Global warming: predictions versus reality
... number of intense hurricanes declined during the 1970s and 1980s, and the period 1991-1994 experienced the smallest number of hurricanes of any four years over the past half century. More warmth may, in fact, mean a more stable climate. Some researchers predict that an increase in CO2 will decrease ...
... number of intense hurricanes declined during the 1970s and 1980s, and the period 1991-1994 experienced the smallest number of hurricanes of any four years over the past half century. More warmth may, in fact, mean a more stable climate. Some researchers predict that an increase in CO2 will decrease ...
Capotondi
... observations can address the climate-ecosystem interaction over time periods, typically a few decades or less, which may be too short to draw conclusions that are statistically significant. In the presence of climate change it is also important to understand how climate impacts on ecosystems may evo ...
... observations can address the climate-ecosystem interaction over time periods, typically a few decades or less, which may be too short to draw conclusions that are statistically significant. In the presence of climate change it is also important to understand how climate impacts on ecosystems may evo ...
scientific method and the “greenhouse” theory
... few days. Projecting changes in climate (i.e., long-term average weather) due to changes in atmospheric composition or other factors is a very different and much more manageable issue”. Rind6, however, disagrees "The climate that we experience results both from ordered forcing and chaotic behaviour, ...
... few days. Projecting changes in climate (i.e., long-term average weather) due to changes in atmospheric composition or other factors is a very different and much more manageable issue”. Rind6, however, disagrees "The climate that we experience results both from ordered forcing and chaotic behaviour, ...
Bibliography-on-Expert-Elicitation-and-Climate-Change-Uncertainties
... Speirs-Bridge, A., F. Fidler, M. McBride, L. Flander, G. Cumming, and M. Burgman (2010). Reducing overconfidence in the interval judgments of experts. Risk Analysis 30 (3), 512–523. Spiegelhalter, D. J. and H. Riesch (2011). Don’t know, can’t know: embracing deeper uncertainties when analysing risks ...
... Speirs-Bridge, A., F. Fidler, M. McBride, L. Flander, G. Cumming, and M. Burgman (2010). Reducing overconfidence in the interval judgments of experts. Risk Analysis 30 (3), 512–523. Spiegelhalter, D. J. and H. Riesch (2011). Don’t know, can’t know: embracing deeper uncertainties when analysing risks ...
DOC - Europa.eu
... Interaction, 2007-2010, FP6, EU budget contribution: €10 mln). Measurements of the effect of aerosols on the cooling or heating of the planet are needed in order to better inform climate change projections. EUCAARI reduced the uncertainty of impact of aerosol particles on climate by 50% and quantifi ...
... Interaction, 2007-2010, FP6, EU budget contribution: €10 mln). Measurements of the effect of aerosols on the cooling or heating of the planet are needed in order to better inform climate change projections. EUCAARI reduced the uncertainty of impact of aerosol particles on climate by 50% and quantifi ...
the Word document - LDC Group at UN climate change
... The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has a well established role in the Convention process in communicating scientific information to the Convention through its regular assessment reports and its wide range of special reports and technical papers. Although it does not carry out its o ...
... The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has a well established role in the Convention process in communicating scientific information to the Convention through its regular assessment reports and its wide range of special reports and technical papers. Although it does not carry out its o ...
- Climatelinks
... median model ensemble. Simple linear interpolation of projections indicate that annually, "hot" days will occur on 12-25% of days by the 2030s [UNDP]. Future: 2050 (generally 2040-2059) The mean annual temperature in the country is projected to increase by 0.84°C, 1.4°C, and 2.2°C for the 10th, 50th ...
... median model ensemble. Simple linear interpolation of projections indicate that annually, "hot" days will occur on 12-25% of days by the 2030s [UNDP]. Future: 2050 (generally 2040-2059) The mean annual temperature in the country is projected to increase by 0.84°C, 1.4°C, and 2.2°C for the 10th, 50th ...
awareness of both type 1 and 2 errors in climate science and
... zero (J. Krosnick and B. MacInnis 2014). The average change of public belief in the existence of global warming across all nine sets of available polling data before and after the Himalayan glacier error and the hacking of the University of East Anglia e-mails, and thus potentially attributable to t ...
... zero (J. Krosnick and B. MacInnis 2014). The average change of public belief in the existence of global warming across all nine sets of available polling data before and after the Himalayan glacier error and the hacking of the University of East Anglia e-mails, and thus potentially attributable to t ...
Carter AR5 info requ..
... A safe or danger (very low risk) limit given for warming. 2C is certain catastrophe to billions of the most vulnerable (from AR4) and feedback planetary catastrophe. A safe or danger (very low risk) limit given for atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations (CO2 equivalent). The likelihood of the sen ...
... A safe or danger (very low risk) limit given for warming. 2C is certain catastrophe to billions of the most vulnerable (from AR4) and feedback planetary catastrophe. A safe or danger (very low risk) limit given for atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations (CO2 equivalent). The likelihood of the sen ...
Climate is changing
... Scenario simulations suggest that most probably the Baltic Sea will become more acid in the future. Increased oxygen deficiency, increased temperature, changed salinity and increased acidification will impact the marine ecosystem in several ways and may erode the resilience of the ecosystem. Increas ...
... Scenario simulations suggest that most probably the Baltic Sea will become more acid in the future. Increased oxygen deficiency, increased temperature, changed salinity and increased acidification will impact the marine ecosystem in several ways and may erode the resilience of the ecosystem. Increas ...
New Zealand Climate Change Research Institute
... they know, and understand the limits for what they don’t know, before they say it. The IPCC Working Group I on the physical sciences of climate change has decided it can not cover risk management. So do we wait till the science is sure OR … The United Nations Precautionary Principle agreed by all go ...
