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THS et Risque de cancer du sein Club de Sénologie 29.01.04 Serge Rozenberg CHU St Pierre, Free Universities of Brussels • • • HRT & Risk HRT & prognosis HRT after breast cancer Epidemiological data • Cumulative Risk of Breast Cancer to Age 70 Years According to Risk Factor Status: Data from the Nurses' Health Study Colditz and Rosner Am J Epidemiol 2000 Thomas Br J Cancer 1997 Relation between osteoporosis & Breast cancer risk BMD and breast cancer risk Lowest quartile Quartile 2 Quartile 3 Highest quartile 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 97 cancers in cohort of 6854 women >65 yrs Cauley et al 1996 Relation between osteoporosis & Breast cancer risk adapted from Zhang et al 1997 Bone mineral density and the risk of breast cancer: the Rotterdam Study • Cumulative breast cancer incidence in quartiles of absolute bone mineral density (BMD). LS, lumbar spine BMD; TR, intertrochanteric BMD; FN, femoral neck BMD; WD, Ward's triangle BMD. van der Klift et al Bone 2003 Relation between osteoporosis & Breast cancer risk Screening Mammography in Elderly Women (Rozenberg, Ham, Liebens JAMA. 2000;283:3202-3204) Low risk of hip fracture among elderly breast cancer survivors • Medicare program hip fracture • elderly women survivors of stage 0, I, or II breast cancer (N = 5980) diagnosed between the ages of 55 and 64 years; using the Medicare 5% file, • elderly women without histories of cancer (N = 23,165) from National Cancer Institute's Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER)- regions. • Medicare claims from 1993 through 1998, followed women for hospitalization for hip fracture or death until December 31, 1998. Lamont and Lauderdale Annals of Epidemiology Low risk of hip fracture among elderly breast cancer survivors • the rate ratio of hospitalization for hip fracture for breast cancer survivors relative to comparison patients was 0.63 (95% CI: 0.43–0.94) after adjusting for age, race, socioeconomic status, geographic location, cohort entry year, and medical comorbidity. Lamont and Lauderdale Annals of Epidemiology November 2003, Randomized controlled trial of exercise training in postmenopausal breast cancer survivors: cardiopulmonary and quality of life outcomes. Courneya et al J Clin Oncol. May 2003. To treat or not to treat ? Breast cancer & HRT: collaborative reanalysis of 51 epidemiological studies Never users < 1 yr 1-4 yr 5-9 yr 10-14 >=15 yr 0 Lancet 1997 0,5 1 1,5 2 Breast cancer & HRT: collaborative reanalysis of 51 epidemiological studies • among never-users of HRT the relative risk of breast cancer increases by a factor of 1·028 (95% CI 1·021-1·034) for each year older at menopause. • increased by a factor of 1·023 (95% CI 1·0111·036; 2p=0·0002) for each year of use • Lancet 1997 Obstet Gynecol 2001 Breast cancer and hormonereplacement therapy in the Million Women Study Lancet 2003; 362: 419-27 Relative risk of incident invasive breast cancer in relation to recency of use of HRT Breast cancer risk and HRT regimens 1. Estrogens alone • RR 1,34 (CI 95% 1,25-1,43) after 5 years of use. • Risk disapears when last use exceeds 5 years. Lancet 1997 oct 11;350(9084):1047-59 Relative risk of incident invasive breast cancer in relation to recency, total duration of use, and type of HRT used at baseline Lancet 2003 Aug 9;362:419-27 Introduction • Double blind randomized trial: WHI RR 1,26 (CI 95% 1,00-1,59) after 5 years of CHRT use. JAMA 2002 Jul 17;288(3):321-33 Breast cancer risk and HRT regimens 2. Estrogen and progestin • Recent studies. • Limited number of cases (n ~ 100 à 400) except in MWS (n = 1934). • One randomized trial: WHI (n = 166). Relative risk of incident invasive breast cancer in relation to recency, total duration of use, and type of HRT used at baseline Lancet 2003 Aug 9;362:419-27 Estimated cumulative incidence of breast and endometrial cancer per 1000 women in developed