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JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 116, D03102, doi:10.1029/2010JD014340, 2011 Occurrence of extremely low cold point tropopause temperature during summer monsoon season: ARMEX campaign and CHAMP and COSMIC satellite observations A. R. Jain,1 Vivek Panwar,1,2,3 C. J. Johny,1,4 T. K. Mandal,1 V. R. Rao,5 Rishu Gautam,1 and S. K. Dhaka2 Received 8 April 2010; revised 8 November 2010; accepted 19 November 2010; published 3 February 2011. [1] Extreme low cold point tropopause (CPT) temperatures (T ≤ 191 K) are often observed during the monsoon season over the Bay of Bengal (BOB) and adjoining areas. This paper reports frequent occurrences of extreme low CPT temperature over the Arabian Sea (AS) and adjoining areas using radiosonde observations during the Arabian Sea Monsoon Experiment (ARMEX) from 24 June to 15 August 2002. Day‐to‐day variations in temperature at CPT and at the 100 hPa level observed during the ARMEX campaign show modulation by the wave activity with a period of ∼15 days, and it is observed to be closely associated with the Tropical Easterly Jet (TEJ). Characteristics of wave modulating the temperature at the CPT and at the 100 hPa level are brought out and discussed. Spatial and temporal distribution of low CPT temperature over a wide scale is examined using CHAMP and COSMIC satellite temperature data. These observations show occurrences of low CPT temperatures during the early period of the monsoon season over BOB, AS, and adjoining areas, which often extend to Africa’s Horn region. An enhanced low CPT temperature occurrence during the early part of the monsoon appears to be due to the modulation of outgoing long wave‐radiation (OLR), CPT temperature, and height by intraseasonal oscillation. Modulation of CPT by intraseasonal oscillation suggests that this oscillation could contribute to dehydration of the lower stratosphere. In addition, a close association is noted between the seasonal variations of the latitude of low CPT temperature and low OLR, which is similar to the anticipated seasonal movement of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). Citation: Jain, A. R., V. Panwar, C. J. Johny, T. K. Mandal, V. R. Rao, R. Gautam, and S. K. Dhaka (2011), Occurrence of extremely low cold point tropopause temperature during summer monsoon season: ARMEX campaign and CHAMP and COSMIC satellite observations, J. Geophys. Res., 116, D03102, doi:10.1029/2010JD014340. 1. Introduction [2] To explain the observed low water vapor mixing ratio in the lower stratosphere over southern England, Brewer [1949] postulated a stratospheric circulation of air and suggested that the observed stratospheric air must have passed through the tropical tropopause where the temperatures are cold enough to “freeze‐dry” the air entering the stratosphere. This is called the “freeze‐dry mechanism.” This mechanism envisages that air is dried out as it passes 1 Radio and Atmospheric Sciences Division, National Physical Laboratory, New Delhi, India. 2 Department of Physics and Electronics, Rajdhani College, University of Delhi, New Delhi, India. 3 Department of Physics and Astrophysics, University of Delhi, New Delhi, India. 4 Department of Physics, Rayalseema University, Kurnool, India. 5 Satellite Meteorology Division, India Meteorological Department, Mausam Bhavan, New Delhi, India. Copyright 2011 by the American Geophysical Union. 0148‐0227/11/2010JD014340 through the cold tropopause region and would be effective when (1) the tropopause temperature is cold enough to freeze the vapor content of the air and (2) the air stays for a sufficient time in the region of low temperature so that water vapor is removed through condensation and freezing. Newell and Gould‐Stewart [1981] examined the spatial distribution of tropopause temperature and concluded that during winter months (November–March) the tropospheric air could enter the lower stratosphere through the Indonesian region where the tropopause temperatures are the lowest. These authors have also shown that the region of cold tropopause temperature expands toward the Bay of Bengal (BOB) and the Indian tropical region during premonsoon and monsoon months, suggesting that the Indian tropical region may be participating in the stratospheric dehydration. However, the dry air could have entered the stratosphere either by overshooting convective turrets making the tropopause region much colder than the surroundings [Sherwood and Dessler, 2001] or by the freeze‐dry mechanism coupled with horizontal transport [Holton and Gettelman, 2001]. D03102 1 of 16 D03102 JAIN ET AL.: LOW COLD POINT TROPOPAUSE Highwood and Hoskins [1998] have shown, mainly on the basis of the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) analysis, that during summer (June– August) months the tropopause can be high and cold in the Asian monsoon region and therefore, it plays a significant role in dehydration of the lower stratosphere. They have also mentioned that it is difficult to compare the ECMWF and radiosonde climatology because of missing data over the Asian region. Randel et al. [2000] presented global variability and trends in tropopause temperature on the basis of National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) reanalysis and noted that in July the tropical tropopause temperature minimum occurs over the Indian monsoon region centered near 20°N. Analysis by Highwood and Hoskins [1998] and by Randel et al. [2000] highlighted the significance of the Asian monsoon region in dehydration of lower stratosphere. Ratnam et al. [2005] presented features related to the structure and variability of the tropopause using