Scientific uncertainty and climate change: Part I. Uncertainty
... Uncertainty is an unavoidable aspect of scientific endeavors. The IPCC’s AR4 of 2007 used the word “uncertain” or its derivatives more than 1200 times in the report of Working Group 1 alone—around 1.2 times per printed page. Although the scientific community has sought to develop ways of dealing wit ...
... Uncertainty is an unavoidable aspect of scientific endeavors. The IPCC’s AR4 of 2007 used the word “uncertain” or its derivatives more than 1200 times in the report of Working Group 1 alone—around 1.2 times per printed page. Although the scientific community has sought to develop ways of dealing wit ...
A Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment for the Kickapoo Tribe
... Any local vulnerability assessment necessarily incorporates a lot of uncertainty because climate change projections become less reliable at smaller scales. What we do know, however, is that the climate is changing, mostly due to human activity, and will contin ...
... Any local vulnerability assessment necessarily incorporates a lot of uncertainty because climate change projections become less reliable at smaller scales. What we do know, however, is that the climate is changing, mostly due to human activity, and will contin ...
Greenhouse Alliances – Responding to the Challenge of Climate
... councils and most of Victoria, the ten current Greenhouse Alliances work with their members, communities and private partners in mitigation, adaptation and sequestration activity. The Victorian Government, which has taken a strong leadership role on climate change in Australia, began funding Allianc ...
... councils and most of Victoria, the ten current Greenhouse Alliances work with their members, communities and private partners in mitigation, adaptation and sequestration activity. The Victorian Government, which has taken a strong leadership role on climate change in Australia, began funding Allianc ...
Partners for Resilience
... Adds Pieter van Eijk: “PfR’s country-based activities will be supplemented by a global strategy to disseminate experience and ensure achievements are sustained and replicated.” Contact us at [email protected]. ...
... Adds Pieter van Eijk: “PfR’s country-based activities will be supplemented by a global strategy to disseminate experience and ensure achievements are sustained and replicated.” Contact us at [email protected]. ...
Ruti et al. BAMS - Med
... Eastern (e.g. Cyprus island) Mediterranean are also centers of topographically-induced intense cyclogenesis (e.g. Buzzi and Tibaldi 1978; Alpert et al. 1995). Such events dramatically influence the Mediterranean ocean circulation (Herrmann and Somot, 2008). The Mediterranean Sea is a semi-enclosed a ...
... Eastern (e.g. Cyprus island) Mediterranean are also centers of topographically-induced intense cyclogenesis (e.g. Buzzi and Tibaldi 1978; Alpert et al. 1995). Such events dramatically influence the Mediterranean ocean circulation (Herrmann and Somot, 2008). The Mediterranean Sea is a semi-enclosed a ...
Context Analysis - Kenya livestock Marketing Council
... The Drylands of Kenya make up 84% of Kenya’s total land surface, support about 25% of the country’s population (about 10 million people), account for more than 80% of the country’s ecotourism interests and possibly up to 60% of the country’s livestock1.The contribution of the sector to Kenya’s econo ...
... The Drylands of Kenya make up 84% of Kenya’s total land surface, support about 25% of the country’s population (about 10 million people), account for more than 80% of the country’s ecotourism interests and possibly up to 60% of the country’s livestock1.The contribution of the sector to Kenya’s econo ...
GCOS Status and Plans
... - how to connect different ECVs, need to define a common integrator - accuracy requirements for time series of 10+ years need to be discussed - finding key data centres for ECVs like ice sheets, albedo, etc. - financing workshops to gather communities around cross-cutting ECVs - definition new terre ...
... - how to connect different ECVs, need to define a common integrator - accuracy requirements for time series of 10+ years need to be discussed - finding key data centres for ECVs like ice sheets, albedo, etc. - financing workshops to gather communities around cross-cutting ECVs - definition new terre ...
