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TABLE OF CONTENT Introduction ................................................................................................................... 3 Definition of key terms ................................................................................................... 3-4 General Overview .......................................................................................................... 4-7 Bibliography ................................................................................................................... 7-8 Ministry: Greek Cabinet and Culture Ministry Question of: Reforming Fiscal Policy Chair: Sim Oya Uğuzman Position: Deputy Chair INTRODUCTION Fiscal Policy is, by means, the combined governmental decisions regarding to a country’s taxing and spending. It is the adjustment made by the government itself which monitors and influences a nation’s economy. You may say that it is the sister strategy to monetary policy through which a central bank influences a nation’s money supply. These two policies are used in various combinations to direct a country’s economic goals. Through fiscal policy, regulators attempt to improve unemployment rates, control inflation, stabilize business cycle and influence interest rates in as effort to control the economy. DEFINITION OF KEY TERMS MONETARY POLICY: Monetary policy consist of the actions of a central bank, currency board or other regulatory committee that determine the size and rate of growth of the money supply, which in turn affects interest rates. Monetary policy maintained through actions such as modifying the interest rate, buying or selling government bonds, and changing the amount of money banks are required to keep in the vault (bank reserves). THE GREAT DEPRESSION: The Great depression was a severe world-wide economic depression that took place during the 1930s. The timing of the Great Depression varied across nations; in most countries it started in 1929 and lasted until the late 1930s. It was the longest, deepest and most widespread depression of the 20th century. In the 21st century, the Great Depression is commonly used as an example of how far the world’s economy can decline. CONSUMER SPENDING: Consumer spending is another term for voluntary consumptions, or an exchange of money for goods and services. Contemporary measures of consumer spending include all private purchases of durable goods, nondurables and services. BUSINESS CYCLE: The business cycle is the fluctuation in economic activity that an economy experiences over a period of time. A business cycle is basically defined in terms of periods of expansion or recession. AD (Aggregate Demand): AD is the total level of planned expenditure in an economy. (AD = C + I + G + X – M) FISCAL STANCE: Refers to whether the government is increasing AD or decreasing AD. FINE TUNING: Involves maintaining a steady rate of economic growth through using fiscal policy. However, this has proved quite difficult to achieve precisely. AUTOMATIC FISCAL STABILISERS: If the economy is growing, people will automatically pay more taxes (VAT and Income tax) and the government will spend less on unemployment benefits. GENERAL OVERVIEW Fiscal policy involves the government changing the levels of taxation and government spending in order to influence Aggregate Demand (AD) and the level of economic activity. Fiscal policy is largely based on the ideas of British economist John Maynard Keynes (1883-1946). Also known as Keynesian economics, this theory basically states that government can influence macroeconomic productivity levels by increasing or decreasing tax levels and public spending. This influence, in turn, curbs flatiron (generally considered to be healthy when between 2-3%), increases employment and maintains a healthy value of money. The idea, however, is to find a balance between changing tax rates and public spending. For example, stimulating a stagnant economy by increasing spending or lowering taxes runs the risk of causing inflation to rise. This is due to an increase in the amount of money in the economy, followed by an increase in consumer demand, can result in a decrease in the value of money – meaning that it would take more money to buy something that has not changed in value. The purposes of fiscal policy: a. Stimulate economic growth in a period of a recession b. Keep inflation low (UK government has a target of 2%) c. Basically, fiscal policy aims to stabilize economic growth, avoiding a boom and bust economic cycle. Types of fiscal policy: There are two types of fiscal policy. The first and most-widely used is expansionary fiscal policy; and the other one is deflationary fiscal policy. Expansionary (or loose) fiscal policy: This involves increasing AD Therefore the government will increase spending (G) and/or cut taxes (T). Lower taxes will increase consumers spending because they have more disposal income (C) This will tend worsen the government budget deficit and the government will need to