Download Investigating the Productivity of Singapore

Survey
yes no Was this document useful for you?
   Thank you for your participation!

* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project

Document related concepts

Fei–Ranis model of economic growth wikipedia , lookup

Chinese economic reform wikipedia , lookup

Ragnar Nurkse's balanced growth theory wikipedia , lookup

Economic growth wikipedia , lookup

Post–World War II economic expansion wikipedia , lookup

Transformation in economics wikipedia , lookup

Transcript
Asia Pacific Management Review (2004) 9(2), 323-333
Investigating the Productivity of Singapore
Liang-Hsuan Chen,∗ Tien Hua Yim-Teo∗∗ and Shaligram Pokharel∗∗∗
Abstract
Efficient resource use is important for a country in the competitive world. Higher productivity is usually associated with an enhanced standard of living. Among Southeast Asian
countries, Singapore has developed into a remarkable industrialized country since its independence in 1965. In order to understand the efficiency of resource use in Singapore, this paper
investigates the productivity of three main sectors: manufacturing, construction, and service,
from 1999 to 2001. Some characteristics of Singapore’s productivity are obvious. Labor productivities of both manufacturing and construction sectors are higher than their capital productivities, while the service sector has declined. Since more than half of the Gross Domestic
Product (GDP) is contributed by the service sector, and service capital productivity is much
higher than labor productivity in the service sector, the nationwide capital productivity is greater
than labor productivity.
Keywords: Productivity; Singapore; Resource utilization; Southeast Asia
1. Introduction
In the competitive global environment, the efficient use and allocation of
limited resources are important. Productivity is an index for measuring a
unit’s efficiency in transforming physical inputs to physical outputs [4].
Higher efficiency in the transformation process can create more values for a
nation as higher productivity is usually associated an enhanced standard of
living. Consequently, increasing productivity at the national level becomes a
major challenge to policymakers. The increase in productivity closely correlates with the performance of a nation’s competitiveness. In other words,
improving national productivity can increase national competitiveness.
A number of researchers have investigated national productivity with
specific sectors. For example, Chen et al. [4] presented a productivity diagnosis approach to find the productivity characteristics of the manufacturing
industry in Taiwan and to determine the relative output of a firm and its
shortcomings in managing resources. By studying the manufacturing sector
∗
Department of Industrial and Information Management, National Cheng Kung University,
Tainan, Taiwan, R.O.C.
∗∗
School of Electrical & Electronic Engineering, Nanyang Technological University, 50
Nanyang Avenue, Singapore
∗∗∗
School of Mechanical & Production Engineering, Nanyang Technological University, 50
Nanyang Avenue, Singapore
323
Liang-Hsuan Chen et al.
in Taiwan, Kao et al. [11] emphasized that productivity improvement cannot
be achieved only by technology. In their study effective management was
found to be an important, decisive factor. Grifell-Taqtjé and Lovell [7] examined the model of productivity change in Spanish banking over a period
of seven years. They found that commercial banks had a slightly lower rate
of productivity growth as compared to other business units in Spain. Boisso
et al. [3] has also contributed to the study of national productivity. For
Singapore, a number of researchers [1,5,6,8,9,15,17,19] have investigated
the impact of economic-related issues to productivity. As one of the Asian
“tigers,” Singapore has become one of the world’s most prosperous countries.
It is worth examining further Singapore’s characteristics of productivity.
Singapore was established as a British trading colony in 1819. It joined
the Malaysian Federation in 1963, and two years later it became an independent country. In 2003, Singapore’s population was estimated at 4.6 million
on an area of 692.7 sq km [21]. Singapore has transformed into a remarkable
industrialized country since 1965 [5], and has been achieving a high economic growth annually. In fact, Singapore has a Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
per capita similar to many OECD (Organization of Economic Cooperation
and Development) countries. In 2002, Singapore’s GDP was estimated at
US$ 112.4 billion and her real GDP growth at approximately 2.2% [21].
Figure 1 shows Singapore’s GDP per capita and the average ASEAN (Association of South-East Asian Nations) GDP per capita from 1996 to 2002 [20].
There exists a large difference between them.
Singapore’s GDP per capita ranks first in ASEAN. Singapore’s economy