Survey Experiment - RGK Center for Philanthropy and Community
... animate decision making depend primarily on credible evidence. By contrast, a frame that suggests “We need to respond to climate change to prevent suffering by future generations and people in the Third World” relies more upon community values and morality for its persuasive appeal.10 Not all frames ...
... animate decision making depend primarily on credible evidence. By contrast, a frame that suggests “We need to respond to climate change to prevent suffering by future generations and people in the Third World” relies more upon community values and morality for its persuasive appeal.10 Not all frames ...
Climate change, food, water and population health in China
... China, the frequency and intensity of extreme heat events have increased and it has been suggested that anthropogenic forces have led to a 60-fold increase in the likelihood of an extremely warm summer.16 Over the same period, droughts in northern and north-eastern China, have become more severe and ...
... China, the frequency and intensity of extreme heat events have increased and it has been suggested that anthropogenic forces have led to a 60-fold increase in the likelihood of an extremely warm summer.16 Over the same period, droughts in northern and north-eastern China, have become more severe and ...
PDF
... cost of carbon is only $2/ton of carbon (equivalent to $0.5/tCO2), far less than mainstream views of the social cost of carbon, and an extreme outlier in the literature. 1 By comparison, the marginal cost of emissions already in place under the EU emissions trading system has been in the range of $1 ...
... cost of carbon is only $2/ton of carbon (equivalent to $0.5/tCO2), far less than mainstream views of the social cost of carbon, and an extreme outlier in the literature. 1 By comparison, the marginal cost of emissions already in place under the EU emissions trading system has been in the range of $1 ...
Expected impacts of climate change on extreme climate events
... The projection of future climate change at the scale of the century relies on the use of climate model simulations that represent the only way to account for the complex interactions and feedback between and within the different components of the climate system. However, climate simulations are limi ...
... The projection of future climate change at the scale of the century relies on the use of climate model simulations that represent the only way to account for the complex interactions and feedback between and within the different components of the climate system. However, climate simulations are limi ...
The Mid-Atlantic Region and its climate: past, present
... 8 states and 4 physiographic zones. This geographic diversity provides different sets of options for societies to adapt to environmental changes. Since 1967, the region’s human population has grown in both number (19%) and income (116%), and important local ecosystems are experiencing associated str ...
... 8 states and 4 physiographic zones. This geographic diversity provides different sets of options for societies to adapt to environmental changes. Since 1967, the region’s human population has grown in both number (19%) and income (116%), and important local ecosystems are experiencing associated str ...
Act Now or Pay Later
... Men and women are affected differently by climaterelated disasters.15 On the whole, women’s vulnerability to disaster is greater both during and after the event. Numerous studies have found that women often make up a disproportionate number of casualties of natural disasters: in the 2004 tsunami in ...
... Men and women are affected differently by climaterelated disasters.15 On the whole, women’s vulnerability to disaster is greater both during and after the event. Numerous studies have found that women often make up a disproportionate number of casualties of natural disasters: in the 2004 tsunami in ...
Climate Change Regulation and PRediCtion maRkets
... the other side manipulates its science. Too often, climate science is used the way a drunk uses a lamppost: for support, rather than for illumination. In the current environment, beliefs about climate change are too intertwined with a variety of economic and professional interests, such that virtual ...
... the other side manipulates its science. Too often, climate science is used the way a drunk uses a lamppost: for support, rather than for illumination. In the current environment, beliefs about climate change are too intertwined with a variety of economic and professional interests, such that virtual ...
Climate Change - Division on Earth and Life Studies
... parts of the carbon cycle, such as the weathering of rocks and the formation of fossil fuels, are much slower processes occurring over many centuries. For example, most of the world’s oil reserves were formed when the remains of plants and animals were buried in sediment at the bottom of shallow sea ...
... parts of the carbon cycle, such as the weathering of rocks and the formation of fossil fuels, are much slower processes occurring over many centuries. For example, most of the world’s oil reserves were formed when the remains of plants and animals were buried in sediment at the bottom of shallow sea ...
