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Journal of Ecology 2007 95, 937–950 Persistence of the sexes in metapopulations under intense asymmetric competition Blackwell Publishing Ltd GISELA GARCÍA-RAMOS, CHRISTOPHER STIEHA, D. NICHOLAS McLETCHIE and PHILIP H. CROWLEY Department of Biology and Center for Ecology, Evolution & Behaviour, 101 Morgan Building, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY 40506, USA Summary 1. When the two sexes compete so intensively that one of them may be consistently excluded from patches of habitat, how can they coexist in the population as a whole? 2. To address this question, we constructed a population model capable of simulating the dynamics of sex-specific life-history stages within frequently disturbed patches and across a multipatch system strongly influenced by extinction and colonization (metapopulation). 3. We parameterized the model based on the dioecious bryophyte Marchantia inflexa, attempting to capture sufficient biological realism for the results to be quantitatively comparable with natural patterns. 4. In nature, M. inflexa spreads by tissue extension and dispersal of asexual propagules within patches or sexual spores between patches. Females have faster tissue expansion and males greater production of asexual propagules. Some patches and even entire populations lose males or, more rarely, females. 5. In the model, males were often eliminated by competition from individual patches, but both sexes almost always persisted in the metapopulation (as in nature), with females typically predominating. Male advantage during patch filling and spores produced and dispersed where males (the fugitive sex) had not yet been eliminated kept both sexes in the model system. 6. Similar mechanisms may maintain both sexes in other systems, particularly small, highly disturbed populations where life-history traits and mortality differ between the sexes. Key-words: Asexual reproduction, clonality, loss of sex, Marchantia inflexa, overgrowth competition, sex-ratio dynamics, sexual dimorphism, sexual reproduction Journal of Ecology (2007) 95, 937–950 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2745.2007.01264.x Introduction © 2007 The Authors Journal compilation © 2007 British Ecological Society The origin and maintenance of sex have long fascinated ecologists and evolutionary biologists (Williams 1975; Maynard Smith 1978; Bell 1982; Charnov 1982; Stearns 1988; Hurst & Peck 1996; Hardy 2002), yet relatively little attention has been devoted in the literature to ecological mechanisms that may influence the coexistence of the sexes in nature. In fact, for species having genetically fixed sex and the sexes in separate individuals (dioecy), situations in which at least one sex is at risk of local extinction are common, including those characterized by small population sizes, high disturbance Correspondence: G. García-Ramos (e-mail [email protected]). frequencies, or intense competition or predation that may fall more heavily on one of the sexes. As a result, some animal and plant species have extreme sex ratios (Bowker et al. 2000; McGovern 2002) or are known only from single-sex populations or species (Longton & Schuster 1983; Philbrick & Les 1996); and some fungi may have lost sexual reproduction through the extinction of alternative mating types (Alexopoulus et al. 1996). However, the complete loss of a sex from species seems relatively rare (Longton & Schuster 1983), suggesting that other counteracting forces may generally prevail. One force affecting the proportion of sexes is the co-occurrence of asexual reproduction. There are many examples across kingdoms in which both sexes (or mating 938 G. García-Ramos et al. © 2007 The Authors Journal compilation © 2007 British Ecological Society, Journal of Ecology 95, 937–950 types) are capable of asexual reproduction, including protists (Raven & Johnson 2002), fungi (Alexopoulus et al. 1996; Leslie & Klein 1996), animals (McGovern 2002) and plants (Mogie 1992; Newton & Mishler 1994). The many species that can reproduce both sexually and asexually (Bell 1982) provide a ground for understanding the adaptive significance of sex and the mechanisms retaining the sexes in populations (as Williams’s ‘balance’ argument emphasizes, the stable maintenance of sexual and asexual reproduction within a species implies that sex must have short-term benefits; Hurst & Peck 1996). One relevant aspect in species capable of both types of reproductions is the ecological specialization of the propagules. In these species, Williams (1975) pointed out that the asexually produced offspring will develop near the parent, but the sexually produced propagules will disperse more widely. Also, Maynard Smith (1978) noted that sexually and asexually produced propagules in such species are often adapted to different ecological situations such that a mixed mode of reproduction could be maintained. These remarks imply the existence of ecological opportunities for the recruitment of both types of propagules. Therefore, another factor influencing the proportion of sexes is a spatially structured population with dynamics of extinction and colonization (metapopulation) that provides conditions for short and large dispersers, and a range of population densities for their recruitment. Furthermore, the sexes often differ in many life-history traits, such as growth and asexual propagule production, that may confer upon them a differential performance with environmental conditions. Sexual dimorphism in life-history traits has been broadly documented (Grant & Mitton 1979; Popp & Reinartz 1988; Geber et al. 1999; Eppley 2001) and implicated to drive the proportion of sexes in populations (Lloyd 1973; Allen & Antos 1993; McGovern 2002). In sexually produced offspring, an equal parent investment in males and females is predicted by frequencydependent selection (Fisher 1930). However, a biased sex ratio can develop secondarily from this balanced primary ratio as a result of differential life histories of males and females that include clonal growth and asexual reproduction in concert with various selection pressures. This secondary sex ratio may vary extensively over space (Longton & Schuster 1983; Willson 1983) and time (McGovern 2002). The present study addresses a focal species and follows the relative abundances of males and females over time and space and the ecological mechanisms that may facilitate retention of both sexes within populations. The liverwort