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Description of Ken Frank’s work Research Overview I have pursued multiple methodological strands, each of which has been motivated by current needs and demands of social scientists. My clustering algorithm represents crystalized sociograms of social networks consistent with classic sociological theories (Frank, 1995, 1996). My index of the sensitivity of statistical inferences to confounding variables informs current debates regarding the interpretation and use of p-values and causal inferences (Frank, 2000). My models of organizational culture show that the combination of individual needs for commonality and diversity generates complex systemic behavior (Frank & Fahrbach, 1999). My uses of multilevel models capture effects generated by people and the structures they construct (Wellman & Frank, 2001; Herman, Frank, et al 2000; Frank, 1998; Frank & Yasumoto, 1998; Bidwell Frank and Quiroz, 1997; Seltzer, Frank & Bryk, 1994; Bryk & Frank, 1991). The methodological strands described above coalesce in the study of the organizational change, my primary substantive area. Crystalized sociograms help reveal the processes through which organizational members influence one another, ultimately generating organizational responses to external conditions. These processes become complex as they transform social structures, for example as casual conversation between teachers culminates in a collegial relationship through which multiple influences flow. Multilevel models clearly can disentangle effects at the organization and individual levels. Finally, though my index of the sensitivity of statistical inferences has broad potential, it is especially applicable to characterize the robustness of organizational effects to alternative explanations based on the social composition of organizations. My work has direct policy applications because educational reforms and innovations are implemented through the social processes of schools. Therefore, with knowledge of the social structures of schools we can not only better implement any given innovation, but we can cultivate social structures that facilitate the implementation of all changes. This will help schools adapt to future changes, from student composition to technology to federal policy. Below I describe each strand of my work in more detail. Crystalized sociograms: embedding subgroups in a sociogram I have developed an algorithm (called KliqueFinder) for identifying subgroups of actors in a network and for embedding subgroup boundaries in a sociogram (Frank, 1995, 1996). The technique addresses a longstanding deficiency of clustering methods by identifying non-overlapping cohesive subgroups that theoretically occur in most systems and organizations. Not surprisingly, my tool can generate empirical and theoretical insights into small systems and organizations. For example, in Frank (1996) I used the sociograms to infer patterns of influence among teachers in schools, and Jeff Yasumoto and I described the distribution of social capital within and between subgroups among members of the French financial elite (Frank & Yasumoto, 1998). The method blended with theory as we found that social capital provided a general explanation for how people balanced the need for solidarity with subgroup members against the need for diverse information and resources from outside the subgroup. The sensitivity of statistical inferences to the impact of confounding variables I developed an index of the sensitivity of causal inferences to the impact of confounding variables (Frank, 2000). Skeptics who challenge causal inferences often do so by proposing that there is an alternative causal mechanism at work. In regression and the general linear model, their criticism takes the form of a confounding variable. Unfortunately, it is often difficult or impossible to measure the proposed confounding variable, and researcher and skeptic are left in a vague and diffuse debate. I quantified the language of this debate by demonstrating that the impact of a confounding variable on the inference for a regression coefficient can be indexed in terms of the product of correlations associated with the confounding variable: impact of confound on inference for predictor of interest= r confound and predictor of interest × r confound and outcome. By neatly indexing the impact on inference, one can express what the impact would have to be to alter an inference (thus extending beyond what is already known about bias in the estimate of the coefficient). I applied the index to a classic issue in the sociology of education in which Featherman and Hauser claimed that father’s occupation affects educational attainment. Michael Sobel recently commented that the effect of father’s occupation could be attributed to father’s education (see Frank, 2000, pages 168-171). I showed that father’s education would have to be correlated with father’s occupation and with educational attainment at about .47 to alter Featherman and Hauser’s inference. While not resolving the debate, the index shifts the burden back to the skeptic, Sobel, to establish the likelihood of observing correlations of such relatively large magnitude associated with father’s education (note that there were other examples in which Sobel had a stronger case). As I describe in the conclusion, by contextualizing causal inferences the index directly informs current debates regarding the interpretation and use of p-values. Organizational culture as a complex system Kyle Fahrbach and I combined models of interaction (who talks to whom) and influence (how people change as a result of interaction) to define the basic processes of organizational culture (Frank & Fahrbach, 1999). Taking the mathematical models and principles of chaos theory beyond metaphor, we showed that a system can become chaotic as actors are persuaded by opinions or information, and as they seek to interact with similar others or those who may have new information. The models have quite general and powerful implications. For example, we used the models to