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NCPP Presentation - ESGF-CoG
NCPP Presentation - ESGF-CoG

... Courtesy Katharine Hayhoe 1. Guidance regarding practice in selection, combination, and interpretation of multiple GCM and scenario simulations to generate regional projections. ...
Atmospheric circulation as a source of uncertainty in climate change
Atmospheric circulation as a source of uncertainty in climate change

... especially its circulation-related aspects (including precipitation), this sort of situation seems likely to be the rule and robust predictions the exception. Figure 2 shows large parts of the globe where even for a strong warming scenario (Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5) and a 100-year ti ...
the heat marches on
the heat marches on

... and well-being. Heatwaves and heat spells in Australia and around the world take their toll on human health, the environment, agriculture, infrastructure and many other facets of society. The impact of climate change on extreme weather, increasing the number of hot days and heatwaves, is driving up ...
File
File

...  Increased greenhouse gases would increase heat when the sun isn’t shining  Patterns of heating show increases that are not correlated to the sun ...
PDF
PDF

... one needs to consider the completeness of that estimate. Damage cost estimates are incomplete. There are reasons to assume that some of the omitted impacts are substantial and negative, but other omitted impacts may be positive. This paper does not argue “we don’t know and therefore …”. Rather, it ...
The added complications of climate change
The added complications of climate change

... Figure 1a highlights four pathways illustrating how a single climatic change and a single stressor can affect species, populations, or ecosystems. Figure 1b illustrates these pathways in the example of native salmon populations affected by the climatic stressor of temperature increases and the exist ...
Off the charts: Extreme Australian summer heat
Off the charts: Extreme Australian summer heat

... 2011). During the severe heatwaves in southeastern Australia in 2009, Melbourne sweltered through three consecutive days at or above 43°C in late January. There were 980 deaths during this period—374 more than the estimated 606 that would have occurred on average for that time of year, or an estimat ...
Climate change as the `new` security threat: implications for Africa
Climate change as the `new` security threat: implications for Africa

... of change in regional climate conditions were being observed and policy-makers began accepting that ways must be found to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Given that doing so would necessitate drastic changes to the use of fossil fuels, climate change quickly became an economic and energy poli ...
2009 Climate Change - The Bush School of Government and Public
2009 Climate Change - The Bush School of Government and Public

... this has entered the policy process. In order to better understand the views of U.S. climate scientists, we conducted an empirical survey of U.S. climate scientists (N=468) in 2005, and compared the results with the 2007 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) physical science report and po ...
IPL global warming - The Regeneration Project
IPL global warming - The Regeneration Project

... Global warming is happening now The world's leading atmospheric scientists tell us that a gradual warming of our climate is underway and will continue. This poses serious risks to our economy and our environment. It poses even greater risks to many other nations, particularly poorer countries that ...
East Riding of Yorkshire Council Climate Change Strategy
East Riding of Yorkshire Council Climate Change Strategy

... We hope to populate this section with the views of residents and our partners. We will undertake a consultation with residents and community groups to determine our vision for 2020. We know we need a much altered economy with far more local production, low carbon technologies, ultra efficient homes, ...
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PDF

... equilibrium model capturing explicitly the underlying mechanisms driving the dynamics of technical parameters, structural change in demand for goods and services and micro- as well as macro-economic behavioral parameters. The model considers open economies with international trade of all goods and C ...
A normative account of dangerous climate change
A normative account of dangerous climate change

... won’t understand the dangers. Not paying attention to scientists in this case would be like not listening to a doctor’s assessment prior to arduous mountain climbing. If you want to know whether mountain climbing is especially dangerous for you, given your medical condition, it makes good sense to l ...
University at Buffalo Libraries TITLE: The Effects of Global Warming
University at Buffalo Libraries TITLE: The Effects of Global Warming

... Annotation: This article claims that the true extent of global warming is being “hidden” by atmospheric pollution. Professor Meinrat Andreae claims that natural aerosols such as sulfur and carbon are held in the air and help cool the planet. In the future however, these aerosols are expected to decr ...
Future climate in the Pacific Northwest
Future climate in the Pacific Northwest

... as well, as shown in Figs. 8, 11 and 12, but we emphasize A1B and B1. Though B1 is the lowest of the IPCC illustrative scenarios, it still produces changes in climate that many scientists call “dangerous” (Schellnhuber et al. 2006)—a threshold that a growing number of political leaders have stated t ...
study of future climatic variations of a teleconnection pattern
study of future climatic variations of a teleconnection pattern