radio occultation measurements by the Challenging Minisatellite Payload (CHAMP) and GPS during May 2001 to December 2004. They observed a cold tropopause over ∼20°N and 0°E–120°E, which includes the Arabian Sea (AS) region, during the northern summer (June–August) months. Jiang et al. [2004] have shown that most of the deep convection events occur in the western Pacific and Indian monsoon regions and discussed that low temperatures in the tropical tropopause layer (TTL) are associated with, but often drift away from, the center of deep convection. This again brings in the Indian‐Asian summer monsoon region into focus. [3] Recently, Jain et al. [2006] examined the spatial distribution of temperature in the tropopause region using various sets of observations during the Bay of Bengal Monsoon Experiment (BOBMEX) and showed that low cold point tropopause (CPT) temperature (T ≤ 191 K) occurs during the summer monsoon over the northeastern region of India, the north central Bay of Bengal, Bangladesh, northern Myanmar, and adjoining areas. In their study, the role of the tropical convection and of the Kelvin wave activity in modulating the temperature field at levels close to the tropopause is also discussed. Several studies have also reported that Kelvin waves have large effect on the temperature of the tropopause, cloud top height, and dehydration of the lower stratosphere [Jensen and Pfister, 2004; Shimizu and Tsuda, 1997]. Planetary‐scale and quasi‐stationary Rossby waves also modulate the tropopause layer near the equator [Matsuno, 1966; Dima and Wallace, 2007] and control entry of trace gases, e.g., ozone and water vapor, from troposphere to stratosphere by modulating the tropopause height and structure. [4] As mentioned earlier, it may be noted that net transport of water vapor into the stratosphere is linked to spatial and seasonal distribution of temperature in the TTL. The air entering into the stratosphere may be dehydrated through the freeze‐dry mechanism or the freeze‐dry mechanism coupled with horizontal transport [Holton and Gettelman, 2001]. A temperature of 191 K, which is taken here as a reference temperature for dehydration of lower stratosphere, corresponds to a water vapor mixing ratio of ∼3.5 ppmv at the 100 hPa level [Newell and Gould‐Stewart, 1981; Tsuda et al. 1994; Jain et al., 2006]. The seasonal variation of entry of water vapor mixing ratios ranges from ∼2.5 ppmv D03102 during January–February to ∼4.5 ppmv during September– October [Fueglistaler et al., 2005]. Fueglistaler et al. [2005] and Fueglistaler and Haynes [2005] have suggested that seasonal variation of the entry of water vapor mixing ratios may be explained by using both large‐scale dynamics and temperature only. Asian monsoons are significantly influenced by the 30–60 day intraseasonal oscillation. Several studies reported the influence of intraseasonal oscillation on outgoing long‐wave radiation (OLR) [Kiladis and Weickmann, 1992; Fukutomi and Yasanuri, 1999]. Recently, Mote et al. [2000] have shown the signature of intraseasonal oscillation in temporal variations of water vapor in the tropical upper troposphere and tropopause region. The Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) is also associated with convection activity, and seasonal migration of the ITCZ could also change the spatial distribution of temperature in the tropopause region [Fueglistaler et al., 2009]. In a recent review Fueglistaler et al. [2009] discussed various characteristic features of the TTL and emphasized that convection plays an important role in determining thermodynamic properties and chemical composition of the TTL. They emphasized that processes related to convection (i.e., including the overshooting convection) need to be better understood. Jain et al. [2010] examined the processes of how the tropospheric air may enter the stratosphere, particularly in association with the tropical mesoscale convection system, which is considered to be one of the causative mechanisms for extreme low tropopause temperatures over the tropics. Observations reported by these authors point out that both the mechanisms, namely, one suggested by Danielsen [1982] and the other one suggested by Sherwood [2000], have a role in troposphere to stratosphere transport of the air. [5] Observations on CPT temperature distribution over the tropical Indian region by Jain et al. [2006, 2010] were confined mainly over the BOB and adjoining areas. Although Ratnam et al. [2005] showed the distribution of the cold tropopause over ∼20°N and 0°E–120°E covering the AS region, during northern summer (June–August), further analysis of its causes has not been reported so far. The influence of large‐scale wave phenomena, intraseasonal oscillation, and seasonal movement of the ITCZ on upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UTLS) temperature distribution over the monsoon region remains to be investigated. It is important to note that the southeastern AS has sea surface temperature (SST) in excess of 303 K for 2– 3 months (April, May, and June) preceding the summer monsoon onset over India [Vinayachandran et al., 2007]. Warm pool regions with SST in excess of 301 K in the ocean occupy a special place in the tropical climate owing to their impact on tropical convection. This motivated us to extend studies on CPT temperature by Jain et al. [2006] over the AS region. In the present study the variations of tropopause temperature are examined using radiosonde data collected during June–August 2002 as part of the Arabian Sea Monsoon Experiment (ARMEX) campaign. In addition to ARMEX data, CHAMP and Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere and Climate (COSMIC) satellite