depends on manufacturing, financial and business services, and commerce
[22]. In the manufacturing sector, electronics emerges as the most important
industry. Singapore also serves as a hub of financial and business services in
Southeast Asia. The government liberalized financial services and in 1997
announced its target as being the financial hub for the broader region [22].
Although Singapore was hit hard in 2001 by the global economic recession,
and by the slump in the technology sector [21], its economy remains fundamentally strong, and now the economy is recovering slowly.
Due to her great economic progress, the IMF (International Monetary
Fund) recognized Singapore as an advanced economic entity in 1997 [5].
The economic structure of the Singapore economy has been significantly
transformed, resulting in a vibrant manufacturing sector and a successful
financial-services sector. Her success could be attributed to the sound macroeconomic polices and the considerable development of her industrial inf-
324
GDP per
capita
GDP
per
capita
Asia Pacific Management Review (2004) 9(2), 323-333
30000
Singapore
Singapore
25000
20000
15000
10000
ASEAN
ASEAN
5000
0
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
Figure 1 The Trend of GDP Per Capita of Singapore and ASEAN
rastructure [17]. As an open and internationalized country, Singapore’s prosperity is highly dependent upon the sustained stability of the international
economic system [6], despite her efficient use of domestic resources. Scholars have mined Singapore’s productivity in important published research
[18]. Since productivity is closely related with national competitiveness, this
paper mainly investigates Singapore’s productivity from 1999 to 2001.
In the following sections, productivity measures are formulated. Then
the productivity of three important sectors in Singapore, namely manufacturing, construction, and service, are evaluated from 1999 to 2001. A conclusion from the study is provided in the final section.
2. Productivity Measure
Productivity is generally defined as the ratio of all outputs to all inputs
in monetary terms for measuring the transformation efficiency [2]. Depending on the inputs and outputs used, a number of productivity measures have
been proposed over the years. Among them, labor productivity (LP), capital
productivity (CP), and total factor productivity (TFP) are commonly used
[16]. Actually, LP and CP are partial productivity measures that provide an
insight to productivity from a particular viewpoint. However, they alone may
give deceptive clues regarding productivity level. The total factor productivity takes labor inputs and capital outputs into account, and therefore is
generally considered as a more comprehensive measure of productivity [12].
TFP has been applied in much productivity-related research [4,11]. For more
325
Liang-Hsuan Chen et al.
detailed analyses, this study employs the above three measures.
Firstly, TFP is defined as
Value-added
.
Labor inputs+Capital inputs
TFP =
(1)
For a business unit, value-added is the net contribution of its production
activity during a specific period. For a nation, value-added can be considered
as the net contribution generated by the nation’s economic activities over a
sustained period. Based on this definition, we use GDP (Gross Domestic
Product) as a nation’s value-added to ascertain its economic outcome, excluding the net factor income from the rest of the world. Labor inputs
include a variety of expenses related to employees. To evaluate a nation’s
labor inputs (NLI), we examined the remuneration of all employees in the
country. For ease in data collection, we use average remuneration per
employee and the number of employees in the country to obtain NLI during
a period, i.e.,
NLI = (average remuneration per employee) × (the number of employees
in the country).
Capital inputs for a firm include fixed capital inputs and working capital
inputs. For a nation, gross capital formation (GCF) can be used as capital
inputs in determining of TFP, since it includes foreign direct investments and
domestic direct investments. Based on the above definitions, a nation’s TFP
(NTFP) can be expressed as
GDP .
NLI + GCF
NTFP =
(2)
Similarly, a nation’s labor productivity (NLP) and capital productivity
(NCP) can be formulated as
NLP =
GDP
NLI
(3)
and
NCP =
GDP ,
GCF
respectively.
(4)
Substituting (3) and (4) into (2), we have
326
Asia Pacific Management Review (2004) 9(2), 323-333
NTFP =
.
1
1
1
+
NLP
NCP
(5)
As mentioned earlier, both NLP and NCP are partial indices, and increasing either will definitively enhance the NTFP. The investigation of NTFP
can be accomplished by examining NLP and NCP. Furthermore, analyzing
NTFP can also be assimilated into the productivity analyses of various sectors that contribute to the national total factor productivity. In general, a
