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... • Two general conclusions can be drawn from the tests: – PPP holds up well over the very long term but is poor for short term estimates – The theory holds better for countries with relatively high rates of inflation and underdeveloped capital markets ...
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Untitled

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Fear of floating

Fear of floating refers to situations where a country prefers a smoother exchange rate to a floating exchange rate regime. This is more relevant in emerging economies, especially when they suffered from financial crisis in last two decades. In foreign exchange markets of the emerging market economies, there is evidence showing that countries who claim they are floating their currency, are actually reluctant to let the nominal exchange rate fluctuate in response to macroeconomic shocks. In the literature, this is first convincingly documented by Calvo and Reinhart with “fear of floating” as the title of one of their papers in 2000. Since then, this widespread phenomenon of reluctance to adjust exchange rates in emerging markets is usually called “fear of floating”. Most of the studies on “fear of floating” are closely related to literature on costs and benefits of different exchange rate regimes.
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