data are also used to examine the spatial coverage by areas of extreme low CPT temperature over AS, BOB regions, and adjoining areas. To understand the dehydration of the lower stratosphere over the Indian 2 of 16 D03102 JAIN ET AL.: LOW COLD POINT TROPOPAUSE Figure 1. Cruise track and time series positions of ORV Sagar Kanya. The time series positions are TS1 at 71.2°E, 10.9°N from 30 June to 10 July and TS2 at 72.2°E, 15.5°N from 22 July to 5 August 2002 [after Bhat, 2006]. tropical region, CPT temperature variability is examined with a focus on the Indian‐Asian monsoon region over the following time scales: (1) day‐to‐day variations (∼5–20 day period) to understand the characteristics of large‐scale waves, (2) seasonal variation, and (3) intraseasonal oscillation of 30–60 day period. This would help to understand the role of such variability in producing low tropopause temperature and dehydration of the lower stratosphere. 2. Database [6] Upper air observation data obtained during the ARMEX campaign (24 June to 15 August 2002) from ocean research vessel (ORV) Sagar Kanya using Vaisala RS80‐ 15G radiosondes, with radiation correction program RSN96, are used. The ship ORV Sagar Kanya was positioned for time series observations at two locations: (1) at 16.9°N, 71.2°E during 30 June to 10 July 2002 (hereinafter referred to as TS1) and (2) at 15.5°N, 72.2°E during 22 July to 5 August 2002 (hereinafter referred to as TS2) as shown in Figure 1. Details of the ARMEX campaign were presented by Bhat [2005, 2006]. The accuracy of temperature measurements using radiosonde near the tropopause level was found to be better than 1 K. The height resolution near the altitude of the tropopause is better than 50 m [Jain et al., 2006]. Each of the sounding data sets is used for the determination of CPT temperature, termed here as the coldest point on the temperature profile. Soundings carried out at 0000 and 1200 UT on each day are used for the present study. [7] The CHAMP satellite observations provide a much broader view of the spatial distribution of temperature [Schmidt et al., 2004]. CHAMP satellite atmospheric temperature data during April–August in the years 2002–2006 are used. CHAMP satellite data of atmospheric temperature for the year 2002 overlap with the data of the ARMEX campaign period. The COSMIC satellite observations of atmospheric temperature during April–September in the D03102 years 2006–2008 are also examined to confirm the CHAMP observations [Rocken et al., 2000]. [8] In order to further extend the study, monthly mean outgoing long‐wave radiation (OLR) data [Liebermann and Smith, 1996] for the period January–December 2007 over the Indian longitude zone are used to examine the linkage between the occurrence of extreme low CPT temperature and enhanced convection (i.e., low OLR values). In addition, daily mean values of OLR for the period 1 May to 30 September 2007 obtained from satellite Kalpana‐1 are used to examine intraseasonal variations in OLR and COSMIC satellite observations of CPT temperature. Satellite Kalpana‐ 1, with a meteorological payload of a very high resolution radiometer, provides images in three channels, namely, visible (0.55–0.75 mm), infrared (10.5–12.5 mm), and water vapor (5.7–7.1 mm). The spatial resolution at the subsatellite point is 2 km in the visible channel and 8 km in infrared and water vapor channels. The daily mean OLR is derived from half‐hourly images (∼48 images per day). 3. Results and Discussion 3.1. A Case of Large‐Scale Waves [9] In the present study, radiosonde temperature profiles corresponding to 0000 and 1200 UT have been used to determine the CPT temperature. Observations of CPT temperature, as mentioned in section 2, are used to construct the time series for the ARMEX campaign period during 24 June to 15 August 2002 as shown in Figure 2a. A total number of 26 cases of low CPT temperature values (T ≤ 191 K) were detected which constitute ∼30% of the total number of soundings in the present study. To identify the features of the wave activity in modulating CPT temperature, the missing points in CPT temperature time series are filled using linear interpolation. A 5 day running mean is then employed. The smoothed time series thus obtained is shown in Figure 2a. Similar analysis has been carried out for temperature at the 100 hPa level (T100), which is considered as the averaged tropopause level over the tropics. Time series of T100 is shown in Figure 2b. Plots of temperature time series in Figures 2a and 2b show clear modulation by wave activity with temperature minimum around Julian days 178, 190–195, and 212–217 and temperature maximum around Julian days 185, 196–205, and 220–225. Quasiperiodic minima and maxima show modulation of temperature by wave activity with a period of 12–17 days. Time series of zonal and meridional wind at the 100 hPa level also show similar wave modulation. Figure 3a shows an anomaly time series of zonal (DU) and meridional (DV) wind at the 100 hPa level obtained from ARMEX campaign data collected on board Sagar Kanya during 24 June to 14 July 2002. It may be noted from Figure 3a that anomaly amplitudes in zonal and meridional winds are comparable. Figure 3b shows plots of the 100 hPa temperature anomaly (DT) and that of DU for the above mentioned period. In Figures 3a and 3b only 5 day smoothed data are plotted. A cross‐correlation analysis has been carried out between DT and DU time series as shown in Figure 3c, which suggests that period t of the modulating wave is ∼15 days with DT leading DU by ∼4 days. Three important points may be noted here: (1) Sagar Kanya was located at the latitude range of 15.5°N–16.9°N during the ARMEX