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Math 3339 Written Homework 8 (7.7 - 7.9) Name:__________________________________ PeopleSoft ID:_______________ Instructions: Homework will NOT be accepted through email or in person. Homework must be submitted through CourseWare BEFORE the deadline. Print out this file and complete the problems. Use blue or black ink or a dark pencil. Write your solutions in the space provided. You must show all work for full credit. Submit this assignment at http://www.casa.uh.edu under “Assignments" and choose HW8. Total possible points: 15. 1. Section 7.9, problem 1 2. *Water samples are taken from water used for cooling as it is being discharged from a power plant into a river. It has been determined that as long as the mean temperature of the discharged water is at most 150̊ F, there will be no negative effects on the river’s ecosystem. To investigate whether the plant is in compliance with regulations that prohibit a mean discharge-water temperature above 150̊ , 50 water sample will be tank at randomly selected times, and the temperature of each sample recorded. a. Determine an appropriate null and alternative hypothesis for this test. b. In the context of this situation, describe type I and type II errors. c. Which type of error would you consider more serious? Explain. Problems came from Devore, Jay and Berk, Kenneth, Modern Mathematical Statistics with Applications, Thomson Brooks/Cole, 2007. 3. A sample of 12 radon detectors of a certain type was selected, and each was exposed to 100 pCI/L of radon. The resulting readings were as follows: 105.6 90.9 91.2 96.9 96.5 91.3 100.1 105.0 99.6 107.7 103.3 92.4 Does this data suggest that the population mean reading under these conditions differs from 100? Set up an appropriate hypothesis test to answer this question. Problems came from Devore, Jay and Berk, Kenneth, Modern Mathematical Statistics with Applications, Thomson Brooks/Cole, 2007. 4. In each of the following situations, for parts a – e write a short explanation of what is wrong and why. a. A researcher wants to test H0: 𝑥̅ = 30 versus the two sided alternative Ha: 𝑥̅ ≠ 30. b. A two-sample t statistic gave a P-value of 0.97. From this we can reject the null hypothesis with 95% confidence. c. A manager wants to test the null hypothesis that average weekly demand is not equal to 100 units. d. The z statistic had a value of 0.014, and the null hypothesis was rejected at the 5% level because 0.014 < 0.05. e. Suppose the P-value is 0.03. Explain what is wrong with stating, “The probability that the null hypothesis is true is 0.03.” f. In terms of probability language, a P-value is a conditional probability. Define the event D as “observing a test statistic as extreme or more extreme than actually observed.” Using the definition of a P-value, which of the two conditional probabilities represents a P-value: i. P(H0 is true | D) ii. P(D | H0 is true) Problems came from Devore, Jay and Berk, Kenneth, Modern Mathematical Statistics with Applications, Thomson Brooks/Cole, 2007.