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MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE INVESTIGATION Mutually Exclusive is when two events CANNOT occur at the same time. 1. A die is rolled and you are trying to find the probability of certain events. a. List all the possible outcomes when rolling a die. b. What is the probability you roll an odd number? P(odd) = c. What is the probability you roll a 4? P(4)= d. What is the probability you roll an odd or a 4? P(odd or 4)= Notice that the probability of rolling an odd or a 4 is just the probability of rolling an odd plus the probability of rolling a 4. You can add the two probabilities because they do not share the same outcomes. The outcome for the event of rolling a 4 is just 4, and the outcomes of the event of rolling an odd is 1,3,and 5. They are mutually exclusive. There is no overlapping number. P(odd or 4) = P(odd) + P(4) 4/6 = 3/6 + 1/6 = 4/6 You can also think of this with a Venn Diagram where there is a circle with odd numbers and a circle for 4 and there is no shared value where the circles overlap. odd #’s 1,3,5 4 2. A die is rolled and you are trying to find the probability of certain events. a. What is the probability you roll an even number? P(even)= b. What is the probability you roll a number less than 3? P( <3)= c. What is the probability you roll an even or a number less than 3? P(even or <3)= Notice that the probability of rolling an even or a number less than 3 is NOT equal to the probability of rolling an even plus the probability of rolling a number less than 3. You CANNOT add the two probabilities because they share an outcome of 2. The outcomes for rolling an even are 2, 4 and 6 and the outcomes for rolling a number less than 3 are 1 and 2; 2 is an outcome for both events. These are NOT mutually exclusive. P(even or 2) = P(even) + P(2) 3/6 ≠ 3/6 + 1/6 = 4/6 You can also think of this with a Venn Diagram, where there is a circle with even numbers (2,4,6) and a circle for numbers less than 3 (1,2) and there IS an overlap value, 2. #’s less than 3 1 3. You draw a card from a deck of cards. (A deck of cards has 13 red hearts, 13 red diamonds, 13 black spades, and 13 black clubs.) a. What is the probability you draw a Jack? b. What is the probability you draw a card with a number less than 5? c. What is the probability you draw a jack or a number less than 5? d. Does the probability of a jack and the probability of a number less than 5 add up to the probability of a jack or a number less than 5? Show proof. e. Are the two events, probability of a jack and the probability of a number less than 5, mutually exclusive? Why or why not? 4. You draw a card from a deck of cards. (A deck of cards has 13 red hearts, 13 red diamonds, 13 black spades, and 13 black clubs.) a. What is the probability you draw a spade? b. What is the probability you draw an even card? c. What is the probability you draw a spade or an even card? d. Does the probability of a spade and the probability of an even add up to the probability of a spade or an even? Show proof. e. Are the two events, probability of a spade and the probability of an even, mutually exclusive? Why or why not?