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11. You are given a hundred-sided die. Every time you roll you can
11. You are given a hundred-sided die. Every time you roll you can

Conditional Probability and Expected Value
Conditional Probability and Expected Value

Too Risk-Averse for Prospect Theory?
Too Risk-Averse for Prospect Theory?

... descriptive model for decision making under risk, adding certain behavioral effects to the classical Expected Utility Theory:  Decisions are framed as gains and losses. The utility function is replaced by a value function v which has two parts, a concave part in the gain domain and a convex part in ...
Some Conditions may apply
Some Conditions may apply

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S1 - Chapter 8 - Discrete Random Variables

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UNIT 10 Probability - Two Events Activities

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Probability (Day 1) – Green Problems

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Welcome to our seventh seminar!

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Using PHStat2 to Find Normal Probabilities

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Utility values represent how much a stakeholder values a particular

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8.3 olling a fair die: the discrete uniform distribution

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1.5 Adding and Subtracting Real Numbers Template

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Expected Utility Theory in Medical Decision Making

AP Statistics – Part IV: Randomness and Probability • Bernoulli trials
AP Statistics – Part IV: Randomness and Probability • Bernoulli trials

< 1 ... 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 ... 26 >

Risk aversion (psychology)

Risk-aversion is a preference for a sure outcome over a gamble with higher or equal expected value. Conversely, the rejection of a sure thing in favor of a gamble of lower or equal expected value is known as risk-seeking behavior.The psychophysics of chance induce overweighting of sure things and of improbable events, relative to events of moderate probability. Underweighting of moderate and high probabilities relative to sure things contributes to risk-aversion in the realm of gains by reducing the attractiveness of positive gambles. The same effect also contributes to risk-seeking in losses by attenuating the aversiveness of negative gambles. Low probabilities, however, are overweighted, which reverses the pattern described above: low probabilities enhance the value of long-shots and amplify aversion to a small chance of a severe loss. Consequently, people are often risk-seeking in dealing with improbable gains and risk-averse in dealing with unlikely losses.
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