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International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 THE BURDEN OF CANCERS ATTRIBUTABLE TO INFECTIONS: WORDWIDE AND IN MONGOLIA Prof. P.Nymadawa, MD, PhD, DSc(Med), International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 THE BURDEN OF CANCERS ATTRIBUTABLE TO INFECTIONS: WORDWIDE AND IN MONGOLIA 1. Infectious agents causing cancers 2. Current prevalence of cancers attributable to infections and possibilities to take under control Академич П.Нямдаваа 2 International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 INFECTIOUS AGENTS LEADING TO CANCERS ( IARC, 2012) [M.Plummer et al. (2016), The lancet: Global Health, http://dx.doi.org/10.2016/S.2214-109X(16)-30143-7] Helicobacter pylori → stomach cancer HBV → hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) HCV → HCC HPV → cervix uteri cancer, vulvar carcinoma, penile carcinoma, vaginal carcinoma, anal carcinoma, carcinoma of oropharynx including tonsils and base of tongue, laryngeal cancer, cancer of oral cavity 5. EBV → Hodgkin’s lymphoma, Burkitt’s lymphoma [endemic in some countries of Africa], naso-pharyngeal carcinoma [endemic in South China and some countries of South-East Asia] 6. HHV-8 → Kaposi’s sarcoma 7. HTLV-1 → adult Т-cell leukaemia and lymphoma [endemic in some parts of Japan and Karibbean] 8. Opisthorchis viverrini → bile duct cancer [endemic in some countries of South-East Asia, like Thailand] 9. Clonorchis sinensis → bile duct cancer [endemic in South China and some countries of South-East Asia, like Kampuchi, Laos ] 10. Schistosoma haematolobium → bladder carcinoma [endemic in some countries Africa, South America and South-East Asia] 1. 2. 3. 4. Академич П.Нямдаваа 3 International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 THE BURDEN OF CANCERS ATTRIBUTABLE TO INFECTIONS: WORDWIDE AND IN MONGOLIA 1. Infectious agents causing cancers 2. Current prevalence of cancers attributable to infections and possibilities to take under control Академич П.Нямдаваа 4 “Халдварт өвчний тулгамдсан асуудал, шийдвэрлэх арга зам: мэдээллээс үйлдэлрүү” Олон улсын эрдэм шинжилгээний хурал, Улаанбаатар, Блү Скай Төв, 2016.10.20-21 PREVALENCE OF CANCERS CAUSED BY INFECTIOUS AGENTS: WORLDWIDE, BY TYPES OF CANCERS (http://canceratlas.cancer.org/risk-factors/infection/) Академич П.Нямдаваа 5 International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 PREVALENCE OF CANCERS CAUSED BY INFECTIOUS AGENTS: WORLDWIDE, BY COUNTRIES (2012: IARC/GLOBOCAN) [M.Plummer et al. (2016), The lancet: Global Health, http://dx.doi.org/10.2016/S.2214-109X(16)-30143-7] Академич П.Нямдаваа 6 International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 DISTRIBUTION OF REGISTERED CASES OF H.pylori DETECTION AND GASTRIC CARCINOMA: WORDWIDE, PER 100 000 POPULATION, 2012 - So far there is no vaccine against H.pylori infection; - There are existing effective diagnostic tests to detect early infection and medicaments to cure fully the infection before development of gastric carcinoma; - There is no special program in Mongolia to detect and cure H.pylori infection to prevent gastric carcinoma; Академич П.Нямдаваа 7 International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION OF THE REGISTERED HCC : WORLDWIDE, per 100 000 POPULATION, 2012 [http://globocan.iarc.fr/old/FactSheets/cancers/liver-new.asp] Академич П.Нямдаваа 8 International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 DISTRIBUTION OF THE REGISTERED HBV [HBsAg+] INFECTION, WORLDWIDE [http://www.medsci.org/ms/getimage.php?name=ijmsv02p0050g01.gif} Академич П.Нямдаваа 9 International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 DEPENDENCE OF HBV PERSISTENCE FROM THE AGE OF INFECTION [M.Kane , In: Hepatitis B in the Asian-Pacific Region, Ed.A.Zuckerman, v.2, % of a risk becoming HBV carrier RCPL, 1998, p.101-110;] During the birth 1-6 months 7-12 months 1-4 years Above 5 years Age of infection Академич П.Нямдаваа 10 International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 HCC cumulative index CORRELATION BETWEEN HBV-BURDEN AND HCC Term of observation (years) Chen et al; JAMA 2006 Академич П.Нямдаваа 11 International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 CHARACTERISTICS OF HBV ANTIVIRALS RELEASED FOR PRESCRIPTION [P.P.Batu et al (2012): http://file.scirp.org/Html/3-1320086_19608.htm] Академич П.Нямдаваа 12 International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 VIRAL HEPATITIS MORBIDITY DYNAMICS AND TRENDS IN MONGOLIA, 1952-2020 300 250 200 8 1952: Registration, obligatory reporting of “infectious jaundice” cases 1987: First field trial of HepB vaccine 7 1971: Introduction of HBsAg detection tests into health service 6 5 150 4 3 100 2012: First field trial of HepA vaccine 50 2 1 0 0 1952 1957 1962 1967 Morbidity per 10,000 1972 1977 CI 95% 1982 Trend 1987 1992 HCC 1997 2002 Trend HCC 2007 2012 2017 CI 95% HCC Prof.P.Nymadawa, MD, PhD, DSc(Med), MAMS 13 International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 AGE DISTRIBUTION OF REGISTERED VIRAL HEPATITIS CASES IN DIFFERENT PERIODS 1981-1990 (average) 2001-2010 (average) 1991-2000 (average) 1% 7% 20% 25% 26% 30% 38% 6% 10% 13% 55% 16% 29% 26% 0-1 нас 1-4 нас 5-9 нас 10-14 нас 15-с дээш Академич П.