observation 3 of 16 D03102 JAIN ET AL.: LOW COLD POINT TROPOPAUSE D03102 Figure 2. Plots of time series of temperature measurements on board ORV Sagar Kanya. (a) CPT temperature time series and (b) 100 hPa level temperature time series. Data gap points are joined by dashed lines. The smoothed points of time series, after 5 day running mean, are joined by a thin solid line. Horizontal lines indicate the period of TS1 and TS2 time series as shown in Figure 1. period, which is higher than the e‐folding latitude of Kelvin waves; (2) wave amplitudes in zonal and meridional wind are comparable; and (3) the temperature led in phase by ∼4 days, i.e., ∼t/4. [10] ARMEX observations covered a very limited spatial region (Figure 1), and wind observations, at a level close to the tropopause, were available only for a period of 20 days (24 June to 14 July 2002). Therefore, to identify and discern the types of waves (i.e., Kelvin waves, Rossby waves, mixed Rossby‐gravity waves, etc.) that can modulate CPT temperature, NCEP reanalysis data for temperature and wind at 100 hPa are used. The NCEP reanalysis provided global air temperature, humidity, pressure, sea surface temperature, etc., every 6 h with 2.5° × 2.5° resolution. NCEP reanalysis used a state‐of‐the‐art analysis method to perform data assimilation with ground weather station data and satellite data. In the present study, reanalysis data of the mean daily temperature and horizontal wind at the 100 hPa level over the eastern tropics (0°E–180°E) are examined for the ARMEX campaign period. This reanalysis reveals the following salient features. [11] 1. The perturbations in temperature and zonal wind are prominent over the latitude range of 10°N–20°N and 5°N–20°N, respectively. [12] 2. The perturbations in temperature and zonal wind seem to originate in the region around 100°E–140°E and terminate over the region of 70°E–50°E longitude range (see auxiliary material, Text S1).1 These perturbations seem to move westward and northwestward. These features show that observed perturbations are closely linked to the variability in the Tropical Easterly Jet (TEJ), which starts in late June and continues until early September [Koteswaram, 1958]. This strong flow of air that develops in the upper troposphere during the Asian monsoon season usually locates at 15°N, 50°E–80°E and extends from Southeast Asia to Africa. The strongest development of the jet takes place at an altitude of ∼15 km with wind speed of 40 m s−1 over the Indian zone. Figure 4 depicts the contour maps of DT and DU from NCEP reanalysis at the 100 hPa level for the longitude range of 0°E–180°E drawn as a function of longitude and day number covering the period of ARMEX campaign observations. The thin vertical line in Figure 4 shows the longitudinal location of ORV Sagar Kanya during the ARMEX campaign period for reference. These contour maps show a westward movement of temperature and wind perturbations as denoted by arrows in Figure 4. 1 Auxiliary materials are available in the HTML. doi:10.1029/ 2010JD014340. 4 of 16 D03102 JAIN ET AL.: LOW COLD POINT TROPOPAUSE Figure 3. Plots of time series of temperature (DT), zonal wind (DU), and meridional wind (DV) anomalies from ARMEX campaign observations during the period 24 June to 14 July 2002. (a) Time series of DU and DV. (b) Corresponding plots for DT and DU. In Figures 3a and 3b only 5 day smoothed data are shown. (c) Plot of cross‐correlation function between DT and DU time series. 5 of 16 D03102 D03102 JAIN ET AL.: LOW COLD POINT TROPOPAUSE Figure 4. Contour maps of (a) temperature anomaly (DT) and (b) zonal wind anomaly (DU) computed using NCEP reanalysis data for the ARMEX campaign period. To draw these contour maps, anomaly values for each day and for each longitude point are averaged over the latitude range of 10°N–20°N and maps are drawn as a function of longitude and day number. Maps of DT and DU are drawn with a resolution of 1 K and 3.0 m s−1, respectively. Positive values of anomalies are represented by gray. Arrows shows the direction of motion of the perturbations. Thin vertical line in Figures 4a and 4b shows the longitudinal position of ORV Sagar Kanya during the ARMEX campaign observation period for reference. D03102 [13] 3. Figure 5a shows the time series of the zonal wind anomaly (DU), meridional wind anomaly (DV), and temperature anomaly (DT) determined using NCEP reanalysis over the AS and Indian west coast (ASIWC) (10–20°N, 70– 75°E) region. Time series of DT, DU, and DV are first obtained by averaging the anomaly for each of these parameters over the ASIWC region for each day. These time series are then plotted after taking the running mean over 5 days to remove the short‐period oscillations (Figure 5a). It is noted that the amplitudes of DU and DV are of the same order. We have also verified the same using ECMWF (ERA‐Interim) reanalysis data (Text S2). Spectrum analysis using fast Fourier transform (FFT) has been carried out for DT and DU time series, which is shown in Figure 5b. The FFT algorithm used in this analysis applies detrending and also the necessary Hanning window before taking FFT. The spectra of both DT and DU show broad peaks. These time series are passed through a band‐pass filter with a width of 14–18 days to determine the phase shift, if any, between the two time series. The cross‐correlation functions between DT and DU time series and between DV and DU time series are shown in Figure 5c. It is noted that DT is advanced in phase with respect to DU by ∼3 days, and DU is advanced in phase with respect to DV by 3–4 days. Results from two different data sets are in good agreement and confirm the presence of wave activity with a period