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Consumer goods and digital: a huge opportunity for the French economy, but can it be realized? A year ago, McKinsey France carried out a major piece of work on France’s €100 billion digital gap: the boost that French GDP could gain, by 2020, if French companies fully embraced the digital transformation. But where do the opportunities lie for the consumer goods sector, has the work of closing the gap begun, and will France get there? Nigel Wright gets to grips with the issues. You might be forgiven for pleading “ennui” with recent media coverage on the French economy. The Republic’s beleaguered and unpopular left-of-centre president has beaten the retreat on the latest development in the long-running thread of labour market reform, its economy is firming but fragile, and the country is struggling to move beyond the jobless growth trap. But it’s not all gloom; with online purchases of consumer goods growing sharply in recent years and more than 45% of customers now shopping entirely online for some products, there is huge potential in digital for France’s strong consumer goods sector. Global brands like Pernod-Ricard, Danone, and L’Oréal, with turnovers of ¤10-25 billion (equivalent to the entire GDP of Nicaragua or Estonia), also have the power to make a material difference to the French economy. Like the first industrial revolution, today’s digital transformation promises a brave new world, which unsurprisingly, has more opportunities than threats. But, in today’s climate, it’s easy to equate “digital” with good, and it’s important to remember that there are potential downsides too. Companies that fail to address the risks won’t just miss out: they’ll forego considerable amounts of turnover as others forge ahead. High on the risk matrix for consumer goods is “hyper-competition”. Mobile apps, using both search and scan, have revolutionized online shopping aggregators, comparators, and reviews. More than 60% of French consumers now shop online, and they expect a seamless and consistent experience across all channels. But what of the opportunities? First, the increasingly multi-channel and relational nature of customer journeys. Proctor and Gamble’s average global allocation of its promotional budget to digital channels is about 35% (and 100% for some brands, like Braun), putting, perhaps, a 21st-century spin on the old advertising joke: “Half of it works, but I’m not sure which half.” But in France, allocations are of the order of 10%, the kind of statistic fuelling fears that despite strong state support and a strong digital sector (whose growth forecasts were recently revised up by sector body, Syntec Numérique), France risks falling behind. Digital is disrupting distribution too. France’s “grandes surfaces”, like Carrefour or Auchan, are working hard to respond to home-grown, “pure player” channels, such as Cdiscount and, more recently, burgeoning direct sales channels. Evian, for example, now sells directly to customers through evianchezvous.com Aside from cost and convenience, digital offers scope for entirely new products and services. France’s strengths in luxury goods and 01 France: Consumer Goods and Digital ...with online purchases of consumer goods growing sharply in recent years and more than 45% of customers now shopping entirely online for some products, there is huge potential in digital for France’s strong consumer goods sector beauty are regularly on display in the launch of new online content and mobile apps. L’Oréal’s Makeup Genius is a virtual mirror that allows consumers to test some 300 make-up products on a tablet or smartphone and Mumm, the iconic “maison de champagne”, draws consumers to its virtual champagne guide, to learn about the rituals surrounding the drink. Looking within, embracing digital means getting a company’s operations and marketing right too. Like other major economies, France sees the opportunity of Big Data. But, in a country where labour market rigidity remains a challenge, it can be hard to find the right people for these relatively new disciplines. France’s Syntec trade body, in tandem with digital-workforce watchdog, OPPIIEC, has recently launched an online tool: an “observatoire dynamique”, providing a rich seam of information for French 02 France: Consumer Goods and Digital companies looking for skills. In addition, French producers, like others, continue to pursue end-to-end digital transformation of their processes. Automation is no conceptual newcomer, but the digital transformation has brought its own slant, with RFID tags now tracking items-in-production in real-time and the rise of “usines numériques”: entirely digitally automated factories. With all this to play for, what are the stakes, and what should companies prioritize? McKinsey’s detailed report on the French digital gap estimates that consumer-facing opportunities (transformed customer journeys, and new products and services), have the potential to boost turnover by 20%. And better-focused decisions and operations (in areas like Big Data and automation) could be worth another 20%. The consultancy, which made its name in exactly this type of big picture advice, is equally clear about what companies should prioritize. The first priority is continuing to transform the customer experience, consistently, across all digital channels: not an entirely unexpected recommendation for a sector that has exploited traditional marketing methods so well, for so long. Second, comes the need to innovate in terms of offer, with strong advice to make full use of areas like crowdsourcing (already successfully used by Danone, which crowdsources ideas for new flavours for its Danette brand: both engaging consumers and cutting product development costs). Better exploitation of Big Data comes a close third, with an emphasis both on skills, and on making the considerable investments (a game heavily involving distributors too) in increasing companies’ analytical capabilities. So, in conclusion, will the digital gap close for France? As the apocryphal economist might tell you: in an increasingly interdependent and still fragile global economy, it depends; a reality captured in Napoleon Bonaparte’s maxim: “forethought we may undoubtedly have, but not foresight.” Bon courage!