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UNIT II Theories of International Trade and Investment GLOBALIZATION IMF defines globalization as, “the growing economic interdependence of countries worldwide through increasing volume and variety of cross border transactions in goods and services and of international capital flows and also through the more rapid and widespread diffusion of technology” COMPONENTS OF GLOBALISATION Globalization of Markets Globalization of Production Globalization of Investment Globalization of Technology GLOBALIZATION OF MARKETS Globalization of markets refers to the process of integrating and merging of the distinct world markets into a single market EXAMPLE: Coca-Cola, Pepsi, McDonald’s burgers, Levis Jeans etc., FEATURES: Size of the company need not be too large Distinction of national markets still prevail Most of the foreign markets are markets for non-consumer goods 08 REASONS FOR GLOBALIZATION OF MARKETS Large scale industrialization enabled mass production Risk reduction by diversification Increase profits and achieve goals Adverse business environment in home country Demand for their products in foreign markets Failure of domestic companies to cater the needs of customers GLOBALIZATION OF PRODUCTION Globalization of production is locating the manufacturing facilities in a number of locations around the globe. EXAMPLE: Jet airlines Boeing 777 and Swan opticals REASONS: Impositions of imports by the foreign country Availability of high quality raw materials and components Availability of inputs at low cost Skilled human resource at low cost Liberal labour laws To reduce cost of transport To cater to varying tastes of customers GLOBALIZATION OF PRODUCTION Globalization of investment refers to investment of capital by a global company in any part of the world. REASONS: Increase in volume of global trade Limitations of exporting and importing Liberalization Avoid restrictions GLOBALIZATION OF TECHNOLOGY Latest technology and distinctive competencies Technological collaboration Usage of technology by paying royalty GLOBALIZATION ADVANTAGES Free flow of capital, technology Industrialization Production facilities throughout the world Increase in production and consumption Lower prices and high quality Jobs and Incomes Higher standard of living Balanced Human development Welfare and prosperity DISADVANTAGES Kills domestic business Exploits human resource Unemployment and underemployment Widening gap between rich and poor Transfer of natural resources National sovereignty at stake Commercial and political colonialism INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT EXTERNAL INTERNAL Organisational Organisational Structure Structure Production Finance Marketing External Micro Environment Shareholders Creditors HR R&D External Macro Environment Bankers & Financial Institutions Competitors Suppliers Market & Intermediary Customers Social &Cultural Factors Technological Factors Economic International Factors Versatile Business School, Egmore, ChennaiFactors - 600 008 Natural Political INTRODUCTION TO GATT There were many barrier for free trade were laid down to support the government expenditure After II world war several international measures were undertaken to liberalize trade and payment between nations International monetary funds and international bank for reconstruction and development were set up International trade organization to deal with international trade was sought to be set up GATT (general agreement for trade and tariff)was set to liberalize the trade and reduce the tariff amount GATT The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) was originally created by the Bretton Woods Conference as part of a larger plan for economic recovery after World War II. The GATT’s main purpose was to reduce barriers to international trade. This was achieved through the reduction of tariff barriers, quantitative restrictions and subsidies on trade through a series of different agreements. The GATT was an agreement, not an organization. Originally, the GATT was supposed to become a full international organization like the World Bank or IMF called the International Trade Organization The agreement was not ratified, so the GATT remained simply an agreement. The functions of the GATT have been replaced by the World Trade Organization. GATT trade rounds Geneva Round – 1947 The first round’s duration was 7 months. 23 countries took part in the round. The main focus was Tariffs Signing of GATT, 45,000 tariff concessions affecting $10 billion of trade. Annecy Round – 1949 The second round took place in 1949 in Annecy, France. 13 countries took part in the round. The main focus of the talks was more tariff reductions. Torquay Round – 1951 The third round occurred in Torquay, England in 1950. 