Marchantia inflexa Nees et Mont is usually capable of retaining both sexes in multipatch assemblages, despite the frequent loss of one of either sex in individual patches (McLetchie & Puterbaugh 2000). This suggested to us that metapopulation structure and dynamics involving extinction and recolonization in the multipatch assemblage may play a crucial role in maintaining the sexes and sexual reproduction (McLetchie et al. 2002). M. inflexa is an ideal species for addressing this issue because (i) each individual is only one of the two sexes (sex is chromosomally determined); (ii) some single-sex populations of this dioecious species are known to exist (Schuster 1992), indicating that complete loss of a sex is at least possible; (iii) considerable empirical information is available on sex-specific clonal expansion by growth and asexual reproduction, both from field and from glasshouse studies (McLetchie & Puterbaugh 2000); and (iv) models of sex-specific dynamics within individual patches have already been developed and parameterized for this species (McLetchie et al. 2002; Crowley et al. 2005a,b), predicting eventual loss of one sex or the other from the patch. Therefore, a multipatch study of M. inflexa based on these previous investigations can determine whether metapopulation characteristics may help retain both sexes, and thus sexual reproduction in a patch assemblage, under conditions leading to loss of a sex in single patches. The pattern of M. inflexa resembles that of many dioecious bryophyte species. Single-sex populations and male rarity commonly occur in liverworts and mosses (Bowker et al. 2000) and hornworts (Renzaglia & McFarland 1999), although some dioecious bryophytes are singlesex species (Longton & Schuster 1983). We emphasize that the basic issue is of fundamental importance, yet details of the mechanism depend on biological and ecological specifics; hence, we focus here on a species for which these specifics can at least be estimated. In the following section we summarize the life history and ecology of M. inflexa at a field site in Trinidad. Next we describe our metapopulation model – an array of patches, each linked to the others by spore dispersal, subjected to extinction and following single-patch dynamics as in McLetchie et al. (2002). We then present our results, emphasizing the relationship between singlepatch and patch-assemblage dynamics and including a thorough analysis of the key features. This study demonstrates that metapopulation dynamics may sustain coexistence of sexes under intense asymmetric competition where isolated patches result in the loss of males. Finally, we address the implications of our findings for the M. inflexa system and for the ecological maintenance of the sexes in natural populations more generally. MARCHANTIA INFLEXA Marchantia inflexa is a thalloid dioecious liverwort that ranges from northern Venezuela to the south-eastern USA (Bischler 1984). At tropical latitudes the sexes are found together within populations, but in the USA some all-male and all-female populations have been found (Schuster 1992; Fuselier & McLetchie 2004). In sex-expressing populations, archegoniophores and antheridiophores that produce eggs and sperm, respectively, are elevated above the horizontal plant body (Fig. 1a). Sperm are splashed onto nearby archegoniophores by rainwater, fertilizing eggs and generating 939 Persistence of sexes in metapopulations Fig. 1 (a) Stage dynamics of M. inflexa. There are seven stages defined by gender and reproductive conditions. Stages are connected by transitions Til leaving stage l and entering stage i and by recruitment from asexual reproduction via gemmae Ai and sexual reproduction via spores F1. Stage abundance may increase by growth Gi and decrease by overgrowth competition Oi. M7 represents a fertilization rate. Icons depict M. inflexa thallus units (0.5 cm wide) in different stages. At stages 3 and 6, the icons show thalli with cups that produce gemmae (asexual propagules; centre picture). At stages 4 and 7, the icons represent sexexpressing thalli, with males showing antheridiophores and females archegoniophores (bottom picture). At stage 1, the icon indicates a female thallus with an archegoniophore containing two sporophytes (black spots). Sporophytes produce spores (sexual propagules). The picture at the top shows thalli in a non-reproductive stage. Modified from McLetchie et al. (2002). (b) Phenology of the M. inflexa life cycle. Seasonal timing of non-zero stage transition rates are indicated in continuous bars. Light bars represent male and dark bars female stage. Based on plant stages observed through a year at the Trinidad field station (D.N. McLetchie, unpublished data). © 2007 The Authors Journal compilation © 2007 British Ecological Society, Journal of Ecology 95, 937–950 spores. In the Marchantiaceae group, chromosomes determine sex (Bischler 1986), and the sex ratio at spore formation is predicted to be 1 : 1. Clonal expansion in M. inflexa occurs by extension and bifurcation of thallus branches and by specialized asexual reproductive propagules called gemmae, dispersed by water from gemma cups on the thallus surface (Fig. 1a). Each of these gemmae (~0.12 mm in diameter) can produce a new individual genetically identical to the parent plant. Sex differences in clonal expansion rates via gemmae and growth may favour one sex (usually females in M. inflexa) sufficiently to threaten the other with local elimination. New substrate is made available by disturbances (especially flooding) within patches and by wholepatch elimination. The asexual gemmae, dispersed by water, establish primarily within their patch of origin; the sexual spores are wind-dispersed and establish mainly in patches that are completely or mostly unoccupied, as suggested by the inhibition of spore germination by fluids from established plants (K.R. Reniger et al., unpublished data). At initial stages of patch colonization, Marchantia males are expected to do as well or better than females as a result of higher levels of asexual reproduction (Voth & Hamner 1940; McLetchie & Puterbaugh 2000). However, as the patch fills, the higher growth rates of females (McLetchie & Puterbaugh 2000) become increasingly important, reducing opportunities for germination of gemmae. There is a consistent seasonal pattern of life-history stages in the field (as in Bischler 1984). At the field site near Hollis Reservoir in north-central Trinidad, sex expression begins in February and