simulate systemic responses to external shocks and to develop a longitudinal conceptualization of centrality of actors in a network. Multilevel models I have worked extensively with multilevel models (Wellman & Frank, 2001; Herman, Frank, et al 2000; Frank, 1998; Frank & Yasumoto, 1998; Bidwell Frank and Quiroz, 1997; Seltzer, Frank & Bryk, 1994; Bryk & Frank, 1991) having done my dissertation with Tony Bryk and been a close colleague of Steve Raudenbush. Multilevel models have a natural application to the study of organizations, disentangling effects of the organization from those of the individual. Relatively recently, I reviewed the application of multilevel models in educational research (Frank, 1998), and applied multilevel models to separate effects of individuals and networks on the provision of support (Wellman & Frank, 2001). Combining effects across levels, Barry Wellman and I found that people were more likely to provide support when both provider and receiver were embedded in a network of similar others, suggesting that support is given as much to the network as to the individual. Current work and extensions Funded in part by a National Academy of Education/Spencer postdoctoral fellowship, I am currently studying the diffusion of computer technology in elementary schools. I have chosen computer technology because there is currently a strong demand to integrate technology into schools. But the diffusion processes, especially the social aspects, are applicable across organizations. As I analyze the diffusion of innovations in schools I am generating crystalized sociograms and testing models of influence and interaction to study the relationship between teacher networks and their changes in beliefs and behaviors regarding technology use. This work also draws on my theoretical interest in social capital (e.g., Frank & Yasumoto) and the evolution of organizational culture. As I explore the diffusion process across multiple schools I am applying multilevel models, examining how characteristics of schools and districts affect the diffusion process. I currently have drafts of three papers (presented at conferences and colloquia), one on the general dynamics of social capital with the diffusion of innovations as an example, a second on the diffusion process within schools, and a third on the role of subgroups in structuring the diffusion process. I am part of a team of investigators (headed by Chandra Muller) who have been funded by NICHD and NSF to augment the Add Health data and generate our own scholarly analyses. The Add Health data set features longitudinal social network data on students in 80 nationally representative schools. In a multi-year, $4 million-plus project, we will link the extant Add Health data with educational indicators and outcomes. Ultimately, we will be able to explore the social contexts of students as defined by friends, classmates and those in similar tracks. We will then explore the effects of these contexts on outcomes during and after high school. I am now extending my ideas about the sensitivity of causal inferences to issues regarding the representativeness of a sample. The motivating question here is: “What would an association in an unmeasured sample have to be such that if the unmeasured sample were combined with an observed sample it would alter an inference?” As one application, this tool can be applied to aggregate results over time. For example, some critics would argue that the Featherman/Hauser/Sewell analyses are dated. One could then ask, “What would the correlation have to be in a current sample such that if combined with the historical sample our inference regarding the general relationship between father’s occupation and educational attainment would change?” The index I have developed quantifies the answer to the question. I have also extended my index for the impact of confounding variables theoretically and in applications. In his thesis, my student Wei Pan approximated the distribution of the product of two dependent correlation coefficients to better make inferences about the likelihood of observing impacts of a given size. Charles Bidwell, Aaron Pallas and I have begun to apply the indexes to several sociological issues that have appeared in recent years in major sociological journals. These efforts will culminate in publications in one or two years. Teaching My teaching follows my research interests. The courses in my repertoire include: •Introduction to research methods for masters or doctoral students; •General linear model and causal inference; •Multilevel models, including extensions to generalized linear models and cross-nested designs. •Multivariate methods (eigen value based procedures such as factor analysis, canonical correlation and discriminant analysis, as well as multidimensional scaling and cluster analysis); •Social network tools, methods and theories. • Causal Inference and the Counterfactual In each of these courses I draw on sociological theory, from organizational theory to social capital to stratification. I incorporate recent data sets from my own research well as from national sources such as NELS. My students come from a diverse set of backgrounds. For example, in my most recent course on multilevel models I had students from Counseling, Fisheries and Wildlife, Kinesiology, Psychology, and my own program. They come with diverse experiences in statistics, some struggling with the basic linear model and others having mastered some aspects of theoretical statistics. And yet my students rate me quite high (I was nominated by my department for an award as an outstanding young scholar and teacher -- full documentation available upon request). I am typically rated above average to superior on items regarding instructor involvement and student-instructor interaction, in spite of the fact that my courses are considered very demanding. I embrace the challenge of these courses by presenting material for diverse learners (using equations, text, examples, graphs, literature, etc) and structuring discussion exercises for students to learn from each other.