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Calculating the Rate of Inflation Ä Ä Ä The consumer price index (CPI) measures the change in prices of yesterday’s goods and services relative to today’s dollar by holding quantities constant. The GDP deflator measures the purchasing power of yesterday’s dollar relative to today’s basket of goods and services by holding prices constant and using the current year quantities to calculate inflation. Both measures calculate the rate of change in inflation, but because different weights are used, they will generate different answers. Suppose an economy produces only two goods: food and clothing. In year 0, we multiply the price and quantity of food and the price and quantity of clothing. Next we add those numbers together to get the economy’s total nominal GDP for that year. Repeat the steps for year 1. Next we will use the CPI to calculate the rate of change in inflation. Remember that the CPI is a monthly measure of the basket of goods and services that only households purchase. Because the CPI measures how price levels have changed, we want to hold the quantities constant for each good from year 0 to year 1 to calculate real GDP. Multiply year 1’s price and year 0’s quantity to find the real GDP for year 1. www.compasslearning.com Copyright ã 2006, Thinkwell Corp. All Rights Reserved. 1188.doc –rev 11/07/2006 We choose year 0 as our base year to calculate the CPI. Because year 0 is the base year, the CPI for that year will be 100. Divide real GDP in year 1 by the real GDP in the base year and multiply by 100 to calculate the CPI for year 1. The CPI for year 1 is 154. Now that we have the CPIs for both year 0 and year 1, we can now use the equation on the left to calculate the rate of change in prices. We can see after multiplying the result by 100 that prices have risen by 54%. This percentage tells us that the basket of food and clothing in year 0 costs 54% more in year 1. Let’s now calculate inflation using the GDP deflator. Remember that the gross domestic product is the market value of all goods and services produced within a country in a given period of time. Recall our calculations of nominal GDP as shown on the left. By holding prices constant, we calculate the real GDPs for year 0 and year 1. Recall that the GDP deflator = (nominal GDP/real GDP) • 100. Remember that because year 0 is our base year, the GDP deflator for that year is 100. We calculate the GDP deflator for year 1 to be 161. www.compasslearning.com Copyright ã 2006, Thinkwell Corp. All Rights Reserved. 1188.doc –rev 11/07/2006 Using our formula again to calculate the rate of change in inflation, we find that inflation has risen 61% according to the GDP deflator. This means that year 1’s basket of goods and services at year 1’s prices costs 61% more than year 1’s basket at year 0’s prices. Consider the chart on the left. Using the GDP deflator, we calculated a 61% inflation rate, whereas the CPI yielded a 54% inflation rate. Because we used different weights to calculate these inflation rates, the answers will be different. www.compasslearning.com Copyright ã 2006, Thinkwell Corp. All Rights Reserved. 1188.doc –rev 11/07/2006