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Rules vs. Discretion Motivation: capital supply vs labor supply • t labor supply depends on (1-t)wt • t capital supply depends on (1-t+1)rt • some behaviors depend on future public policies Terrorism “game” • two actors: government and (potential) terrorist • government values its citizen’s lives at at least $100,000 each • for $10,000,000, the terrorist is willing to risk his life and others. he will not die alone • will the terrorist take 100 hostages? or not? 0 0 = terrorist payoff = government payoff 10,000,000 10,000,000 terrorist government this government has “discretion”. ie, has a choice to make 10,000,000 10,000,000 0 0 = terrorist payoff = government payoff 10,000,000 10,000,000 terrorist government 10,000,000 10,000,000 0 0 = terrorist payoff = government payoff 10,000,000 10,000,000 terrorist government Discretionary Outcome = “Equilibrium of the Discretion Game” 10,000,000 10,000,000 terrorist government 0 0 terrorist government avoids terrorism and is bettor off when unable, or unwilling, to make the “right” choice! government this government has no “discretion”. It cannot, or will not, take action based on value of life calculation 10,000,000 10,000,000 0 0 terrorist No Discretion Outcome = “Equilibrium of the No Discretion Game” Examples • • • • • • • • capital/wealth levy amnesties for taxes, draft, immigration retroactive income tax patents; restrict pharmaceuticals prices flood victims debt repudiation (eg., inflation) punishing criminals rent control