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Math 3081 Probability and Statistics Instructor: John Lindhe Phone: 617-373-4882 (Math Dept. Office: 373-2450) Office Hours: M, W, Th: 12-1, Tu:1-3 or by appointment Spring 2017 Office: 543 NI email: [email protected] Text: An Introduction to Mathematical Statistics and its Applications”, R. Larsen and M. Marx, fifth edition. (published by Prentice Hall). Grading: Quizzes Tests Take-home Final 15% 30% 15% 40% There will be two quizzes, two 1 hour tests, and two take-home quizzes. The final will be cumulative. This is an introduction course to the theory of probability and statistics. Its goal is to develop the mathematical tools and concepts necessary for modeling uncertainty and data analysis in real-world problem. This is a Calculus-based course, and assumes a working knowledge of single-variable calculus as well as some acquaintance with multi-variable calculus (including multiple integration). IMPORTANT: 1. The best way to learn this material is to do the homework problems every week. Please ask me questions about things you don’t understand, either in class or at my office. DON’T wait until you feel completely lost! 2. It is your responsibility to be aware of any changes the instructor may make to the syllabus as they are announced in class, or as posted on the course webpage. Students are responsible for all information given when they are absent. 3. The grade I (Incomplete) will be given only if you have a good attendance record, have missed the Final for a good reason, and otherwise are doing passing work. Makeup exams are not given unless you have missed the exam for a valid reason and can prove it. Both makeups and incomplete are given at the discretion of the instructor. 4. Cheating will not be tolerated. All incidents of cheating will be reported to the Office of Judicial Affairs. The University’s cheating policy and related disciplinary actions are detailed in the Student Handbook. The Handbook also includes a description of what is considered cheating by the University. Cheating in this class includes (but is not limited to): looking at the papers of others during a quiz or test, talking to other students during a quiz or test. 5. If you have issues with this course and/or instructor which you are not comfortable discussing with your instructor, you should contact the course coordinator, John Lindhe, [email protected]. For any matters that remain unresolved, contact the Teaching Director, Prof. Massey, at [email protected]. 6. It is University policy that no grade, including an incomplete, can be changed after one year. Exceptions must be authorized by the Academic Standing Committee. 7. All students without legitimate conflicts will take the final exam at the scheduled date and time. Do not make travel plans that conflict with the final exam. The last day to file a Conflict form for the final is Thursday February 2. 8. The last day to drop a course without a W grade is Monday January 30. The last day to drop a course with a W grade is Thursday April 20. 9. The Mathematics Department Tutoring Center is in Room 540B, Nightingale Hall. The free tutoring center is expected to start by Tuesday, January 17th. Hours will be 10am-8pm Monday-Thursday and 10am-1pm on Friday. No weekends. Students sign up through their MyNEU where they can see the available tutors and the classes that each tutor will be able to help you with. The schedule is subject to change. You are responsible to keep informed about such changes on your own. Week Topic Section Assignment Jan. 9-12 Sample Spaces and Sets Probability Function 2.2 2.3 2,3,13,16, 22, 26 1, 2, 4, 6, 9, 12 Jan. 16 Martin Luther Day: No Class Jan 17-19 Conditional Probability Independence Binomial 2.4 2.5 3.2 1, 2, 7, 12, 16, 21, 24, 25, 26, 31, 34, 39, 40, 42, 46, 52 11, 12, 16, 18, 19, 20, 23, 25 4, 7, 8, 9, 23(this last is hypergeometric don’t need to know) Jan. 23-26 Discrete Random Variables Continuous Random Variables 3.3 3.4 1, 4, 5, 7, 10, 13, 14 1, 3, 5, 8-10 Expected Value Variance 3.5 3.6 1, 4, 8, 12, 18, 20, 27 2, 5-8, 11 Joint Densities More Mean and Variance 3.7 3.9 1,8,10,14,17,19-23,40,45 13,16,17,20,21 4.2 4.3 1,4,6,10,17,20,21 2,5,8,14,16,17,21,22,27,30,33,35 4.3 7,15,18,25,27 5.2 5.4 5.3, 7.4 1,3-7,10,11 5,9,11 HW in Handout. Additional HW in text: 5.3: 1,2,4,5,11,14,26; 7.3:13; 7.4: 1,2,7-9,12 6.2, 6.3, 7.4 Handout; Additional HW in text: 6.2: 1,3,4,6,7,9,10,11 6.3: 1-4,6; 7.4: 18, 20 6.4 1,4,5,7,8,9,10 9.2, 9.4 Handout; Additional HW in text: 9.2: 1-10; 9.4: 1-5 7.5 9.3 1,2,7-9,12 2-5,7 Jan 30Feb. 2 Feb 6- 9 Feb. 13-16 Poisson Distribution Normal Distribution Test 1 Review Feb. 20 President’s Day: No Classes Feb. 21-26 Test 1 Normal Feb. 27Mar 2 Estimating Parameters Properties of Estimators Confidence Intervals Mar. 4-12 Spring Break Mar. 13 – 16 Hypothesis Tests Mar. 2023 Hypothesis Tests Continued Type I and II Errors Mar 27-30 Type I and II continued Two sample tests Apr. 3-6 Inferences about σ The F-test Apr 10-13 Test 2 review Test 2 Apr. 17 Patriot’s Day: No Classes Apr. 19 Review for Final Apr. 21 Reading Day: No Classes TBA Final Exam (Final Exams from Apr. 21-28)