note: I was unable to obtain a copy of this document.) “Surrogate Species: A substitute species that can be compared with a lesser known or more rare species.” Page 2 of 10 International Plant Protection Convention Develop guidelines for choosing a substitute pest for next meeting 2010_TPPT_Jul_79 Agenda: 13.1 Baker and Stuckey, 2008: “Current prioritisation assessment protocols for invasive species tend to be based on species’ attributes and there is often variation in scope, type and quality of information available. For example, predictions on a cryptic species, environmental or economic impact are often reliant on expert opinion rather than on specific data. Expert opinion is of substantial use, but the effect of linguistic (context and definitions) and epistemic (knowledge about) uncertainty needs to be accounted for when determining risk. The difficulty of measuring environmental and social impact in financial terms has been noted by many authors using risk assessment. Lack of life history data for many species can also be problematic, with closely related species often being used as surrogates.” Garcia et al., 2002: “We conducted a study to test the effect of anticoagulant rodenticides on captive geckos. We used the Mona Island Gecko, Sphaerodactylus monensis as a surrogate species because it is very abundant, lives in a comparable habitat, and is similar in size and in feeding habits to the Monito Island gecko.” Nishimoto, 1978: “For the purpose of bio-assay, Lyctus beetle should be used, but the author has not been successful in rearing Lyctus continuously in his laboratory. Therefore, the adult of Tribolium castaneum HERBST was used as its substitute insect. Ten-day old adults were used. Those were previously reared in the laboratory with wheat flour as food.” Booth and Wickstrom, 1999: “Huberia brouni is difficult to maintain in captivity (the colony died out when maintained in laboratory conditions), and due to its small size, would require very large numbers of individuals in each group to obtain enough tissue for 1080 residue analysis. Therefore, a related species of the same genus, H. striata, was used as a surrogate. H. striata appears to have similar feeding habits to H. brouni, but is approximately 4 times larger, is easy to maintain in captivity, and is common…” Fleming et al., 2005: “A native species, the cottonwood borer (CWB), Plectrodera scalator (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae), was used as a surrogate cerambycid species for our studies because ALB is under quarantine in the United States. The cottonwood borer (CWB) is closely related to ALB and similar in size.” Poland et al., 2002: “In the laboratory, we reared cottonwood borer larvae (CWB), a surrogate for ALB, on artificial diet treated with various concentrations of imidacloprid and azadirachtin.” Romeis et al., 2008: “Despite recognized limitations, the application of the surrogate concept is widely applied in related fields including regulatory toxicity testing and environmental monitoring.” “….more standardized, validated test protocols for surrogate test species may need to be developed. These are needed to ensure data comparability and facilitate international regulatory acceptance.” Wenger, 2008: “(1) identify one or more candidate surrogate species, (2) model the relationship between the stressor and the response variable of interest for the surrogate species, (3) adapt the stressor–response relationship from the surrogate species to a model for the target species, possibly using Bayesian methods, and (4) incorporate Page 3 of 10 International Plant Protection Convention Develop guidelines for choosing a substitute pest for next meeting 2010_TPPT_Jul_79 Agenda: 13.1 additional data as they become available and adjust the response model of the target species appropriately.” World Wildlife Fund Canada. (2005): “Submitted materials may be taken from published or unpublished literature. If this kind of information is not available for the exact organism in question, published or unpublished material from a surrogate species may be acceptable, or data from original tests with the MPCA.” USDA, 2010: “Web-ICE version 3.1 - release January 2010. Web-ICE estimates acute toxicity (LC50/LD50) of a chemical to a species, genus, or family from the known toxicity of the chemical to a surrogate species. Web-ICE has modules to predict acute toxicity to aquatic (fish and invertebrates) and wildlife (birds and mammals) taxa for use in ecological risk assessments, and also contains modules that generate Species