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www.LionTutors.com STAT200(Wiesner)–Exam1–PracticeTestSolutions 1. C–Stratifiedrandomsamplebecausestudentsweredividedintogroups. Thenarandomsamplewastakenfromthegroupselected. 2. C–Yes,becausetheresultisbasedonanexperiment.Youknowtheproblem isdescribinganexperimentbecausetreatmentsarerandomlyassignedto participants.Itispossibletodrawcauseandeffectconclusionsfrom experiments;however,itisnotpossibletodrawcauseandeffectconclusions fromobservationalstudies. 3. B–Switchtodoor#3becausethereisa2/3probabilitytheprizeisbehind door#3andthereisonlya1/3probabilitytheprizeisbehinddoor#1.This exampleiseasiertoconceptualizeifyouthinkaboutthesamescenario; however,insteadofjustthreedoorsthereare100doors.Ifyourandomly pickonedoor,thereisa1/100chanceyoupickedthecorrectdooranda 99/100thecorrectdoorisoneofthedoorsyoudidn’tpick.Ifthegameshow hostopens98ofthedoorsyoudidn’tpickandshowsyoutheyareempty,it meansthereisa99/100chancetheprizeisbehindthedooryoudidn’tpick anda1/100chancetheprizeisbehindthedooryoudidpick.Thusyou shouldalwaysswitchdoorsinthisscenariotoincreasethechancesyouwin theprize. 4. C–1dividedbythesquarerootof64 CMoE=1/ 𝑛 = 1/ 64 5. C–NotindependentbecauseP(CHEM110)timesP(MATH140)doesnot equalP(CHEM110andMATH140). Independencerule=P(AandB)=P(A)*P(B) P(CHEM110)=0.7 P(MATH140)=0.8 P(CHEM110andMATH140)=0.60 0.60≠(0.7)(0.8) 6. A–Youknowthisisanexperimentbecausetreatmentswererandomly assignedtoparticipants. 7. B–Nonresponsebias 8. A–Mutuallyexclusive Theeventsaremutuallyexclusivebecauseitisnotpossibleforthembothto happenatthesametime. Iftwoeventsaremutuallyexclusive,youknowP(OandB)=0.The independencerulesaysthatifthetwoeventsareindependentthefollowing willholdtrue. P(OandB)=P(O)*P(B) P(0)=4/6=2/3 P(B)=2/6=1/3 0≠(2/3)(1/3) Sincetheindependenceruledoesnothold,weknowtheeventsarenot independent. 9. A–TheweightofPennStatestudents 10. C–Samplesurvey 11. C–Orange,orange,orangebecauseorangeisthemostlikelyeventtooccur eachtimethedieisrolled. 12. D–18.17becauseitrepresentsQ3inthefivenumbersummary. 13. A–1/3becausetherearethreeevennumbersonthedie,2,4,and6. 14. B–80and3becausethecurvewillincreasethemean,butitwillnotaffect thestandarddeviation. 15. B–No,iftwoeventsareindependent,knowingthateventBoccurredwillnot affecttheprobabilitythateventAoccurs. 16. C–Fatconsumption(explanatoryvariable)“explains”heartfunction (responsevariable). 17. D–Onlytheviewerwhovotedinthisparticularpollbecausethiswasaselfselectedsample,whichonlygivesyouinformationabouttheparticipantsin thesample. 18. B–Astudycanonlybeclassifiedasanexperimentifthetreatmentsare randomlyassignedtoparticipants.However,astudycanstillbean experimentevenifparticipantsarenotrandomlyselected. 19. C–10.21to18.17becausethisanswerchoicerepresentstheIQR. 20. D–Positive2 𝑧= 𝑂𝑏𝑠𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑒𝑑𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 − 𝑀𝑒𝑎𝑛 82 − 76 = = 2 𝑆𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑎𝑟𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑣𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 3 21. D–Thenumberoftimesperweekanindividualeatsfastfoodisnotalurking variableinthisexamplebecauseitisavariableusedinthestudy. 22. A–67 Observedvalue − Mean z= Standarddeviation 𝑥 − 76 −3 = 3 x=67 23. B–Notrepresentativebecausethenumberofhoursofsleepastudentgets thenightbeforeabigexamisnotrepresentativeoftheaveragenumberof hoursastudentsleepseachnight. 24. A–Histogrambecausewearedealingwithquantitativevariables. 25. A–AllregisteredPAvoters. 26. B–13.45becausethemedianisthemiddlenumberinafivenumber summary. 