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Stigler-Peltzman model Petr Gapko Course structure BLOCK 1 – REGULATION AS AN IMPLICATION OF MARKET IMPERFECTIONS BLOCK 2 – APPLIED REGULATORY POLICY (CZ, EU & USA) BLOCK 3 – REGULATION AS AN IMPLICATION OF THE POLITICAL PRESSURE OF INTEREST GROUPS BLOCK 4 – PRACTICAL APPLICATION (MICROSOFT CASE) Course structure BLOCK 3 – REGULATION AS AN IMPLICATION OF THE POLITICAL PRESSURE OF INTEREST GROUPS Stigler model, Becker model Recap of regulation theories source: http://www.clt.astate.edu/crbrown/reg3.htm The issue: What factors can explain why certain markets/industries are subject to economic regulation and others are not? Moreover, economic regulation produces winners and losers-what determines who wins and who loses? Here we present the essential features of three alternative theories of regulation, including The public interest theory The capture theory The economic theory Normative Theory as a Positive Theory According to the NTPT, regulation is the manifestation of political pressure brought to bear by the public, which demands that a market failure be corrected. NTPT - Examples Monopoly power enjoyed by railroad companies gave rise to discriminatory freight charges--to the detriment of farmers and industries located in remote areas. Interstate Commerce Commission (ICC) was created to correct for this market failure. Incompletely specified property rights create the possibility of externalities or spillovers (such as air pollution). Hence the Clean Air Act and regulation of firms by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). Criticism of NTPT Viscusi, Vernon, and Harrington state that NTPT puts forth the hypothesis that regulation occurs when it should occur because the potential for a net social welfare gain generates a public demand for regulation". They note, however, that "[m]any industries have been regulated that are neither natural monopolies nor plagued by externalities; for example, price and entry regulation in trucking, taxicab, and securities industries" The capture theory Government has "legal" coercive power and thus has monopoly control of the "supply" of regulation. Government regulation can protect incumbent firms from rivalrous price wars and prevent entry into lucrative markets. Since the regulated firm oftentimes has a more comfortable and profitable existence than the non-regulated firm, private companies "compete" for a scarce supply of regulation. The capture theory Though a regulatory agency may have been created with the (vague) intention of correcting market failures, as time goes by the agency is subject to "capture" by the firms they regulate. That is, the regulatory agency invariably tends to issue regulations that work to the advantage of regulated firms. The capture theory Regulated firms expend considerable resources to lobby the regulators. It is not uncommon for an official of a regulatory agency to wind up in a highpaying job with a firm that previously fell under their regulatory purview. The regulators may not want to antagonize the firms they regulate because they want to "keep their options open." Capture theory predicts that regulated firms will earn higher rates on return (on average) than non-regulated firms. Criticism of the Capture theory Does not supply a theoretical explanation of the process by which the regulators get captured. Does not square with the widespread practice of cross-subsidization in regulated industries. Cannot be reconciled with the long list of regulations adopted by regulatory agencies but opposed by regulated firms. Economic Theory of Regulation Regulation: a way how interest groups reach public benefit Assumptions when do interest groups do well The public wealth is not what’s going on Economic Theory of Regulation Original papers: Stigler, G. J.: The Theory of Economic Regulation, in: Stigler, G. J.: Chicago Studies in Political Economy, pp. 209-233, The University of Chicago Press, Chicago and London 1988 Peltzman, S.: Toward a More General Theory of Regulation, in: Stigler, G. J.: Chicago Studies in Political Economy, pp. 234-266, The University of Chicago Press, Chicago and London 1988 The Stigler - Peltzman model Presentation based on: http://www.clt.astate.edu/crbrown/peltzman.ppt Also known as the Economic Theory of Regulation (ET), here is Professor Peltzman's attempt to extend and improve upon Stigler’s "capture theory" of regulation. Suppositions of the ET Various groups (e.g., consumers and regulated firms) compete against each other in the political arena to increase their income and wealth, or to achieve other objectives (such as environmental cleanliness). That is, groups vie to shape regulatory initiatives in a way that will serve their own (sometimes narrowly-defined) interests. Agents are rational in choosing actions that are utility-maximizing. The basic hypothesis of the ET Regulation is one means by which state power can be exercised to the benefit of specific groups. Regulation is supplied by utilitymaximizing politicians and regulators in response to the demand for regulation by interest groups. Key assumption Those who control regulatory policy do so to maximize political support. Political support comes in the form of votes or campaign contributions. Optimal regulatory policy Let the political support function (M) be described by: M = M(R, ) Where R is rates established for the regulated service (e.g., electricity) by the regulatory authority (e.g., the New York Public Service Commission) and is the allowed level of profit earned by the regulated firm (e.g., New York Edison). Notice that M is inversely related to R, ceteris paribus, and directly related to , ceteris paribus. That is: M / R 0 and M / 0 In other words, regulators or politicians prefer to set low rates, other things being equal, since this strategy will garner political support from the customers of regulated firms. On the other hand, allowing the regulated firm to earn high profits (which would mean higher rates, by the way) puts the regulated in good stead with business and social elites that own/control regulated firms. Conflicting agendas • Thus we have two interest groups with conflicting agendas. Consumers want low rates; whereas regulated firms want high profits. •The politicians/regulators face a trade-off. If they allow higher profits, they gain political support from firms they regulate but lose support from consumers. The reverse is also true. This tradeoff is illustrated by the iso-political support function. •The iso-political support function illustrates all combinations of R’s and ’s that yield equal political support. M3 M2 M1 2 1 0 Note: M3 is preferred to M2, which is preferred to M1 R1 R2 Utility Rates per KWH M3 M2 M1 max 1 0 RC R* RM Profit function Utility Rates per KWH MC Regulators “captured” by consumers Stigler solution— Regulators “captured” by regulated industry max MF Profit function 0 RC RM Utility Rates per KWH We never see these extreme cases in practice. Rates established always fall between RC and RM. In states with powerful consumer advocacy groups (e.g., Wisconsin, Massachusetts), rates generally are closer to RC than in states with weak consumer advocacy (e.g., Mississippi) Highly probable that the regulator won’t choose monopolistic or competitive price Compromise: significant decrease of opposition with a small price movement P* -> P mon. : Izokvanty pol. podpory M(∏,p) ∏ opposition of consumers P* -> P konk. : ∏(p) opposition of the monopoly P konkur. P* P monopol Cena p Explain whether and how the regulation will be Heavily competitive environment & monopolistic price: pressure of consumers to change the regulation Heavily monopolistic environment & competitive price: pressure of the monopoly to change the regulation It’s not about a public wealth! Economic criterions used Next lecture: G. Becker: A Theory of Competition Among Pressure Groups for Political Influence