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NBER WORKING PAPERS SERIES TRADE REFORMS, CREDIBILITY, AND DEVELOPMENT
NBER WORKING PAPERS SERIES TRADE REFORMS, CREDIBILITY, AND DEVELOPMENT

... focus on the signaling role of investment, taking the commercial policy invoked by the reformist administration as given. We consider the case where there are several feasible projects, requiring both public and private investment. Projects may differ in terms of their outwardness (as measured by th ...
Corrected Paper (May 6, 2015)
Corrected Paper (May 6, 2015)

Can the “Asian Tigers” roar back? Demographic insights
Can the “Asian Tigers” roar back? Demographic insights

... The positive demographic point for the Asian Tigers is that their Old-age dependency ratios are lower than the G6 average which suggests that the ageing-related fiscal pressures are not that critical—they have more time to plan to deal with ageing-related fiscal issues. Policy changes in smaller cou ...
The Relationship between Savings and Growth in South Africa
The Relationship between Savings and Growth in South Africa

... between saving rates and growth. During 1984-94, 31 countries had average annual per capita GDP growth rates of 2.5% or higher. In these successful countries the median saving rate was 24%. By contrast, the median saving rate stood at 16% in the 59 countries in which per capita income grew at less t ...
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... Mountford and Uhlig (2002) investigate the impacts of fiscal policy shocks in the US, employing a VAR methodology. They observe that government spending shocks crowd out residential and non-residential investment, but not consumption. Deficit spending cuts lead to economic expansion and unexpected t ...
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Search Equilibrium with Migration: the Case of Poland
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for immediate release

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... There is a small overlap where governments own and operate business enterprises (e.g., AustraliaPost and Medibank Private). In such cases, public entities sell goods and services on a market and generate income in the process. In recent years, the trend has been for governments to divest such enterp ...
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... reflect the fact that higher interest rates cause more people to invest their funds. B. The investment function is positively sloped to reflect the fact that lower interest rates cause more firms to expand their operations. C. Along a given investment function, higher interest rates result in more i ...
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... years in which the country experienced a surplus in the current account. Net foreign assistance inflows continued in this period and even showed normal growth with the result that there was a substantial built up in foreign reserves. Between the end of 1975-1976 and the end of 1977-1978 foreign rese ...
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... A) decrease aggregate demand by increasing the interest rate from 2 to 4 percent. B) decrease aggregate demand by increasing the interest rate from 4 to 6 percent. C) increase aggregate demand by decreasing the interest rate from 4 to 2 percent. D) increase the level of investment spending from $120 ...
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... large drop in corn and soybean price levels this fall. Where prices may be in 2015 and 2016 is even less clear. Interest rates have important implications for real estate markets. As interest rates decline, the price of real estate tends to increase. There has been a general decline in interest rate ...
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Government Spending for Health Entitlement Programs

... have been contributed in payroll taxes by the couple, 40 percent lower).6 In that same year, 35 percent of seniors lived at or below 200 percent of the federal but expected benefits would double to nearly $360,000 poverty level; this number increases to almost half once because the non-working spous ...
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... within the general government sector. For those series, data on the central/local governments side are publicly available, so we calculate the quarterly amount for the central/local governments first and then subtract the number from the general government sector number to obtain the amount for the ...
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Public finances in Portugal: a brief long- run view

... This paper provides a succinct overview of long-run developments regarding public finances in Portugal, with a particular emphasis on the expenditure side. As regularly mentioned by international organisations, in the last twenty years or so public spending control has been a problem in Portugal, wi ...
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Degree of Leverage Ratio Analysis in the Iranian Banking Network
Degree of Leverage Ratio Analysis in the Iranian Banking Network

... deemed inappropriate when it does not affect the project mark value (Singhania and Seth, 2010). There are several factors that affect the formation of funding structure within a project. Some are internal based on the use of a combination of funding which includes external debt and common and prefer ...
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Pensions crisis

The pensions crisis is a predicted difficulty in paying for corporate, state, and federal pensions in the United States and Europe, due to a difference between pension obligations and the resources set aside to fund them. Shifting demographics are causing a lower ratio of workers per retiree; contributing factors include retirees living longer (increasing the relative number of retirees), and lower birth rates (decreasing the relative number of workers, especially relative to the Post-WW2 Baby Boom). There is significant debate regarding the magnitude and importance of the problem, as well as the solutions.For example, as of 2008, the estimates for the underfunding of U.S. states' pension programs range from $1 trillion using the discount rate of 8% to $3.23 trillion using U.S. Treasury bond yields as the discount rate. The present value of unfunded obligations under Social Security as of August 2010 was approximately $5.4 trillion. In other words, this amount would have to be set aside today such that the principal and interest would cover the program's shortfall between tax revenues and payouts over the next 75 years.Some economists question the concept of funding, and, therefore underfunding. Storing funds by governments, in the form of fiat currencies, is the functional equivalent of storing a collection of their own IOUs. They will be equally inflationary to newly written ones when they do come to be used.Reform ideas are in three primary categories: a) Addressing the worker-retiree ratio, via raising the retirement age, employment policy and immigration policy; b) Reducing obligations via shifting from defined benefit to defined contribution pension types and reducing future payment amounts (by, for example, adjusting the formula that determines the level of benefits); and c) Increasing resources to fund pensions via increasing contribution rates and raising taxes.
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