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ISE 482L – Lab I M&M Experiment Statistical and Quality Control Experimental Application ISE 482L: Lab I Purpose: The purpose of the following experiment is to determine through Probability and Statistics weather the actual M&M color percentages per bag are significantly different and to determine if the process of producing these bags of M&M’s is in control. Equipment/ Materials: M&M bag (2) Minitab Caliper Microsoft EXCEL Procedure: Part A 1. Open the M&M bag. 2. Count the total number of M&M’s in the bag and record the number in the table below. Bag 1 2 2. Number of M&M’s Keep each bag separate from each other. (Include broken or misshaped M&M’s) 3. Separate the M&M’s into groups of 6, with each group containing one of every color. 4. Once separated into groups, you can now eat any leftover M&M’s. 5. Now measure the diameter of each M&M in every group and record it in the table using Microsoft Excel. Then repeat steps 1-4 for Bag 2. 6. Now create control charts, the R chart and X-bar chart, from the data collected above using Excel. (Remember to include all calculations such as X-bar bar, the UCL, and the LCL.) 7. Using your knowledge of quality apply the 8 rules to see if any are being violated within your data set. Record your findings in a table. ISE 482L: Lab I Part B 1. Using the diameter data gathered in Part A, test to see if the mean diameter of Bag 1 is equal to 0.500 inches using Minitab. Record statistical test information and conclusion on an attached statistical template. 2. Repeat step 1 for Bag 2; however, this time test to see if the mean diameter is greater than 0.525 inches using Minitab. Record statistical test information and conclusion on an attached statistical template. 3. Now, test to see if the mean diameters of Bag 1 and Bag 2 are equal. Record statistical test information and conclusion on an attached statistical template. Report: 1. Purpose 2. Procedure 3. Results a. Include all tables and graphs. 4. Conclusions a. Discuss if the process is in control. b. Discuss reasons for process being out of control or in control. c. Discuss the meaning of the statistical test findings. ISE 482L: Lab I Typical Hypothesis Test Template Problem Statement: Hypotheses: H0: H1: Critical values for determining correct test statistic: Calculation of test statistic and p-value: (Computer Output) Graphics: (Choose applicable graphic drawn by hand or computer) Gamma Probability Density Function t Distribution -4.0 -3.0 -2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 Standard Score (t) 0 0.05 3.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 1 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 (p-value) Decision: _________H0 Conclusion: Use complete sentences. (Refer to problem statement and managerial decision based on p-values ISE 482L: Lab I Examples of Completed Lab Single sample hypothesis test Hypotheses: H0: = .5 H1: ≠ .5 Critical values: *small sample *sigma unknown *two-sided alternate hypothesis *p-value approach Calculation of test statistic and p-value: One-Sample T: Bag 1 Test of mu = 0.5 vs not = 0.5 Variable Bag 1 N Mean StDev SE Mean 95% CI 60 0.52368 0.00938 0.00121 (0.52126, 0.52611) T P 19.56 0.000 Graphics: t Distribution -4.0 -3.0 -2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 Standard Score (t) or 0 0.05 1 p-value Decision: Reject H0 Conclusion: inches. With a p-value = 0.00016, the data suggest that the mean diameter for Bag 1 is not equal 0.5 ISE 482L: Lab I Single sample hypothesis test Hypotheses: H0: = .525 H1: > .525 Critical values: *small sample *sigma unknown *one-sided alternate hypothesis *p-value approach Therefore, there is no value for t critical Calculation of test statistic and p-value: One-Sample T: Bag 1 One-Sample T: Bag 2 Test of mu = 0.525 vs > 0.525 Variable Bag 2 N 58 Mean 0.52662 StDev 0.00969 SE Mean 0.00127 95% Lower Bound 0.52449 T 1.27 P 0.104 Graphics: t Distribution -4.0 -3.0 -2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 Standard Score (t) or 0 Decision: 0.05 1 p-value Fail to Reject H0 Conclusion: With a p-value = 0.104, the data suggest that mean diameter of Bag 2 is not a significant statistical greater than 0.525 inches. ISE 482L: Lab I Two sample hypothesis test Hypotheses: H0: 1 = 2 H1: 1 ≠ 2 Critical values: *small sample *sigma unknown *one-sided alternate hypothesis *p-value approach Calculation of test statistic and p-value: Two-Sample T-Test and CI: Bag 1, Bag 2 Two-sample T for Bag 1 vs Bag 2 Bag 1 Bag 2 N 60 58 Mean 0.52368 0.52662 StDev 0.00938 0.00969 SE Mean 0.0012 0.0013 Difference = mu (Bag 1) - mu (Bag 2) Estimate for difference: -0.00294 95% CI for difference: (-0.00642, 0.00054) T-Test of difference = 0 (vs not =): T-Value = -1.67 P-Value = 0.097 DF = 115 Graphics: t Distribution -4.0 -3.0 -2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 Standard Score (t) or 0 Decision: 0.05 1 p-value Fail to Reject H0 Conclusion: With a p-value = 0.097, the data suggest that mean diameter of Bag 1 is not a significant statistical different than the mean of Bag 2.