Development of a Methodology and a Tool for the Assessment of Vulnerability of Roadways to Flood Induced Damage
... System dynamics is an approach that helps develop a strategic view of a “system”, which could be an industry, society or a nation, by modelling the different parts and simulating the dynamics of interaction among the different parts. This helps to determine the changes over time, and hence develop a ...
... System dynamics is an approach that helps develop a strategic view of a “system”, which could be an industry, society or a nation, by modelling the different parts and simulating the dynamics of interaction among the different parts. This helps to determine the changes over time, and hence develop a ...
Widespread parallel population adaptation to climate variation
... each species to a wide range of climatic conditions of a greater magnitude than that predicted from anthropogenic climate change (Fig. 2). Hence, the numerous independent Lesser Antillean anole species provide a powerful test of parallel evolution in geographic variation that adapts populations to c ...
... each species to a wide range of climatic conditions of a greater magnitude than that predicted from anthropogenic climate change (Fig. 2). Hence, the numerous independent Lesser Antillean anole species provide a powerful test of parallel evolution in geographic variation that adapts populations to c ...
Climate change adaptation and mitigation
... 1‑2oC, resulting in reduced crop yields in seasonally dry and tropical regions, while crop and pasture yields in temperate regions may benefit. Further warming in the second half of the century will negatively affect all regions, although agriculture in many developing countries in semi-tropical and ...
... 1‑2oC, resulting in reduced crop yields in seasonally dry and tropical regions, while crop and pasture yields in temperate regions may benefit. Further warming in the second half of the century will negatively affect all regions, although agriculture in many developing countries in semi-tropical and ...
A recurring anarchy? The emergence of climate change as a threat
... knowledge of the role of oceans, airborne particulates and other influences on atmospheric conditions was considerably poorer than it is today (though we still have a long way to go to improve our understanding of such things). It is therefore not surprising that climate change and its impacts ranke ...
... knowledge of the role of oceans, airborne particulates and other influences on atmospheric conditions was considerably poorer than it is today (though we still have a long way to go to improve our understanding of such things). It is therefore not surprising that climate change and its impacts ranke ...
Agroecology and the design of climate change-resilient
... global warming will have on crop growth and production (Kurukulasuriya and Rosenthal 2003; Easterling et al. 2007; Lobell and Gourdji 2012). Although authors offer different scenarios, the consensus is that the productivity of crops and livestock may decline because of high temperatures and drought- ...
... global warming will have on crop growth and production (Kurukulasuriya and Rosenthal 2003; Easterling et al. 2007; Lobell and Gourdji 2012). Although authors offer different scenarios, the consensus is that the productivity of crops and livestock may decline because of high temperatures and drought- ...
Development of a metamodel tool for regional integrated climate
... stakeholders across the agricultural, hydrological, biodiversity and coastal sectors. The Regional Impact Simulator contains the: Metamodels – a range of calibrated and validated metamodels simulating fluvial and coastal flooding; rural landuse change and agricultural production; water resources, ...
... stakeholders across the agricultural, hydrological, biodiversity and coastal sectors. The Regional Impact Simulator contains the: Metamodels – a range of calibrated and validated metamodels simulating fluvial and coastal flooding; rural landuse change and agricultural production; water resources, ...
Climate change impacts in Sub-Saharan Africa
... inland subtropics; frequent occurrence of extreme heat events; increasing aridity; and changes in rainfall—with a particularly pronounced decline in southern Africa and an increase in East Africa. The region could also experience as much as one meter of sea-level rise by the end of this century unde ...
... inland subtropics; frequent occurrence of extreme heat events; increasing aridity; and changes in rainfall—with a particularly pronounced decline in southern Africa and an increase in East Africa. The region could also experience as much as one meter of sea-level rise by the end of this century unde ...
Highly Significant Responses to Anthropogenic Forcings of the
... differ only in their atmospheric initial condition: hence, the ensemble spread reflects the natural variability of the climate system. We also analyze a single, 1800-yr-long, preindustrial (PI) control integration of the same model (with forcings at the year 1850) to establish both the state of the ...
... differ only in their atmospheric initial condition: hence, the ensemble spread reflects the natural variability of the climate system. We also analyze a single, 1800-yr-long, preindustrial (PI) control integration of the same model (with forcings at the year 1850) to establish both the state of the ...