peaks in May, with male sex structures usually emerging about 2 weeks before females (D.N. McLetchie, unpublished data). By November, most sex structures are gone. Gemma cups are abundant in November but infrequent from May until sex structures become rare again (Fig. 1b). Growth occurs throughout the year. 940 G. García-Ramos et al. Table 1 Model formulation* Stage Stage dynamics Eqn no. Fertilized females dN1 j M7 N 4 j N7 j TRANSITION 1→5 N = − − N1 j T51N1 j Gi ij dt K K i = 2,i≠ 4 OVERGROWN 6 FERTILIZATION ∑ eqn 1 GERMINATION −SPORES ASEX REPROD n dN 2 j = F1 f jk N1k + A3 dt k=1 ∑ n ∑a jk k =1 N3 k 1 − Nij 7 ∑ K + TRANSITIONS 3→2, 4→2 T23 N3 j + T24 N 4 j i =1 OVERGROWN TRANSITIONS 2→3, 2→4 Non-reproductive males − (T32 + T42 ) N 2 j N N + G2 N 2 j 1 − 2 j − N 2 j Gi ij K K i =3,5,6 GROWTH ∑ eqn 2 OVERGROWN Asexually reproductive males dN3 j TRANSITIONS 2→3, 3→2 GROWTH N N = T32 N 2 j − T23 N3 j + G3 N3 j 1 − 3 j − N3 j Gi ij dt K K i = 2,5,6 Sexually reproductive males dN 4 j TRANSITIONS 2→4, 4→2 N = T42 N 2 j − T24 N 4 j − N 4 j Gi ij dt K i = 2,i≠ 4 ∑ eqn 3 OVERGROWN 6 ∑ eqn 4 GERMINATION −SPORES ASEX REPROD Non-reproductive females n dN5 j = F1 f jk N1k + A6 dt k=1 ∑ n ∑a jk k =1 N6 k 1 − 7 Nij ∑ K + TRANSITIONS 1→5, 6→5 T51N1 j + T56 N6 j i =1 eqn 5 OVERGROWN N N + T57 N7 j − (T65 + T75 ) N5 j + G5N5 j 1 − 5 j − N5 j Gi ij K K i = 2,3,6 TRANSITIONS 7→5, 5→6, 5→7 GROWTH ∑ OVERGROWN Asexually reproductive females dN6 j TRANSITIONS 5→6, 6→5 GROWTH N N = T65N5 j − T56 N6 j + G6 N6 j 1 − 6 j − N6 j Gi ij dt K K i = 2,3,5 Sexually reproductive females TRANSITIONS 5→7, 7→5 dN7 j MN N N = − 7 4 j 7 j + T75N5 j − T57 N7 j − N7 j Gi ij dt K K i = 2,i≠ 4 ∑ FERTILIZATION eqn 6 OVERGROWN 6 ∑ eqn 7 *List of equations depicting the abundance dynamics for the seven life-history stages of M. inflexa in patch j, with stage numbers and dynamics corresponding to Fig. 1(a). Nij is the abundance of stage i, Gi is growth rate, Ai is asexual reproduction rate, F1 is sexual reproduction rate, M7 is fertilization rate, Til is transition rate from stage l to stage i, and K is carrying capacity. Equations 2 and 5 include germination of both local and dispersed spores and gemmae. In these equations, fjk and ajk represent, respectively, the fractions of spores and gemmae produced by patch k that reach patch j. Spores may encounter restrictions for establishing (Table 2). Seasonally, stage transitions are turned on and off according to the phenology in Fig. 1(b). Whole-patch extinction occurs with probability pe, and within-patch disturbance removes a fraction of units occupying the patch with probability pd (Table 2). Modified from McLetchie et al. (2002). Model - © 2007 The Authors Journal compilation © 2007 British Ecological Society, Journal of Ecology 95, 937–950 Following the approach of McLetchie et al. (2002), we depict the life cycle of M. inflexa within a patch as a set of seven interacting stages – defined according to gender and reproductive condition – that are directly observable in the field and glasshouse (Fig. 1a). Mathematically, this representation is implemented as seven coupled ordinary differential equations similar to the Volterra competition equations, with transitions illustrated in Fig. 1(a) taken to be linearly determined by the donor-stage (Table 1). The exceptions are (i) that growth is logistic for each stage, with all space occupied by other stages or unoccupied and considered available to that stage; (ii) that the rate of sexual reproduction reflects the multiplicative product of the abundance of males and unfertilized females within the patch; and (iii) that propagules are distributed within and among patches using dispersal equations described below. This formulation amounts to assuming that each stage is subdivided into tiny segments randomly distributed across the patch, with reproduction at random within the patch. See McLetchie et al. (2002) for within-patch details. Other work supports ignoring within-patch spatial distributions of stages at least as a first approximation (Crowley et al. 2005a,b). Fertilized archegoniophores (stage 1) produce spores dispersed by wind both inside and outside of the patch of origin. We assume that spores disperse within and beyond the source patch according to an exponential decay distribution (Nathan & Muller-Landau 2000; Miller & McDaniel 2004). Germinating spores – sporelings – give rise to non-reproductive males (stage 2) or females (stage 5) with equal frequency. Germination 941 Persistence of sexes in metapopulations Table 2 Parameters of the model and default magnitudes. Stages 2, 3 and 4 represent non-reproductive, asexually and sexually reproductive males, respectively. Stages 1, 5, 6 and 7 correspond to fertilized, non-reproductive, asexually and sexually reproductive females, respectively. See derivation of values in Appendix S1 Symbol Definition Life-history G 2, G 5 Growth rates in stages 2 and 5 G 3, G 6 Growth rates in stages 3 and 6 T42, T75 Stage transition rates from 2 to 4 and 5 to 7 T23, T24, T56, T57 Stage transition rates 3 – 2, 4 – 2, 6 – 5, 7 – 5 T32, T65 Stage transition rates from 2 to 3 and 5 to 6 T51 Stage transition rate from 1 to 5 M7 Fertilization rate A 3, A 6 Asexual reproduction rates by stages 3 and 6 F1 Sexual reproduction rate per sex by stage 1 Dispersal and establishment λ 1, λ 2 Spore dispersal parameters p First proportion for spore dispersal functions z Gemma dispersal parameter q Uncovered threshold for spore germination r Maximum spore establishment rate Patch system 4h2 Patch size u Size of a unit of M. inflexa tissue K Patch carrying capacity, K = 4h2/u n Number of patches x* Distance between patches Disturbance and extinction pd Probability of a patch disturbance in a month pe Probability of a patch extinction during a month Magnitude Units 0.585, 0.605† 0.220, 0.233† 0.714† 2.14† 1.11, 0.833† 0.638† 10.0‡ 1.112, 0.519† 442† month–1 month–1 month–1 month–1 month–1 month–1 month–1 month–1 month–1 0.7, 10‡ 0.27‡ 0.83‡ 0.4‡ 1000‡ m – m – unit month–1 1‡ 5 × 10–5† 20 000‡ 30‡ 10‡ m2 m2 unit–1 units – m 0.2‡ 0.002‡ – – †Based on field and glasshouse data. ‡Indirect estimation or best expected value. © 2007 The Authors Journal compilation © 2007 British Ecological Society, Journal of Ecology 95, 937–950 requires that the spores land on an unoccupied part of the patch and are uninhibited by established neighbours, represented in the model by the requirement that a threshold proportion of the patch be empty for successful germination (i.e. ≥ 0.4 empty under standard or ‘default’ conditions). An upper limit on the rate of sporeling establishment (i.e. 1000 unit per month per patch in the default) is also imposed to account for spatial limitations (Nathan & Muller-Landau 2000). These restrictions for successful germination were relaxed in the analysis, and the impact of these and other parameter values is addressed in the sensitivity analysis. Mature spores germinate immediately, eliminating the possibility of a spore bank (D. N. McLetchie, unpublished data). Transitions between non-reproductive asexual, and sexual stages are season-specific (Fig. 1b). For example, stages 2 and 5 can develop into stages 3 and 6, respectively, during the season for asexual reproduction. The asexual propagules thereby released within the patch by these stages may germinate in unoccupied parts of the patch, as may propagules arriving from other patches. Dispersal distance for asexual propagules follows an exponential decay distribution as for spores. Asexual dispersal between patches is assumed to be low but non-zero. Stage 7 females can be fertilized at a rate proportional to the abundance of stage 4 males, thereby shifting females from stage 7 to stage 1 at fertilization. This assumes sperm limitation is due to short dispersal distances of sperm that fertilizes a limited number of females (McLetchie 1996; Crum 2001). With the release of spores, females shift from stage 1 to stage 5. Stages 2, 3, 5 and 6 can grow to occupy more of the patch surface and may thereby overgrow or be overgrown by other stages. The sexual stages 1, 4 and 7 are assumed to have negligible energy to expend on growth or asexual reproduction. Because of the complex geometry of the plant tissue within an M. inflexa patch, the model tracks the population as a (continuous) number of small ‘units’ of tissue representing thalli growing on top of the mat [cf. the more overtly geometrical approaches of Rydgren & Økland (2002) and Crowley et al. (2005b)]. The extent of patch coverage or occupancy by these units and the corresponding stages are simulated dynamically. The within-patch dynamics of the model are mathematically similar to the patch model of McLetchie et al. (2002). The metapopulation dynamic model of M. inflexa extends the analysis of McLetchie et al. (2002) to multiple patches connected by dispersal and experiencing extinction. The primary variables of interest in the model are the numbers of units of each stage i in patch j at time t, Nij (t) (Table 1). We assume that the stages 942 G. García-Ramos et al. © 2007 The Authors Journal compilation © 2007 British Ecological Society, Journal of Ecology 95, 937–950 expand, reproduce and suffer disturbance-related mortality within patches at rates consistent with glasshouse and field data, as in McLetchie et al. (2002). In the present study, the number of units established from each type of propagule within a given patch j is the sum over the patch index k of the multiplicative products of four terms: the number Nik of units of stage i producing propagules in patch k, the relevant reproductive rate parameter (F1, A3 or A6 of Table 1), the fraction of the propagules dispersed from patch k that land in patch j ( fjk for spores and ajk for gemmae, defined below), and the fraction of the patch that is unoccupied and thus capable of permitting germination and establishment (Table 1, term for germination in eqns 2 and 5). For spores, establishment is limited to the maximum r and is prevented all together unless at least some minimal fraction of the patch area is unoccupied. With successful spore establishment, equal numbers of stage 2 male units and stage 5 female units are assumed to be produced. The metapopulation consisted of n patches equal in size (4h2 = 1 m2, h is half the length of a patch side) and spacing (x* = 10 m) along a straight, idealized river course. By assuming that dispersal followed a negative exponential decay function, the fraction of spores reaching a patch j from patch k is fjk(x) ≈ [2h2/(πλ1 |x|)] exp(–|x |/λ1), where x is the distance from the source patch and λ1 is a spore dispersal parameter. This supposes that spores disperse in two dimensions without directional bias over the one-dimensional array of patches. For gemmae, the fraction landing in patch j from patch k is ajk(x) ≈ (h/z) exp(–|x | /z), where z is a gemma dispersal parameter. This assumes dispersal exclusively along the patch array with no bias to left or right from the source patch. The fractions that land in the source patch are f(0) = 1 – (1 + 1.12h/λ1) exp(–1.12h/λ1), and a(0) = 1 – exp(–h/z). For spores, the model also considers a weighted sum of two exponential functions to depict leptokurtic distributions with ‘fat tails’ often observed in dispersal data (Higgins & Cain 2002; Levin et al. 2003). All propagules dispersed to locations outside of all patches were ignored. We considered two types of spatially independent, random patch disturbances: intrapatch disturbances affecting all stages equally (pd default averaging once every 5 months and causing 20% removal), and wholepatch extinctions (pe default averaging once every 40 years). At the beginning of each time step in the simulation, extinction and disturbances were implemented independently to each patch. The probability of disturbance pd (or extinction pe) during a month was recalculated for time step ∆t by using the function p d′ = 1 – (1 – p d ) ∆t as indicated in MATLAB®. A random-generated number was compared with pd′ for applying disturbance to the patch. Data on patch extinction and colonization are preliminary. Therefore, the model was evaluated for reasonable parameter values (see supplementary Appendix S1) and by using a sensitivity analysis that varied these values for determining their effects on sex ratio. Local and metapopulation sex ratios were the focal response variables. We first explored the model’s behaviour using the default parameter set with the linear array of patches (Table 1). We then considered effects of spore recruitment constraints, dispersal, disturbance, patch extinction frequency, vital rates and metapopulation structure. Finally, we conducted a sensitivity analysis that evaluated changes in individual parameter magnitudes relative to default values, based on the linear array and single isolated immortal patches. Equations were discretized using the finite difference method (Hoffman 2001) and simulations run using MATLAB® 7. At the beginning of each simulation, five