Download History of the World in a Nutshell

HISTORY OF THE WORLD
IN A NUTSHELL
FROM 2010 TILL THE END
(IT AIN’T PRETTY)
From the Viewpoint of England
(the home of Arthur C Clark)
Reporting Live
from Mars in 2101
Hank Lederer and Brian Toren
(Via holographic projection)
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
1
2011
| Internet has a greater reach than television
| The first open petaflop supercomputer comes online
| Batteries that charge in seconds
| 22 nanometre chips are
produce in mass
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
2
2012
| Economic growth remains sluggish in many markets
| Brain-computer interfaces allowing the paralysed to walk
| A cure for baldness
| Mars Science Laboratory explores the Red Planet
| Barack Obama is re-elected
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
3
2013
| Iran carries out its first nuclear test
| 3D technologies are widespread
|
| India launches its 2nd lunar exploration mission
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
4
2014
| James Webb telescope is launched
| Personalised DNA sequencing for less than $100
| 16nm chips are in mass production
| MAVEN probe arrives at Mars
| Most phone calls are made via the Internet
| Brazil hosts the FIFA World Cup
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
5
2015
| Worldwide PC use reaches 2bn
| Nanotech water filters are widespread
| The first climate change refugees
| New Horizons probe arrives at Pluto
| Dawn probe arrives at Ceres
| Voyager I enters the heliopause
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
6
2016
| The US military withdraws from Afghanistan
|US vehicles are becoming
|more fuel-efficient
|
|Holographic versatile disc (HVD) replaces Blu-Ray
|Bio-cameras matching human eye resolution*
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
7
2017
| Total solar eclipse in the USA
| Crossrail opens in London
| Electronic paper is widespread
| Portable laser devices that seal wounds
| Teleportation of simple molecules*
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
8
2018
| The
ITER experimental fusion reactor is switched on *
| The European Extremely Large Telescope is operational
| Ubiquitous internet nodes connect appliances, vehicles, etc.
| Robot insect spies are in military use
| Anti-fat drug is available
| The new World Trade Center is complete
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
9
2019
| Computers break the exaflop barrier
| Bionic eyes are commercially available
| Automated freight transport
| The Aral Sea disappears from the map
| Global oil demand exceeds 100 million barrels per day
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
10
2020 - 2022
2020 –
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2021 –
|
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Internet use reaches 5 billion worldwide
Texting by thinking
Complete organ replacements grown from stem cells
Holographic TV is mainstream
Wholly lifelike CGI
"Thoughtcrime" is becoming a reality
Fully reusable single-stage-to-orbit
2022 –
| Nanotech clothing enters the mass market
| Tooth regeneration is transforming dental care
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
11
2020-2025
2023 –Laser-driven fusion energy makes progress
2024 - The biggest refugee crisis in world history
2025| Medical Nanobots
becoming available
| Africa and the Middle East are linked by a
transcontinental bridge
| Progress with longevity extension
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
12
2026-2029
2026 –
|
|
Rising sea levels are wreaking havoc on the Maldives
The United States of Africa is established
2027 – BRICs (Brazil, Russia, India) &China. overtake the G7 nations
2028 –
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2029 –
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Printed electronics are ubiquitous
Amputees can regrow lost limb*
Automation of supermarkets
and retail environments
Intelligent advertising
Titan Saturn System Mission (TSSM)
Lake Chad disappears from the map
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
13
2030 – 2033
2030 –
| Global population is reaching crisis point
| India becomes the most populous country in the world
| Full weather modeling is perfected
2031 – Married couples are a minority
2032 –
| Manned mission to Mars
| 4th generation nuclear power
2033 –
| Hypersonic airliners are entering service
| Holographic wall
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
14
2035– 2039
2035
Holographic recreations of dead people
Robots are dominating the battlefield
2036 -- Bionic eyes that surpass human vision
2037 - Quantum computers are becoming available
2038 - Teleportation of complex organic molecules
2039 –
Full immersion virtual reality
US population reaches 400m
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
15
2040 – 2049
2040 - Clean energy is ubiquitous; fossil fuels becoming obsolete
2042 - Nanotech robot swarms are the latest in military hi-tech * \
2044 - Personal storage devices reach the zettabyte scale
2045 - Humans are becoming intimately merged with machines
2049 - Robots are a common feature of homes and workplaces
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
16
2050-2059
2050 –
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|
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45% of the Amazon rainforest has been destroyed
Smaller, faster, hi-tech automobiles
1 in 5 Europeans is Muslem
Continent-wide "supergrids" provide
much of the world's energy
2053 –
| Moore's Law reaches stunning new levels
| Genetically engineered "designer
babies" for the rich
2055 - Global population plateaus at 9bn
2057 – Handheld MRI scanners
2059 - Mars population reaches 100
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
17
2060-2069
2060 –
| Global mass migrations of refugees
| Global extinction rates are peaking
| Mining operations on the Moon
2062 - Nanofabricators enter the consumer market
2065 –
| Longevity treatments that can halt aging
| Invisibility suits are in military use
2067 - Male and female salaries are reaching parity
2069 - 100th anniversary of Apollo 11
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
18
2070-2079
2070 –
| Fusion power is becoming
widespread
| Expansion of Moon bases
2072 - Picotechnology is becoming
practical