countries who never used HRT and who used HRT for 10 years, beginning at age 50 years Progesterone ? • progestogens are reported to stimulate, reduce, or have no effect on the mitotic activity and proliferation of breast epithelial cells • stimulate, reduce, or have no effect on hyperplastic lesions Relative risk of incident invasive breast cancer by constituent and regimen of oestrogen-progestagen combination HRT used at baseline* Lancet 2003 Aug 9;362:419-27 Relative risk of incident invasive breast cancer by constituent and regimen of oestrogen-progestagen combination HRT used at baseline* Lancet 2003 Aug 9;362:419-27 Breast cancer risk and HRT regimens 5. Estrogen used and dose: Lancet 2003 Aug 9;362:419-27 Breast cancer risk and HRT regimens 6. Type of administration: Lancet 2003 Aug 9;362:419-27 Breast cancer risk and HRT regimens 7. Tibolone • Only one study: MWS (n = 184). • Increased RR: 1,45 (CI 95% 1,25-1,68). Prognostic factors and HRT 1. Observational studies • Tumors are less agressive using HRT (smaller, more often negative nodes and lower grade…). Prognostic factors and HRT • 4 studies show an increased RR for ILC with HRT. • 3 studies show that RR especially increase with CHRT: 2,01 (CI 95% 1,25-3,22) to 3,91 (CI 95% 2,05-7,44). Prognostic factors and HRT • Many biases: -few cases, -heterogenous studies, -surveillance bias, -confounding factors… Prognostic factors and HRT 2. Randomized trial: WHI • Increased risk of more advanced stages with CHRT: -Increased size (1,7 cm vs 1,5 cm) p = 0,04. -Increased number of invaded nodes (45/199 vs 21/150) p = 0,03. JAMA 2003 June 25;289(24):3243-3253 Prognostic factors and HRT • Diminished accuracy of mammography with HRT. • But worsening of prognosis cannot be ruled out. Breast cancer mortality and HRT • Recent meta-analysis shows a diminution of mortality using HRT. Am J Obstet Gynecol 2002 Feb;186:325-334 • WHI: few number of deaths (3 vs 2) JAMA 2002 Jul 17;288(3):321-333 Breast cancer mortality and HRT • Million Women Study (n = 191): Increased mortality using HRT: RR 1,22 (CI 95% 1,05-1,41). • Insufficient data to analyse the role of different HRT regimens. Lancet 2003 Aug 9;362:419-27 Conclusions 1. RR of breast cancer using HRT • Breast cancer risk increases using HRT. • Especially with CHRT in current users for more than 5 years. • No influence of dose, component used and type of administration. Conclusions • RR also increases with estrogens alone and tibolone. • Increased RR disapears after 5 years since last use. Relative risk of incident invasive breast cancer in relation to recency and type of HRT used. Lancet 2003 Aug 9;362:419-27 Conclusions • One randomized trial (WHI): CHRT. • Many observational studies with insufficient power. • Not always comparable. Conclusions • Criticizable points about Million Women Study : -Recall bias, -Selection bias, -Surveillance bias. Conclusions • But this is the first observational study with so many cases. Conclusions 2. Prognostic factors and HRT • Observational data are insufficient. • WHI: worsening of prognosis. Conclusions 3. Breast cancer mortality and HRT • Insufficient data. • An increased mortality cannot be excluded. Questions • • • • • • • Prevalence of postmenopausal symptoms ? HRT data ? Physicians willing to prescribe HRT ? Patients willing to take HRT ? Efficacy/ safety of other treatments? (vaginal dryness) (Osteoporosis prevention) Prevalence and Treatment of Menopausal Symptoms Among Breast Cancer Survivors Harris et al 2002 Estrogen replacement therapy in breast cancer survivors. A time for change. Breast Cancer Committees of the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Cobleigh, et al JAMA 1994 272: 540545. M. A. HRT After Breast Cancer: A Systematic Review and Quantitative Assessment of Risk • 11 eligible studies through May 1999, (4 had control groups) and included 214 BRCA survivors using HRT , DFI =52 months. • mean follow-up: 30 