male and five female spores were added to each patch. The time step was 3 days, simulations were analysed over 300 years and replicated up to 40 runs. Note that all of the stochasticity in the model is due to disturbance and patch extinction. Our focus is on sex ratio dynamics at the regional level, where both sexes could be typically maintained even when one sex (usually males) may tend to be locally eliminated by competition, requiring patch extinction before both sexes can again share the patch. In this scenario, the regional processes of recolonization by the eliminated sex are central, and persistence of the two sexes at the regional level hinges on asynchrony of dynamics among patches. These features are consistent with the concept of a classic metapopulation (Husband & Barrett 1996; Hanski & Gilpin 1997; Harrison & Taylor 1997; Hanski 1999; Crowley & McLetchie 2002; Freckleton & Watkinson 2002). Results A typical example of the sex ratio dynamics generated by the model using the default parameter values is illustrated in Fig. 2(a). For individual patches within a metapopulation, there are distinct cycles of patch filling, intense competition and sex elimination. These single-patch cycles are extended by within-patch disturbances, interrupted by patch extinction and re-initiated by spore establishment. Males predominate during the interval of patch filling, with an increasing female bias thereafter until males are eliminated by overgrowth or both sexes are simultaneously eliminated by patch extinction (see McLetchie et al. 2002). At the metapopulation level, however, both sexes persist, and the sex ratio fluctuates with low amplitude around a mean male proportion of 0.128 ± 0.034 (temporal standard deviation). Spatial variation in sex ratio along the linear array of patches forming the metapopulation is shown in Fig. 2(b). At any instant of time, even adjacent patches may differ greatly in the proportion of males, leading to a spatial standard deviation of 0.195 (standard deviation in male proportion between patches, averaged over time). In the illustrated example, 13 of 30 patches contained females only, 14 had more females but some 943 Persistence of sexes in metapopulations Fig. 2 Sex ratio dynamics. Parameters are at default values (Table 1). (a) A representative numerical simulation illustrates the sex ratio dynamics for two patches within a linear metapopulation, and the dynamics over all patches taken together. (b) Sex ratio spatial pattern along the linear metapopulation at a particular time (i.e. year 300; histogram and stars) and averaged over the last 200 years of the run (points joined by dotted lines). males and three had more males but some females. None of the patches went extinct. The time-averaged sex ratio for each patch in the default case also varied spatially, though far less than the instantaneous pattern, with a consistent female bias. In the remainder of this section, we address the effects of key biological and physical factors on sex ratio and persistence of the sexes. Specific ways that these factors influence the results are characteristic of the M. inflexa system, yet many of the basic mechanisms responsible for these patterns link to other plant and animal systems, as considered in the Discussion. © 2007 The Authors Journal compilation © 2007 British Ecological Society, Journal of Ecology 95, 937–950 Across a range of uncovered threshold values and establishment rate maxima for spores, the proportions of males for a linear metapopulation were female-biased, ranging from approximately 0.10 to 0.43 (Fig. 3a). Male proportions between 0.1 and 0.2 were obtained over a broad range of establishment rate and threshold combinations, including default conditions. Male proportions above 0.2 were found for both the lowest and the highest establishment rates. With establishment rate extremely limited, patch filling by growth and asexual reproduction become comparable in importance with intense overgrowth competition during the lifetimes of patches, reducing the female bias. At the other extreme, with essentially unlimited spore establishment, areas reopened by disturbance were filled by local and dispersed spores at a 1 : 1 sex ratio, rather than by spreading of the dominant competitor. Neither of these extremes seems likely to fit the focal system in nature. When the spatial distribution of patches in the metapopulation was changed from a linear array to an island array, with all patches now taken to be equidistant from each other, the results were strikingly similar (Fig. 3b). This and other comparisons of dynamics for these two array geometries suggest that our qualitative 944 G. García-Ramos et al. Fig. 3 Spore limitation on isolated patch and metapopulation sex ratios. Effects of the uncovered threshold for spore germination (i.e. the minimal fraction of the patch that must be unoccupied to permit spores to germinate) and the maximal spore establishment rate on the sex ratio of M. inflexa: (a) linear metapopulation, with 30 equally spaced patches in a straight line; (b) island metapopulation, with 30 equidistant patches; and (c) single isolated patch, invulnerable to extinction and under default disturbances. Other parameters are at default values. Fraction of the patch uncovered for spore germination: ≥ 0.0 uncovered (no restriction for germination), ≥ 0.2, –– ≥ 0.4 (default value), * ≥ 0.8 (high restriction, patch almost empty). and even quantitative results may be relatively independent of the specific spatial arrangement of patches within the metapopulation. For isolated patches under small disturbances but invulnerable to extinction (default), spore recruitment influenced the sex ratio somewhat differently (Fig. 3c). Males were eliminated from patches for lower establishment rates and larger uncovered thresholds, including default conditions. The female competitive advantage dominated the re-establishment of males from spores except under weak constraints on spore establishment and uncovered threshold. © 2007 The Authors Journal compilation © 2007 British Ecological Society, Journal of Ecology 95, 937–950 The spore dispersal distance affected sex ratio depending on the recruitment of spores in two alternative ways (Fig. 4). (i) For unrestricted recruitment, the male proportion ranged from 0.36 to 0.12 with increasing dispersal distance. This decline in male fraction with dispersal is the result of decreasing the proportion of spores landing in the source patch and thus reducing