Нямдаваа 14 International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 STRATEGY OF ERADICATION OF VIRAL HEPATITIS B IN MONGOLIA (P.Nymadawa, 1990; +2009, +2015) I stage: 1990-1992 – Hep B vaccination trials (1987-1990) – Shift to use disposable syringes and needles for all injectable vaccines (1991) – establishment of local production capacity for disposable syringes and needles (1990-1994) – Development of local technology of production for Hep B vaccine and diagnostic kits for HBV detection (1987-1993) II stage: 1993-2000 (2010) – obligatory vaccination with Hep B vaccine of all newborns (1993/1991) – Shift to use disposable syringes and needles for all injections (1996) – Local production of Hep B vaccine and some diagnostic kits (from 1993) III stage: (2001 -2020 ) from 2015 – Screening of all pregnant women for HBsAg and HBeAg; if positive, treatment with Tenofovir from 28th week of pregnancy and administration of Hep B vaccine first dose with anti-HBV-HIG – immunization with HepB vaccine all health workers and medical students – Cure of HBV carriers (appropriate antiviral chemotherapy: Tenofovir, Entacavir depending on HBV concentration) – Early diagnosis and cure of HCC: (regular screening for AFP concentration in HBV carriers; ultrasonografic screening of liver in case of AFP concentration level 2 times and more over the normal range; treat with Tenofovir and surgical removal of cancer nodes within 0.5 cm diameter) Prof.P.Nymadawa, MD, PhD, DSc(Med), MAMS 15 International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 anti-HCV PREVALENCE: WORLDWIDE[F.Gower et al., J.Hepatol., 2014] Академич П.Нямдаваа 16 International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 NATURAL HISTORY OF HCV INFECTION [http://hepatitiscnewdrugresearch.com/hepatitiscnewdrugresearch.com16624644434cf7073079610/natural-history-of-hcv.html] Академич П.Нямдаваа 17 International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 аnti-HCV in DIFFERENT AGE GROUPS: in MONGOLIA and the NETHERLANDS V.Saraswat,, et al. (2015): Historical epidemiology of HCV infections in selected countries, JVH, 22(s1):6-25; (http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jvh.12350/full); Академич П.Нямдаваа 18 International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 MODELLING of DECREASE OF HEPATITIS SEQUALAE in MONGOLIA USING of DAA E.Gane, et al (2015): Strategies to manage hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection disease burden, JVH, 22(s1):46-73; (http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jvh.12352/full) Академич П.Нямдаваа 19 International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 DISTRIBUTION CANCERS CAUSED BY HPV http://www.ansci.wisc.edu/jjp1/ansci_repro/misc/project_websites_07/tue07/HPV_Vac cine/What%20is%20HPV.html Академич П.Нямдаваа 20 International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 GEOGRAPHICAL PREVALENCE OF CERVICAL CANCER REGISTERED CASES WORLDWIDE (per 100 000 population, 2012) [http://globocan.iarc.fr/old/FactSheets/cancers/cervix-new.asp] Академич П.Нямдаваа 21 International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 HIGH-RISK HPV GENOTYPES FOR CERVICAL CANCER: WORLDWIDE [http://www.seegene.com/neo/en/support/story/story33.php] Академич П.Нямдаваа 22 International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 MORTALITY FROM CERVICAL CANCER, WORLDWIDE (per 100 000 population, 2012) [http://globocan.iarc.fr/old/FactSheets/cancers/cervix-new.asp] Академич П.Нямдаваа 23 International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 NATURAL HISTORY OF HPV INFECTION [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Genital_HPV_infection_incidence_graph.png] Академич П.Нямдаваа 24 International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 HPV PREVALENCE in MONGOLIA: BY AGE GROUPS AND CLINICAL MANIFESTATIONS [G.Binderya, in the Materials of this Conference, 2016] Total HPV positivity 35.7% Академич П.Нямдаваа 25 International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 HPV GENOTYPES DETECTED in MONGOLIA: ГЕНОТИПЭЭР [G.Binderya, in the Materials of this Conference, 2016] HPV subtype prevalence among HPV positive (%) 16.0 14.7 14.0 12.0 11.1 10.7 10.1 10.0 8.8 8.1 8.0 7.2 6.8 7.5 7.5 7.5 6.8 6.5 6.5 6.2 6.0 5.2 4.6 4.0 5.5 5.2 3.9 5.9 6.5 6.2 4.2 3.6 3.3 3.3 2.0 0.0 0.0 Академич П.Нямдаваа 26 International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 HPV VACCINATION: RELIABLE METHOD OF PREVENTION FOR CERVICAL CANCER - Gardasil®, Merck HPV 6, 11, 16, 18 - Cervarix®, GlaxoSmithKline HPV 16, 18 WHO Recommendation: 2 doses of any vaccine with 6 months interval between 9 and 15 years old girls http://www.who.int/reproductivehealth/topics/cancers/fight-cervical-cancer/en/ Академич П.Нямдаваа 27 International Conference “Tackling Infectious Diseases: Information for Action” Ulaanbaatar, Blue Sky Tower, Oct.20-21, 2016 THANK YOU FOR YOUR KIND ATTENTION Академич П.Нямдаваа 28