increase borrowing. Deflationary (or tight) fiscal policy: This involves decreasing AD Therefore, the government will cut government spending (G) and/or increase taxes. Higher taxes will reduce consumer spending (C) Tight fiscal policy will tend to cause an improvement in the government budget deficit. Criticism of fiscal policy The government may have poor information about the state of the economy and struggle to have the best information about what the economy needs. Time lags. To increase government spending will take time. It could take several months for a government decision to filter through into the economy and actually affect AD. By then it may be too late. Crowding out. Some economists argue that expansionary fiscal policy (higher government spending) will not increase AD, because the higher government spending will crowd out the private sector. This is because government have to borrow from the private sector who will then have lower funds for private investment. Government spending is inefficient. Free market economists argue that higher government spending will tend to be wasted on inefficient spending projects. Also, it can then be difficult to reduce spending in the future because interest groups put political pressure on maintaining stimulus spending as permanent. Higher borrowing costs. Under certain conditions, expansionary fiscal policy can lead to higher bond yields, increasing the cost of debt repayments. Evaluation of fiscal policy It depends; on the size of the multiplier. If the multiplier effect is large, then changes in government spending will have a bigger effect on overall demand. on the state of the economy. Fiscal policy is most effective in a deep recession where monetary policy is insufficient to boost demand. In a deep recession (liquidity trap). Higher government spending will not cause crowding out because the private sector saving has increased substantially. See: Liquidity trap and fiscal policy – why fiscal policy is more important during a liquidity trap. (For further information: http://economics.mit.edu/files/7558) on other factors in the economy. For example, if the government pursue expansionary fiscal policy, but interest rates rise and the global economy is in a recession, it may be insufficient to boost demand. Bond yields. If there is concern over the state of government finances, the government may not be able to borrow to finance fiscal policy. Countries in the Eurozone experienced this problem in the 2008-13 recession. Brief history of fiscal policy Keynes advocated the use of fiscal policy as a way to stimulate economies during the great depression. Fiscal Policy was particularly used in the 50s and 60s to stabilize economic cycles. These policies were broadly referred to as ‘Keynesian’ In the 1970s and 80s governments tended to prefer monetary policy for influencing the economy. Fiscal policy became more prominent during the great depression of 2008-13 Methods of funding: Governments spend money on a wide variety of things, from the military and police to services like education and healthcare, as well as transfer payments such as welfare benefits. This expenditure can be funded in a number of different ways: a. b. c. d. e. Taxation Seigniorage (the benefit of printing money) Borrowing money from the population or from abroad Consumption of fiscal reserves Sale of fixed assets (e.g. land) Fiscal Policy vs. Monetary Policy Monetary policy is when a nation's central bank changes the money supply. It increases it with expansionary monetary policy and decreases it with contractionary monetary policy. It has many tools it can use, but it primarily relies on raising or lowering the Fed funds rate. This benchmark rates then guides all interest rates. When interest rates are high, the money supply contracts, the economy cools down, and inflation is prevented. When interest rates are low, the money supply expands, the economy heats up, and a recession is usually avoided. Monetary policy works faster than fiscal policy. The Fed can just vote to raise or lower rates at its regularly FOMC meeting. It may take about six months for the impact of the rate cut to percolate throughout the economy. BIBLOGRAPHY “Fiscal Policy Definition”, Investopedia, https://www.inverstopedia.com/terms/f/fiscalpolicy.asp “What is fiscal policy?”, Investopedia, https://www.investopedia.com/articles/04/051904.asp “Fiscal Policy”, Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fiscal_policy “Types of fiscal policy”, Economicshelp https://www.economicshelp.org/macroeconomics/fiscal-policy/fiscal_policy/ “Fiscal policy: Types, objectives and tools”, thebalance, https://www.thebalance.com/what- is-fiscal-policy-types-objectives-and-tools-3305844 “Funding, fiscal policy”, IMF, www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/basics/fiscpol.htm “What is fiscal policy”, Econlowdown, https://www.econlowdown.org/fiscal_policy “Fiscal policy, definition, effects” Study.com, study.com/academy/lesson/what-isfiscal-policy-definition-effects-example.html