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Hamilton’s Method of Apportionment -A bundle of contradictions?? Hamilton’s Method Examples Problems 1 Hamilton’s Method: Example #1 We will begin these applications by creating a chart with 6 columns Label the columns as seen here... State population SQ LQ Rank Apmt The ORANGE type indicates that these columns will be labeled apportionment appropriately for the given application. The number of rows will depend on the number of “states”. 2 Hamilton’s Method: Vocabulary & Example APPLICATION: Mathland is a small country that consists of 3 states; Algebra, Geometry, and Trigonometry. The populations of the 3 states will be given in the chart. Suppose that one year, their government’s representative body allows 176 seats to be filled. The number of seats awarded to each state will be determined using Hamilton’s Method of apportionment. 3 Hamilton’s Method: State Algebra Geometry Trig population 9230 8231 139 TOTAL: #seats SD: 176 *handout Vocabulary & Example SQ LQ Rank #reps 4 Hamilton’s Method: State Use the Algebra given information Geometry to calculate Trig the TOTAL population TOTAL: and the #seats “standard divisor” SD: Vocabulary & Example population 9230 8231 SQ LQ Rank #reps 139 17600 176 100 The Standard Divisor is the “number of people per representative” [calculated by dividing TOTAL by #seats] Here, the SD means that for every 100 people a state will receive 1 representative 5 Hamilton’s Method: Vocabulary & Example The State STANDARD Algebra QUOTA Geometry is the exact Trig quotient upon dividing a TOTAL: state’s #seats population SD: by the SD population 9230 8231 139 SQ LQ Rank #reps 17600 176 100 The SQ is the exact # of seats that a state would be allowed if fractional seats could be awarded. Notice that the “# of seats awarded” can also be thought of 6 as the “# of representatives” for a state. Hamilton’s Method: Vocabulary & Example The STANDARD QUOTA is the exact quotient upon dividing a state’s population by the SD State Algebra Geometry Trig population 9230 8231 139 TOTAL: #seats 17600 176 SD: 100 SQ LQ Rank #reps 92.3 82.31 1.39 For example… The SQ for Algebra is: 9230/100 = 92.3 The SQ for Geometry is: 8231/100 = 82.31 etc… You will note that, very often, the values upon division must be rounded. There is a danger in rounding to too few decimal places, as the decimal values will be used to determine which states are awarded the 7 remaining seats. Hamilton’s Method: Vocabulary & Example State The LOWER Algebra QUOTA Geometry is the integer Trig part of the SQ TOTAL: #seats SD: population 9230 8231 139 SQ 92.3 82.31 1.39 LQ Rank 92 82 1 #reps 17600 176 100 For example… The LQ for Algebra is: 92 etc… It may be thought of as “rounding down” to the lower of the two integers the SQ lies between. 8 Hamilton’s Method: Vocabulary & Example If each state State was Algebra awarded its Geometry LQ, Trig What would the total # of seats TOTAL: apportioned #seats be? SD: population 9230 8231 139 17600 176 SQ 92.3 82.31 1.39 LQ Rank 92 82 1 #reps 175 100 That leaves 1 seat empty! And we certainly can’t have that! 9 Hamilton’s Method: Vocabulary & Example The 1 empty seat will be awarded by ranking the decimal portions of the SQ. State Algebra Geometry Trig population 9230 8231 139 TOTAL: #seats 17600 176 SD: 100 SQ 92.3 82.31 1.39 LQ Rank 92 82 1 1st #reps 175 Since we only have 1 seat to fill, we need only rank the highest decimal portion. 10 Hamilton’s Method: Vocabulary & Example So, in this application, the state with the highest decimal portion is awarded its UPPER QUOTA State Algebra Geometry Trig population 9230 8231 139 TOTAL: #seats 17600 176 SD: 100 SQ 92.3 82.31 1.39 LQ Rank 92 82 1 1st 175 #reps 92 82 2 176 The Upper Quota is the first integer that is higher that the SQ. It may be thought of as “rounding up” to the higher of the two integers the SQ lies between. And now the TOTAL # reps is equal to the allowable #seats! 11 HAMILTON’S METHOD Try the next one on your own! 12 13 State Population SQ LQ Rank A 45,300 45.3 45 45 B 31,070 31.07 31 31 C 20,490 20.49 20 D 14,160 14.16 14 14 E 10,260 10.26 10 10 F 8720 8.72 8 1st TOTAL 130,000 # Seats 130 128 2 extra seats SD 1000 2nd Rep 21 9 14 HAMILTON’S METHOD The ALABAMA PARADOX 15 Hamilton’s Method seems simple enough... So, what’s the problem? The only confusion might occur if two decimal values are the same and both can not be ranked. In that case, usually the state with the higher integer value would be awarded the extra seat.. Problems may occur when Hamilton’s Method is used repeatedly in an application which has certain changes (in # of seats, populations, and/or # of states) over a period of time. 16 Hamilton’s Method seems simple enough... APPARENT CONTRADICTIONS... Think about this… As our country was continuing to grow in the 18th & 19th centuries, the number of SEATS in the USHR continued to increase. Suppose that one election year, though a new census had not been taken, Congress decided to ADD a seat in the HR So, with populations unchanged, a reapportionment is done. What results would make sense??? Some state would gain a seat, while all others remain the same. 17 Hamilton’s Method seems simple enough... APPARENT CONTRADICTIONS... Of course, that would make perfect sense. And much of the time, that’s what occurs… However, in 1881, this very thing happened But... upon reapportionment, the state of Alabama actually LOST a seat, even though its population had not been recalculated!1 A contradiction to the logical solution of a problem is called a PARADOX. 