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The regulation of a natural monopoly The ‘Data and Response’ column in the November 2001 issue of Economic Review referred to the problems that arise in the regulation of a natural monopoly. This arose in the context of a discussion of transport policy. Figure 1 illustrates: Figure 1: Coping with natural monopoly £ Pm LAC AC* P* LMC AR (=D) MR Qm Q* Output Suppose we have an industry in which there are substantial economies of scale. A railway system is one example of a possible natural monopoly. There are substantial fixed costs required to establish a rail network in comparison to the marginal cost of carrying additional passengers. Clearly it would not make sense to have perfect competition in such an industry – imagine having several parallel railway systems competing on the same route! If average costs continue to fall to the very limit of market demand, then the largest firm will always be producing at a cost advantage over potential competitors, and the industry will tend to be a monopoly. But we know that a profit maximising monopolist will always produce less output, at a higher price than is in society’s best interests. In Figure 1, such a firm would produce where MC = MR, with output Qm and price P m. At this point, we know there is allocative inefficiency, because the price of the good is set at a level above marginal cost. Historically, such industries were often nationalised – i.e. operated under state control. Regulation can then be used to ensure that the industry charges a price equal to marginal cost. However, Figure 1 illustrates that such a policy causes problems. If price is set at P* (the price that clears the market at marginal cost), the industry incurs losses, because long-run average cost lies above marginal cost at this level of output. The shaded area on Figure 1 illustrates the loss made in this situation. If the state subsidises the industry to cover this loss, then this will cause distortions elsewhere in the economy, as the funds for the subsidy must be raised somehow. Furthermore, if the managers of the industry know that any losses they make will be covered by a subsidy, then the incentives to be efficient are low. (This partly explains the drive towards privatisation of previously nationalised industries, on the argument that accountability to shareholders will improve incentives.) An alternative approach (which has operated in utilities such as electricity, gas supply, etc.) is to allow the industry to impose a fixed charge for access to the service, and then a variable charge reflecting usage. The fixed charge then enables the firm to cover the loss, and the variable charge reflects marginal cost. This is known as a two-part tariff pricing system. Another possibility is to have the industry charge a price equal to average cost, thus just making normal profits. This produces a position that is still away from society’s optimum, but is less inefficient an allocation than the profit-maximising position. However, the incentive effects for managers are still weak. Peter Smith