38 countries took part in the round. 8,700 tariff concessions were made totaling the remaining amount of tariffs to ¾ of the tariffs which were in effect in 1948. Geneva Round - 1955-1956 The fourth round returned to Geneva in 1955 and lasted until May 1956. Twenty-six countries took part in the round. $2.5 billion in tariffs were eliminated or reduced. Dillon Round - 1960-1962 The fifth round occurred once more in Geneva and lasted from 1960-1962. The talks were named after U.S. Treasury Secretary and former Under Secretary of State, Douglas Dillion, who first proposed the talks. 26 countries took part in the round. Along with reducing over $4.9 billion in tariffs, it also yielded discussion relating to the creation of the European Economic Community (EEC). Kennedy - 1964 The sixth round’s duration was 37 months. 62 countries took part in the round and the main focus was Tariffs, Anti-dumping. Its achievement was Tariff concessions worth $40 billion of world trade Tokyo Round - 1973-1979 Reduced tariffs and established new regulations aimed at controlling the proliferation of non-tariff barriers and voluntary export restrictions. 102 countries took part in the round. Concessions were made on $190 billion worth. Uruguay Round - 1986-1994 The Uruguay Round began in 1986. It was the most ambitious round to date, hoping to expand the competence of the GATT to important new areas such as service, capital, intellectual property, textiles, and agriculture. 123 countries took part in the round. The Uruguay Round was also the first set of multilateral trade negotiations developing countries had played an active role in which OBJECTIVES OF GATT To raise standard of living To ensure full employment and a large and steadily growing volume of real income and effective demand To develop the full use of the resource of the world To expand production and international trade ACTIVITIES OF GATT Tariff bargaining Bargaining on non- tariff trade barriers Elimination of quantum restriction Settlement of disputes between contracting parties WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION WTO was established on January 1, 1995 WTO is the embodiment of the Uruguay Round results and the successor to GATT Government became member of the WTO on its first day As of December 2000 there are 142 members of the WTO and 34 countries have an observer status 28 members are there in waiting list FUNCTIONS OF WTO Administering and implementing the multilateral and plurilateral trade agreements which together make up WTO Acting as a forum for multilateral trade negotiation Seeking to resolve trade disputes Overseeing national trade policies Cooperating with other international institution involved in global policy making DIFFERENCE BETWEEN GATT AND WTO It is a set of rules and multilateral agreement It was designed with an attempt to It is a permanent institution It is established to serve its own purpose Its activities are full and permanent Its establish International Trade Organization It was applied on a provisional basis Its rules are applicable to trade GATT was originally in a multilateral were added at a later stage Its disputes settlement system was not faster and automatic applicable to trade in trade in related aspects of intellectual property instrument, but plurilateral agreement are merchandise and trade in services and merchandise goods rules Its agreements are almost multilateral Its disputes settlement systems is fast and automatic CLASSICAL COUNTRY-BASED TRADE THEORIES Mercantilism Absolute Advantage Comparative Advantage Comparative Advantage with Money Relative Factor Endowments 6-23 ©2004 Prentice Hall FOUNDATION CONCEPTS Comparative advantage Superior features of a country that provide it with unique benefits in global competition – derived from either national endowments or deliberate national policies Competitive advantage Distinctive assets or competencies of a firm – derived from cost, size, or innovation strengths that are difficult for competitors to replicate or imitate 24 MERCANTILISM A country’s wealth is measured by its holdings of gold and silver A country’s goal should be to enlarge holdings of gold and silver by Promoting exports Discouraging imports 6-25 ©2004 Prentice Hall EXAMPLES OF NATIONAL COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE Abundant, low-cost labor in China Mass of IT workers in India Huge reserves of bauxite in Australia Abundant agricultural land in the USA Oil in Saudi Arabia 26 EXAMPLES OF FIRM COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE Dell’s prowess (ability) in global supply chain management Procter & Gamble’s skill in marketing