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Summer 2015
Summer 2015

... the term “hiatus” will be used here to denote that slowdown), when the rate of global warming slowed compared to the previous two decades, was an artifact of problematic sea surface temperature (SST) data (Karl et al. 2015), lack of Arctic data (Cowtan and Way 2014), or both. Such claims indicate th ...
variations - US CLIVAR
variations - US CLIVAR

... the term “hiatus” will be used here to denote that slowdown), when the rate of global warming slowed compared to the previous two decades, was an artifact of problematic sea surface temperature (SST) data (Karl et al. 2015), lack of Arctic data (Cowtan and Way 2014), or both. Such claims indicate th ...
Climate change: impacts and adaptation for agriculture in Western
Climate change: impacts and adaptation for agriculture in Western

... Consequently, yields are likely to decline in the drier eastern and northern areas and remain largely unchanged or increase in wetter western and southern areas. The plant available water capacity of the soil will become increasingly important to growth, so yield declines are likely to be greater on ...
The implications of climate change for biodiversity conservation and
The implications of climate change for biodiversity conservation and

... values, then derive conservation objectives and programs that preserve ecological processes while allowing or even facilitating changes in biodiversity states. We need to increase the efficiency of limited conservation resources by focusing investment on those places or species that achieve the “gre ...
Advancing Managed Retreat in New Zealand
Advancing Managed Retreat in New Zealand

... hazards.34 This may result in significant individual financial losses for property owners from forced abandonment of buildings, as well as a loss of community and other social impacts.35 In many locations managed retreat may reduce the potential for maladaptation36 based on misperceptions that hard ...
MEMORANDUM To: March 11, 2010
MEMORANDUM To: March 11, 2010

... Despite concerns that climate change may be more severe and more rapid than estimated by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report in 2007,7 progress toward a global reduction of carbon dioxide (CO2) and other greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions remains slow. Prompted ...
text - Tilburg University
text - Tilburg University

... becoming even more acute when it comes to a discussion of the legal aspects. The core concern includes the difficulties for the decision maker to assess the nature of the alleged harm feared, and the identification of whether the source of that harm is attributable to climate change. Lastly, the dec ...
Climate Change and International Economic Law
Climate Change and International Economic Law

... economic law. Indeed, as Suzanne A. Spears notes, the question of ―how to strike a balance between principles regarding the protection and promotion of foreign investment on the one hand and principles regarding the protection of society and the environment on the other‖12 is ―[o]ne of the most impo ...
“Duck Factory” of North America - American Meteorological Society
“Duck Factory” of North America - American Meteorological Society

... also analyzed.2 Every model simulation in the CMIP5 archive was begun with different initial conditions and hence contains a different sequence of internally generated weather variability that is uncorrelated with the variability in all the other simulations with the same and other models. In contra ...
American Climate Prospectus - Goldman School of Public Policy
American Climate Prospectus - Goldman School of Public Policy

... possibilities of major abrupt change cannot be ruled out. Such tipping points could make our most extreme projections more likely than we estimate, though unexpected stabilizing feedbacks could also act in the opposite direction. Physical climate projections The scientific community has recently rel ...
Vulnerability of Tasmania`s Natural Environment to Climate Change
Vulnerability of Tasmania`s Natural Environment to Climate Change

... climate models predict that the greatest warming in the Southern Hemisphere oceans will be in the Tasman Sea. Current evidence is showing an increase in southward extent of the East Australian Current off eastern Tasmania, with a resultant southern extension of warmer, nutrientpoor waters, allowing ...
Draft African Union Strategy on Climate Change (2015)
Draft African Union Strategy on Climate Change (2015)

... The fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) explicitly shows the world is warming faster than estimated before and that humans caused most of that change over the last decades. It is also clear that climate change will continue, at a pace determined by past, p ...
Loss and damage - Third World Network
Loss and damage - Third World Network

... As the last regional meeting before COP18, the SIDS regional meeting can be instrumental to focus on certain key issues that help answer important questions needed for a successful COP18 outcome: understanding approaches to address non-economic losses; the challenge posed to sustainable development ...
Climate change and Ontario`s provincial parks
Climate change and Ontario`s provincial parks

... frameworks. While the literature review and the models described in this report identify a number of potential impacts resulting from climate change (e.g., changes in biome climate envelope representation, increased forest fire severity, and the loss of polar bear [Ursus maritimus] habitat from Pola ...
How is the stratosphere-troposphere coupling af
How is the stratosphere-troposphere coupling af

... of persistent circulation anomalies in the lower stratosphere in winter for the phase of the Arctic Oscillation. They concluded that this stratospheric memory effect could benefit the predictive skill for extended-range weather forecasting. Charlton et al. (2003) reported a statistical forecast mode ...
Key players` perspective on climate change in the Mediterranean
Key players` perspective on climate change in the Mediterranean

