Projected changes in mean and extreme precipitation in Africa
... by more than ∼10%. These increases achieve statistical significance at the 5% level almost everywhere, and are even significant at the 1% level to the north. Over much of Tanzania (Zone IV), the model projections provide evidence in support of an increase in precipitation rates during austral summer ...
... by more than ∼10%. These increases achieve statistical significance at the 5% level almost everywhere, and are even significant at the 1% level to the north. Over much of Tanzania (Zone IV), the model projections provide evidence in support of an increase in precipitation rates during austral summer ...
ENVIRONMENTAL CONCERN AND THE BUSINESS CYCLE: THE
... influence on public opinion about regulation, because more expensive regulatory efforts are considered more feasible during good times (Vogel 1989). A more nuanced argument is that favorable economic conditions promote support for more liberal policies, whereas tougher economic conditions promote su ...
... influence on public opinion about regulation, because more expensive regulatory efforts are considered more feasible during good times (Vogel 1989). A more nuanced argument is that favorable economic conditions promote support for more liberal policies, whereas tougher economic conditions promote su ...
Climate change prediction: Erring on the side of least drama?
... models assessed in the IPCC AR4’’—with summer sea ice now well below the IPCC worst case scenario (Allison et al., 2009, pp. 29–30). Summer minimum sea ice was higher in subsequent years, but still fell near or below the long-term observed downward trend (which, as just noted, declines faster than t ...
... models assessed in the IPCC AR4’’—with summer sea ice now well below the IPCC worst case scenario (Allison et al., 2009, pp. 29–30). Summer minimum sea ice was higher in subsequent years, but still fell near or below the long-term observed downward trend (which, as just noted, declines faster than t ...
Chapter 4: Traditional Ricardian Method and
... set because the farmers are all in the same market. In this case, the Ricardian method cannot discern the independent effects of prices and price cannot be included (Cline 1996). The omission of prices leads the Ricardian model to over-predict damages and benefits (Mendelsohn and Nordhaus 1996a). If ...
... set because the farmers are all in the same market. In this case, the Ricardian method cannot discern the independent effects of prices and price cannot be included (Cline 1996). The omission of prices leads the Ricardian model to over-predict damages and benefits (Mendelsohn and Nordhaus 1996a). If ...
Modelling the effects of climate change and
... number of thaw days increased by 17−26 %. Wildfire caused AcLTh to increase by 26−48 % in the year following fire; AcLTh differences in 2091−2100 were significant (8 cm) at one site. By 2100, climate change effects on AcLTh were larger than wildfire effects suggesting that persistent temperature inc ...
... number of thaw days increased by 17−26 %. Wildfire caused AcLTh to increase by 26−48 % in the year following fire; AcLTh differences in 2091−2100 were significant (8 cm) at one site. By 2100, climate change effects on AcLTh were larger than wildfire effects suggesting that persistent temperature inc ...
Climate-human-environment interactions: resolving our past
... Existing regional/global records are used to speculate about the veracity of anthropogenic forcing of global climate, with specific consideration of the Ruddiman theory. The paper concludes that a full understanding of causes of earth system change through (at least) the Holocene can come only throu ...
... Existing regional/global records are used to speculate about the veracity of anthropogenic forcing of global climate, with specific consideration of the Ruddiman theory. The paper concludes that a full understanding of causes of earth system change through (at least) the Holocene can come only throu ...
Risks of Climate Change with Respect to the Singapore
... High Speed Rail (HSR) from Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia to Singapore, which is still in its planning stage (at the time of writing), would be the first of its kind in Malaysia. Prime Ministers of Malaysia and Singapore jointly announced the HSR project on the 19 February 2013 and described the HSR as a “G ...
... High Speed Rail (HSR) from Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia to Singapore, which is still in its planning stage (at the time of writing), would be the first of its kind in Malaysia. Prime Ministers of Malaysia and Singapore jointly announced the HSR project on the 19 February 2013 and described the HSR as a “G ...
Do we need more precise and accurate predictions in order to adapt
... that produce satisfactory results in the absence of good predictions. In recent years, a number of researchers have begun to use climate models to provide information that can help evaluate alternative responses to climate change, without necessarily relying on accurate predictions as a key step in ...
... that produce satisfactory results in the absence of good predictions. In recent years, a number of researchers have begun to use climate models to provide information that can help evaluate alternative responses to climate change, without necessarily relying on accurate predictions as a key step in ...
