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Ch. 12: U.S. Inflation, Unemployment and Business Cycles
Ch. 12: U.S. Inflation, Unemployment and Business Cycles

... • SAS shifts left • P rises (another spell of inflation) •RGDP falls until GDP=potential GDP • Inflation is finished unless AD increases again. ...
Slide 1
Slide 1

...  Also true for the other components of GDP. Example: Suppose a recession overseas reduces demand for U.S. net exports by $10b. Initially, agg demand falls by $10b. The fall in Y causes C to fall, which further reduces agg demand and income. ...
34 Power Point
34 Power Point

...  Also true for the other components of GDP. Example: Suppose a recession overseas reduces demand for U.S. net exports by $10b. Initially, agg demand falls by $10b. The fall in Y causes C to fall, which further reduces agg demand and income. ...
EUROPEAN COMMISSION Brussels, 26.2.2016 SWD(2016) 90 final
EUROPEAN COMMISSION Brussels, 26.2.2016 SWD(2016) 90 final

... was initially led by exports but has increasingly become broad-based as private consumption, in particular, has picked up. Labour-market conditions have been improving, with employment increasing and the unemployment rate falling, but the absorption of the large pool of long-term unemployed remains ...
Risk and Return
Risk and Return

...  When a risky asset is combined with a risk free asset, the resulting portfolio expected return is a weighted sum of their expected returns and the portfolio beta is the weighted sum of their betas.  Considers various portfolios comprised of an investment in stock A with a beta () of 1.2 and expe ...
U.S. Monetary Policy Since Late 2007 Structure of the Federal
U.S. Monetary Policy Since Late 2007 Structure of the Federal

... causing unemployment to rise—as happened in the recent Great Recession--monetary policy can respond by acting to lower interest rates, in order to stimulate spending, and to arrest, limit, and ultimately offset the decline in demand. Monetary policy then can help demand to begin increasing, and then ...
interest rate, exchange rate and inflation in romania
interest rate, exchange rate and inflation in romania

... level, the current account deficit is offset by larger net capital inflows, so foreign investors sustain the national economy in destination countries that are typically emerging countries. Large capital inflows can also reduce financing costs for wholesale domestic banks. Many of the flows are temp ...
Using the Term Structure of Interest Rates for Monetary Policy
Using the Term Structure of Interest Rates for Monetary Policy

NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES COUNTRY SPREADS AND EMERGING COUNTRIES: WHO DRIVES WHOM?
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES COUNTRY SPREADS AND EMERGING COUNTRIES: WHO DRIVES WHOM?

... spreads, the world interest rate, and business cycles in emerging countries. We do so using a methodology that combines empirical and theoretical analysis. We begin by estimating a VAR system that includes measures of the world interest rate, the country interest rate, and a number of domestic macro ...
Country Spreads and Emerging Countries: Who Drives Whom?
Country Spreads and Emerging Countries: Who Drives Whom?

... spreads, the world interest rate, and business cycles in emerging countries. We do so using a methodology that combines empirical and theoretical analysis. We begin by estimating a VAR system that includes measures of the world interest rate, the country interest rate, and a number of domestic macro ...
DFS-J3-1541 rev0413(Investment Policy).
DFS-J3-1541 rev0413(Investment Policy).

... between 50 and 100 basis points and termination occurs for a tracking error greater than 100 basis points for four consecutive quarters. For measurement purposes only, the monthly prorated mutual fund expense ratio is added back to the total monthly returns. Note: All funds are measured without load ...
The Equity Premium Stock and Bond Returns since 1802
The Equity Premium Stock and Bond Returns since 1802

... In comparing past with future bond returns, it is important to choose securities whose risk characteristics match closely. There was an active market for long-term U.S.government bonds over most of the 19th century except for the years 1835 through 1841, when prior budget surpluses eliminated all fe ...
economic growth support poverty reduction strategy
economic growth support poverty reduction strategy

... The number of those not engaged in labor has steadily declined in recent years, from 265.8 thousand in 2002 to 233.0 thousand in 2003, a decrease by 32.8 thousand. But the number of unemployed registered at the Employment Offices increased by 2.4 thousand, causing 0.1 percentage point increase of th ...
the relationship between price earning ratio and stock return of firms
the relationship between price earning ratio and stock return of firms

... The price/earnings ratio (P/E ratio) provides a comparison of the current market price of a stock and that stock's earnings per share. It is determined by dividing the current share price by the reported attributable earnings over the prior twelve months. This is the historical or reported P/E ratio ...
Silvia Fedeli* –Francesco Forte° – Ottavio Ricchi^
Silvia Fedeli* –Francesco Forte° – Ottavio Ricchi^

