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AP STATISTICS (SECONDARY) ESSENTIAL UNIT 5 (E05) (RANDOM VARIABLES) (July 2012) Unit Statement: The student will identify discrete random and continuous random variables and their characteristics and how to transform and combine random variables. The student will also explore binomial and geometric random variables and their characteristics. Essential Outcomes: (Assessed for Mastery) 1. The Student Will use a probability distribution to answer questions about possible values of a random variable. [6.1] 2. TSW calculate and interpret in context the mean of a discrete random variable. [6.1] 3. TSW describe the effects of transforming a random variable by adding or subtracting a constant and multiplying or dividing by a constant. [6.2] 4. TSW find the mean and standard deviation of the sum or difference of independent random variables. 5. TSW determine whether two random variables are independent. [6.2] 6. TSW find probabilities involving the sum or difference of independent Normal random variables. [6.2] 7. TSW determine whether the conditions for a binomial random variable are met in order to determine whether to compute and interpret probabilities involving binomial distributions. [6.3] 8. TSW calculate the mean and standard deviation of a binomial random variable and interpret these values in context. [6.3] 9. TSW find probabilities involving geometric random variables. [6.3] Suggested Materials: Text: The Practice of Statistics (4th edition), by Starnes, Yates, and Moore, W. H. Freeman & Co., 2012. ISBN-13: 978-1-4292-4559-3, Instructor’s Resource Guide, The Practice of Statistics, Fourth Edition, 2012, Graphing Calculator: TI-Nspire™ CX CAS 31 AP STATISTICS (SEC) E05 Copyright © 2011-2012 Graphing Technology Guide for Precalculus and Calculus, by Levy, published by Houghton Mifflin, 2001, ISBN 0-618-07287-X, Publisher’s Code 3-30431 TPS web site 4th edition: http://bcs.whfreeman.com/tps4e 3rd edition: http://bcs.whfreeman.com/tps3e For practice of AP Statistics Exams, Section II (Free Response), past papers can be downloaded free from the College Board AP website: http://apcentral.collegeboard.com From the above webpage, teachers should follow links to the Course Home Page for AP Statistics. In addition to past papers, this page contains a lot of helpful information about the course, including the most up-to-date Course Description. There are vast sources of material for real life activities on websites such as: AP Central: AP Statistics Course Home Page http://apcentral.collegeboard.com/apc/public/courses/teachers_corner/2151.html Rossman and Chance’s java applets www.rossmanchance.com/applets ARTIST Assessment Resources https://app.gen.umn.edu/artist/index.html NCSSM Statistics Institutes http://courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/links_to_all_stats_institutes.htm Jason Molesky’s StatsMonkey Page http://web.mac.com/statsmonkey/ Larry Green’s statistics review site http://www.ltcconline.net/greenl/java/index.html#Statistics Against All Odds video series http://www.learner.org/resources/series65.html Statistics video toolkit http://www.whfreeman.com/catalog/static/whf/statisticsvtk/ Rice Virtual Lab in Statistics http://onlinestatbook.com/rvls.html The Data and Story Library http://lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL/ Exploring Data: Rex Boggs’ outstanding resources site in Australia http://exploringdata.net/ CAUSEWeb http://www.causeweb.org/ 32 AP STATISTICS (SEC) E05 Copyright © 2011-2012 Assignments: [6.1] Page 353 - 357 {1, 5, 7, 9, 13, 14, 18, 19, 23, 25} [6.2] Page 378 – 382 {27-30, 37, 39-41, 43, 45, 49, 51, 57-59, 63} [6.3] Page 403 - 406 {61, 65, 66, 69, 71, 73, 75, 77, 79, 81, 83, 85, 87, 89, 93, 95, 97, 99, 101-103} Chapter 6 Review, Pg. 408 – 409, Chapter 6 Review Exercises RUBRICS AND PACING CHARTS FOUND ON FOLLOWING PAGES………………. 