Potential impacts of aerosol–land–atmosphere interactions on the Indian monsoonal rainfall characteristics
... indicate that aerosol loading can alter the surface latent heat flux and hence the redistribution of the radiative energy reaching the surface; more specifically, the effect of increasing aerosol loading would cause a relative decrease in the surface latent heat flux. This was confirmed by assessing ...
... indicate that aerosol loading can alter the surface latent heat flux and hence the redistribution of the radiative energy reaching the surface; more specifically, the effect of increasing aerosol loading would cause a relative decrease in the surface latent heat flux. This was confirmed by assessing ...
Past and projected trends in London`s urban heat island
... thereby promoting higher nocturnal temperatures than in rural areas. Finally, there is anthropogenic heat production from a range of human activities such as space heating, airconditioning, transportation, cooking, and industrial processes. There has been renewed interest in the UHI of London becaus ...
... thereby promoting higher nocturnal temperatures than in rural areas. Finally, there is anthropogenic heat production from a range of human activities such as space heating, airconditioning, transportation, cooking, and industrial processes. There has been renewed interest in the UHI of London becaus ...
... A key finding of this study is that midsummer 2 m temperature over Nebraska might be cooler by as much as 3.4◦ C under current conditions. The domain-average difference between the control and OGE dry runs computed for the 6–15 July 2000 period was 1.2◦ C. The cooling effect and the surface energy b ...
An overview of regional land-use and land
... A key finding of this study is that midsummer 2 m temperature over Nebraska might be cooler by as much as 3.4◦ C under current conditions. The domain-average difference between the control and OGE dry runs computed for the 6–15 July 2000 period was 1.2◦ C. The cooling effect and the surface energy b ...
... A key finding of this study is that midsummer 2 m temperature over Nebraska might be cooler by as much as 3.4◦ C under current conditions. The domain-average difference between the control and OGE dry runs computed for the 6–15 July 2000 period was 1.2◦ C. The cooling effect and the surface energy b ...
IPCC Factsheet: What is the IPCC?
... The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is the international body for assessing the science related to climate change. The IPCC was set up in 1988 by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) to provide policymakers with regular assessme ...
... The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is the international body for assessing the science related to climate change. The IPCC was set up in 1988 by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) to provide policymakers with regular assessme ...
4_4_Human_health_revised_checked - Eionet Forum
... it does consider the main cause of the flood. The DFO is likely to capture more flood events than EMDAT, as any large flood event is recorded as a flood, whereas EM-DAT may classify it as another type of disaster; (tropical) storms are only included in case they also cause flooding. Multiple countin ...
... it does consider the main cause of the flood. The DFO is likely to capture more flood events than EMDAT, as any large flood event is recorded as a flood, whereas EM-DAT may classify it as another type of disaster; (tropical) storms are only included in case they also cause flooding. Multiple countin ...
Climate and carbon cycle dynamics in a CESM simulation from 850
... of simulations were produced that provide a range of potential climate evolutions from the last millennium to the end of the current century. Here, we present the first simulation with the Community Earth System Model (CESM), which includes an interactive carbon cycle, that covers the last millenniu ...
... of simulations were produced that provide a range of potential climate evolutions from the last millennium to the end of the current century. Here, we present the first simulation with the Community Earth System Model (CESM), which includes an interactive carbon cycle, that covers the last millenniu ...
Central Asia - GFCS Observation Workshop
... challenged public health care systems. Frequent highimpact weather events such as storms and droughts along with disasters such as flash floods, mud flows, or storms are additional strains on the health care system. A large assessment of the health effects of climate change was carried out as the fo ...
... challenged public health care systems. Frequent highimpact weather events such as storms and droughts along with disasters such as flash floods, mud flows, or storms are additional strains on the health care system. A large assessment of the health effects of climate change was carried out as the fo ...
Peru-Chile upwelling dynamics under climate change - HAL-Insu
... IPSL-CM4 surface winds along the Peru and Chile coasts under idealized preindustrial (PI), doubling and quadrupling CO2 scenarios. Their results confirmed the wind strengthening off Chile, whereas they show a decrease in the annual mean off Peru, consequence of an austral summer decrease and a modera ...
... IPSL-CM4 surface winds along the Peru and Chile coasts under idealized preindustrial (PI), doubling and quadrupling CO2 scenarios. Their results confirmed the wind strengthening off Chile, whereas they show a decrease in the annual mean off Peru, consequence of an austral summer decrease and a modera ...