nation’s GDP is attributed to five sectors, namely, agriculture, mining, manufacturing, construction, and services. It is worthwhile to examine each
sector’s productivity in order to understand its influence on NTFP. Similarly,
the total factor productivity, labor productivity, and capital productivity of
each sector are measured. For these measurements, the associated elements
of each sector’s productivity are used. As an example, the TFP of the manufacturing sector, TFPM, can be determined as
TFPM =
GDPM
,
LI M + GCFM
(6)
where GDPM is the GDP contributed by manufacturing sector, and LIM and
GCFM are the labor inputs (total remuneration) and gross capital formation
of the manufacturing sector, respectively. However, for a city-state like
Singapore, the contributions of GDP from agriculture and mining sectors are
minor. This makes the analyses of the above two sectors’ productivity negligible. Therefore, in this paper we only discuss productivity from manufacturing, construction, and service sectors.
3. Analysis
Based on the above definitions of productivity, three kinds of productivity, i.e., total factor productivity, labor productivity, and capital productivity, are measured in this section for Singapore and her three main sectors,
namely manufacturing, construction, and service.
Singapore’s total factor productivity, labor productivity, and capital productivity for the nationwide measures and her three main sectors are listed in
Table 1 and shown in Figures 2 to 5. The figures illustrate the trend for the
nationwide measures, manufacturing, construction, and service sectors in
1999, 2000, and 2001.
Although Singapore’s GDP had a negative growth in year 2001 due to
the global recession, both her NTFP and NLP maintained at almost the same
327
Liang-Hsuan Chen et al.
Table 1 The Labor Productivities, Capital Productivities, and Total Factor
Productivities of the Three Sectors from 1999 to 2001
Sector
Labor Productivity
Nationwide Capital Productivity
Productivity Total Factor
Productivity
Labor Productivity
Capital Productivity
Manufacturing
Total Factor
Productivity
Labor Productivity
Capital Productivity
Construction
Total Factor
Productivity
Labor Productivity
Capital Productivity
Service
Total Factor
Productivity
Year 1999 Year 2000 Year 2001
2.200
2.112
2.107
3.109
3.396
3.552
1.288
1.302
1.323
2.588
2.061
2.796
2.028
2.505
2.039
1.147
1.175
1.124
1.890
0.496
1.564
0.427
1.504
0.413
0.393
0.336
0.324
2.077
16.585
2.009
31.154
1.865
20.691
1.846
1.887
1.711
4
NCP
3.5
3
2.5
NLP
2
NTFP
1.5
1
1999
2000
Figure 2 Three Nationwide Productivity Measures of
Singapore in Years 1999, 2000, and 2001
328
2001
Asia Pacific Management Review (2004) 9(2), 323-333
3
2.8
2.6
2.4
2.2
2
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1
1999
LPM
CPM
TFPM
2000
2001
Figure 3 Three Productivity Measures of the Manufacturing
Sector in Years 1999, 2000, and 2001
2
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
1999
LPC
CPC
TFPC
2000
2001
Figure 4 Three Productivity Measures of the Construction
Sector in Years 1999, 2000, and 2001
329
Liang-Hsuan Chen et al.
CPS
30
25
20
15
10
TFPS
5
0
1999
2000
LPS
2001
Figure 5 Three Productivity Measures of the Service
Sector in Years 1999, 2000, and 2001
levels as those in 2000. Her NCP in 2001 was even larger than that in 2000.
This confirms the official statement that her resource use is efficient,
especially in capital use. From these nationwide productivity measures,
Singapore’s productivities appear competitive. With regard to productivity in
the manufacturing sector, labor productivity in 2001 was less than that in
2000. However, its total factor productivity and capital productivity maintained at an equitable level, even during the global economy recession.
This consistency could be ascribed to Singapore’s efforts in promoting
science and technology in the ‘90s. Its manufacturing base had been actively
promoted to produce more high-tech and knowledge-intensive products by a
concerted effort to upgrade the skills of the country’s labor force [10]. One
example is reflected in the semiconductor industry, which has played an
important role in the economic development of Singapore [14].
For the construction sector, as shown in Figure 4, labor productivity
obviously is greater than total factor productivity and capital productivity.
The construction sector has fewer labor inputs in comparison with capital
inputs. It can be inferred that construction industry in Singapore is highly
automated. Finally, the service sector has the largest capital productivity
among the three productivity measures. While total factor productivity and
labor productivity have similar levels, the levels of capital productivity are
much higher than either or both. Capital productivity of the sector decreased
dramatically in 2001, a year of global recession. However, based on her
330
