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This is a very efficient way to study for your AP EXAM! You should know all of the graphs listed on the following 2 pages MACRO GRAPH SUMMARY-2014-15 Constant Cost PPF Graph Qty Food Increasing Cost PPF 10 . ---------- B ----------- 5 5 10 Qty Shelter Goal of Free Trade: On line is efficient. Above line is unobtainable in short run with current resources & technology. Curve represents countries “full potential” to produce goods/services Goal: is to shift PPF right by: ↑ Technology, ↑ Labor Force, ↑ Human/Physical Capital, ↑ Investment, etc….Shifts PPF right. Any right shift in PPF must shift LRAS right “New” Classical Model for AS curve AD & Old AS Model: AS PL Classical Range Intermediate Range Keynesian Range AD Real GDP AD is anything included in GDP. (GDP = C + I + G + NX) C ↑ => AD shifts right Imports ↑ => no effect! The Keynesian range of AS is during recessions. GDP can ↑ without inflation in this flat AS section When you reach “full employment” curve is vertical--no change in real GDP past that point. (Can use for AP test) Short run: Prices & Wages are sticky! Expected price level lags actual. Causes recessionary & inflationary gaps Long Run: Prices & wages perfectly flexible, ↑ real GDP not possible unless LRAS shifts right. Actual price level = expected price level in long run. An ↑ AD => only ↑ price level. Think classical economists! Money Market Graph MS1 Nominal Interest Rate MS2 Real Interest Rate Loanable Funds Market S1 --------- i2 --------------MD -------------- ------------- R1 i1 Q1 Qty of $ Label Nominal Interest Rate! Fed controls MS through open market operations to target a short term interest rate Expansionary : buy bonds => MS right => i ↓=> AD ↑ Contractionary: sell bonds => MS left => i ↑=> AD ↓ MD is the preference to “hold money”. It rarely shifts => but would shift right if people wanted or needed to “hold” more money. Fed could offset any MD shift with policy E1 D1 Qty Loanable Funds Supply = National Savings (Public + Private savings) Demand = Investment Demand (business who borrow $) Use Real Interest Rate on this graph! Crowding Out: Supply shifts left as Gov’t savings falls (less national savings) Private investor are “crowded out” by ↑ real interest rates. (less (I) capital investment!) Real world example: Spain, Greece, Portugal. U.S.A. next? Short Run Phillips Curve Long Run Phillips Curve Inflation Rate (percent per year) Inflation Rate B 6 Long-run Phillips curve High inflation B Low inflation A A 2 Phillips curve 4 0 7 2. . . . but unemployment remains at its natural rate in the long run. Unemployment Rate (percent) 0 Illustrates trade-off between Unemployment & Inflation Can lower unemployment only by ↑ inflation. Shifts when SRAS => but in opposite direction. Move up or down SRPC as you move up/down SRAS Consumption Function DI = Savings + Consumption MPS + MPC = 1 Slope = MPC Line = Autonomous C + MPC(DI) Savings Function slope = MPS Increases in DI moves you along line. S & C always shift in different directions EXCEPT for ∆Taxes or Transfers will shift S + C in same direction. (warning: right shift is a decrease!!) Spending Multiplier = 1/MPS Tax multiplier = 1 less Natural rate of unemployment Unemployment Rate Long Run: vertical at full employment . No trade-off in long run. ↑ inflation does NOT ↑ real GDP or # of jobs Can’t shift unless natural rate of employment changes Long Run Equilibrium Long Run: due to sticky prices/wages being perfectly flexible, the Economy finds equilibrium at the natural rate of output.(full potential) Actual price level = Expected price level. Growth Limits: You cannot achieve a higher GDP in the short run without accepting higher inflation. You must shift PPF curve right (which shifts the LRAS right) to achieve higher real GDP growth Market for Foreign Currency S1 Dollar Price of a Euro -------------- -------------- 1.3 Dollars Q1 D1 Qty of Euros All “swapping” for foreign currency operates “offshore” at the House of FX (which is the market for foreign exchange). Determine who will demand what currency—then go to the House of FX & swap currencies. No effect on money supply! If demand for a currency rises => that currency appreciates. Example: If Real Interest rates rise in USA relative to Japan: 1) Japanese exchange Yen for dollars: (to save in US) 2) Demand for Dollars shifts right. (dollar ↑) 3) Supply of Yen shifts right (Yen ↓) 4) End result: Dollar appreciates & Yen depreciates BALANCE OF PAYMENTS Account: Current Account = NX + investment income - a country’s trade balance + bond interest/stock dividends Financial Account =U.S.assets sold – foreign assets bought. Generally Current + Financial account = ZERO U.S.A. current is negative so financial is positive. Why: USA spends more on imports than it receives on exports. (- current) Chinese buy our Gov’t bonds (+ financial)