The added complications of climate change
... has been devoted to understanding and quantifying the (IPCC 2007). Actions such as clear-cutting or replanting interactions among climatic changes and other environ- major tracts of forests can also affect local weather patmental stressors (pathway [ii] in Figure 1a). In this sec- terns and the resu ...
... has been devoted to understanding and quantifying the (IPCC 2007). Actions such as clear-cutting or replanting interactions among climatic changes and other environ- major tracts of forests can also affect local weather patmental stressors (pathway [ii] in Figure 1a). In this sec- terns and the resu ...
- Wiley Online Library
... become identified with a confidence interval, determined from the consensus of an ever larger mix of modeling and observational studies [e.g., Knutti and Hegerl, 2008; Collins et al., 2013]. In emphasizing consensus, the physical underpinnings of each study are easily lost and there is little to rewar ...
... become identified with a confidence interval, determined from the consensus of an ever larger mix of modeling and observational studies [e.g., Knutti and Hegerl, 2008; Collins et al., 2013]. In emphasizing consensus, the physical underpinnings of each study are easily lost and there is little to rewar ...
8_ecosystem-models-for-gcc
... Nevertheless, the Farquhar model is a well-tested, well-corroborated model of the responses of C3 plants(n1) to changes in carbon dioxide concentration and light on a temporal scale of seconds to minutes (e.g., Collatz et al. 1990, Farquhar and yon Caemmerer 1982, Harley et al. 1992). Sufficiency. S ...
... Nevertheless, the Farquhar model is a well-tested, well-corroborated model of the responses of C3 plants(n1) to changes in carbon dioxide concentration and light on a temporal scale of seconds to minutes (e.g., Collatz et al. 1990, Farquhar and yon Caemmerer 1982, Harley et al. 1992). Sufficiency. S ...
Smith et al (2009
... atmosphere at a level that ‘‘would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference (DAI) with the climate system.’’ In an effort to provide some insight into impacts of climate change that might be considered DAI, authors of the Third Assessment Report (TAR) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Ch ...
... atmosphere at a level that ‘‘would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference (DAI) with the climate system.’’ In an effort to provide some insight into impacts of climate change that might be considered DAI, authors of the Third Assessment Report (TAR) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Ch ...
Targets for global climate policy An overview
... There is broad agreement between these studies in four areas. First, the welfare effect of a doubling of the atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gas emissions on the current economy is relatively small—a few percentage points of GDP. The impact of a century of climate change is roughly equivalen ...
... There is broad agreement between these studies in four areas. First, the welfare effect of a doubling of the atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gas emissions on the current economy is relatively small—a few percentage points of GDP. The impact of a century of climate change is roughly equivalen ...
Climate Change, Health and Future Well
... The health impacts of climate change can be conceptualised in many ways. This chapter uses a framework that groups these impacts into ‘primary’, ‘secondary’ and ‘tertiary’ effects (Butler and Harley 2010; Butler 2014a, b). Primary effects are the most direct and obvious; these include changes in mor ...
... The health impacts of climate change can be conceptualised in many ways. This chapter uses a framework that groups these impacts into ‘primary’, ‘secondary’ and ‘tertiary’ effects (Butler and Harley 2010; Butler 2014a, b). Primary effects are the most direct and obvious; these include changes in mor ...
The Effects of Climate Change on Public Health and the Healthcare
... associated increases in sea level and extreme weather events. (McMichael, 2006) “The IPCC reported that even if humankind manages to curb excess greenhouse gas emissions within the next half-century, the world’s oceans will continue to rise for up to 1000 years, reflecting the great inertial process ...
... associated increases in sea level and extreme weather events. (McMichael, 2006) “The IPCC reported that even if humankind manages to curb excess greenhouse gas emissions within the next half-century, the world’s oceans will continue to rise for up to 1000 years, reflecting the great inertial process ...
Chapter 4 The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate
... Reaching consensus on the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) was a remarkable achievement, given the vastly different positions that various countries held with respect to climate change. Undoubtedly, the consensus was supported by the desire to complete the agreement for the Earth S ...
... Reaching consensus on the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) was a remarkable achievement, given the vastly different positions that various countries held with respect to climate change. Undoubtedly, the consensus was supported by the desire to complete the agreement for the Earth S ...
Resilience an approach for urban climate change
... All of above factors will effect on urban flooding of many cities in Vietnam including Can Tho. It is anticipated that the Can Tho city will witness an exponential growth during next several decades, largely due to its strategic location. The dramatic change in land use in and around the city will h ...
... All of above factors will effect on urban flooding of many cities in Vietnam including Can Tho. It is anticipated that the Can Tho city will witness an exponential growth during next several decades, largely due to its strategic location. The dramatic change in land use in and around the city will h ...