of ∼15 days. [14] Characteristics of the observed wave perturbations can be summarized as follows. [15] 1. The observed wave perturbations are confined to the latitude range of ∼10°N–20°N. These perturbations are westward propagating and appear to be closely linked to the TEJ and convection, which appear over the Asian monsoon region during summer months, as the observed perturbations originate in the region of ∼100°E–140°E and terminate over the region 50°E–70°E. The amplitude of zonal (DU) and meridional (DV) wind perturbations are of the same order. [16] 2. An examination of DU time series from ARMEX campaign observations at 200, 150, and 100 hPa levels shows downward phase propagation (figure not shown). [17] 3. The observed period of these waves is ∼15 days (i.e., 12–17 days). An examination of the longitudinal distribution of DT and DU for different Julian days yields a value of ∼4300 km for horizontal wavelength (lX) of the wave. [18] 4. Temperature perturbation (e.g., warm phase) leads zonal wind perturbation (e.g., eastward phase) by ∼t/4. However, temperature perturbation (e.g., warm phase) is opposite in phase with meridional wind perturbation (e.g., northward wind phase) as shown in Figure 2. [19] 5. Some of these characteristics are similar to those observed for Rossby‐gravity waves (RGW). RGW with n = 0, antisymmetric mode, and zonal wave number ≥7 are feasible [Ern et al., 2008]. These waves are also westward propagating. The dispersion relation for RGW [Holton, 2004; Andrews et al., 1987] is examined at the 100 hPa level. The value of lX is taken from NCEP reanalysis, and mean values of lZ and Brunt‐Vaisala period (t B) are taken from ARMEX measurements. Taking zonal wave number (k) corresponding to lX of 4500 km, lZ ∼ 1.75 km, Brunt‐ Vaisala period (t B) ∼ 7.1 min, and scale height H = 7 km, dispersion relation yields a value of intrinsic wave period of 6 of 16 D03102 JAIN ET AL.: LOW COLD POINT TROPOPAUSE Figure 5. (a) Plots of time series of temperature (DT), zonal wind (DU), and meridional wind (DV) anomalies obtained using NCEP reanalysis data for the period of ARMEX observations (24 June to 15 August 2002). To draw these anomaly time series, values for each day are averaged over the ASIWC (10°N–20°N, 70°E–75°E) region. Time series of DT, DU, and DV thus obtained are then smoothened by taking running mean over 5 days. (b) Spectra of DT and DU time series shown in Figure 5a, obtained using FFT analysis. (c) Plots of cross‐correlation functions between DT and DU and DU and DV time series. These time series were passed through a band‐pass filter of 14–18 days before obtaining the cross‐ correlation functions. 7 of 16 D03102 D03102 JAIN ET AL.: LOW COLD POINT TROPOPAUSE D03102 Figure 6a. Diagrams showing locations of cold point tropopause (CPT) ≤191 K observed using CHAMP and COSMIC satellite missions during summer monsoon months. The pluses denote CHAMP observations, and circles denote COSMIC observations. The COSMIC data set contains very little retrieval near the equator in April and May 2007 compared to other latitudes. about 10.1 days. It may be mentioned here that strong zonal mean wind (∼30 m s−1) prevailed, associated with TEJ, during observations. This wind introduces a Doppler shift and modifies a wave period that comes out to be 8.6 days, i.e., about 9 days. [20] 6. Other types of wave such as (1) Rossby wave with n = 1 and symmetric mode with zonal wave number ≥7 and (2) Rossby wave with n = 2 and antisymmetric mode with zonal wave number ≥7 [Ern et al., 2008] are also examined. Both of these types of wave modes are westward propagating. Solution of the dispersion relation for these wave modes [Matsuno, 1966] at the 100 hPa level using the same values of parameters as used for Rossby‐gravity waves yields a value of period of (1) ∼40 days and (2) ∼65 days, respectively. These values of wave period are significantly larger than the observed wave period. [21] The possibility of gravity waves is also examined. These waves do not have any predefined specific direction and can have horizontal wavelength of about a few hundred to a few thousand kilometers. Using a simple dispersion relation [Gossard and Hooke, 1975], we have computed the wave period (using the same parameters as used for RGW), which comes out to be ∼13 days, which is in good agreement with the observed wave period of ∼15 days. Still, there is a possibility that observed wave disturbances belong to the gravity wave category but with a constraint that such large‐period gravity waves are not commonly reported. [22] To summarize, it appears that some of the observed wave characteristics are close to the RGW (with horizontal wave number ≥7). The computed period from the dispersion relation is somewhat shorter than the actual observed period of the wave (i.e., ∼15 days). It appears that observed waves are not pure RGW, but rather they are a combination of wave systems such as RGW and some other long‐period waves. There is also a possibility that the observed wave is an equatorial slow‐moving (computed phase velocity is 8 of 16 D03102 JAIN ET AL.: LOW COLD POINT TROPOPAUSE Figure 6b 9 of 16 D03102 D03102 JAIN ET AL.: LOW COLD POINT TROPOPAUSE Figure 7. Plot of height profile of ∣DT∣, which is the mean value of absolute difference in CHAMP satellite and COSMIC satellite temperature measurements (i.e., CHAMP minus COSMIC) at various height levels. Horizontal bars show the standard deviation in ∣DT∣ for the simultaneous temperature measurements by the two satellites (see text). ∼−3.5 m s−1 for the observed 15 day period) gravity wave associated with convection and the TEJ. Dhaka et al. [1993] have also reported similar waves using satellite images over the Indian region, with similar period (∼18 days), which had a link with the convection activity on the same scale. [23] ARMEX data support the view that the occurrence of low CPT temperature extends over AS as well. The CHAMP and COSMIC satellite observations of atmospheric temperature are now examined for a broader view of spatial and temporal distribution of temperature. 