Asia Pacific Management Review (2004) 9(2), 323-333
economic characteristics, Singapore’s service sector, its most important, contributes more than 60% to her GDP. The highest capital productivity shows
the high efficiency in managing capitals.
In addition, comparing the productivities of the three main sectors, labor
productivity is the largest in the manufacturing and construction sectors,
while capital productivity is much larger than the others in service sector.
This accounts for Singapore’s high nationwide capital productivity.
4. Conclusion
As one of Asian tigers, Singapore’s economic development is remarkable. Its GDP per capita is one of the highest in the world. As high economic
growth is usually related to the successful complementation of resources use,
this paper investigates Singapore’s performance by examining the productivity of manufacturing, construction, and service sectors in 1999, 2000, and
2001. The total factor productivity of the three sectors in the three years had
not changed greatly, even in the global recession year 2001. Manufacturing
and construction sectors’ labor productivities are greater than their capital
productivities, while for the service sector declined. Among productivities in
the three sectors, capital productivity in the service sector is the most significant of the three. Since the service sector contributes more than 60% to
the GDP, the nationwide capital productivity is greater than labor productivity. This may justify Singapore as a financial and business services hub in
the Southeast Asia.
References
[1]
[2]
[3]
[4]
[5]
Amsden, A.H., F.T. Tschang. 2003. A new approach to assessing the
technological complexity of different categories of R&D (with example from Singapore). Research Policy 32 553-572.
Bitran, G.R., L. Chang. 1984. Productivity measurement at the firm
level. Interfaces 14(3) 29-40.
Boisso, D., S. Grosskopf, K. Hayes. 2000. Productivity and efficiency
in the US: Effects of business cycles and public capital. Regional
Science and Economics 30 663-681.
Chen, L.H., C. Kao, S. Kuo, T.Y. Wang, Y.C. Jang. 1996. Productivity
diagnosis via fuzzy clustering and classification: An Application to
machinery industry. Omega-International Journal of Management
Science 24(3) 309-319.
Chang, J.H.Y. 2003. Culture, state and economic development in
Singapore. Journal of Contemporary Asia 33(1) 85-105.
331
Liang-Hsuan Chen et al.
[6]
[7]
[8]
[9]
[10]
[11]
[12]
[13]
[14]
[15]
[16]
[17]
[18]
[19]
[20]
Dent, C.M. 2002. Reconciling multiple economic multilateralisms: The
case of Singapore. Contemporary Southeast Asia 24(1) 146-165.
Grifell-Tatjé, E., C.A.K. Lovell. 1997. The sources of productivity
change in Spanish banking. European Journal of Operational Research
98 364-380.
Grunsven, L.V., C.V. Egeraat. 1999. Achievements of the industrial
‘high-road’ and clustering strategies in Singapore and their relevance to
European peripheral economies. European Planning Studies 7(2) 145171.
Hashimoto, Y. 2003. An empirical test of likelihood and timing of
speculative attacks: The case of Malaysia and Singapore. Japan and
the World Economy 15 245-259.
Heng, T.M., T.H. Chin, A. Choo. 2002. Mapping Singapore’s knowledge-based economy. Economic Survey of Singapore, 3rd quarter,
56-75.
Kao, C., L.H. Chen, T.Y. Wang, S. Kuo. 1995. Productivity improve
ment: efficiency approach vs effectiveness approach. Omega-International Journal of Management Science 23(2) 197-204.
Lieberman, M.B., L.J. Lau, M.D. Williams. 1990. Firm-level productivity and management influence: a comparison of US and Japanese
automobile producers. Management Science 36(10) 1193-1215.
Liu, J. 2002. Does wage inequality affect labor productivity? Some
evidence from manufacturing industries of Taiwan and South Korea.
Asia Pacific Management Review 7(4) 449-476.
Loy, C.B. 2002. China’s emerging semiconductor industry: What are
the implications for Singapore? Economic Survey of Singapore, 3rd
quarter, 76-95.
Pangarkar, N., H. Lim. 2003. Performance of foreign direct investment
from Singapore. International Business Review 12 601-624
Sumanth, D.J. 1984. Productivity Engineering and Management.
McGraw-Hill, New York.
Toh, M.H., C.S. Wong. 1999. Rates of return to education in Singapore.
Education Economics 7(3) 235-252.
Wu, F., T.J. Ping. 2002. Total factor productivity with Singaporean
characteristics: Adjusting for impact of housing investment and foreign
workers. Economic Survey of Singapore, 3rd quarter, 45-55.
Yeo, A.Y.C., D. Candidate. 2003. Examining a Singapore bank’s competitive superiority using importance-performance analysis. Journal of
American Academy of Business 3 155-161.
http://www.aseansec.org/macroeconomic/aq_gdp22.htm
332
Asia Pacific Management Review (2004) 9(2), 323-333
[21] http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/geos/sn.html
[22] http://www.uktradeinvest.gov.uk/singapore/profile/03_economic/econo
mic.shtml
333