NATIONAL CLIMATE CHANGE POLICY - Indus Valley School of Art
... instead, plant a variety of heat and drought resistant low delta crops, to reduce the risk of crop failure; d. Encourage agriculture drought management practices that recognize drought as part of highly variable climate, rather than treating it as a causal natural disaster; e. Establish livestock di ...
... instead, plant a variety of heat and drought resistant low delta crops, to reduce the risk of crop failure; d. Encourage agriculture drought management practices that recognize drought as part of highly variable climate, rather than treating it as a causal natural disaster; e. Establish livestock di ...
Transformational adaptation
... papers prepared by the Prairie Climate Centre to provide the public and government officials with an overview of the means by which to build cities that are resilient to the impacts of climate change, drawing on lived experience and best practices. ...
... papers prepared by the Prairie Climate Centre to provide the public and government officials with an overview of the means by which to build cities that are resilient to the impacts of climate change, drawing on lived experience and best practices. ...
Climatic and Habitat Contributions to Populations of Managed
... from breeding earlier. For foliage-gleaning insectivores, such as Parids, caterpillars feeding on deciduous trees are the main food for nestling provisioning (Perrins 1991; Rytkönen et al. 1996). Well timed broods produce more and heavier fledglings, recruiting to the breeding population more likely ...
... from breeding earlier. For foliage-gleaning insectivores, such as Parids, caterpillars feeding on deciduous trees are the main food for nestling provisioning (Perrins 1991; Rytkönen et al. 1996). Well timed broods produce more and heavier fledglings, recruiting to the breeding population more likely ...
Climate change
... multidimensional phenomenon, and as such its negative effects could be much harder than the effects of any other challenge. Global impacts At the global level the key vulnerabilities are water, food, health, land, environment, infrastructure and the increase in extreme weather events. The impact of ...
... multidimensional phenomenon, and as such its negative effects could be much harder than the effects of any other challenge. Global impacts At the global level the key vulnerabilities are water, food, health, land, environment, infrastructure and the increase in extreme weather events. The impact of ...
The impact of high-end climate change on agricultural welfare
... and barley) attributed to climate change in the recent past are estimated at approximately US$5 billion per year (8). With prospects of continued global warming, the implications of this damage could be substantial for poor regions, with its severity highly dependent on a country’s future developmen ...
... and barley) attributed to climate change in the recent past are estimated at approximately US$5 billion per year (8). With prospects of continued global warming, the implications of this damage could be substantial for poor regions, with its severity highly dependent on a country’s future developmen ...
Regional temperature and precipitation changes under high
... their projections, and current knowledge on the potential for and implications of such extreme climate changes over the twenty-first century is limited. One key issue is whether changes in global mean temperature are a useful guide to changes in a particular region. Observational data and models agre ...
... their projections, and current knowledge on the potential for and implications of such extreme climate changes over the twenty-first century is limited. One key issue is whether changes in global mean temperature are a useful guide to changes in a particular region. Observational data and models agre ...
City of North Vancouver Climate Change Adaptation Plan
... extensive mitigation efforts will not prevent some degree of future climate change. Today’s emissions and those already in the atmosphere will continue to affect the climate for many decades to come, and these changes are likely to have substantial impacts if we are not prepared – if we do not adapt ...
... extensive mitigation efforts will not prevent some degree of future climate change. Today’s emissions and those already in the atmosphere will continue to affect the climate for many decades to come, and these changes are likely to have substantial impacts if we are not prepared – if we do not adapt ...
individual perceptions of climate risks
... were a wake-up call for governments, communities and businesses, alerting them of the need to better understand and prepare for climate risks. These events triggered AXA to intensify its research and modeling work on extreme weather events, a difficult task due to a lack of available data and the re ...
... were a wake-up call for governments, communities and businesses, alerting them of the need to better understand and prepare for climate risks. These events triggered AXA to intensify its research and modeling work on extreme weather events, a difficult task due to a lack of available data and the re ...
Resource Scarcity, Climate Change and the Risk of
... Overall, even stringent global mitigation action may not be enough to avoid a 2.0° Celsius increase on pre-industrial temperatures. Even if the 2009 Copenhagen summit had agreed that global emissions would peak in 2015 and decline by 3% a year thereafter, this would still have left the world with an ...
... Overall, even stringent global mitigation action may not be enough to avoid a 2.0° Celsius increase on pre-industrial temperatures. Even if the 2009 Copenhagen summit had agreed that global emissions would peak in 2015 and decline by 3% a year thereafter, this would still have left the world with an ...