Climate Change - NAS
... parts of the carbon cycle, such as the weathering of rocks and the formation of fossil fuels, are much slower processes occurring over many centuries. For example, most of the world’s oil reserves were formed when the remains of plants and animals were buried in sediment at the bottom of shallow sea ...
... parts of the carbon cycle, such as the weathering of rocks and the formation of fossil fuels, are much slower processes occurring over many centuries. For example, most of the world’s oil reserves were formed when the remains of plants and animals were buried in sediment at the bottom of shallow sea ...
Climate Change
... parts of the carbon cycle, such as the weathering of rocks and the formation of fossil fuels, are much slower processes occurring over many centuries. For example, most of the world’s oil reserves were formed when the remains of plants and animals were buried in sediment at the bottom of shallow sea ...
... parts of the carbon cycle, such as the weathering of rocks and the formation of fossil fuels, are much slower processes occurring over many centuries. For example, most of the world’s oil reserves were formed when the remains of plants and animals were buried in sediment at the bottom of shallow sea ...
Trends in Extreme Weather and Climate Events: Issues Related to
... et al. (1997) identify a midwinter suppression of the North Pacific storm track in present-day climate, which they attribute to very strong upper-level winds at that time of year. Then in a 3xCO2 climate model experiment, they note that very intense upper-level winds occur more often, thus producing ...
... et al. (1997) identify a midwinter suppression of the North Pacific storm track in present-day climate, which they attribute to very strong upper-level winds at that time of year. Then in a 3xCO2 climate model experiment, they note that very intense upper-level winds occur more often, thus producing ...
Memorandum by the Joint Nature Conservation Committee
... investigating the effects of biodiversity loss on ecosystem processes at the larger scales for which society requires answers, and highlights the need to improve our understanding of what really underpins service delivery. The ecosystem processes, or functions which underpin these services, need to ...
... investigating the effects of biodiversity loss on ecosystem processes at the larger scales for which society requires answers, and highlights the need to improve our understanding of what really underpins service delivery. The ecosystem processes, or functions which underpin these services, need to ...
Climate Change Resilient Transport, May 2011
... International Road Transport Union (IRU). January 21 2011. ...
... International Road Transport Union (IRU). January 21 2011. ...
Global Warming Guide
... During the last interglacial period, when temperatures were 4°C higher than at present, sea levels were 6 metres higher ...
... During the last interglacial period, when temperatures were 4°C higher than at present, sea levels were 6 metres higher ...
Citizens Guide (30 pp.)
... ight now, over 10,000 representatives from more than 180 countries are gathering in Bali, Indonesia, to debate the future of the Earth’s climate, under the auspices of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. This meeting represents an important opportunity: The world’s attention i ...
... ight now, over 10,000 representatives from more than 180 countries are gathering in Bali, Indonesia, to debate the future of the Earth’s climate, under the auspices of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. This meeting represents an important opportunity: The world’s attention i ...
WSB 8/5/1 Task Group Climate page 1 Agenda Item: 5 Subject
... Wadden Sea region may increase among 2.0 and 4.7 degrees Celsius until the end of this century. Water temperatures in the Wadden Sea are already increasing and are expected to increase further. Due to the high uncertainty regarding the magnitude and direction of the above climate change aspects, as ...
... Wadden Sea region may increase among 2.0 and 4.7 degrees Celsius until the end of this century. Water temperatures in the Wadden Sea are already increasing and are expected to increase further. Due to the high uncertainty regarding the magnitude and direction of the above climate change aspects, as ...
Conclusions and recommendations for action
... threats. Thus, the Earth Summit not only gave rise to a plan of action for sustainable development towards the twenty-first century (Agenda 21, which included both well known and newer global threats) but also opened for signature the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Important ...
... threats. Thus, the Earth Summit not only gave rise to a plan of action for sustainable development towards the twenty-first century (Agenda 21, which included both well known and newer global threats) but also opened for signature the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Important ...