... In recent years policies of fiscal deficit have played a major role vis a vis the financial crisis, with controversial results in terms of their effectiveness. On the one side, one may argue that government deficits can smooth out the implications of temporary shocks caused by malfunctioning of the ...
The Offshore-Intensity Ratio
The Offshore-Intensity Ratio

... is incommensurate for the size and the financing of the domestic economy? Zoromé himself used the standard deviation to identify OFCs. However, he excluded ‘outliers’ such as Luxembourg from his analysis. Cases with extreme values significantly distort statistical measures such as the standard devia ...
Martin Feldstein DEFLATION
Martin Feldstein DEFLATION

... My own inclination would be to look also to fiscal policy. Although substantial experience indicates that discretionary fiscal policy is not useful in dealing with the typical short recession downturn, a discretionary fiscal stimulus may be appropriate when faced with a long-term weakness of the typ ...
4. Expansionary gaps tend to raise inflation, and recessionary gaps
4. Expansionary gaps tend to raise inflation, and recessionary gaps

... 2. Average labor productivity times the share of the population that is employed equals real GDP per person. Real GDP per person is a basic determinant of long-run living standards. The share of the population that is employed can only rise so far, given the fact that there are always children, reti ...
Performance Evaluation
Performance Evaluation

... The initial value is compounded forward at the interest rate R because P0 is a "time-zero" value. The rest of the cash flows is split into two: half is modeled as being paid at the beginning (and thus needs to be compounded forward at the rate R), while the other half is modeled as being paid at the ...
fund facts - RBC Global Asset Management
fund facts - RBC Global Asset Management

... This section tells you how Series A mutual fund shares of the fund have performed over the past four years. Returns are after expenses have been deducted. These expenses reduce the fund's returns. Year-by-year returns This chart shows how Series A mutual fund shares of the fund performed in each of ...
Performance Evaluation
Performance Evaluation

... The initial value is compounded forward at the interest rate R because P0 is a "time-zero" value. The rest of the cash flows is split into two: half is modeled as being paid at the beginning (and thus needs to be compounded forward at the rate R), while the other half is modeled as being paid at the ...
14 - Weber State University
14 - Weber State University

... 22) The activists believe that the time required for flexible prices to bring the economy back to the natural rate of unemployment is relatively short. A) the IS curve is relatively flat because of the broad range of assets whose demand is very sensitive to changes in the interest rate. B) the time ...
Economic Fluctuations, Unemployment, and Inflation (15th ed.)
Economic Fluctuations, Unemployment, and Inflation (15th ed.)

... James Gwartney, Richard Stroup, Russell Sobel, & David Macpherson Slides authored and animated by: James Gwartney & Charles Skipton Copyright ©2015 Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible web site, in whole or in part. ...
Monetary Policy - Maria Jose Rodriguez
Monetary Policy - Maria Jose Rodriguez

... When the Reserve Ratio (RR) increases, banks must hold more reserves, reducing the money supply. When (RR) decreases, banks are able to loan out more reserves, increasing the money supply. Not commonly used in the U.S. ...
The Influence of Monetary and Fiscal Policy on Aggregate Demand
The Influence of Monetary and Fiscal Policy on Aggregate Demand

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Pensions crisis

The pensions crisis is a predicted difficulty in paying for corporate, state, and federal pensions in the United States and Europe, due to a difference between pension obligations and the resources set aside to fund them. Shifting demographics are causing a lower ratio of workers per retiree; contributing factors include retirees living longer (increasing the relative number of retirees), and lower birth rates (decreasing the relative number of workers, especially relative to the Post-WW2 Baby Boom). There is significant debate regarding the magnitude and importance of the problem, as well as the solutions.For example, as of 2008, the estimates for the underfunding of U.S. states' pension programs range from $1 trillion using the discount rate of 8% to $3.23 trillion using U.S. Treasury bond yields as the discount rate. The present value of unfunded obligations under Social Security as of August 2010 was approximately $5.4 trillion. In other words, this amount would have to be set aside today such that the principal and interest would cover the program's shortfall between tax revenues and payouts over the next 75 years.Some economists question the concept of funding, and, therefore underfunding. Storing funds by governments, in the form of fiat currencies, is the functional equivalent of storing a collection of their own IOUs. They will be equally inflationary to newly written ones when they do come to be used.Reform ideas are in three primary categories: a) Addressing the worker-retiree ratio, via raising the retirement age, employment policy and immigration policy; b) Reducing obligations via shifting from defined benefit to defined contribution pension types and reducing future payment amounts (by, for example, adjusting the formula that determines the level of benefits); and c) Increasing resources to fund pensions via increasing contribution rates and raising taxes.
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