Samsung’s leadership in flat-panel TV Apple’s design leadership in cell phones and personal music players 27 MODERN MERCANTILISM Neomercantilists or protectionists American Federation of Labor-Congress of Industrial Organizations Textile manufacturers Steel companies Sugar growers Peanut farmers 6-28 ©2004 Prentice Hall WHY NATIONS TRADE: CLASSICAL THEORIES Mercantilism: the belief that national prosperity is the result of a positive balance of trade – maximize exports and minimize imports Absolute advantage principle: a country should produce only those products in which it has absolute advantage or can produce using fewer resources than another country 29 ABSOLUTE ADVANTAGE Export those goods and services for which a country is more productive than other countries Import those goods and services for which other countries are more productive than it is 6-30 ©2004 Prentice Hall One ton of Cloth Wheat --------------------------------------------France 30 40 Germany 100 20 ---------------------------------------------Example of Absolute Advantage (labor cost in days of production for one ton) DISADVANTAGES OF MERCANTILISM Confuses the acquisition of treasure with the acquisition of wealth Weakens the country because it robs individuals of the ability To trade freely To benefit from voluntary exchanges Forces countries to produce products it would otherwise not in order to minimize imports 6-32 WHY NATIONS TRADE: CLASSICAL THEORIES Comparative advantage principle: it is beneficial for two countries to trade even if one has absolute advantage in the production of all products; what matters is not the absolute cost of production but the relative efficiency with which it can produce the product. 33 One ton of Cloth Wheat --------------------------------------------France 30 40 Germany 10 20 ---------------------------------------------Example of Comparative Advantage (labor cost in days of production for one ton) CLASSICAL THEORIES: FACTOR PROPORTIONS THEORY Factor proportions (endowments) theory: each country should produce and export products that intensively use relatively abundant factors of production, and import goods that intensively use relatively scarce factors of production Examples: China and labor USA and pharmaceuticals Canada and electric power 35 RELATIVE FACTOR ENDOWMENTS_2 A country will have a comparative advantage in producing products that intensively use resources (factors of production) it has in abundance China: labor Saudi Arabia: oil Argentina: wheat 6-36 MODERN FIRM-BASED TRADE THEORIES Country Similarity Theory Product Life Cycle Theory Global Strategic Rivalry Theory Porter’s National Competitive Advantage 6-37 ©2004 Prentice Hall FIRM-BASED TRADE THEORIES Incorporate additional factors into explanations of trade flows Quality Technology Brand names Customer quality 6-38 ©2004 Prentice Hall GROWTH OF FIRM-BASED THEORIES Growing importance of MNCs Inability of the country-based theories to explain and predict the existence and growth of intraindustry trade Failure of Leontief and others to empirically validate country-based Heckscher-Ohlin Theory 6-39 ©2004 Prentice Hall FIRM-BASED TRADE THEORIES Incorporate additional factors into explanations of trade flows Quality Technology Brand names Customer quality 6-40 COUNTRY SIMILARITY THEORY Explains the phenomenon of intraindustry trade Trade between two countries of goods produced by the same industry Japan exports Toyotas to Germany Germany exports BMWs to Japan 6-41 COUNTRY SIMILARITY THEORY_2 Trade results from similarities of preferences among consumers in countries that are at the same stage of economic development Most trade in manufactured goods should be between countries with similar per capita incomes 6-42 PRODUCT LIFE CYCLE THEORY Describes the evolution of marketing strategies Stages New product Maturing product Standardized product 6-43 ©2004 Prentice Hall FIGURE 6.4 THE INTERNATIONAL PRODUCT LIFE CYCLE: INNOVATING FIRM’S COUNTRY 6-44 ©2004 Prentice Hall FIGURE 6.4 THE INTERNATIONAL PRODUCT LIFE CYCLE: OTHER INDUSTRIALIZED COUNTRIES 6-45 FIGURE 6.4 THE INTERNATIONAL PRODUCT LIFE CYCLE: LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES SUSTAINING COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE Owning intellectual property rights Investing in research and development Achieving economies of scale or scope Exploiting the experience curve 6-47 PORTER’S NATIONAL COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE Success in trade comes from the interaction of four country and firm specific elements Factor conditions Demand conditions Related and supporting industries Firm strategy, structure, and rivalry 6-48 ©2004 Prentice Hall FIGURE 6.5 PORTER’S DIAMOND