the impact of sexual reproduction. (ii) For moderate uncovered thresholds only very short dispersal distances resulted in loss of males (or the metapopulation went extinct, depending on gemma dispersal rates). But over a wide range of spore dispersal (including default conditions), the male proportion was relatively constant around 0.128. Note that for large dispersal there is no effect of spore limitation on establishment as a reduced number of spores stay on the originating patch [ f (0) in Fig. 4], and so additional restrictions for establishment are superfluous. These results indicate that some limitation of spore recruitment in the source patch largely account for the metapopulation sex ratio. Simulations altering gemma dispersal distance had little impact on sex ratio. Even high distances of gemma dispersal were unable to create much of a gender bias, 945 Persistence of sexes in metapopulations Fig. 4 Spore dispersal and metapopulation sex ratio, showing the effect of increasing dispersal with mode of spore recruitment. Dispersal is described by single or combined exponential functions for spore density (dsp, in units of m–2) along the one2 2 dimensional array of patches dsp ( x ) = p [1/(2πλ1 )] exp( − | x |/ λ ) + (1 − p )[1/(2πλ 2 )] exp( −| x |/ λ 2 ), where p is the proportion of short-distance dispersers, (1 – p) is the proportion of long-distance dispersers and the λi are the corresponding dispersal parameters (m). The magnitude of dispersal was estimated as λ′ = pλ1 + (1 – p)λ2. The legend illustrates some of the dispersal functions on a log scale for the vertical axis. f (0) is the proportion of spores falling in the source patch. Other parameters are at default values. as males have only a modest advantage in gemma production on a per-unit basis. In the absence of whole-patch extinction and for low to moderate within-patch disturbance frequency, the metapopulation consisted only of females (Fig. 5a); but at higher disturbance frequency (≥ 0.4 month–1 patch–1), male proportion increased in a sigmoid fashion from strong female bias to strong male bias. Both results are consistent with the dynamics of isolated, immortal patches (McLetchie et al. 2002). In the presence of patch extinction, lower disturbance frequencies produced female-biased sex ratios, and higher disturbance frequencies yielded male-biased sex ratios. Even in the absence of within-patch disturbances, asynchronous patch extinctions can sustain coexistence of the sexes. © 2007 The Authors Journal compilation © 2007 British Ecological Society, Journal of Ecology 95, 937–950 Sex ratio depended strongly on growth rates (Fig. 5b). At maximum growth rates achieved in a glasshouse, males were eliminated from the metapopulation; at growth rates below 20% of the glasshouse level, the model yielded highly male-biased metapopulations. The sensitivity analysis demonstrated much stronger responses of sex ratio to non-reproductive stages (i.e. to G2 and G5) than to the other Gi and the Ai (Table 3). Proportionally increasing both G2 and G5 intensified competition and increased female advantage, whereas proportionally decreasing both G2 and G5 decreased the female growth advantage, accounting for the pattern in Fig. 5(b). Increased transition rates from non-reproductive stages to sexual stages (T42 and T75) favoured males (Table 3). This increased the proportion of individuals expressing sex during the sex season, reducing the female growth advantage. A higher fertilization rate (M7) shifted the advantage to males even more strongly by keeping a larger proportion of females from growing without inhibiting males. Reducing the transition rate from fertilized to non-reproductive females (T51) similarly favoured males. Sensitivities to modifications of the sex-specific gemma production rates A3 and A6 reflect the importance of the male advantage in this mechanism for within-patch spreading. Eliminating asexual reproduction or assuming equal production of asexual propagules by males and females (A3 = A6 in Table 3) leads to a declining male proportion in the metapopulation, with males 946 G. García-Ramos et al. Discussion Fig. 5 Disturbance, extinction and growth rate on sex ratio. (a) Effects of within-patch disturbance frequency and patch extinction frequency on metapopulation sex ratio. (b) Relative magnitude of M. inflexa vegetative growth rates and the resulting metapopulation sex ratio. Other parameters are at default values. persisting for periods ranging from several hundred to a few thousand years. This indicates that metapopulation dynamics extend the coexistence of males and females by extending low-density conditions that reduce the impact of competition, while patches are continually being formed at 1 : 1 sex ratio. When males have a greater asexual production of propagules (as in the default scenario), the metapopulation dynamics lead to permanent coexistence. © 2007 The Authors Journal compilation © 2007 British Ecological Society, Journal of Ecology 95, 937–950 High temporal variation in sex ratio was typical of small metapopulations of a dozen patches. These fluctuations were reduced for a greater number of patches, reflecting the spatial averaging effect of larger assemblages. Sex ratio was sensitive to patch size. Large patch sizes extended the filling and sex elimination patch cycle, maintaining males in the patch for a longer period. The sex ratio was insensitive to the ratio of male to female spores at the initiation of the metapopulation. In none of the simulations at the metapopulation level did males persist without females. To our knowledge, this study provides the first demonstration of how metapopulation structure can facilitate coexistence of males and females, even under intense competition. By focusing on the liverwort Marchantia inflexa, featuring sexual dimorphism with asymmetric overgrowth competition and asexual reproduction, we address a particularly strong challenge to the maintenance of sexual reproduction in a metapopulation system under empirical study. In essence, when Marchantia patches linked by spore dispersal undergo asynchronous cycles of extinction that permit re-establishment of both sexes, the two sexes generally coexist in the whole system – even when one sex is consistently being lost locally. Our results indicate that this conclusion holds for at least two very different spatial distributions of patches, over a wide range of sexual recruitment and over at least a factor of four in the magnitudes of most