3.2. Spatial Distribution of Extreme Low CPT Temperatures [24] To examine spatial distribution of CPT temperature, CHAMP‐ and COSMIC‐derived temperature profiles are used. Out of all the CPT points, low CPT temperature points (T ≤ 191 K) are then plotted against the geographic location of the satellite at the time of measurement. Plots of low CPT temperature obtained from the CHAMP satellite during April–August 2002 are shown in Figure 6a. We have chosen CHAMP satellite data for the year 2002 as they overlap with the ARMEX campaign period. It may be mentioned here that geospatial samplings of CHAMP satellite observations are limited. Since COSMIC satellite provides a large number of sampling points of CPT temperature, available COSMIC satellite observations are also used to supplement D03102 CHAMP satellite observations. In Figure 6a (middle and right) COSMIC satellite observations of low CPT temperature on each day during the periods April–September 2007 and April–September 2008 are also plotted. Table 1 presents statistics of low CPT temperature deduced from CHAMP and COSMIC observations over the region 0°N–30°N and 40°E–120°E. The following important features may be noted from Figure 6a. First, a number of cases of low CPT temperature (T ≤ 191 K) do occur during the early part of monsoon (May and June) season. This is also confirmed from data presented in Table 1. Second, areas of the low CPT temperature (T ≤ 191 K) are often seen to extend up to Africa’s Horn region, especially during May–June. These features are noted more clearly in Figure 6b, which shows the contour plots of the occurrence ratio of the cases of low CPT temperature to the total number of CPT observations in each grid area of 2.5° × 2.5°. An enhanced number of observations (Figure 6b) of low CPT temperature over the Asian monsoon region can be clearly noted during June– August. To check if any bias exists between temperature profiles obtained from CHAMP and those obtained from COSMIC, simultaneous measurements of atmospheric temperature by the two satellites are compared. For this comparison, 68 temperature profiles from each satellite taken during August–September 2006 are selected in such a way that the two satellites colocate with less than ±1° separation in latitude and longitude and have the same tropopause height and that the pass of the two satellites is within ±3 h. Figure 7 shows the height profile of the mean absolute difference between temperature measurements made by the two satellites in the vicinity of the tropopause. The mean absolute temperature difference at the height of 16.5 km is found to be 0.3 K with a maximum value of 0.6 K. This is consistent with the analysis of Liou et al. [2007]. They have compared the COSMIC and CHAMP radio occultation (RO) temperature profile with NCEP data and noted that in the height range of 12–20 km, the COSMIC and CHAMP RO temperature profiles and NCEP data agree within ±0.5 K. 3.3. Seasonal Oscillations in the Occurrence of Low CPT Temperature [25] In addition to the geospatial distribution of low CPT temperature during monsoon season it would be interesting to see how low CPT temperature is spatially distributed during other seasons and also to find out whether there is any association between the spatial distribution of the low CPT temperature and convection activity. Generally, low values of OLR indicate enhanced convection activity. COSMIC satellite observations are therefore used to examine the monthly variation during the year 2007 for observing spatial occurrence of the area of low CPT temperature and that of low OLR. Figure 8a shows the contour plots of monthly mean OLR from January 2007 to December 2007. The crosses shown in Figure 8a denote the low CPT temperature (≤191 K) observed by the COSMIC satellite. In the summer monsoon season (May– September) both the low CPT temperature and low OLR Figure 6b. Contour maps of the occurrence ratio of the number of low CPT observations to the total number of CPT observations for the monsoon months drawn using COSMIC satellite observations for the years 2007 and 2008. The ratio (r) is computed for each grid area of 2.5° × 2.5°. White represents grid areas where observations are not available. 10 of 16 D03102 D03102 JAIN ET AL.: LOW COLD POINT TROPOPAUSE Table 1. Tropopause Temperature Characteristics in the Region 0°N–30°N, 40°E–120°E Deduced From CHAMP and COSMIC Satellite Missionsa CHAMP Tropopause Month Temperature (K) April May June July August <191 >191 <191 >191 <191 >191 <191 >191 <191 >191 2002 2003 2004 57 (37%) 96 79 (55%) 64 13 (15%) 71 35 (35%) 65 23 (19%) 97 42 (38%) 67 56 (64%) 32 40 (32%) 83 17 (15%) 99 10 (10%) 89 56 (53%) 49 No Data 3 22 (23%) 75 24 (20%) 97 19 (13%) 129 COSMIC 2005 2006 44 (31%) 15 (45%) 96 18 28 (52%) 73 (40%) 26 111 55 (47%) 22 (26%) 63 64 24 (15%) no data 140 no data 12 (8%) 7 (7%) 128 97 Mean Occurrence of CPT <191 K (%) 39.6 50.3 30.8 20 11.6 2006 2007 19 (40%) 28 121 (41%) 172 148 (45%) 183 64 (17%) 304 83 (8%) 146 563 (37%) 949 500 (30%) 1115 588 (41%) 839 395 (25%) 1166 339 (17%) 1598 Mean Occurrence of CPT <191 K (%) 37 32 45 24 14 a Values in parentheses represent percentage occurrences of cases with tropopause temperature <191K. occur at the northern latitudes. In the postmonsoon season (i.e., October) almost