Sydney/Central Coast Region
... 3.1 Projected changes to climate Daily maximum temperatures are projected to increase by an average of 1.5– 3°C, with the greatest increase during winter and spring (2–3°C) and the smallest increase in summer (1–2°C). Nights are also projected to be warmer, particularly in spring (2–3°C). Summer rai ...
... 3.1 Projected changes to climate Daily maximum temperatures are projected to increase by an average of 1.5– 3°C, with the greatest increase during winter and spring (2–3°C) and the smallest increase in summer (1–2°C). Nights are also projected to be warmer, particularly in spring (2–3°C). Summer rai ...
Predicting the past distribution of species climatic nichesgeb_476
... need more research to assess the generality of PNC. Using large datasets on species distributions, climatic conditions and phylogenetic trees, we should assess not simply whether there is niche conservatism overall, but which climatic axes contribute to PNC and which ones do not. CEMs assume non-sig ...
... need more research to assess the generality of PNC. Using large datasets on species distributions, climatic conditions and phylogenetic trees, we should assess not simply whether there is niche conservatism overall, but which climatic axes contribute to PNC and which ones do not. CEMs assume non-sig ...
The Impact of Climate Change on Livelihoods
... deepen the practical implications of our research endeavors and amplify their impact. Through the combination of cutting-edge research and global knowledge sharing, we aim to forge a fresh, dynamic channel for policy dialogue on employment at national, regional and international levels. Our team mem ...
... deepen the practical implications of our research endeavors and amplify their impact. Through the combination of cutting-edge research and global knowledge sharing, we aim to forge a fresh, dynamic channel for policy dialogue on employment at national, regional and international levels. Our team mem ...
Microsoft Word
... decreasing number of frost days (-19.1 days) and ice days (-8.9 days) as well as an increasing quantity of heat days (+2.7 days) and summer days (+10.1 days) (WAGNER, 2013). Besides these changes in temperature, the regional climate projections also outline higher precipitation quantities for the hy ...
... decreasing number of frost days (-19.1 days) and ice days (-8.9 days) as well as an increasing quantity of heat days (+2.7 days) and summer days (+10.1 days) (WAGNER, 2013). Besides these changes in temperature, the regional climate projections also outline higher precipitation quantities for the hy ...
Downscaling climate change scenarios for apple pest and disease
... such as changes in pest and disease populations (e.g. Trnka et al., 2007). The development, reproduction and distribution of arthropods are strongly determined by temperature (ectothermy). Consequently, both an earlier beginning and prolongation of the season, as well as distribution shifts poleward ...
... such as changes in pest and disease populations (e.g. Trnka et al., 2007). The development, reproduction and distribution of arthropods are strongly determined by temperature (ectothermy). Consequently, both an earlier beginning and prolongation of the season, as well as distribution shifts poleward ...
Altieri et al 2015
... Today, monocultures have increased dramatically worldwide, mainly through the geographical expansion of land devoted to single crops and year-to-year production of the same crop species on the same land. No less than 80 % of the 1.5 billion hectares of arable land are devoted to monocultures of a fe ...
... Today, monocultures have increased dramatically worldwide, mainly through the geographical expansion of land devoted to single crops and year-to-year production of the same crop species on the same land. No less than 80 % of the 1.5 billion hectares of arable land are devoted to monocultures of a fe ...
Demographic Amplification of Climate Change Experienced by the
... Finally, because human population size and distribution have been previously argued to be strongly associated with coastal zones and navigable rivers and only weakly with climate conditions [19] we included distance from waterway (calculated as the shortest distance between the centroid of each coun ...
... Finally, because human population size and distribution have been previously argued to be strongly associated with coastal zones and navigable rivers and only weakly with climate conditions [19] we included distance from waterway (calculated as the shortest distance between the centroid of each coun ...
Camille Parmesan Education
... Beebee, J M Fromont, O Hoegh-Guldberg (2002) Ecological responses to recent climate change. Nature 416:389-395. o Ranked #11: Parmesan, C & G Yohe (2003) A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts in natural systems. Nature 421:37-42. (This paper also won an ISI Web of Science award i ...
... Beebee, J M Fromont, O Hoegh-Guldberg (2002) Ecological responses to recent climate change. Nature 416:389-395. o Ranked #11: Parmesan, C & G Yohe (2003) A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts in natural systems. Nature 421:37-42. (This paper also won an ISI Web of Science award i ...