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Total Population age 16 and over
Not in Labor Force
Armed forces
Household workers
Students
Retirees
Disabled persons
Institutionalized
Discouraged workers
Civilian labor force
Employed
Employees
Self-employed
Unemployed
New entrants
Re-entrants
Lost last job
Quit last job
Laid off
Frictional – “temporary”, “transitional”, “short-term.”
(“between jobs” or “search” unemployment)
1.People who get “fired” or “quit” to look for a better one. [30 mil. a yr]
[6 million U.S. workers get laid off each year]
2. “Graduates” from high school or college who are looking for a job.
3. “Seasonal” or weather-dependent jobs such as “agricultural”,
“construction”, “retail”, or “tourism”. [lifeguards, resort workers,
Santa’s, & migrant workers.]
Frictional unemployment signals that “new jobs” are available and
reflect of “freedom of choice”.
These are qualified workers with “transferable” skills.
Structural – “technological” or “long term”.
There are basic changes in the “structure” of the labor force which make
certain “skills obsolete”. [also caused by“international competition”]
• Automation may result in job losses (a robot took your job).
The auto reduced the need for carriage makers.
Farm machinery reduced the need for farm laborers.
• Consumer taste may make a good “obsolete”.
• These jobs do not come back.
• Non-transferable skills– choice is prolonged unemployment or
retraining.
“Creative destruction” means as jobs are created, other jobs are lost.
Jobs of the future destroy jobs oftoday.
*Frictional and Structural make up the natural rate of unemployment or
full employment.
6
5
2
4 billion
4
20 billion
8
8 billion
Wage
Surplus of labor =
Unemployment
Labor
supply
Minimum wage
WE
Labor
demand
0
LD
LE
LS
Quantity of Labor
Cyclical – economic downturns in the
business cycle.
•Cyclical fluctuations caused by deficient AD
•Durable goods jobs are impacted the most.
•These can be postponed because they can be
repaired.
•Cyclical unemployment is real
unemployment.
These jobs do come back
Overstate or Understate?
LRAS
PL
SRAS
PL1
AD1
Y1
YF
GDPR
LRAS
PL
SRAS
PL
AD
YF
___ output ___ employment ___ unemployment ___ PL
GDPR
The average unemployment rate in France, Germany, & Italy
and Canada remained high.
European labor markets are less flexible.