similar patterns prevail though locations of low OLR and low CPT temperature move closer to the equator. In northern winter season (November– February), the area of low OLR is observed south of the equator and the area of low CPT also moves southward. Almost a similar pattern is observed in March and April. Thus, these observations show a close association between the latitudinal movement of the area of low OLR and that of low CPT temperature. Enhanced occurrences in the cases of low CPT temperature over the ASIWC, Indian landmass (ILM) (10°N–20°N, 72.5°E–85°E) and Bay of Bengal (BOB) (10°N–20°N, 85°E–90°E) regions during May–July can be noted in Figure 8b, which shows the plots of monthly mean OLR and occurrence ratio of low CPT temperature over these regions. The enhanced occurrence ratio appears to precede the appearance of low OLR which represents enhanced convection and passage of the ITCZ over these regions. This may be due to the influence of intraseasonal oscillation as discussed in section 3.4. It may Figure 8a. Monthly mean OLR for the months of January 2007 to December 2007. Crosses represent the points of low CPT temperature (≤191 K) observed by COSMIC satellite each month during this period. The COSMIC data set contains very little retrieval near the equator from March to May compared to other latitudes. 11 of 16 D03102 JAIN ET AL.: LOW COLD POINT TROPOPAUSE D03102 Figure 8b. Plots of time series of monthly mean OLR and monthly mean occurrence ratio of the number of low CPT observations to the total number of CPT observations from COSMIC satellite observations over the ASIWC, ILM, and BOB regions for the year 2007. be mentioned here that the ITCZ in the month of January is normally located at 12°S–15°S. In the months of summer monsoon, the ITCZ merges with the monsoon trough, and in the month of July, the ITCZ lies at the 20°N–24°N latitude range [Holton et al., 2003]. Seasonal movement of low OLR or the convection activity is an indicator of the seasonal movement of the ITCZ. Therefore, it may be concluded that the Indian region shows latitudinal variability of low CPT temperature due to the movement of the ITCZ. 3.4. Intraseasonal Oscillation in OLR and CPT Temperature [26] Another important oscillation observed during the Asian summer monsoon (June–September) period is known as intraseasonal oscillations with a period of ∼30–60 day [Krishnamurti and Bhalme, 1976; Yasanuri, 1979; Krishnamurti and Subrahmanyam, 1982]. These intraseasonal oscillations are known to be closely associated with the active and break monsoon conditions over India. Convective activity (represented Figure 9. Plots of time series of daily mean OLR over the Arabian Sea and Indian west coast (ASIWC) region and zonal wind (U) at the 850 hPa level (U850) measured on board Sagar Kanya during the ARMEX campaign. OLR time series is smoothed after taking the 5 day running mean. The missing points in U850 observations are filled using linear interpolation. The smoothed time series of U850 is then obtained after taking the running mean over 5 days. Horizontal bars show the break monsoon period over India as reported by the India Meteorological Department. 12 of 16 D03102 JAIN ET AL.: LOW COLD POINT TROPOPAUSE D03102 Figure 10. Time series plots of anomaly (a) OLR measurement (DOLR), (b) CPT temperature measurements by the COSMIC satellite (DT), and (c) CPT height (Dh) plotted over the ASIWC, ILM, and BOB regions for the period 1 May to 30 September 2007. To examine modulation by intraseasonal oscillation, DT and DOLR time series plots are drawn after taking the running average over 13 days. Thin horizontal bars and thick horizontal bars represent the periods of active and break monsoon, respectively, over India. by low OLR values) and the low‐level jet (LLJ) with its core at 850 hPa level are known to show intraseasonal variability during June–September. During the active monsoon periods, when there is an eastward band of stray convective heating in the latitudes ∼10°N–20°N and longitudes 70°E– 120°E, the LLJ axis passes through peninsular India. This provides moisture for the increased convection in the BOB and for the formation of monsoon associated depressions in this region [Joseph and Sijikumar, 2004]. Association between OLR and LLJ is examined using 850 hPa level zonal wind U850 measured using radiosondes launched on board ORV Sagar Kanya during the ARMEX campaign period and daily mean OLR from NOAA over the ASIWC region for the same period. Figure 9 shows the smoothed time series of OLR after taking the running average over 5 days and time series of zonal wind U850 measured on board Sagar Kanya during the ARMEX campaign. Missing observations were filled using linear interpolation, and smoothed time series of U850 was obtained after taking the running average over 5 days, and the same is also plotted in Figure 9. Figure 9 shows that both the parameters, namely, OLR and U850, are modulated by a wave with a period of 15–20 days and the intraseasonal oscillation with a periodicity of ∼40 days. Horizontal bars denote the break monsoon period over India as reported by the India Meteorological Department. It may be noted that U850 is weak during the first monsoon break period as expected but moderate 13 of 16 D03102 JAIN ET AL.: LOW COLD POINT TROPOPAUSE D03102 Figure 11. (a) Plots of time series of DT and DOLR over the ILM region for the period of Julian days 180–268. (b) Corresponding time series after passing through a band‐pass filter of 14–60 days. (c) Cross‐ correlation function obtained using DT and DOLR time series shown in Figure 11b. winds are observed during the second break period, indicating that LLJ is passing close to Sagar