Australia`s coral reefs in a changing ocean
... coral reefs in a changing ocean. Report prepared for the Australian Government Department of Sustainability, Environment, Water, Population and Communities on behalf of the State of the Environment 2011 Committee. Canberra: DSEWPaC, 2011. ...
... coral reefs in a changing ocean. Report prepared for the Australian Government Department of Sustainability, Environment, Water, Population and Communities on behalf of the State of the Environment 2011 Committee. Canberra: DSEWPaC, 2011. ...
Interannual variability of plant phenology in tussock tundra
... thaw in order to estimate interannual variability of arctic plant phenology and its effects on plant productivity. The model is tested using 8 years of soil temperature data, and three years of bud break data of Betula nana. Because the factors that trigger the end of the growing season of arctic ve ...
... thaw in order to estimate interannual variability of arctic plant phenology and its effects on plant productivity. The model is tested using 8 years of soil temperature data, and three years of bud break data of Betula nana. Because the factors that trigger the end of the growing season of arctic ve ...
Contrasting responses of heterotrophic and autotrophic respiration
... Understanding how soil respiration (Rs) and its source components respond to climate warming is crucial to improve model prediction of climate-carbon (C) feedback. We conducted a manipulation experiment by warming and clipping in a prairie dominated by invasive winter annual Bromus japonicas in Sout ...
... Understanding how soil respiration (Rs) and its source components respond to climate warming is crucial to improve model prediction of climate-carbon (C) feedback. We conducted a manipulation experiment by warming and clipping in a prairie dominated by invasive winter annual Bromus japonicas in Sout ...
Project Overview - The VIP Research Lab.
... • By far the RS based VI data record (Time Series) is the most successful (publication record, application record, science & research, ease of use, accessibility to non RS people, etc…) • It permits the study of change that is at the core of Earth Science and climate change research • But it is stil ...
... • By far the RS based VI data record (Time Series) is the most successful (publication record, application record, science & research, ease of use, accessibility to non RS people, etc…) • It permits the study of change that is at the core of Earth Science and climate change research • But it is stil ...
Global Warming and Science
... Since the base of the Pleistocene (1.8 M ya) there have been at least 30 glacial - interglacial cycles of 40,000 years to 100,000 years duration with interglacial periods warmer than now between them ...
... Since the base of the Pleistocene (1.8 M ya) there have been at least 30 glacial - interglacial cycles of 40,000 years to 100,000 years duration with interglacial periods warmer than now between them ...
Climate feedback efficiency and synergy - MPG.PuRe - Max
... allowing an attribution of the change in the radiative fluxes to the change in state. Feedbacks can be locked by prescribing for instance surface albedo, clouds or water vapor in the model radiation calculations to a climatology or states stored from another run. For example, Cess et al. (1991) comp ...
... allowing an attribution of the change in the radiative fluxes to the change in state. Feedbacks can be locked by prescribing for instance surface albedo, clouds or water vapor in the model radiation calculations to a climatology or states stored from another run. For example, Cess et al. (1991) comp ...
Climate Change and Water Resources in the Tropical Andes
... recession rates have increased by a factor of four over the last decades.38 Chacaltaya glacier, formerly also located in the Cordillera Real39 and used as a small ski resort (the world’s highest at 5400 meters), completely disappeared in 2009. Its disappearance is representative of many small glaci ...
... recession rates have increased by a factor of four over the last decades.38 Chacaltaya glacier, formerly also located in the Cordillera Real39 and used as a small ski resort (the world’s highest at 5400 meters), completely disappeared in 2009. Its disappearance is representative of many small glaci ...
– Joint International Conference Climate change and adaptation
... The Karlsruhe Institute of Technology strengthens its efforts in the field of climate change research by pursuing its leadership role and numerous research projects in the Helmholtz Programme „Atmosphere and Climate“ (with FZJ, GFZ) combining Earth and engineering sciences in the KIT-Center Climate ...
... The Karlsruhe Institute of Technology strengthens its efforts in the field of climate change research by pursuing its leadership role and numerous research projects in the Helmholtz Programme „Atmosphere and Climate“ (with FZJ, GFZ) combining Earth and engineering sciences in the KIT-Center Climate ...
Instrumental temperature record
The instrumental temperature record shows fluctuations of the temperature of earth's climate system. Initially the instrumental temperature record only documented land and sea surface temperature, but in recent decades instruments have also begun recording ocean temperature. Data is collected from thousands of meteorological stations around the globe and through satellite observations. The longest-running temperature record is the Central England temperature data series, that starts in 1659. The longest-running quasi-global record starts in 1850.