... very involved in global initiatives such as the Paris Pact on water and adaptation to climate change in basins of rivers, lakes and aquifers, which was signed at the COP21 by 305 organisations and 87 countries. Governments are already working together to improve the future of this region, as is evid ...
Carbon Disclosure Project
Carbon Disclosure Project

... This report contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are statements that do not represent historical facts and may be based on underlying assumptions. SunPower uses words and phrases such as “goal,” “ob ...
ENHANCINGRESILIENCETO CLIMATERESILIENCEAND CLIMATE
ENHANCINGRESILIENCETO CLIMATERESILIENCEAND CLIMATE

... The poorest populations, including vulnerable indigenous populations, will not, and indeed, cannot, adapt if this will require looking beyond their immediate food security needs. The potential impacts of climate change on Panama most vulnerable population should be prioritized. Source: Panama´s Clim ...
Protecting People Crossing Borders in the Context of
Protecting People Crossing Borders in the Context of

... where affected persons were already vulnerable before the storm and their capacity to cope was particularly low at the same time. In such situations, the occurrence of large-scale displacement will be more likely than in a situation where the resilience of people and their capacity to withstand the ...
Why the United States did not become a party to the Kyoto Protocol
Why the United States did not become a party to the Kyoto Protocol

... including major population centers such as China and India, from compliance, and would cause serious harm to the US economy.’2 Bush also referred to Byrd–Hagel directly, stating, ‘the Senate’s vote, 95–0, shows that there is a clear consensus that the Kyoto Protocol is an unfair and ineffective mean ...
Expert Judgement, Meta-Analysis and Participatory Risk Analysis 1
Expert Judgement, Meta-Analysis and Participatory Risk Analysis 1

... One point about publication that is immediate from Table 1 is the importance of a full publication of the elicitation protocol of an expert study. No empirical study should be published without its experimental design, and a parallel principle should govern the publication of expert judgement studi ...
Learning to Live in a Changing Climate
Learning to Live in a Changing Climate

... warming to “well below 2°C1” as agreed last year in the UNFCCC Paris agreement; and crucially also to create space for some increase in emissions from developing countries in order to support poverty reduction and address global inequality. Even with concerted action on mitigation, adapting to clima ...
Northern Canada
Northern Canada

... with greatest temperature changes at higher latitudes. As a result, there will continue to be significant changes in the physical environment, particularly in the cryosphere (snow, glaciers, permafrost and river/lake/sea ice). ere is increasing evidence that changes in climate are already having imp ...
Dynamics of the coupled human-climate system resulting from
Dynamics of the coupled human-climate system resulting from

... step change in radiative forcing, in this case 1/λ. The magnitude |G(s)| gives the response magnitude at each frequency, and the phase of G(s) gives the phase shift between input (radiative forcing) and output (temperature). Equation (3) is compared with the calculated frequency response from HadCM3 ...
Ranking Port Cities with High Exposure and Vulnerability to Climate
Ranking Port Cities with High Exposure and Vulnerability to Climate

... all cities considered here is estimated to be US$3,000 billion; corresponding to around 5% of global GDP in 2005 (both measured in international USD). By the 2070s, total population exposed could grow more than threefold to around 150 million people due to the combined effects of climate change (sea ...
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Economics of global warming

There are a number of policies that governments might consider in response to global warming. The assessment of such policies involves the economics of global warming.Global warming is a long-term problem. One of the most important greenhouse gases is carbon dioxide. Around 20% of carbon dioxide which is emitted due to human activities can remain in the atmosphere for many thousands of years. The long time scales and uncertainty associated with global warming have led analysts to develop ""scenarios"" of future environmental, social and economic changes. These scenarios can help governments understand the potential consequences of their decisions.The impacts of climate change include the loss of biodiversity, sea level rise, increased frequency and severity of some extreme weather events, and acidification of the oceans. Economists have attempted to quantify these impacts in monetary terms, but these assessments can be controversial.The two main policy responses to global warming are to reduce greenhouse gas emissions (climate change mitigation) and to adapt to the impacts of global warming (e.g., by building levees in response to sea level rise). Another policy response which has recently received greater attention is geoengineering of the climate system (e.g. injecting aerosols into the atmosphere to reflect sunlight away from the Earth's surface).One of the responses to the uncertainties of global warming is to adopt a strategy of sequential decision making. This strategy recognizes that decisions on global warming need to be made with incomplete information, and that decisions in the near term will have potentially long-term impacts. Governments might choose to use risk management as part of their policy response to global warming. For instance, a risk-based approach can be applied to climate impacts which are difficult to quantify in economic terms, e.g., the impacts of global warming on indigenous peoples.Analysts have assessed global warming in relation to sustainable development. Sustainable development considers how future generations might be affected by the actions of the current generation. In some areas, policies designed to address global warming may contribute positively towards other development objectives. In other areas, the cost of global warming policies may divert resources away from other socially and environmentally beneficial investments (the opportunity costs of climate change policy).
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