months, 17 /214 HRT users recurrences (4.2% per year), versus 66/623 controls (5.4% per year). • RR = 0.64, 95% CI, 0.36 -1.15 • Including all 11 studies (669 HRT users), using estimated control groups for the seven uncontrolled trials, the combined RR was 0.82 (95% CI, 0.58 to 1.15). Col et al Journal of Clinical Oncology, 2001 Cancer recurrence and mortality in women using hormone replacement therapy after breast cancer: Meta-analysis • Meurer, Milwaukee, The Journal of Family Practice • December 2002 • Vol. 51, No. 12 References Controled studies Eden, et al; Menopause 1995 DiSaia, et al; Am J Obst Gynecol 1996 Marttunen, et al; Maturitas 2001 Ursic-Vrscaj, et al; Eur J Surg Oncol 1999 DiSaia, et al; Am J Clin Oncol 2000 Espie, et al; Proc ASCO 1999 Beckmann, et al; Gerburtsh u Frauenheilk 1998 Jo Marsden et al Fertility and Sterility, February 2000 Uncontroled studies Wile, et al; Am J Surg 1993 Vassilopoulou-Sellin, et al; Gynecol Oncol 1997 Peters, et al; Ann Surg Oncol 2001 Guidozzi, et al; Int J Gynecol Obstet 1999 Natrajan, et al; Am J Obstet Gynecol 1999 Brewster, et al; Int J Fertil Womens Med 1999 Bluming, et al; Proc Ann Meet Am Soc Clin Oncol 1999 Powles, et al; Lancet 1993 Decker, et al; Breast J 1997 Natrajan & Don Gambrell Am J Obstet Gynecol 2002 HRT in BRCA patients: A qualitative systematic review. S Neusy, et al 2001 • None of the studies show an increased recurrence rate. • They suggest that it is unlikely that the ERT/HRT risk is very high. • But a great heterogeneity characterises these studies. – Many essential data were missing in some studies: the Disease-free interval (DFI), number of lost of follow up, the stage of disease. – The proportion of women treated with tamoxifen varied from 3.8%-100%. – It is currently not possible to draw conclusions about the use of HRT after breast cancer. Are randomized trials of hormone replacement therapy in symptomatic women with breast cancer feasible? • 100 postmenopausal women with early-stage breast cancer, experiencing vasomotor symptoms and/or vaginal dryness. • Randomization (1:1) to HRT or no HRT for 6 months. • Acceptance (38.8%) and continuance rates (>80%) were encouraging. The efficacy of HRT did not appear to be antagonized with concomitant tamoxifen. 65 % continued HRT after the study ended. Three women developed metastatic disease. Two used HRT. • Jo Marsden et al Fertility and Sterility, February 2000 Estrogen replacement therapy in patients with early breast cancer • Estrogen replacement therapy apparently does not increase either the risk of recurrence or of death in patients with early breast cancer. These patients may be offered estrogen replacement therapy after a full explanation of the benefits, risks, and controversies. • Natrajan, Don Gambrell Am J Obstet Gynecol 2002;187:289-95. Estrogen replacement therapy in patients with early breast cancer • Retrospective study of clinical practice • n=123 women (mean age, 65.4 ± 8.85 years) – 69 patients ERT for 32 years after diagnosis. – 22 women who used nonestrogenic hormones (androgens with or without progestogens) for 18 years – 32 women who used no hormones for 12 years. – Of the 63 living hormone users, 56 women are still being treated in our clinic, as are 15 of the 22 subjects who receive nonestrogenic hormone replacement therapy. Follow-up was done through the tumor registry at University Hospital; those patients whose tumor records were not current were contacted by telephone. • Natrajan, Don Gambrell Am J Obstet Gynecol 2002;187:289-95. Estrogen replacement therapy in breast cancer survivors: a matched-controlled series. • No significant difference between the ERT and control groups in – ipsilateral primary/recurrence (5/155 v 5/143; P = 0.85) – contralateral breast cancers (10/258 v 9/260; P = 0.99) – systemic metastasis (8/277 v 15/277; P = 0.13). – Noncause-specific deaths in the control group numbered 15 (of 277), and in the ERT group, 7 (of 277) (P = 0.03). – Overall survival favored the ERT group (P = 0.02). Decker et al Menopause. 