model parameters, and even for systems consisting of only a few equal-sized patches. The female-biased metapopulation sex ratios produced by the model are generally consistent with the strong female bias in sex expression observed at field sites in Trinidad. A patch-assemblage of M. inflexa occurring at Quare River in Trinidad reported a male proportion of 0.24 (year 1999, 358 plants sampled from 11 of 70 patches, with patch male proportion ranging from 0.03 to 0.68 and spatial standard deviation of ±0.20; D.N. McLetchie, unpublished data). This estimation, derived from a single sampling effort, was higher than the temporal averaged metapopulation male proportion (0.128), while the spatial standard deviation for both theoretical and field data shared similar large variation (±0.20). In future models, some of the assumptions could be relaxed to allow for spatial and temporal autocorrelation in patch disturbance and extinction, to deal more realistically with spatial distributions of the sexes within patches (Crowley et al. 2005b), and to consider the implications of variation in distances and patch sizes within the metapopulation (C.R. Stieha, unpublished data). The basic features of ecological sex ratio dynamics that favour coexistence of the sexes at the metapopulation level are those that permit sexual recruitment sufficient to ameliorate the dominant biasing mechanism favouring one sex over the other. Across the range of disturbance frequencies capable of opening habitat areas sufficiently to allow spore establishment and growth to maturation by individuals of both sexes, metapopulation structure and dynamics can facilitate coexistence of the sexes in many systems (cf. maintenance of true males in hermaphrodite-dominated populations; Pannell 2000). Coexistence of males and females generally depends on interacting processes at different spatial scales (e.g. see Crowley & McLetchie 2002; with males and females as competing clones). Within patches, these include local disturbances, clonal expansion, fertilization, spore dispersal and establishment of new 947 Persistence of sexes in metapopulations Table 3 Sensitivity analysis for the model. Change refers to default values in Table 2 Parameter† DEFAULT Life-history G 2, G 5 G 3, G 6 T23, T56 T24, T57 T32, T65 T42, T75 T51 M7 Change Male proportion§ 0.128 ×2; ÷2 ×2; ÷2 ×2; ÷2 ×2; ÷2 ×2; ÷2 ×2; ÷2 ×2; ÷2 =0 ×2; ÷2 ×5; ÷5 =0 = 0.085 = 1.112 ×2; ÷2 ×2; ÷2 =0 ×2; ÷2 =0 ×10; ÷10 ×100; ÷100 0.1–1.0 (∝ A3, A6, Gi) 0; 0.913 0.143; 0.108 0.113; 0.136 0.105; 0.100 0.264; 0.078 0.887; 0.089 0.090; 0.513 0 0.265; 0.093 0.905; 0.098 0 (3/10)‡, 0.055 (7/10) 0 (4/35), 0.060 (31/35) 0 (3/40), 0.061 (37/40) 0.226; 0.090 0.768; 0.069 0 0.068; 0.221 0.447 0.135; 0.123 0.133; 0 Fig. 5(b) ×2; ÷2 (∝ K ) ×4; ÷4 (∝ K ) 10 50 100 0.133; 0.106 0.209; 0.103 0.133 ± 0.049 SD, [0.050–0.255]** 0.130 ± 0.026 SD, [0.093–0.240] 0.130 ± 0.020 SD, [0.094–0.209] Dispersal and establishment λi q r 0.7–30 0.0–0.8 10– 2000, unlimited Fig. 4 Fig. 3(a–c) Fig. 3(a–c) Disturbance and extinction pd pe 0.0–0.7 1/10–1/120, no extinction Fig. 5(a) Fig. 5(a) A3 = A6 A 3, A 6 A3 A6 F1 rg¶ Patch system 4h2 n Initial conditions (male/female spores in unit per patch) 20/80, 50/50, 80/20 0.120, 0.128, 0.138 †Parameters from Table 2 not explicitly analysed here include F1 and K (these are proportional to parameters that were analysed, as indicated), x* and z. ‡Proportion of simulations resulting in loss or maintenance of males. §Male proportions were also obtained for each of the indicated changes for a single isolated, immortal patch (see also McLetchie et al. 2002). In those runs, males were eliminated from the single patch where there was a female bias in the corresponding metapopulation, and females were eliminated from the single patch where there was a male bias in the corresponding metapopulation. From 12 to 177 years were required for each elimination, depending on the parameter change. ¶ Ratio of field growth rate to overall glasshouse growth rate (see Appendix S1). ** 95% confidence interval, and SD standard variation within simulations. © 2007 The Authors Journal compilation © 2007 British Ecological Society, Journal of Ecology 95, 937–950 individuals; among patches, these processes are dispersal of propagules and patch extinction. Our results emphasize the role of asexual reproduction in promoting coexistence of sexes and sexual reproduction. In the Marchantia system, asexual reproduction favours the retention of males through sexual dimorphism in the production of asexual propagules, which balances the dimorphism in growth rates. In species without asexual reproduction, sexual dimorphism in growth could be balanced by another dimorphism, such as a tolerance to dry conditions, favouring males. A key feature of metapopulation structure and dynamics in the field may be resource heterogeneity. For instance, field observations of M. inflexa indicate that sex tends to be expressed in patches exposed to high light intensities (McLetchie & Puterbaugh 2000). This suggests that some patches may act as sources and others simply as sinks for dispersing spores. Moreover, one sex could be favoured under some field conditions and the other sex favoured in others, leading to a mosaic of patches dominated by one sex or the other. This spatial heterogeneity could provide additional 948 G. García-Ramos et al. © 2007 The Authors Journal compilation © 2007 British Ecological Society, Journal of Ecology 95, 937–950 opportunities for maintaining both sexes at the metapopulation level and could account for the exclusively male patches that are sometimes observed in the field (D.N. McLetchie, unpublished data) but were not produced by our simulations. Studies in seed plants have documented spatial segregation of the sexes along environmental gradients (Grant & Mitton 1979; Bierzychudek & Eckhart 1988; Williams 1995; Eppley 2001; Bertiller et al. 2002). In Marchantia inflexa patch sex ratio varies spatially (Schuster 1992; McLetchie & Puterbaugh 2000), but correlation with environmental variation has not been detected (Fuselier & McLetchie 2004). Our results suggest, however, that spatial heterogeneity, although a likely contributor to coexistence of the sexes, is unlikely to be a requirement for coexistence in nature. For plants, the metapopulation concept has taken hold more gradually than for animals, primarily because of missing or inadequate data on dispersal, colonization, establishment and extinction (Ehrlén & Eriksson 