OF NATIONAL COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE Firm Strategy, Structure, and Rivalry Factor Conditions Demand Conditions Related and Supporting Industries 6-49 HOW NATIONS ENHANCE COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE The contemporary view suggests that governments can proactively implement policies to enhance a nation’s competitive advantage, beyond the natural endowments the country possesses Governments can create national economic advantage by: stimulating innovation, targeting industries for development, providing low-cost capital, minimizing taxes, investing in IT, etc. 50 MICHAEL PORTER’S DIAMOND MODEL: SOURCES OF NATIONAL COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE 1. 2. 3. 4. Firm strategy, structure, and rivalry – the presence of strong competitors at home serves as a national competitive advantage Factor conditions – labor, natural resources, capital, technology, entrepreneurship, and know how Demand conditions at home – the strengths and sophistication of customer demand Related and supporting industries – availability of clusters of suppliers and complementary firms with distinctive competences 51 INDUSTRIAL CLUSTERS A concentration of suppliers and supporting firms from the same industry located within the same geographic area Examples include: the Silicon Valley, fashion cluster in northern Italy, pharma cluster in Switzerland, footwear industry in Pusan, South Korea, and the IT industry in Bangalore, India Can serve as a nation’s export platform 53 NATIONAL INDUSTRIAL POLICY Proactive economic development plan enacted by the government to nurture or support promising industries sectors. Typical initiatives: Tax incentives Investment incentives Monetary and fiscal policies Rigorous educational systems Investment in national infrastructure Strong legal and regulatory systems (Examples: Japan, Dubai, and Ireland) 54 DOMINANCE OF FDI-BASED EXPLANATIONS OF THE INTERNATIONAL FIRM Most IB theories about the firm emphasize the MNE, since it was long the major player in international business. Foreign direct investment (FDI) is the main strategy used by MNEs in international expansion; thus, earlier theories emphasized motives for, and patterns of, FDI 55 FDI BASED EXPLANATIONS: MONOPOLISTIC ADVANTAGE THEORY Suggests that FDI is preferred by MNEs because it provides the firm with control over resources and capabilities in the foreign market, and a degree of monopoly power relative to foreign competitors Key sources of monopolistic advantage include proprietary knowledge, patents, unique knowhow, and sole ownership of other assets 56 FDI BASED EXPLANATIONS: INTERNALIZATION THEORY Explains the process by which firms acquire and retain one or more value-chain activities inside the firm – retaining control over foreign operations and avoiding the disadvantages of dealing with external partners. In contrast to arm’s-length entry strategies (such as exporting and licensing) which imply developing contractual relationships with external business partners, FDI provides the firm with control and ownership of resources 57 FDI BASED EXPLANATIONS: DUNNING’S ECLECTIC PARADIGM Three conditions determine whether or not a company will internalize via FDI: 1. Ownership-specific advantages – knowledge, skills, capabilities, relationships, or physical assets that form the basis for the firm’s competitive advantage 2. Location-specific advantages – advantages associated with the country in which the MNE is invested, including natural resources, skilled or low cost labor, and inexpensive capital 3. Internalization advantages – control derived from internalizing foreign-based manufacturing, distribution, or other value chain activities 58 NON-FDI BASED EXPLANATIONS: INTERNATIONAL COLLABORATIVE VENTURES While FDI-based internationalization is still common, beginning in the 1980s firms have emphasized nonequity, flexible collaborative ventures to internationalize. Collaborative venture: a form of cooperation between two or more firms. Through collaboration, a firm can gain access to foreign partner’s know-how, capital, distribution channels, and marketing assets, and overcome government imposed obstacles. Venture partners share the risk of their joint efforts, and pool resources and capabilities to create synergy. 59 TWO TYPES OF INTERNATIONAL COLLABORATIVE VENTURES 1. Equity-based joint ventures result in the formation of a new legal entity. Here, the firm collaborates with local partner(s) to reduce risk and commitment of capital. 2. Project-based alliances involve cooperation in R&D, manufacturing, design, or any other value-adding activity, a partnership aimed at a narrowly defined scope of activities and timeline 60