Sensitivity Distributions (SSDs) from Web-ICE generated data.” (Also see Raimondo et al., 2010.) Ecological Risk Assessment Focus Group, 2000: “Surrogate Species: Limited data is available on sensitive species that represent wildlife at the national and state levels. For this reason, EPA recommends use of surrogate species in laboratory toxicity testing. Data obtained in these tests are extrapolated to evaluate potential effects to organisms present on the site. At the end, the hazard quotient (HQ) is calculated using a hypothetical dose which organisms at the site are exposed to, divided by a toxicological value (LC50, NOEC). If the HQ is higher than 1, it is assumed that adverse effects are possible. A number of ecological levels of concern (LOCs) have been established by EPA for different endpoints to facilitate the decision making process. The problem is, all of the numbers used to get to this point are not measured values. The majority of the numbers are based upon data derived for other species, under different conditions.” USDA, 2002. “The CWB appears to be a useful surrogate model for ALB due to its high genetic relatedness, similar behavior, host range, size, and response to artificial diet, and other laboratory conditions”. http://www.aphis.usda.gov/plant_health/plant_pest_info/asian_lhb/downloads/researc h.pdf (Note: CWB - Cottonwood borer; ALB – Asian Longhorned Beetle) Comments Whether surrogates have been used to represent target species for environmental, phytosanitary or invasion-potential studies there are positive and negative aspects. The positive aspects include ease of study and the negatives include the difficulty in demonstrating that the two species react in the same way to a treatment. Published literature indicates a preference that the surrogate species should be less tolerant to the treatment than the target species to ensure quarantine (if not scientific) robustness. The overriding desire for an appropriate surrogate is that the surrogate should be exactly the same as the target species in its habits, size, damage level and damage potential but needs to be easy and cheap to work on whether they are laboratory reared (more common) or wild-gathered (rarely used but possible). Page 4 of 10 International Plant Protection Convention Develop guidelines for choosing a substitute pest for next meeting 2010_TPPT_Jul_79 Agenda: 13.1 The US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has collated data on toxicity of a range of chemicals to a range of species (at present mainly aquatic and avian) and has developed a model for species comparisons to toxins. This is the Web-based Interspecies Correlation Estimation (Web-ICE) for Acute Toxicity (see Raimondo et al., 2010, below). As this is developed for other species, including invertebrates, it may be used extensively in the future. But then this modelling system is being targeted as lacking complete and unambiguous scientifically based data. However, it is predicted that the model will improve as more data is added. As shown above, Wenger, 2008, suggests the following course of action when choosing surrogate species: (1) identify one or more candidate surrogate species, (2) model the relationship between the stressor and the response variable of interest for the surrogate species, (3) adapt the stressor–response relationship from the surrogate species to a model for the target species, possibly using Bayesian methods, and (4) incorporate additional data as they become available and adjust the response model of the target species appropriately. The Web-ICE model appears to parallel Wenger, 2008, in developing, and continuing to develop, such models. Score Test for Surrogate Species Suitability For more immediate use within IPPC needs I propose something along the lines of a Score Test for Surrogate Species Suitability as described in the two tables below. You will see that Table 2 shows a scoring system for surrogate applicability. I have made suggestions on what to score, and what values to give attributes but I have not indicated how to treat the resultant final scores for decision-making. Page 5 of 10 International Plant Protection Convention Develop guidelines for choosing a substitute pest for next meeting 2010_TPPT_Jul_79 Agenda: 13.1 Table 1. The need for a surrogate species in developing phytosanitary treatments Target species Rare Not endemic or established in region of research, quarantine issue No / insufficient quarantine infrastructure / facility in which to research target species Difficult to culture No