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582727520 Created by Chethan.M Data Mining Goal of Data Mining Simplification and automation of the overall statistical process, from data source(s) to model application Changed over the years — Replace statistician ? Better models, less grunge work — Many different data mining algorithms / tools available — Statistical expertise required to compare different techniques — Build intelligence into the software Data Mining Is… Decision Trees Nearest Neighbor Classification Neural Networks Rule Induction K-means Clustering Data Mining is Not... Data warehousing SQL / Ad Hoc Queries / Reporting Software Agents Online Analytical Processing (OLAP) Data Visualization Why data-mining now? Data mining is an increasingly popular topic (If the number of new textbooks is anything to go by). Two main reasons: With computers now mediating most aspects of our lives, there has been a large increase in the accumulation of electronic data. With computers being increasingly up to the demands of complex modeling, it is getting easier to process larger datasets. Why Mine Data? Commercial Viewpoint Data volumes are too large for classical analysis approaches: Large number of records High dimensional data Leverage organization’s data assets Only a small portion of the collected data is ever analyzed Data that may never be analyzed continues to be collected, at a great expense, out of fear that something which may prove important in the future is missing. Lots of data is being collected and warehoused Web data, e-commerce purchases at department/grocery stores Bank/Credit Card transactions ISiM 582727520 Created by Chethan.M Computers have become cheaper and more powerful Competitive Pressure is Strong Provide better, customized services for an edge (e.g. In Customer Relationship Management) Scientific Viewpoint Data collected and stored at enormous speeds (GB/hour) remote sensors on a satellite telescopes scanning the skies micro arrays generating gene expression data scientific simulations generating terabytes of data Traditional techniques infeasible for raw data Data mining may help scientists In classifying and segmenting data In Hypothesis Formation Origins of Data Mining Draws ideas from machine learning/AI, pattern recognition, statistics, and database systems Traditional Techniques may be unsuitable due to Enormity of data High dimensionality of data Heterogeneous, distributed nature of data Mining Large Data Sets - Motivation There is often information “hidden” in the data that is not readily evident Human analysts may take weeks to discover useful information Much of the data is never analyzed at all What is Data Mining? ----- Many Definitions Data processing using sophisticated data search capabilities and statistical algorithms to discover patterns and correlations in large preexisting databases; a way to discover new meaning in data. Non-trivial extraction of implicit, previously unknown and potentially useful information from data. Exploration & analysis, by automatic or semi-automatic means, of large quantities of data in order to discover meaningful patterns. The process of identifying commercially useful patterns or relationships in databases or other computer repositories through the use of advanced statistical tools. The automated extraction of predictive information from (large) databases. ISiM 582727520 Created by Chethan.M A step in the knowledge discovery process consisting of particular algorithms (methods) that under some acceptable objective, produces a particular enumeration of patterns (models) over the data. Data mining is the process of discovering interesting knowledge from large amounts of data stored either in databases, data warehouses, or other information repositories. What is (not) Data Mining? What is not Data Mining? Look up phone number in phone directory Query a Web search engine for information about “Amazon” ISiM What is Data Mining? Certain names are more prevalent in certain US locations (O’Brien, O’Rurke, O’Reilly… in Boston area) Group together similar documents returned by search engine according to their context (e.g. Amazon rainforest, Amazon.com,) 582727520 Created by Chethan.M Statistics/AI Machine Learning/ Pattern Recognition Data Mining Database systems Data Mining Types: Predictive data mining: This produces the model of the system described by the given data. It uses some variables or fields in the data set to predict unknown or future values of other variables of interest. Descriptive data mining: This produces new, nontrivial information based on the available data set. It focuses on finding patterns describing the data that can be interpreted by humans. Defining `data' By `data', we mean sets of variable values, e.g., Annual rainfall in Sussex for the last twenty years; Age, salary and IQ for all members of Sussex faculty. Records Values are organised in combinations called records. Each record has a particular context, e.g., age, salary and IQ specifically for the Informatics HoD. Combinations may also be called vectors (esp. in neural-networks) and data-points (esp. in statistics). A single record is a datum. ISiM 582727520 Created by Chethan.M Tabulation Data are often presented in a tabulated form, with one datum per row, and one variable per column. NAME smith bloggs bush ... AGE SALARY IQ 42 29 50 36K 30K 60K 130 140 120 Where data are used for prediction, the to-be-predicted variable normally appears in the final column (and is often called `class'). Basic data-types Data may be classified according to the number and character of variables involved. Univariate/discrete: one variable with integer/symbolic values. Univariate/continuous: one variable with real/continuous values. Multivariate/discrete: more than one variable with integer/symbolic values. Multivariate/continuous: more than one variable with real/continuous values. Data Mining Tasks... Classification [Predictive] Clustering [Descriptive] Association Rule Discovery [Descriptive] Sequential Pattern Discovery [Descriptive] Regression [Predictive] Deviation Detection [Predictive] ISiM 582727520 Created by Chethan.M Classification: Definition Given a collection of records (training set ) Each record contains a set of attributes, one of the attributes is the class. Find a model for class attribute as a function of the values of other attributes. Goal: previously unseen records should be assigned a class as accurately as possible. A test set is used to determine the accuracy of the model. Usually, the given data set is divided into training and test sets, with training set used to build the model and test set used to validate it. Explicit and implicit structure A dataset is a body of data. Any dataset has explicit structure, ie., the numbers/values in the records. Generally, there is also implicit structure. Data mining is the task of identifying and modeling implicit structure, either as an end in itself or as a means of obtaining new information. Example: A-level grades Dataset containing average A-level grades for the past ten years. Explicit structure is the mapping between years and average grades. (Explicit structure = `what you see') ISiM 582727520 Created by Chethan.M There is also implicit structure---a gradual increase in values over time. (Average grades are increasing by approx 3% per year.) Classification Example categorical Categorical continuousclass Tid Refund Marital Status Taxable Income Cheat 1 Yes Single 125K No 2 No Married 100K No 3 No Single 70K No 4 Yes Married 120K No 5 No Divorced 95K Yes 6 No Married No 7 Yes Divorced 220K No 8 No Single 85K Yes 9 No Married 75K No 10 No Single 90K Yes 60K Refund Marital Status Taxable Income Cheat No Single 75K ? Yes Married 50K ? No Married 150K ? Yes Divorced 90K ? No Single 40K ? No Married 80K ? 10 Training Set Test Set Learn Classifier 10 Model Challenges of Data Mining Scalability Dimensionality Complex and Heterogeneous Data Data Quality Data Ownership and Distribution Privacy Preservation Streaming Data ISiM 582727520 Created by Chethan.M Statistical methods Case-based reasoning Neural networks Decision trees DM & DW: Data Warehousing + Data Mining = Increased performance of decision making process + Knowledgeable decision makers Data Mining Applications Data Mining For Financial Data Analysis Data Mining For Telecommunications Industry Data Mining For The Retail Industry Data Mining In Healthcare and Biomedical Research Data Mining In Science and Engineering Reference: 1. Introduction to Data Mining by Tan, Steinbach, Kumar Data Mini ng: C oncepts and T echniques ISiM 582727520 Created by Chethan.M 2. Data Mining: Concepts and Techniques: Jiawei Han and Micheline Kamber 3. Kurt Thearling, Ph.D. An Introduction to Data Mining. www.thearling.com ISiM