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Reconciling Hayek s and Keynes views of recessions
Reconciling Hayek s and Keynes views of recessions

... induced by the need for liquidation creates a multiplier process that leads to an excessive reduction in activity. Although prices are free to adjust, the liquidation creates a period of deficient aggregate demand where economic activity is too low because people spend too cautiously due to increase ...
Chapter 3. Will It Hurt?
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... • Wilcox shows in 1989 that the fiscal sustainability is attained when xt is a stationary process with a zero average. However, Uctum and Wickens (2000) demonstrates a more general result, showing that this is a condition sufficient but not necessary, the fiscal sustainability being observed also wh ...
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... the level of overall public-sector debt. In addition, we focus our analysis further by constraining all fiscal adjustments to come through either taxes or transfers; that is, the analysis takes the level of government expenditures on goods and services as fixed. In doing so, we do not mean to sugges ...
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... respectively, which might lead the world economy out of the present slowdown, though the recent rise in the value of the euro may knock the rate of growth down further. In terms of unemployment and inflation the situation is no better. The euro area unemployment is already high at 8.8 percent (April ...
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NATIONAL ACCOUNTS

... produced by an establishment, excluding the value of any goods and services used in an activity for which the establishment does not assume the risk of using the products in production, and excluding the value of goods and services consumed by the same establishment except for goods and services use ...
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Fiscal multiplier

In economics, the fiscal multiplier (not to be confused with monetary multiplier) is the ratio of a change in national income to the change in government spending that causes it. More generally, the exogenous spending multiplier is the ratio of a change in national income to any autonomous change in spending (private investment spending, consumer spending, government spending, or spending by foreigners on the country's exports) that causes it. When this multiplier exceeds one, the enhanced effect on national income is called the multiplier effect. The mechanism that can give rise to a multiplier effect is that an initial incremental amount of spending can lead to increased consumption spending, increasing income further and hence further increasing consumption, etc., resulting in an overall increase in national income greater than the initial incremental amount of spending. In other words, an initial change in aggregate demand may cause a change in aggregate output (and hence the aggregate income that it generates) that is a multiple of the initial change.The existence of a multiplier effect was initially proposed by Keynes student Richard Kahn in 1930 and published in 1931. Some other schools of economic thought reject or downplay the importance of multiplier effects, particularly in terms of the long run. The multiplier effect has been used as an argument for the efficacy of government spending or taxation relief to stimulate aggregate demand.In certain cases multiplier values less than one have been empirically measured (an example is sports stadiums), suggesting that certain types of government spending crowd out private investment or consumer spending that would have otherwise taken place. This crowding out can occur because the initial increase in spending may cause an increase in interest rates or in the price level. In 2009, The Economist magazine noted ""economists are in fact deeply divided about how well, or indeed whether, such stimulus works"", partly because of a lack of empirical data from non-military based stimulus. New evidence came from the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, whose benefits were projected based on fiscal multipliers and which was in fact followed - from 2010 to 2012 - by a slowing of job loss and private sector job growth.
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