... emphasis is on local solutions to economic, social, and environmental sustainability. It describes a world with continuously increasing global population at a rate lower than A2, intermediate levels of economic development. While the scenario is also oriented toward environmental protection and soci ...
Aalborg Universitet environmental assessment of spatial plans
Aalborg Universitet environmental assessment of spatial plans

... regional and local levels to reduce the adverse impacts of projected climate change and variability, regardless of the scale of mitigation undertaken over the next two to three decades” (Bernstein et al. 2007, p. 56). Climate change is increasingly becoming a concern in spatial planning. As stated ...
RCP2.6: exploring the possibility to keep global mean temperature
RCP2.6: exploring the possibility to keep global mean temperature

... used for their production, as determined by climate and soil quality. For demand for agricultural production, the IMAGE model mostly uses scenarios from agro-economic models. Where expansion of agricultural land is required, a rule-based “suitability map” determines the grid cells selected on the ba ...
Discussion Paper - Economics E
Discussion Paper - Economics E

... Abstract We use FUND 3.5 to estimate the social cost of carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, and sulphur hexafluoride emissions. We show the results of a range of sensitivity analyses, focusing on the impact of carbon dioxide fertilization. Ignored in previous studies of the social cost of greenh ...
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PDF

... main themes of the 21stcentury, and suggested it may have undesired effects on economic growth. Results from an International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) study predicts increasing temperatures will lead to an increase in the number, and severity, of extreme climates events like tornadoesand heavy ...
The Economic Effects of Climate Change
The Economic Effects of Climate Change

... doubling of the atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gas emissions on the current economy is relatively small—a few percentage points of GDP. This kind of loss of output can look large or small, depending on context. From one perspective, it’s roughly equivalent to a year’s growth in the global e ...
Slide 1
Slide 1

... II. MIGRANTS AND DIASPORAS CONTRIBUTIONS FOR LAND BASED ADAPTATION AND ...
Climatology and Climate Change
Climatology and Climate Change

... Source: IPCC Fourth Assessment Report – Working Group 1 – 2007 (p. 135) ...
Carbon Capture and Storage Rule
Carbon Capture and Storage Rule

... • The rule proposes new thresholds for greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) under the Clean Air Act (CAA) New Source Review (NSR) and Title V Operating Permits Programs for new or existing facilities • Under Title V, EPA is proposing a major source applicability threshold of 25,000 tpy CO2e for existing f ...
world development report 2010: Development and Climate Change
world development report 2010: Development and Climate Change

... Note: The data cover over 200 countries for more recent years. Data are not available for all countries in the 19th century, but all major emitters of the era are included. Carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from energy include all fossil-fuel burning, gas flaring, and cement production. Greenhouse gas ...
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Economics of global warming

There are a number of policies that governments might consider in response to global warming. The assessment of such policies involves the economics of global warming.Global warming is a long-term problem. One of the most important greenhouse gases is carbon dioxide. Around 20% of carbon dioxide which is emitted due to human activities can remain in the atmosphere for many thousands of years. The long time scales and uncertainty associated with global warming have led analysts to develop ""scenarios"" of future environmental, social and economic changes. These scenarios can help governments understand the potential consequences of their decisions.The impacts of climate change include the loss of biodiversity, sea level rise, increased frequency and severity of some extreme weather events, and acidification of the oceans. Economists have attempted to quantify these impacts in monetary terms, but these assessments can be controversial.The two main policy responses to global warming are to reduce greenhouse gas emissions (climate change mitigation) and to adapt to the impacts of global warming (e.g., by building levees in response to sea level rise). Another policy response which has recently received greater attention is geoengineering of the climate system (e.g. injecting aerosols into the atmosphere to reflect sunlight away from the Earth's surface).One of the responses to the uncertainties of global warming is to adopt a strategy of sequential decision making. This strategy recognizes that decisions on global warming need to be made with incomplete information, and that decisions in the near term will have potentially long-term impacts. Governments might choose to use risk management as part of their policy response to global warming. For instance, a risk-based approach can be applied to climate impacts which are difficult to quantify in economic terms, e.g., the impacts of global warming on indigenous peoples.Analysts have assessed global warming in relation to sustainable development. Sustainable development considers how future generations might be affected by the actions of the current generation. In some areas, policies designed to address global warming may contribute positively towards other development objectives. In other areas, the cost of global warming policies may divert resources away from other socially and environmentally beneficial investments (the opportunity costs of climate change policy).
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