27. D–Itispossibletodrawacauseandeffectconclusioninarandomized experiment;however,itisnotpossibleforanobservationalstudy. 28. C–Sidbysideboxplotsbecausesalaryisaquantitativevariableandwewant tocomparetwodistinctgroupsthroughavisualdisplay. 29. A–Representative 30. B–Observationalstudybecausetreatmentswerenotrandomlyassigned. 31. D–18.17to37becauseintervalonlyrepresents25%ofthesalaries.This intervalisfromQ3tothemaximumvalue. 32. C–70to82becausetheempiricalruletellsusthat95%ofallvaluesfall within2standarddeviationsofthemean. 33. A–Ifthesamplesizeincreases,themarginoferrordecreases.Thesample sizedoesnotaffectresponsebias. 34. B–Morethan13.45becausewhendataispositivelyskewed(skewedtothe right)meanisgreaterthanthemedian.13.45isthemediansoweknowthe meanmustbegreaterthan13.45. 35. A–35/45 Totalfemale=45 Totalfemaleinstate=35 Probability=35/45 36. A–Yes,becausetheyaredependentevents 37. A–Yes,because0.2*0.8=0.16whichmakestheeventsindependent. 38. D–Eachanswerchoiceisequallylikelybecausethereisanequalchanceof thedielandingonorangeorblue. 39. C–1/2becausethereisa50%chancethenumberis1anda50%chancethe numberis2. 40. C–Stratifiedbecausethepopulationisdividedintogroupsandthenasimple randomsampleistakenfromeachgroup. 41. C–Piechartbecausewearegraphingquantitativevariablesandpiecharts areusedtographcategoricalvariables. 42. A–Yes,becausewheneventsaredependentknowingthatoneevent occurredchangestheprobabilitythattheothereventoccurs. 43. D–Eachanswerchoiceisequallylikelybecausethereisanequalchanceof landingonorangeorblue. 44. B–Themedianformethod2issmallerthanitisformethod1.Youcansee fromtheside-by-sideboxplotsthatmethod2hasalargermedianthan method1. 45. A–Categorical.Theexplanatoryvariableinthisexampleisgender,whichisa categoricalvariable. 46. B–Quantitativeandcontinuous.Theresponsevariableisheightininches, whichisaquantitativeandcontinuousvariable. 47. B–Themedianislargerformales.Thelineinthemiddleofthe“box”portion oftheboxplotrepresentsthemedian.Youcanseethatthemedianformales islargerthanthemedianforfemales. 48. C–Bothdatasetsareskewed;however,theyareskewedinopposite directions.Themedianformalesisclosertothetopofthebox,soweknowit isskewedtotheleft.Themedianforfemalesisclosertothebottomofthe box,soweknowitisskewedtotheright. 49. C–Mean<Median.Thisdatasetwillbeskewedtotheleftbecausethe salariesofthethreeadministrativeassistantsaremuchlowerthanthe salariesofthelawyers.Thesmallersalariesoftheadministrativeassistants willhaveagreatereffectonthemeanthantheywillonthemedianbecause ofthedifferenceinthewaythetwovaluesarecalculated.Themeanwill alwaysbelessthanthemedianwhenadatasetisskewedtotheleft. 50. A–Continuousrandomvariable.Weightisacontinuousrandomvariable becauseitcantakealargenumberofvalueswithinagiveninterval. 51. A–Right-skewed.ThemedianisclosertoQ1thanitistoQ3. 52. B–160pounds.ThevaluesfromQ1tothemaximummakeupapproximately 75%oftheobservations. 53. D–75%.ThevaluesfromtheminimumtoQ3makeupapproximately75%of theobservations. 54. B–Themiddle50%ofthedataspans30pounds.TheIQRistherangeofdata betweenQ1andQ3.TheIQRmakesupthemiddle50%ofthedata. 55. B–BoxplotBmatchesthevaluesgiveninthefive-numbersummary. 56. D–Genderistheexplanatoryvariableandgenderisacategoricalvariable. Thetemperatureistheresponsevariable.Temperateisaquantitative variable 57. A–Themedianformalesislessthanthemedianforfemales.Youcantell thisbecausethelinethroughthemiddleoftheboxesrepresentsthemedian. 58. B–TheIQRformalesislargerthantheIQRforfemales.Youcantellthis becausethesizeofthegreyboxrepresentstheIQR. 59. A–Theboxportionoftheboxplotshowsthattheshapeforthefemale sampledifferentthanthemalesample.Thelocationofthemedianlinein theboxportionoftheboxplottellsyouabouttheshapeofthesample. 