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BURUNDI BURUNDI AND SOCIO-POLITICAL ENVIROMENT • • • • The Civil War of Burundi 1993 – 2005 In 2005 Pierre Nkuruziza was elected as a President of Burundi. Between 2005–2015 the socio-political enviroment was stable in Burundi. In 2015 new unrest emerged after Pierre Nkuruziza annouced that he would seek a third term in the office. YEAR Source: World Bank national accounts data, and OECD National Accounts data files. 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 (annual %) GDP GROWTH GDP GROWTH (ANNUAL %) 8 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 -10 GDP (PPP, constant 2011 international $) 9,000,000,000 8,000,000,000 7,000,000,000 5,000,000,000 4,000,000,000 3,000,000,000 2,000,000,000 1,000,000,000 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 GDP 6,000,000,000 YEAR Source: World Bank, International Comparison Program database. GDP GROWTH & GDP per capita GROWTH (ANNUAL %) 8 6 4 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 -10 -12 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 GROWTH % 2 YEAR GDP growth (annual %) GDP per capita growth (annual %) Source: World Bank national accounts data, and OECD National Accounts data files. GDP per capita (PPP, constant 2011 international $) 1200 800 600 400 200 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 GDP per capita 1000 YEAR Source: World Bank, International Comparison Program database. POPULATION 12 10 6 4 2 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 (in millions) POPULATION 8 YEAR Source: ( 1 ) United Nations Population Division. World Population Prospects, ( 2 ) Census reports and other statistical publications from national statistical offices, ( 3 ) Eurostat: Demographic Statistics, ( 4 ) United Nations Statistical Division. Population and Vital Statistics Report ( various years ), ( 5 ) U.S. Census Bureau: International Database, and ( 6 ) Secretariat of the Pacific Community: Statistics and Demography Program. BURUNDI AND POPULATION • A small sized country (27,834 km2.) • However it’s population is estimated to be high as 11,178,92 (UN, 2015). • Population density of 401.6/km2. • Second most populated country in Africa (World Bank, 2016). BURUNDI AND AGRICULTURE • Subsistence farming is the main livelihood in Burundi. • Agriculture represents more or less 50 % of the Burundi’s gross domestic product (EEAS, 2017). • Agriculture employs 90 % of the population even though the land, which is suitable for cultivation, is an extremely scarce resourse. (World Bank, 2016). POVERTY HEADCOUNT at national poverty lines (% of population) 67.1 64.6 Poverty headcount 2006 2014 Source: World Bank, Global Poverty Working Group. Data are compiled from official government sources or are computed by World Bank staff using national ( i.e. country–specific ) poverty lines MEAN INCOME ($/month) 1992 1998 Source: World Bank, Development Research Group. Data are based on primary household survey data obtained from government statistical agencies and World Bank country departments. 47.7378 39.2921 42.7968 MONTHLY MEAN INCOME (PPP, dollars) 2006 (world bank estimate) 46.35 GINI index 33.33 33.36 GINI index 1992 1998 Source: World Bank, Development Research Group. Data are based on primary household survey data obtained from government statistical agencies and World Bank country departments. 2006 BURUNDI AND THE PROBLEMS TO SOLVE • If the the current socio-political climate lingers in Burundi, then the future of development in Burundi can be expected to be modest (African Economic Outlook, 2016). • Population growth explains why the GDP per capita has not increased in Burundi even though GDP has. • only 5 % of households have an access to electricity and there can be only a little development on private sector due the lack of electricity (EEAS, 2017). • Manufacturing sector is highly underdeveloped (Eggers, 2006: 35–36). • agricultural production is inefficient (EEAS, 2017). • corruption is on a high level (EEAS, 2017). • THANK YOU