2003 Jul-Aug;10(4):277-85 Estrogen replacement therapy in breast cancer survivors: a matched-controlled series. • prospectively ERT as part of clinical practice (n=277) compared with a historical matchedcontrol group (stage, a recurrence-free period similar to the period to ERT initiation in the ERT group, approximate age, and duration of follow-up). • The mean time from breast cancer diagnosis to initiation of ERT was 3.61 (+/- 0.25) years, with a median of 1.88 years. The mean duration of ERT was 3.7 (+/- 3.01) years, with a median of 3.05 years. •Decker et al Menopause. 2003 Jul-Aug;10(4):277-85. ERT for menopausal women with BRCA : 5 yr Prospective study • Patient and disease characteristics, comparable for women who were on ERT and women who were not on ERT. • These same parameters also were comparable for women who joined the trial and women who did not. • The introduction of ERT did not compromise disease free survival. 2/56 women on ERT (3.6%) developed a contralateral, new breast carcinoma vs 33/ 243 women (ERT-)(13.5%) Vassilopoulou-Sellin et al Cancer 2002;95:1817-26 ERT for menopausal women with BRCA : 5 yr Prospective study • • • • • Stage I, II DFI =2 yr (ER-)/ DFI=10 yr (ER ?) Menopausal ER+ : excluded N1=100 but only 77 analysed (5 yr and complete data) – 34 ERT/43 non users • N2 (another cohort) 222 – 22 ERT/ 200 non users • Vassilopoulou-Sellin et al Cancer 2002;95:1817-26 Attitude in relation to symptoms (523 analysable responses (33%) one mail) Symptoms HRT Yes mild Severe P No 33% 67% 49% 51% P=0.001 Menopause after breast cancer: a survey on breast cancer survivors • 78% against the use of HRT after breast cancer. – – – – concern cancer relapse (33%) fear of HRT side effects (24%) the negative opinion of their physician (15%) the mild discomfort caused by their menopausal symptoms (10%) • 22% be willing to take HRT under medical supervision when asked. – – – – vasomotor symptoms relief (50%) osteoporosis prevention (45%) vaginal dryness reduction (19%) cardiovascular disease prevention (13%) Biglia et al Maturitas 2003 Oral clonidine in postmenopausal patients with breast cancer experiencing tamoxifen-induced hot flashes: Pandya et al Ann Intern Med. May 2000 • Double-blind, placebo-controlled :194 using tamoxifen • Oral clonidine hydrochloride, 0.1 mg/d/ placebo for 8 weeks. • Hot flash : -37% clonidine group -20% placebo group • Clonidine more difficulty sleeping (41% vs 21%; P = 0.02). • quality-of-life scores (+0.3 points: clonidine vs -0.2 points placebo; P = 0.02) at 8 weeks, although the median difference was 0 in both groups. Venlafaxine in management of hot flashes in survivors of breast cancer: a randomised controlled trial. Mean decreases in hot-flash scores. placebo vs 75 mg and 150 mg, p<0·0001; placebo vs 37·5 mg, P=0·008; Note that doses increased gradually in the 75 mg and 150 mg groups. Loprinzi CL, et al. Lancet 2000;356:2059–63 Phase III evaluation of fluoxetine for treatment of hot flashes. Mean hot flash score changes from baseline for the two study arms Loprinzi CL, et al. J Clin Oncol 2002;20:1578–83. Paroxetine controlled release in the treatment of menopausal hot flashes: randomized controlled trial. Stearns V, et al JAMA 2003;289:2827–34 Active tamoxifen metabolite plasma concentrations after coadministration of tamoxifen and the selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor paroxetine. paroxetine statistically significantly reduced the concentrations of 4-hydroxy-N-desmethyltamoxifen (endoxifen), a metabolite resulting from CYP2D6-mediated hydroxylation of N-desmethyltamoxifen. Endoxifen suppressed estradiol-stimulated MCF7 proliferation, with potency comparable to that of 4-hydroxy-tamoxifen Hot Flash Drug May Hinder Effectiveness of Tamoxifen Stearns V, et al. J Natl Cancer Inst 2003;95 Phytoestrogens