2003). Additional field work can greatly strengthen our understanding of the M. inflexa metapopulation. Of particular importance is the quantitative documentation of field sex ratio and the loss of one or both sexes at the patch and metapopulation level, propagule dispersal within and between patches, and patch extinction and recolonization rates. Moreover, our modelling results were particularly sensitive to our glasshouse data and how they might translate into field growth rates (Fig. 5b), which thus merit additional attention. Important aspects to be addressed for predicting a metapopulation sex ratio in dioecious systems with strong competition among sexes include the existence of sexual dimorphisms in different aspects of life-history, as well as determining the dispersal abilities of propagules and their opportunities for recruitment. Metapopulation dynamics have been invoked to account for coexistence of species and maintenance of diversity. In metapopulations, interactions among competition, disturbance and dispersal can maintain species regionally that are eliminated locally in the presence of superior competitors (Caswell & Cohen 1991). A trade-off between competitive and colonizing ability has been suggested as a mechanism that promotes species coexistence in these patchy environments (Levins & Culver 1971). Nonetheless, many studies explicitly considering competition and dispersal have showed that a trade-off between colonization and competition is not needed for coexistence (Bolker & Pacala 1999). In this respect, Higgins & Cain (2002) found coexistence of species in a spatially distributed system even when the inferior competitor was also an inferior colonizer. Similarly, within a species in our model, one sex may be a locally inferior competitor but manage to coexist in the metapopulation without an advantage over the other in colonizing newly available patches given that spores have an even sex ratio. Notice that males, through asexual reproduction, have advantages at low density, a condition generally associated with patch filling and, hence, post-colonization. Sexual systems range from only males and females (dioecy) to only hermaphrodites. Between these extremes, there are mixtures of mating systems involving unisexual individuals and hermaphrodites. Metapopulation models have been used to explain the maintenance of gynodioecy, a mating system in which females coexist with hermaphrodites (McCauley & Taylor 1997; Pannel 1997; Couvert et al. 1998). In this system, gender has a complex inheritance often determined by epistatic interactions between nuclear and cytoplasmic genes. Therefore, these metapopulation models are mainly concerned with retaining genetic variation for gender determination. These models address how this population structure retains genes under frequency-dependent selection (McCauley & Taylor 1997) and the effect of the colonization on the genetic variation for sex determination (Couvert et al. 1998). These studies suggest that metapopulation dynamics are limited for explaining gynodioecy. By contrast, the present study addresses a different sexual system consisting of males and females, and the concern for sex coexistence is framed as a population problem, dealing with sexual dimorphism, asexual reproduction, competition and the issue of recruitment of different propagules. In this study, males and females are maintained in the metapopulation for a broad range of situations. As such, the metapopulation perspective obviously opens many new avenues for addressing competition, coexistence and spatially distributed reproduction. As we mentioned previously, Maynard Smith (1978) pointed out that, because sexual and asexual propagules in species that produce both are often adapted to different ecological situations, the mixed mode of reproduction could readily be maintained by environmental heterogeneity. In our ecological metapopulation model, the key advantage of sexually produced offspring is the ability to colonize unpredictably available new habitat. While this colonization ability is essential for maintaining both sexes in disturbed systems, the final result depends on the combinations and levels of sexual dimorphism in key ecological traits. Extensive sexual dimorphism in Marchantia inflexa, typical of clonal organisms (Popp & Reinartz 1988; Williams 1995; McGovern 2002), generates asymmetric competition capable of preventing local coexistence of the sexes. However, at the larger scale of a metapopulation, this level of dimorphism and the broad dispersal of sexually produced propagules allow the persistence of both sexes, and thus the retention of sexual reproduction. The metapopulation favoured the coexistence of sexes by initiating patches at 1 : 1 sex ratio and by intervals of reduced growth competition in which the male advantage in production of asexual propagules predominates. We therefore conclude that – even with biasing mechanisms like clonal competition at work – metapopulation processes may greatly extend the range of conditions for coexistence of the sexes where such coexistence is locally impossible. 949 Persistence of sexes in metapopulations Acknowledgements We thank the Wildlife Section of the Forestry Division of The Republic of Trinidad and Tobago for collection and export permits; the Water and Sewage Authority in Trinidad for allowing access to the research site; Linda Fuselier, Isabelle Olivieri, Charles Richardson, Ophélie Ronce, Nicole Sudler and Carey Sydney for discussions of the ideas presented here; the Department of Agronomy at the University of Kentucky for the use of glasshouse space; and the US National Science Foundation (DEB 9974086-DNM [PI] and PHC [co-PI]; and DEB0415339-GGR[PI] and PHC [co-PI]) and National Institutes of Health (AI060468-02-GGR [PI] and PHC [co-PI]) for grant support. 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Received 8 February 2007; revision accepted 16 April 2007 Editor: John Pannell Supplementary material The following supplementary material is available for this article: Appendix S1 Estimating the default parameters values of Table 2. This material is available as part of the online article from: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/ j.1365-2745.2007.01264.x Please note: Blackwell Publishing is not responsible for the content or functionality of any supplementary materials supplied by the authors. Any queries (other than missing material) should be directed to the corresponding author for the article.