... they know, and understand the limits for what they don’t know, before they say it. The IPCC Working Group I on the physical sciences of climate change has decided it can not cover risk management. So do we wait till the science is sure OR … The United Nations Precautionary Principle agreed by all go ...
Climate change facts and statistics in Iran Mohammad Reza
... regions, mean precipitation will likely decrease, while in many mid-latitude wet regions, mean precipitation will likely increase under the RCP8.5 scenario. There are prospects from climate model simulations that a gradually global warming will be accompanied by changes in the variability and freque ...
... regions, mean precipitation will likely decrease, while in many mid-latitude wet regions, mean precipitation will likely increase under the RCP8.5 scenario. There are prospects from climate model simulations that a gradually global warming will be accompanied by changes in the variability and freque ...
Rahmstorf2012-ComparingClimateProjections-to-Obse+
... contributions of all three factors to global temperature were estimated by linear correlation with the multivariate El Niño index for ENSO, aerosol optical thickness data for volcanic activity and total solar irradiance data for solar variability (optical thickness data for the year 2011 were not y ...
... contributions of all three factors to global temperature were estimated by linear correlation with the multivariate El Niño index for ENSO, aerosol optical thickness data for volcanic activity and total solar irradiance data for solar variability (optical thickness data for the year 2011 were not y ...
Slide 1
... • For a full cost-benefit analysis, we need the cost side. • “Mitigation” involves analyses of the policies involving the reduction of emissions CO2 and other GHGs There are four major issues involved: 1. Projecting the emissions 2. Estimating the costs of emissions reductions 3. Designing policies ...
... • For a full cost-benefit analysis, we need the cost side. • “Mitigation” involves analyses of the policies involving the reduction of emissions CO2 and other GHGs There are four major issues involved: 1. Projecting the emissions 2. Estimating the costs of emissions reductions 3. Designing policies ...
Exxon: Highly Unlikely World Limits Fossil Fuels
... On the same day the world’s climate scientists issued its latest report on climate change and the risks it poses to society, the nation’s biggest oil and gas company said the world’s climate policies are “highly unlikely” to stop it from selling fossil fuels far into the future. Exxon Mobil issued a ...
... On the same day the world’s climate scientists issued its latest report on climate change and the risks it poses to society, the nation’s biggest oil and gas company said the world’s climate policies are “highly unlikely” to stop it from selling fossil fuels far into the future. Exxon Mobil issued a ...
EMISSIONS OF GREENHOUSE GASES Atmosphere Climate
... and deforestation. The concentrations of methane and nitrous oxide are increasing as well due to agricultural, industrial and other activities. Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), perfluorocarbons (PFCs) and sulphur hexafluoride (SF6) do not occur naturally in the atmosphere but have been introduced by human ...
... and deforestation. The concentrations of methane and nitrous oxide are increasing as well due to agricultural, industrial and other activities. Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), perfluorocarbons (PFCs) and sulphur hexafluoride (SF6) do not occur naturally in the atmosphere but have been introduced by human ...
Climate change research at the Met Office Hadley Centre
... Closing thoughts • Some global aspects of climate change are well understood and documented with increasing confidence in the IPCC Assessment Reports (e.g. climate is warming, human influence, projected future changes). • Other aspects (e.g. those shown here) are less well understood. Current predi ...
... Closing thoughts • Some global aspects of climate change are well understood and documented with increasing confidence in the IPCC Assessment Reports (e.g. climate is warming, human influence, projected future changes). • Other aspects (e.g. those shown here) are less well understood. Current predi ...
Advance briefing: IPCC report on climate impacts
... Approximately 20-30% of plant and animal species assessed are likely to be at increased risk of extinction if increases in global average temperature exceed 1.5-2.5°C. Crop productivity is projected to increase slightly at mid- to high latitudes for local mean temperature increases of up to 1-3°C de ...
... Approximately 20-30% of plant and animal species assessed are likely to be at increased risk of extinction if increases in global average temperature exceed 1.5-2.5°C. Crop productivity is projected to increase slightly at mid- to high latitudes for local mean temperature increases of up to 1-3°C de ...
The Climate Change Habitability Index - Eli Blevis
... can think of. There is a lot of data available, and assessing the actual habitability of a particular location in terms of risks associated with climate change is a tremendously complex and intricate calculation. Our goal here is to hide all this complexity inasmuch as it is possible to do so. We ch ...
... can think of. There is a lot of data available, and assessing the actual habitability of a particular location in terms of risks associated with climate change is a tremendously complex and intricate calculation. Our goal here is to hide all this complexity inasmuch as it is possible to do so. We ch ...
Climate change projections
... • Influence the perception of the level of future GHG emissions • Therefore influence the perception of the magnitude of climate change and environmental worsening • Create derived uncertainties about future vulnerability to climate change ...
... • Influence the perception of the level of future GHG emissions • Therefore influence the perception of the magnitude of climate change and environmental worsening • Create derived uncertainties about future vulnerability to climate change ...
Climatic Change - Department of Agricultural Economics
... Red signifies results below mean Source McCarl work for US National Assessment http://agecon2.tamu.edu/people/faculty/mccarl-bruce/papers/778.pdf ...
... Red signifies results below mean Source McCarl work for US National Assessment http://agecon2.tamu.edu/people/faculty/mccarl-bruce/papers/778.pdf ...
Update on the International Context, IPCC 2100 goal, and road to
... PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE (IPCC) ...
... PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE (IPCC) ...
Biogeochemical Cycles in the Ocean
... Anyone can say anything, but not everyone can get research results published in peer-reviewed journals ...
... Anyone can say anything, but not everyone can get research results published in peer-reviewed journals ...