60. B–Therearefeweroutliersinthemalesamplethanthefemalesample.The outliersarerepresentsbythe*intheboxplots. 61. D–Thefemalesamplehasthesamemaximumandminimumvaluesasthe malesample.Theminimumvaluesarerepresentedbythe*at0degreesfor bothsamples.Themaximumvaluesarerepresentedbywherethetailsofthe boxplotsend. 62. A–Theprobabilitythatthetestisnegativewhenthepersondoeshavethe disease.Itisonlypossibletohaveafalsenegativeresultifyoudohavethe disease.Ifyouhaveadisease,youwilleithergetacorrectresultthatyou havethedisease,oryouwillgetafalsenegativesayingyoudonothavethe disease. 63. D–Oneminusspecificity.Specificityisfoundbytakingoneminusthe probabilityofafalsepositive.Thustheprobabilityofafalsepositiveisone minusspecificity. 64. D–Theprobabilityofanegativetestresultwhenyoudonothavethe disease. 65. B–(4425+4428–4200)/4685.Wehavetosubtract4200oncebecausethe valueisincludedinboththetotalthatactuallyhavethediseaseandthetotal ofnegativeresults.Ifwedon’tsubtractit,wewillbecountingthevaluetwice. 66. D–28/260.Thenumberofpeoplewhohavethediseasebutgetanegative resultdividedbythetotalnumberofpeoplewhoactuallyhavethedisease. 67. D–90%ofpeoplewhodonothavekidneystoneswilltestnegative. 68. D–Theslowesttimeof47minutesisanoutlier.Anasteriskinaboxplot representsanobservationthatisclassifiedasanoutlier. 69. A–0.99becausespecificityisfoundbytakingoneminusthefalsepositive rateindecimalform. 70. C–0.999becausesensitivityisfoundbytakingoneminusthefalsenegative rateindecimalform. 71. A–Yes,allofthebinomialconditionsaremet 72. A–0.025 𝑧= 𝑂𝑏𝑠𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑒𝑑𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 − 𝑀𝑒𝑎𝑛 $220 − $180 = = 2 𝑆𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑎𝑟𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑣𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 $20 Wearenotgivenaz-tabletosolvethisproblem;however,weknowthat95% ofobservationswillfallwithintwostandarddeviationsofthemeanvalue. Thismeansthat2.5%ofobservationswillbetotheleftof–2and2.5%ofthe observationswillbetotherightof+2.Thisproblemisaskingaboutthearea totherightof+2. 73. C–Discretebecausethevariablehasacountablelistofdistinctpossibilities 74. D–Continuousbecausetemperatureissomethingthatismeasured,andwe canalwaystakeamoreprecisemeasurementoftemperature 75. B–2.8 E(X)=1(0.25)+2(0.20)+3(0.15)+4(0.30)+5(0.10)=2.8 76. D–0.55 0.15+0.30+0.10=0.55 77. B–Discretebecausethenumberofpuppiessoldisacountablelistofdistinct possibilities. 78. D– (100)(0.85)(1 − 0.85) p=85/100=0.85 σ= 𝑛𝑝(1 − 𝑝) = (100)(0.85)(1 − 0.85) = 3.57 79. C–Findthecumulativeprobabilityfor6successforabinomialvariablewith n=10andp=1/4.Youwantthecumulativeprobabilitybecauseproblem asksfortheprobabilityof6orfewer.Youwantn=10becausethatisthesize ofthesample.Youknowp=1/4becausethatistheprobabilityofgettingany givenquestioncorrect. 80. C–ThenumberofquestionsaPennStatestudentgotcorrectonanexam. 81. B–Usethez-tabletofindtheprobabilityofgettingaz-scoregreaterthan negative1.5.Youknowyouwanttofindthegreaterthanprobability becausetheproblemwantstoknowtheprobabilityastudentspendsmore than$120atJimmyJohns. 𝑧= 𝑂𝑏𝑠𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑒𝑑𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 − 𝑀𝑒𝑎𝑛 $120 − $150 = = −1.5 𝑆𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑎𝑟𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑣𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 $20 82. C–Apiechartisusedtodisplayqualitative(categorical)data. 83. A–Howmanypairsofsandalsyouhaveinyourcloset