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AP Statistics: 5E Section 2.2 C Example 1: Determine if each of the following is likely to have a Normal distribution (N) or a non-normal distribution (nn). N gas mileage of 2006 Corvettes _____ _____ nn prices of homes in Westlake _____ nn gross sales of business firms _____ N weights of 9-oz bags of potato chips While experience can suggest whether or not a Normal distribution is plausible in a certain case, it is very risky (especially on the AP test) to assume that a distribution is Normal without actually inspecting the data. Chapters 8 -10 of our text deal with inference, and an important condition that will need to be met is that the data comes from a population that is approximately Normal. Method 1: Construct a histogram, stemplot or dotplot. What are we looking for? bell - shaped and symmetrical Non-Normal features to look for include ________, pronounced outliers skewness gaps and _________, or ______ clusters ________. If we had a box-and-whisker plot (i.e. the 5-number summary) what are we looking for? Most importantly, we are looking for the boxplot to be roughly symmetrical. Then we would like to see the box tightly grouped around the center while the whiskers are slightly longer. Note: What should be true about the mean and the median in a Normal distribution? Since a Normal distribution is symmetrical, the mean and median should be approximately equal To be truly Normal, such a bellshaped plot should conform to the 68-95-99.7 rule. Mark the points on the horizontal axis and determine the percentage of counts in each interval. 1s from x : 649 947 2s from x : 903 3s from x : 945 68.5% 947 947 95.4% 99.8% YES Method 3: Construct a Normal probability plot. Statistical packages, as well as TI calculators, can construct a Normal probability plot. Before we look at constructing a Normal probability plot, let’s look at some basic ideas behind constructing a Normal probability plot. 1. Arrange the observed data values from _________ smallest to _________. largest th 5 Record what percentile of the data each value represents. 2. Determine the z-scores for each of the observations. For example, z = _______ 1.645 is the 5% point of the standard Normal distribution and z = _______ 1.28 is the 10% point. 3. Plot each data point x against the corresponding z. If the data distribution is close to Normal, the plotted points will be __________________. approximately linear Systematic deviations from a straight line indicate a non-Normal distribution. In a right-skewed distribution, the largest observations fall distinctly to the right of line drawn through ______________a the main body of points. In a leftskewed distribution, the smallest observations fall distinctly ____________ to the left of a line drawn through the main body of points Construct a Normal probability plot on your calculator as follows: 1. Enter the data in L1. (STATS, EDIT). 2. Go to STAT PLOT (2nd Y=). ENTER. Highlight ON. First draw a histogram to see that the data appears to be Normally distributed. Key ZOOM 9 to get an appropriate window. 3. Go back to STAT PLOT. Change “Type” to the 6th graph choice. For “Data List”, put in L1 and for “Data Axis”, highlight Y. 4. Push GRAPH and key ZOOM 9 to get an appropriate window. Do not worry too much about small deviations from the linear pattern at the ends of the distribution. When a distribution is skewed, there will be noticeable bend in the plot. MATH PRB 6 : RandNorm The data is approximately Normally distributed The data is right - skewed Note that the values to the right of the line are much larger values then expected based on the corresponding z - scores from the standard Normal distribution which is indicated by the line.