Climate Change and National Security
... government—held its first-ever debate on the potential impact of climate change on peace and security. In October 2007, the Nobel committee recognized this emerging threat to peace and security by awarding former vice president Al Gore and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change its peace priz ...
... government—held its first-ever debate on the potential impact of climate change on peace and security. In October 2007, the Nobel committee recognized this emerging threat to peace and security by awarding former vice president Al Gore and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change its peace priz ...
Robert J. Erhardt: Curriculum Vitae
... Erhardt, R. Incorporating spatial dependence and climate change trends for measuring long-term temperature derivative risk. Variance (accepted). Anderson, T.M., White, S., Davis† , B., Erhardt, R., Palmer, M., Swanson, A., Kosmala, M., and Packer, C. (2016). The spatial distribution of African savan ...
... Erhardt, R. Incorporating spatial dependence and climate change trends for measuring long-term temperature derivative risk. Variance (accepted). Anderson, T.M., White, S., Davis† , B., Erhardt, R., Palmer, M., Swanson, A., Kosmala, M., and Packer, C. (2016). The spatial distribution of African savan ...
Climate change scenarios for Peru and Ecuador
... resolution). ECHAM4 is the current generation in the line of ECHAM models (Roeckner, et al., 1992). A summary of developments regarding model physics in ECHAM4 and a description of the simulated climate obtained with the uncoupled ECHAM4 model is given in Roeckner et al. (1996). The initial sea surf ...
... resolution). ECHAM4 is the current generation in the line of ECHAM models (Roeckner, et al., 1992). A summary of developments regarding model physics in ECHAM4 and a description of the simulated climate obtained with the uncoupled ECHAM4 model is given in Roeckner et al. (1996). The initial sea surf ...
Partners for Resilience
... on existing cooperation with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the UN and the World Bank. “The basic principle of framing climate change in the same discussion as its humanitarian impacts is now well established,” says Maarten van Aalst, who heads the Climate Centre. “The relatively new ...
... on existing cooperation with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the UN and the World Bank. “The basic principle of framing climate change in the same discussion as its humanitarian impacts is now well established,” says Maarten van Aalst, who heads the Climate Centre. “The relatively new ...
Cap and Trade or a Carbon Tax? How to Reduce CO Emissions
... corrective action and effect makes it imperative that we act before we feel the full effects of global warming. A continuation of current trends will lead to a tripling of CO 2 by the end of the century, with a 50% chance of exceeding a rise of 5 degrees Centigrade. To get a sense of scale, this is ...
... corrective action and effect makes it imperative that we act before we feel the full effects of global warming. A continuation of current trends will lead to a tripling of CO 2 by the end of the century, with a 50% chance of exceeding a rise of 5 degrees Centigrade. To get a sense of scale, this is ...
Global Climate Change Policy Update (2007) DRAFT
... insight on where consensus may ultimately be found. In the statement, the chairman and ranking member of the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee outlined where they see agreement amid a diverse array of interests, from coal-fired power plant owners to environmentalists. The senators based ...
... insight on where consensus may ultimately be found. In the statement, the chairman and ranking member of the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee outlined where they see agreement amid a diverse array of interests, from coal-fired power plant owners to environmentalists. The senators based ...
Author's personal copy
... Congress) and from scholars who have analyzed different aspects of its design and implementation (Lambright, 1997; NRC, 2009b, 2010; Pielke, 1995). In 1992 and 2002, Congress critiqued the USGCRP for being ‘‘less than successful at developing information that is useful to policy-makers and resource ...
... Congress) and from scholars who have analyzed different aspects of its design and implementation (Lambright, 1997; NRC, 2009b, 2010; Pielke, 1995). In 1992 and 2002, Congress critiqued the USGCRP for being ‘‘less than successful at developing information that is useful to policy-makers and resource ...
Weather and climate: changing human exposures
... The climate system and greenhouse gases Earth’s climate is determined by complex interactions among the Sun, oceans, atmosphere, cryosphere, land surface and biosphere (shown schematically in Figure 2.1). These interactions are based on physical laws (conservation of mass, conservation of energy an ...
... The climate system and greenhouse gases Earth’s climate is determined by complex interactions among the Sun, oceans, atmosphere, cryosphere, land surface and biosphere (shown schematically in Figure 2.1). These interactions are based on physical laws (conservation of mass, conservation of energy an ...
Not a Problem, Someone Else`s Problem, My Problem or Our
... transformational change. 4. People’s emotional responses to climate change are important predictors of their willingness to mitigate – both personally and through policy support. “Fear appeals” can trigger people to disengage, especially when impacts seem remote and outside of personal control. In ...