rearing techniques developed Expensive to rear Dangerous to handle Difficult to find / grow sufficient numbers Lack of knowledge of habits, phenology, etc Surrogate species Common Endemic, established in research region Can more easily be laboratory reared Can rear sufficient quantities for statistical correctness Not expensive to rear Safe to handle Similar dietary requirements with respect to quarantine problem (e.g. both target and surrogate attack the same product and the same part of the product) Similar life history in target product OTHERS? Page 6 of 10 International Plant Protection Convention Develop guidelines for choosing a substitute pest for next meeting 2010_TPPT_Jul_79 Agenda: 13.1 Table 2. Checklist for suitability as a surrogate species: Evidence of similarity Attribute Similarity Reason for given score B score A Reason score C Order Family Genus Species (different strain, sub-species, variant, etc) [“taxonomic distance”] Host (i.e. target product) Host range Life history Feeding regime Reaction to treatment Tolerance to treatment (preferably less tolerant at same temperature, duration of exposure, dose concentration, etc) [“toxicologically representative”] Habitat type (e.g. tropical, temperature) Level of damage to target product Part/s of target product damaged Phenology Size OTHERS? A 4 (same), 3 (highly similar), 2 (similar), 1 (slightly similar), 0 (different) There should be a reason for the score that is given: it may be scientific (based on comparative research between the target and the surrogate species, published papers, reports, etc), historical (the surrogate has been used for the target species for many years without problems), based on consensus of knowledgeable opinion and expertise (meeting reports showing agreement), etc. C A score for the quality of the Reason should also be given: 2 (internationally acceptable, peer-reviewed publication OR expert consensus), 1 (unpublished data, observations OR proceedings (not peer-reviewed) OR historical basis, 0 (anecdotal evidence only OR no reason given, able to be given OR no scientific or anecdotal evidence exists) B Page 7 of 10 International Plant Protection Convention Develop guidelines for choosing a substitute pest for next meeting 2010_TPPT_Jul_79 Agenda: 13.1 References and further reading material Antwi, Frank B. and Robert K.D. Peterson. (2009). Toxicity of δ-phenothrin and resmethrin to non-target insects. Pest Management Science, 65: 300–305 ASTM. (2002.) Standard Terminology Relating to Biological Effects and Environmental Fate. Standard E 943-00 in: Annual Book of Standards. Vol. 11.05 Biological Effects and Environmental Fate; Biotechnology; Pesticides. ASTM International, West Conshohocken, PA (reference only) Baker, Jeanine and Michelle Stuckey. (2008). Prioritising the impact of exotic pest threats using Bayes net and MCDA methods. ACERA Project No. 07/07. Final Report, February 2008. Australian Centre of Excellence for Risk Analysis (ACERA). Booth, L.H. and M.L. Wickstrom. (1999). The Toxicity of Sodium Monofluoroacetate (1080) to Huberia Striata, a New Zealand Native Ant. New Zealand Journal of Ecology 23(2): 161-165. Caro, T.M. and Gillian O’Doherty. (1999). On the use of surrogate species in conservation biology. Conservation Biology 13(4): 805-814. Ecological Risk Assessment Focus Group. (2000). Ecological Risk Assessment, Florida Position Paper, Preliminary Draft, 6 May 2000. Report to the Florida Department of Environmental Protection Contaminated Soils Forum. Favreau, Jorie M., C. Ashton Drew, George R. Hess, Matthew J. Rubino, Frank H. Koch and Katherine A. Eschelbach. (2006). Recommendations for assessing the effectiveness of surrogate species approaches. Biodiversity and Conservation 15(12): 3949-3969. Fleishman, Erica, Dennis D. Murphy, and Robert B. Blair. (2001). Selecting Effective Umbrella Species. Conservation Magazine 2(2):17-23. Fleming, Mary R., John J. Janowiak, John M. Halbrendt, Leah S. Bauer, Deborah L. Miller, and Kelli Hoover. Feasibility of eradicating Cerambycid larvae and pinewood nematodes infesting lumber with commercial 2.45 GHz microwave equipment. Penn State College of Agricultural Sciences, School of Forest Resources. 