1. For All Practical Purposes, 4th ed., COMAP, W.H. Freeman, 1997 18 Hamilton’s Method: ALABAMA PARADOX example *handout State Algebra population 9230 Geometry Trig 8231 139 TOTAL: #seats SD: 17600 177 SQ LQ Rank #reps Reapportionment of Mathland representative body with change in # seats. 19 Hamilton’s Method: ALABAMA PARADOX example State Algebra population 9230 Geometry Trig 8231 139 TOTAL: #seats SD: 17600 177 99.44 Remember: SD = Total population/ #seats SQ = state population/ SD SQ 92.82 82.77 1.40 LQ Rank 92 1st 82 1 175 2nd #reps 93 83 1 177 to Used have 2 reps! Values were rounded to fit in the chart after determining that it would not change the rankings. 20 Hamilton’s Method: ALABAMA PARADOX example State Algebra Geometry population 9230 8231 SQ 92.82 Trig 139 1.40 TOTAL: #seats 17600 177 SD: 99.44 82.77 LQ Rank 92 1st 82 2nd 1 175 #reps 93 83 1 Used to 177 have 2 reps! The ALABAMA PARADOX occurs when: The number of seats is increased, and, although there has been no re-calculation of populations, a state loses a seat upon re-apportionment 21 HAMILTON’S METHOD The POPULATION PARADOX 22 Hamilton’s Method POPULATION PARADOX EXAMPLE... EXAMPLE part 1: The Mathematics Department at Mathland U. plans to offer 4 graduate courses during the Fall semester. They are allowed to schedule 25 class sections, and wish to apportion these sections using Hamilton’s Method. The projected enrollments are given in the chart on the following slide... 23 Hamilton’s Method: Population Paradox Course Math A Math B Proj. Enrol. 400 90 Math C Math D 225 200 SQ LQ Rank *handout#1 #sect. TOTAL: total#sect.: 25 SD: Mathland U. Graduate course apportionment for Fall Semester 24 Hamilton’s Method: Population Paradox Course Math A Math B Proj. Enrol. 400 90 Math C Math D 225 200 TOTAL: 915 25 36.6 total#sect.: SD: SQ LQ Rank 10.929 10 1st 2.459 2 6.148 5.464 6 5 23 2nd *solution#1 #sect. 11 2 6 6 25 Mathland U. Graduate course apportionment for Fall Semester 25 Hamilton’s Method POPULATION PARADOX EXAMPLE... EXAMPLE part 2: The Mathematics Department at Mathland U. also plans to offer 4 graduate courses during the Spring semester. Once again, they are allowed to schedule 25 class sections, and wish to apportion these sections using Hamilton’s Method. The Spring semester projected enrollments are given in the chart on the following slide... 26 Hamilton’s Method: Population Paradox Course Math A Math B Proj. Enrol. 400 99 Math C Math D 225 211 SQ LQ Rank *handout#2 #sect. TOTAL: total#sect.: 25 SD: Mathland U. Graduate course apportionment for Spring Semester 27 Hamilton’s Method: Population Paradox Course Math A Math B Proj. Enrol. 400 99 Math C Math D 225 211 TOTAL: 935 25 37.4 total#sect.: SQ LQ Rank 10.695 10 1st 2.647 2 2nd 6.106 5.642 6 5 *solution#2 #sect. 11 3 6 5 23 25 Gained SD: the most students, Mathland U. Graduate course apportionment but lost for SPRING Semester a section! 28 Hamilton’s Method: Population Paradox Course Math A Math B Proj. Enrol. 400 99 Math C Math D 225 211 TOTAL: 935 25 37.4 total#sect.: SD: SQ LQ Rank 10.695 10 1st 2.647 2 2nd 6.106 5.642 *solution#2 #sect. 11 3 6 5 6 5 23 25 The POPULATION PARADOX occurs when: The “population” of a “state” increases, but it loses a seat upon re-apportionment. 29 HAMILTON’S METHOD The NEW-STATES PARADOX 30 Hamilton’s Method NEW-STATES PARADOX EXAMPLE... EXAMPLE part 3: During the Fall semester following the one mentioned in EXAMPLE part 1, the Mathematics Department at Mathland U. plans to offer 5 graduate courses. They decide to schedule 28 class sections, due to the addition of the new course, and, once again, wish to apportion these sections using Hamilton’s Method. The projected enrollments for the 5 classes are given in the chart on the following slide... 31 Hamilton’s Method: New-States Paradox Course Math A Math B Proj. Enrol. 400 90 Math C Math D Math E 225 200 120 SQ LQ Rank *handout#3 #sect. TOTAL: total#sect.: 28 SD: Mathland U. Graduate course apportionment for New Fall Semester 32 Hamilton’s Method: New-States Paradox Course Math A Math B Proj. Enrol. 400 90 Math C Math D Math E 225 200 120 TOTAL: 1035 28 36.964 total#sect.: SD: SQ LQ Rank 10.821 10 1st 2.435 2 2nd 6.087 5.411 3.246 *solution#3 #sect. 11 3 6 5 3 6 5 3 26 28 Used to have 2 sections Used to have 6 sections Mathland U. Graduate course apportionment for New Fall Semester 33 Hamilton’s Method: New-States Paradox The NEW-STATES PARADOX occurs when: The total “population” changes due to the addition of a new “state” The “# of seats” changes appropriately using the old apportionment And, though the populations of the original “states” remain unchanged, An original state loses a “seat” upon reapportionment and/or another original state gains a seat upon reapportionment. 34 Hamilton’s Method… then what? Remember that Hamilton’s Method of apportionment is very useful and easy. Even though these paradoxes can occur, they happen infrequently and do not invalidate the method. Next class we will explore two other methods of apportionment that were proposed. 35