33 AP STATISTICS (SEC) E05 Copyright © 2011-2012 ESSENTIAL UNIT 5 (E05) RUBRIC Exploring Data (JULY 2012) ‘A’ Level Mastery Uses a probability distribution to answer questions about possible values of a random variable. TSW #1 [6.1] TSW #2 [6.1] TSW #3 [6.2] TSW #4 [6.2] TSW #5 [6.2] TSW #6 [6.3] TSW #7 [6.3] TSW #8 [6.3] ‘B’ Level Mastery Interprets the mean of a random variable in context. Determines whether two random variables are independent. Interprets probabilities involving binomial distributions in context. Interprets the mean and standard deviation of a binomial random variable in context. TSW #9 [6.3] Calculates the mean of a discrete random variable. B Level Not Achieved. Describes the effects of transforming a random variable by adding or subtracting a constant and multiplying or dividing by a constant. Finds the mean and standard deviation of the sum or difference of independent random variables. Define independent and dependent variable. B Level Not Achieved. Finds probabilities involving the sum or difference of independent Normal random variables. Determines whether the conditions for a binomial random variable are met. B Level Not Achieved. B Level Not Achieved. B Level Not Achieved. B Level Not Achieved. Computes probabilities involving binomial distributions. Calculates the mean and standard deviation of a binomial random variable. B Level Not Achieved. Finds probabilities involving geometric random variables. B Level Not Achieved. 34 AP STATISTICS (SEC) E05 Copyright © 2011-2012 ‘P’ in progress B Level Not Achieved. AP STATISTICS RUBRIC FOR ESSENTIAL UNIT 5 (E05) Name______________________________________ Date _____________ ‘A’ = ‘B’ = ‘IP’ = To earn an A for the unit, the student will have all of the B’s marked as well as two or more A’s. To earn a B for the unit, the student will have all of the B’s marked and one or no A’s marked. If even one box in the IP column is marked, the grade is ‘In Progress’ ‘A’ TSW 1 TSW 2 TSW 3 TSW 4 TSW 5 TSW 6 TSW 7 TSW 8 TSW 8 Uses a probability distribution to answer questions about possible values of a random variable. Calculates the mean of a discrete random variable. Interprets the mean of a random variable in context. Describes the effects of transforming a random variable by adding or subtracting a constant and multiplying or dividing by a constant. Finds the mean and standard deviation of the sum or difference of independent random variables. Defines independent and dependent variables Determines whether two random variables are independent. Finds probabilities involving the sum or difference of independent Normal random variables. Determines whether the conditions for a binomial random variable are met. Computes probabilities involving binomial distributions. Interprets probabilities involving binomial distributions in context. Calculates the mean and standard deviation of a binomial random variable. Interprets the mean and standard deviation of a binomial random variable in context. Finds probabilities involving geometric random variables. 35 AP STATISTICS (SEC) E05 Copyright © 2011-2012 ‘B’ ‘IP’ Unit Pace for Chapter 6 Day Topics Objectives: Students will be able to… Use a probability distribution to answer questions about possible values of a random variable. Calculate the mean of a discrete random variable. Interpret the mean of a random variable in context. Homework 1 Chapter 6 Introduction, 6.1 Discrete random Variables, Mean (Expected Value) of a Discrete Random Variable 2 6.1 Standard Deviation (and Variance) of a Discrete Random Variable, Continuous Random Variables, Technology: Analyzing Random Variables on the Calculator 3 6.2 Linear Transformations 4 5 6 7 6.2 Combining Random Variables, Combining Normal Random Variables 6.3 Binomial Settings and Binomial Random Variables, Binomial Probabilities, Technology: Binomial Probabilities on the Calculator 6.3 Mean and Standard Deviation of a Binomial Distribution, Binomial Distributions in Statistical Sampling 6.3 Geometric Random Variables, Technology: Geometric Probabilities on the Calculator 8 Chapter 6 Review 9 Chapter 6 Test Calculate the standard deviation of a discrete random variable. Interpret the standard deviation of a random variable in context. Describe the effects of transforming a random variable by adding or subtracting a constant and multiplying or dividing by a constant. Find the mean and standard deviation of the sum or difference of independent random variables. Determine whether two random variables are independent. Find probabilities involving the sum or difference of independent Normal random variables. 14, 18, 19, 23, 25 27-30, 37, 39-41, 43, 45 49, 51, 5759, 63 Determine whether the conditions for a binomial random variable are met. Compute and interpret probabilities involving binomial distributions. 61, 65, 66, 69, 71, 73, 75, 77 Calculate the mean and standard deviation of a binomial random variable. Interpret these values in context. 79, 81, 83, 85, 87, 89 Find probabilities involving geometric random variables. 93, 95, 97, 99, 101103 Chapter 6 Review Exercises 31R-34R 36 AP STATISTICS (SEC) E05 Copyright © 2011-2012 1, 5, 7, 9, 13