35 pages. http://woodpro.cas.psu.edu/Nematodes1.pdf (accessed 21 June 2010) Fleming, Mary R., Mahesh C. Bhardwaj, John J. Janowiak, Jeffrey E. Shield, Rustum Roy, Dinesh K. Agrawal, Leah S. Bauer, Deborah L. Miller and Kelli Hoover. (2005). Noncontact ultrasound detection of exotic insects in wood packing materials. Forest Products Journal 55(6): 33-37. García, M.A., C.E. Diez, and A.O. Alvarez. (2002). The eradication of Rattus rattus from Monito Island, West Indies. In: Proceedings of the International Conference on Eradication of Island Invasives. Eds: C. R. Veitch and M. N. Clout. Occasional Paper of the IUCN Species Survival Commission No. 27. Pages 116-119. Page 8 of 10 International Plant Protection Convention Develop guidelines for choosing a substitute pest for next meeting 2010_TPPT_Jul_79 Agenda: 13.1 Hannon, Susan J. and Cindy McCallum. (2003). Using the focal species approach for conserving biodiversity in landscapes managed for forestry. Sustainable Forest Management Network Synthesis Paper. Dept of Biological Sciences, University of Alberta. 59 pages. Lagunas-Solar, M.C and C. Pina. (2005). Update on Metabolic Stress Disinfestation and Disinfection. Annual International Conference on Methyl Bromides Alternatives and Emissions, San Diego, CAL, October31 – November 4, 2005. Niemi, Gerald J. and Michael E. McDonald. (2004). Application of Ecological Indicators. Annual Review of Ecological Evolution Systems. 35:89–111. Nishimoto, Koichi. (1978). Study of Insect Proof Plywood by Mixing Chlordane with the Glue. Wood Research No. 64: 9-23. Ormsby, Michael. (2009). Developing phytosanitary treatments for international trade. In: IUFRO International Forest Biosecurity Conference Incorporating the 6th International Forest Vegetation Management Conference. 16-20 March 2009, Rotorua, New Zealand Eds: Margaret Richardson, Carolyn Hodgson, Adrienne Forbes. New Zealand Forest Research Institute Limited. Poland, Therese M., Robert A. Haack, Leah S. Bauer, Toby R.Petrice, Deborah L. Miller, and Houping Liu. (2002). Overview of Asian Longhorned Beetle Research by the USDA Forest Service, North Central Research Station, in East Lansing, Michigan. Proceedings, U.S. Department of Agriculture Interagency Research Forum on Gypsy Moth and Other Invasive Species. January 15-18, 2002. Raimondo, S., D.N. Vivian, and M.G. Barron. (2010). Web-based Interspecies Correlation Estimation (Web-ICE) for Acute Toxicity: User Manual. Version 1.1. EPA/600/R-10/004. Gulf Breeze, FL. Romeis, Jörg, Detlef Bartsch, Franz Bigler, Marco P. Candolfi, Marco M.C. Gielkens, Susan E. Hartley, Richard L. Hellmich, Joseph E. Huesing, Paul C. Jepson, Raymond Layton, Hector Quemada, Alan Raybould, Robyn I. Rose, Joachim Schiemann, Mark K. Sears, Anthony M. Shelton, Jeremy Sweet, Zigfridas Vaituzis and Jeffrey D. Wolt. (2008). Assessment of risk of insectresistant transgenic crops to nontarget arthropods. Nature Biotechnology 26(2):203208. USDA Fruit Fly Cooperative Control Program. (2001). Final Environmental Impact Statement, USDA. (2002). Asian Longhorned Beetle. Proposed FY 2002 Research & Technology. (Objective 2) Evaluate entomopathogens for utility for biocontrol and (Objective 3): Evaluate Asian longhorned beetle, Anoplophora glabripennis (Motschulsky), entomopathogens using a native cerambycid, the cottonwood borer, Plectrodera scalator (Fabricius), as a surrogate host. http://www.aphis.usda.gov/plant_health/plant_pest_info/asian_lhb/downloads/researc h.pdf. (Accessed 21 June 2010) Page 9 of 10 International Plant Protection Convention Develop guidelines for choosing a substitute pest for next meeting 2010_TPPT_Jul_79 Agenda: 13.1 Wang, Baode, Victor C. Mastro, and Win H. McLane. (2000). Impacts of Chipping on Surrogates for the Longhorned Beetle Anoplophora glabripennis (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) in Logs. Journal of Economic Entomology. 93(6): 18321836. Wenger, Seth J. (2008). Use of Surrogates to Predict the Stressor Response of Imperiled Species. Conservation Biology, 22(6):1564–1571. Wiens, John A., Gregory D. Hayward, Richard S. Holthausen, and Michael J. Wisdom. (2008). Using Surrogate Species and Groups for Conservation Planning and Management. BioScience 58(3):241-252 World Wildlife Fund Canada. (2005). Critical regulatory path for biocontrol agents. Prepared by Vijay Cuddeford for Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, in preparation for the workshop Microbial Biocontrol Agents: Registration, Commercialization & Adoption Issues, Saskatoon, February 28 to March 1, 2005. Wren, Sarah, D. Brent Gurd, Andrea Pomeroy, Kristen Gorman. (2006). Birds, Bird Habitat and the Mackenzie Gas Project: Important Bird Areas and Migratory Birds as Valued Components, Nature Canada Intervener Report For October 19 – 20, 2006 Topic-specific General Hearing (Topic #7 Wildlife and Wildlife Habitat, including Birds and Bird Habitat). 25 pages. Page 10 of 10