Kanya. [27] It may be noted that intraseasonal oscillation in convection activity (represented by OLR) could also result in similar wave modulation of temperature in the tropopause region as intense convection activity is considered to be one of the source mechanisms for its cooling. Therefore, an attempt is made to delineate the intraseasonal oscillation in CPT temperature measurements by the COSMIC satellite and to determine the association of the same with observed similar oscillations in OLR. For this aspect, daily mean OLR data for the period 1 May to 30 September 2007 are taken from Kalpana‐1 satellite measurements and the CPT temperature data are used from COSMIC satellite observations for the same period. COSMIC data for the year 2007 are selected for this study as a sufficient number of profiles are available during this period. Figure 10 shows the time series of anomaly in OLR (DOLR, Figure 10a), CPT temperature (DT, Figure 10b), and CPT height (Dh, Figure 10c) over the ASIWC, ILM, and BOB regions. To examine the intraseasonal oscillation, time series plots in Figure 10 are smoothened by taking the running average over 13 days so as to remove the short‐period oscillations of period <13 days. Figure 10 show that intraseasonal oscillation modulates OLR, CPT temperature, and CPT height over the three regions, namely, the ASIWC, ILM, and BOB. This particular oscillation can be seen moving eastward as the signatures appear first over the ASIWC and later over the BOB (Figure 10a), and therefore it needs to be distinguished from the shorter period oscillation (∼15 days) discussed earlier. A careful examination of Figure 10a reveals that DOLR over the ILM region attains maxima at Julian days 137, 190–195, and 225–230. Similar periodicity can also be noted in DT time series (Figure 10b) with maxima at Julian days 150, 195–220, and 228–250. The time series of Dh (Figure 10c) also shows a similar modulation. Figure 10 thus shows that (1) the period of intraseasonal oscillation has varied from 25 to 55 days as the monsoon has progressed and (2) intraseasonal oscillation in OLR also modulates CPT. A period of 26–32 days tend to modulate OLR and CPT temperature between Julian days 180–268 (Figure 11a). Figure 11b shows the corresponding time series after passing through a band‐pass filter of 14–60 days. Figure 11c shows the cross‐correlation function between DOLR and DT series in Figure 11b which indicates that DOLR is advanced in phase. Enhanced occurrences of the events of low CPT temperature over the AS during the early monsoon season appears to be due to the modulation of OLR, CPT temperature, and height by the intraseasonal oscillation, as this oscillation appears to begin quite early during the monsoon season (Figure 10a). The observed intraseasonal modulation of the tropopause temperature could be one of the contributing factors for the intraseasonal oscillation in the water vapor of the upper troposphere over the Asian monsoon region as discussed by Zhan et al. [2006]. 4. Summary and Conclusions [28] Present studies show that low CPT temperature (T ≤ 191 K) occurs frequently over the AS and adjoining areas in addition to the BOB region. Areas of low CPT temperature extend even to Africa’s Horn region. Occurrence of low CPT temperature is also confirmed using recent observations obtained from COSMIC and CHAMP satellites. Wide geographical coverage by extreme low tropopause temperature occurs during the early part of monsoon season. ARMEX 14 of 16 D03102 JAIN ET AL.: LOW COLD POINT TROPOPAUSE campaign and CHAMP‐COSMIC satellite observations have confirmed the wider spatial coverage of the phenomenon of low CPT temperature. [29] An interesting point to be noted from the present study is the observation of a modulation of tropopause temperature over the Asian monsoon region by three oscillations with different sources and spatial and temporal scales. First, a large‐scale westward propagating wave with a period of ∼15 days with origin in longitudinal fluctuations in the TEJ and convection has been identified. Second, seasonal variation of low tropopause temperatures over the Asian monsoon region is noted to be closely linked to the latitudinal movement of the ITCZ and associated convection activity. Third, eastward propagating intraseasonal oscillation with a period of 25–55 days is also noted to modulate the tropopause (CPT) temperature and height. The intraseasonal oscillation is known to originate near the African east coast and is closely linked to the passage of the LLJ over the Indian tropical belt. Modulation of CPT by intraseasonal oscillation could be one of the contributing factors for the recently reported intraseasonal variation of water vapor of the upper troposphere over the Asian monsoon region reported recently by Zhan et al. [2006]. [30] Acknowledgments. Authors are thankful to G. S. Bhat for making the radiosonde data for the ARMEX campaign period available and to the India Meteorological Department (IMD) for providing daily mean OLR data for the monsoon season 2007 and dates of active and break monsoon periods. ARMEX project was funded by the Department of Science and Technology, government of India. 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Dhaka, Department of Physics and Electronics, Rajdhani College, University of Delhi, New Delhi 110015, India. R. Gautam, A. R. Jain, C. J. Johny, T. K. Mandal, and V. Panwar, Radio and Atmospheric Sciences Division, National Physical Laboratory, Dr. K. S. Krishnan Road, New Delhi 110012, India. ([email protected]) V. R. Rao, Satellite Meteorology Division, India Meteorological Department, Lodi Road, Mausam Bhavan, New Delhi 110003, India. 16 of 16