2075 - The ozone layer has fully recovered
2076 - Unmanned probes to Sedna
2079 - Practical flying cars are entering the consumer market
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
19
2080-2082
2080
• Some humans are more non-biological than biological
• Construction of a transatlantic tunnel
• Polar bears face extinction
• Deadly heat waves plague Europe; traditional agriculture is
decimated
• 2082 - The USA cedes territory to Mexico
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
20
2083-2089
2083 - Hyper-intelligent computers
2084 - Androids are entering law
enforcement
2085 | Global currency
| Macro-scale teleportation is achieved
2085-2089 - Manned exploration of the Jovian system
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
21
2090S
2090 - Traditional religions are fading from European culture
2092 - West Antarctica is among fastest growing areas in the world
2095 - Manned exploration
of the Saturnian system
2099
| Sea levels are wreaking havoc around the world
| 83% of the Amazon rainforest has been lost
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
22
FUTURECAST
And now, what you all have been waiting for
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
23
2100 -2120
2100 –
• Nomadic floating cities are roaming the oceans
• The chemistry of Earth's oceans radically altered
2110 –
• Terraforming of Mars is underway
• Force fields are in military use
2115 - Femtoengineering is becoming possible
2120 –
• Mind uploading enters mainstream society
• The International Space Elevator is operational
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
24
2125-2170
2125 - Large-scale civilian settlement of the Moon is underway
2140 - Teleportation of large stationary objects is possible
2150 –
• Interstellar travel is becoming possible
• Androids physically indistinguishable from real humans
(guess who’s coming to dinner)
2170 - The first kilometre-sized
space station is complete
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
25
2180 - 2199
2180 –
• Antimatter power plants started coming online
• Asteroid terrorism
2190 - Matter replication devices
are available for the home
2195 –
• Global languages are becoming few in number now.
2199 - The West Antarctic ice sheet is beginning to disintegrate
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
26
2200-2220
2200 – Poverty, hunger and disease are being eradicated
worldwide
2210 - A global rewilding effort is underway
2220 –
• Mind uploading was available to a multitude of platforms
• The Light Year Array operational.
The Light Year Array is composed
of millions of automated radio
telescopes, constructed using
self-replicating nanotechnology.
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
27
2230-2250
2230 - Antimatter-fueled starships - sustained travel
at between 0.9 and 0.99c (90-99% lightspeed)
2240 - Christianity is fading from American culture
2240 - Christianity is fading from American culture
2250 – All of the Earth's natural energy is being
captured and harnessed in some way
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
28
2250 AND BEYOND
2250 late - Humanity is becoming a Type 1 civilisation on the
Kardashev scale. The scale is a theoretical method of measuring an
advanced civilization's level of technological advancement.
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
29
SIGNS OF KARDASHEV PROGRESS
 By this date, practically all of the Earth's natural energy is being
captured and harnessed in some way.
 Vast swathes of land, sea and atmosphere have been
transformed into a series of enormous power harvesters
 In space, a geodesic network of power-harvesting stations is now
in orbit
 Cyberspace, has supplanted physical reality completely, for many
people.
 Accelerated development of the Solar System leads to
settlements on Alpha Centauri, Barnard's Star and Wolf 359 in the
th3 24th and 25th centuries
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
30
2300 - SUPERHUMAN POWERS
 If in the year 2000, individuals would be impervious to harm

 They could manipulate their environment
 Groups could link and combine their powers to even greater
levels like lifting objects weighing of tons or changing weather
 Many citizens will have abandoned
their homes altogether and would
use booths or alcoves in the street,
to recharge and recuperate.
 Much of the Earth is now being
transformed into a gigantic computer
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
31
2500-4000AD
2500 AD - Mars has been terraformed
2750 AD - Venus has been terraformed
3100 AD - Humanity is becoming a Type 2 civilisation on the
Kardashev scale
3500 AD - Solar Ring particle
accelerator completed
4000 AD - Computer science is reaching its ultimate potential
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
32
10000-100000
10000 -15000 AD - The hypernova of Eta Carinae is affecting us
1,000,000 AD - Planet-sized computers & descendants of humanity
are becoming a Type 3 civilisation on the Kardashev scale
10,000,000 AD - T Pyxidis is threatening Earth with lethal levels of
gamma radiation
50,000,000 AD - Africa collides
with Europe
100,000,000 AD – Bu now contact has been made with an advanced
alien civilization of some kind, immigration laws too change
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
33
200000 - 3000000000
225,000,000 AD - Sol completes one galactic year
250,000,000 AD - A supercontinent is forming on Earth
600,000,000 AD - Total solar eclipses are no longer possible on
Earth
1,000,000,000 AD - Earth is becoming
too hot to support
liquid water
3,000,000,000 AD - The Andromeda Galaxy has begun to collide and
merge with our own Milky Way galaxy
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
34
5X 109 – 10X1028
5,000,000,000 AD - Sol is a red giant
12,000,000,000 AD - Sol has shrunk to become a black dwarf
1,000,000,000,000 AD - Star formation is declining in many galaxies
2,000,000,000,000 AD - Galaxies beyond the Local Supercluster are
no longer visible
20,000,000,000,000 AD - Red dwarf stars are dying
100,000,000,000,000 AD - The end of the stellar era
5X 109 – 10X1028AD - The degenerate era of the universe
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
35
1028 AD - THE END
The black hole era of the
universe
THE END
Hank Lederer & Brian Toren - 5/15/2010
36