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Name:____________________ Due Date:_________ Unit 7 Review Problems 1. Suppose that this year’s money supply is $500 billion, nominal GDP is $10 trillion, and real GDP is $5 trillion. a. What is the price level? What is the velocity of money? b. Suppose that velocity is constant and the economy’s output of goods and services rises by 5% each year. What will happen to nominal GDP and the price level the next year if the FED keeps the money supply constant? c. What money supply should the FED set next year if it wants to keep the price level stable? d. What money supply should the FED set next year if it wants inflation of 10%? 2. Suppose the government reduces taxes by $20 billion, that there is no crowding out, and that the marginal propensity to consumer is 3.4. a. What is the initial effect of the tax reduction on aggregate demand? b. What additional effects follow this initial effect? What is the total effect of the tax cut on aggregate demand? c. How does the total effect of this $20 billion tax cut compare to the total effect of a $20 billion tax cut compare to the total effect of a $20 billion increase in government purchases? Why? d. Based on your answer to part (c), can you think of a way in which the government can increase aggregate demand without changing the government’s budget deficit? 3. An economy is operating with output $400 billion below its natural rate, and fiscal policy-makers want to close the recessionary gap. The central bank agrees to adjust the money supply to hold the interest rate constant, so there is no crowding out. The marginal propensity to consumer is 4/5, and the price level is completely fixed in the short run. a. In what direction and by how much would government spending need to change to close the recessionary gap? Explain your thinking. b. In what direction and by how much would taxes need to change to close the gap? Explain. c. If the central bank were to hold the money supply, rather than the interest rate, constant in response to the change in fiscal policy, would your answers to the previous questions be larger, smaller, or the same? Explain. d. If policymakers in this economy wanted to close the recessionary gap without increasing the government’s budget deficit, what are two ways they can accomplish this goal? 4. For various reasons, fiscal policy changes automatically when output and employment fluctuate. a. Explain why tax revenue changes when the economy goes into a recession. b. Explain why government spending changes when the economy goes into a recession. c. If the government were to operate under a strict balanced budget rule, what would it have to do in a recession? Would that make the recession more or less severe? 5. Suppose that this year’s money supply is $500 billion, nominal GDP is $10 trillion, and real GDP is $5 trillion. a. What is the price level? What is the velocity of money? b. Suppose that velocity is constant and the economy’s output of goods and services rises by 5% each year. What will happen to nominal GDP and the price level the next year if the FED keeps the money supply constant? c. What money supply should the FED set next year if it wants to keep the price level stable? d. What money supply should the FED set next year if it wants inflation of 10%? 6. Illustrate the effects of the following developments on both the short-run and long run Phillips curves. Give the economic reasoning underlying your answers. a. A rise in the natural rate of unemployment. b. A decline in the price of imported oil c. A rise in government spending d. A decline in the expected inflation 7. Suppose that a fall in consumer spending causes a recession. a. Illustrate the immediate change in the economy using both an aggregate supply/ aggregate demand diagram and a Phillips curve diagram. On both graphs, label the initial long run equilibrium as point A and the resulting short-run equilibrium as point B. What happens to inflation and unemployment in the short run? b. Now suppose that over time expected inflation changes in the same direction that actual inflation changes. What happens to the position of the short run Phillips curve? After the recession is over, does the economy face a better or worse set of inflation-unemployment combinations? 8. Suppose the price of oil falls sharply (as it did in 1986 and again in 1998). a. Show the impact of such a change in both the aggregate demand/aggregate supply diagram and in the Phillips curve diagram. What happens to inflation and unemployment in the short run? b. Do the effects of this event mean there is no short run trade-off between inflation and unemployment? Why or why not?