... transformational change. 4. People’s emotional responses to climate change are important predictors of their willingness to mitigate – both personally and through policy support. “Fear appeals” can trigger people to disengage, especially when impacts seem remote and outside of personal control. In ...
Western Europe is warming much faster than expected
... Abstract. The warming trend of the last decades is now so strong that it is discernible in local temperature observations. This opens the possibility to compare the trend to the warming predicted by comprehensive climate models (GCMs), which up to now could not be verified directly to observations o ...
... Abstract. The warming trend of the last decades is now so strong that it is discernible in local temperature observations. This opens the possibility to compare the trend to the warming predicted by comprehensive climate models (GCMs), which up to now could not be verified directly to observations o ...
Aghion_et_al_policy_paper_Nov2014 (opens in new window)
... The Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment was established in 2008 at the London School of Economics and Political Science. The Institute brings together international expertise on economics, as well as finance, geography, the environment, international development and pol ...
... The Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment was established in 2008 at the London School of Economics and Political Science. The Institute brings together international expertise on economics, as well as finance, geography, the environment, international development and pol ...
Report
... Global Environment at Harvard Medical School; and Brenda Ekwurzel, assistant director of climate research and analysis for the Climate and Energy Program of the Union of Concerned Scientists for their review of drafts of this document, as well as their insights and suggestions. Thanks also to Clair ...
... Global Environment at Harvard Medical School; and Brenda Ekwurzel, assistant director of climate research and analysis for the Climate and Energy Program of the Union of Concerned Scientists for their review of drafts of this document, as well as their insights and suggestions. Thanks also to Clair ...
Where We Are Now - Edinburgh Research Explorer
... 10 Derek Parfit, Energy Policy and the Further Future: The Identity Problem, in Climate Ethics, 112. ...
... 10 Derek Parfit, Energy Policy and the Further Future: The Identity Problem, in Climate Ethics, 112. ...
Global Warming and Extreme Weather
... for Health and the Global Environment at Harvard Medical School; and Brenda Ekwurzel, assistant director of climate research and analysis for the Climate and Energy Program of the Union of Concerned Scientists for their review of drafts of this document, as well as their insights and suggestions. Th ...
... for Health and the Global Environment at Harvard Medical School; and Brenda Ekwurzel, assistant director of climate research and analysis for the Climate and Energy Program of the Union of Concerned Scientists for their review of drafts of this document, as well as their insights and suggestions. Th ...
Global Massive Change
... Weaver perceived and addressed this problem, in at least a preliminary way, by drawing a distinction between "disorganized complexity" and "organized complexity". ...
... Weaver perceived and addressed this problem, in at least a preliminary way, by drawing a distinction between "disorganized complexity" and "organized complexity". ...
Fred Singer
Siegfried Fred Singer (born September 27, 1924) is an Austrian-born American physicist and emeritus professor of environmental science at the University of Virginia. Singer trained as an atmospheric physicist and is known for his work in space research, atmospheric pollution, rocket and satellite technology, his questioning of the link between UV-B and melanoma rates, and that between CFCs and stratospheric ozone loss, his public denial of the health risks of passive smoking, and as an advocate for climate change denial. He is the author or editor of several books including Global Effects of Environmental Pollution (1970), The Ocean in Human Affairs (1989), Global Climate Change (1989), The Greenhouse Debate Continued (1992), and Hot Talk, Cold Science (1997). He has also co-authored Unstoppable Global Warming: Every 1,500 Years (2007) with Dennis Avery, and Climate Change Reconsidered (2009) with Craig Idso.Singer has had a varied career, serving in the armed forces, government, and academia. He designed mines for the U.S. Navy during World War II, before obtaining his Ph.D. in physics from Princeton University in 1948 and working as a scientific liaison officer in the U.S. Embassy in London. He became a leading figure in early space research, was involved in the development of earth observation satellites, and in 1962 established the National Weather Bureau's Satellite Service Center. He was the founding dean of the University of Miami School of Environmental and Planetary Sciences in 1964, and held several government positions, including deputy assistant administrator for the Environmental Protection Agency, and chief scientist for the Department of Transportation. He held a professorship with the University of Virginia from 1971 until 1994, and with George Mason University until 2000.In 1990 Singer founded the Science & Environmental Policy Project to advocate for climate change denial, and in 2006 was named by the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation as one of a minority of scientists said to be creating a stand-off on a consensus on climate change. Singer argues there is no evidence that global warming is attributable to human-caused increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide, and that humanity would benefit if temperatures do rise.He is an opponent of the Kyoto Protocol, and has claimed climate models as not based on reality, and not evidence. Singer has been accused of rejecting peer-reviewed and independently confirmed scientific evidence in his claims concerning public health and environmental issues.