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The Role of Net-Negative CO2 Emission Scenarios in Stabilizing
The Role of Net-Negative CO2 Emission Scenarios in Stabilizing

Palmyra Coral d 18 O
Palmyra Coral d 18 O

... Coral 18O is a sensitive, reliable proxy for tropical Pacific climate change. Most intense ENSO activity occurred during 17th century, during “Little Ice Age”. ENSO characteristics can change dramatically from decade to decade. The late 20th century trend towards warmer conditions in the central tr ...
Summer - Climate Science Program
Summer - Climate Science Program

...  Only when the influences of greenhouse gases and sulfate aerosols are included can the trends be explained  Models that explain these trends, when projected into the future, indicate a 1.5-6.5oC warming over the 21C  Substantial adverse consequences to sea-level rise, food production, fresh-wate ...
no ecological sustainability without limits to growth
no ecological sustainability without limits to growth

... • Energy intensity (total primary energy supply [TPES] per unit of GDP), –1.2 percent, • And carbon intensity (carbon dioxide emissions per unit of TPES), –0.2 percent.2 Importantly, the IPCC’s projections for the next several decades see a continuation of these trends. More people living more aff ...
harrp project
harrp project

... and periglacial features in the Glacier Park area indicate average annual temperatures fluctuated by at least 18 C (about 29 to 32 degrees F) over the past 1 million yr. ...
Slide 1
Slide 1

... Invite teenagers to make a local observation of climate change : evidence, causes and possible consequences in their community  Ask them to put together their own opinion on the subject  Show images of the greenhouse effect that are easy to understand and to remember  Give them the opportunity to ...
Ecological Disruption in Motion
Ecological Disruption in Motion

... Amid mounting concerns over accelerating global climate change, Audubon looked to the birds to determine if and how these sensitive creatures might be responding to changes here in the continental U.S. Birders have long reported surprising sightings of species far north of expected ranges. But are t ...
Persistence of climate changes due to a range of greenhouse
Persistence of climate changes due to a range of greenhouse

... absorption. We find that nonlinear spectral effects exceed 10% contributions to the persistence of warming only for carbon dioxide and methane, and not for any of the other anthropogenic greenhouse gases. Climate Change Persistence: (II) Physical Processes. Climate change is linked to a range of phe ...
Increasing Variability of River Discharge in Northern Canada
Increasing Variability of River Discharge in Northern Canada

... Oerlemans, 2005). Regional declines in glacier extent and volume include the Rockies and Coast Mountains of North America, the Andes of South America, the European Alps and the Asian Himalayas. Glaciers are particularly sensitive to changes in summertime air temperatures that drive ablation and wint ...
Earth Radiation Management
Earth Radiation Management

... so some go up to the outer space and some go down back to the Earth's surface. So not all the heat (Infra-Red radiation) leaves the planet. This is how the Earth gets warmer by greenhouse effect. ...
Climate Modeling
Climate Modeling

... Surface ocean currents carry heat from place to place in the Earth system. This affects regional climates. The Sun warms water at the equator more than it does at the high latitude polar regions. The heat travels in surface currents to higher latitudes. A current that brings warmth into a high latit ...
Climate Modeling
Climate Modeling

... Surface ocean currents carry heat from place to place in the Earth system. This affects regional climates. The Sun warms water at the equator more than it does at the high latitude polar regions. The heat travels in surface currents to higher latitudes. A current that brings warmth into a high latit ...
21 progressive proposals for cop21
21 progressive proposals for cop21

... The world community will have the unique opportunity to tackle dangerous climate change at the United Nations Climate Change Conference in Paris (COP21) hosted by François Hollande in December. We European Socialists and Democrats call urgently for an ambitious, dynamic and legally binding agreement ...
Cryosphere
Cryosphere

... on average, even demonstrating an insignificant positive trend, but for the Arctic multiple studies have all shown a shrinkage in ice extent by approximately 33,000 km2 every ten years (2.7% shrinkage per decade) between 1979 and 2005 (Cosimo, 2003). Further, a study of ice that survives the summer ...
Climate Models - Climate Wizard
Climate Models - Climate Wizard

Science and policy characteristics of the Paris Agreement
Science and policy characteristics of the Paris Agreement

... 1.5 °C during the twenty-first century before reaching this limit, or lower, by 2100. Whether (and under what conditions) warming can be held below 1.5 °C during the twenty-first century is one of the major research questions arising from Paris. ...
Climate Change LECTURE
Climate Change LECTURE

... Climate Change LECTURE Following on the success of the climate change lecture series during 2007 and 2008 the Environmental Protection Agency will host a number of occasional climate change lectures in autumn 2008 and spring 2009. The occasional lectures are aimed at providing updates from the scien ...
Accurate Answers to Professor Plimer`s 101 Climate Change
Accurate Answers to Professor Plimer`s 101 Climate Change

... Historical records reveal that the Earth has experienced significant past changes in its climate such as the changes between glacial and interglacial periods. However, none of the previous drivers of change in the Earth’s climate are responsible for all the current temperature increases. ...
More Hurricanes for Hawaii?
More Hurricanes for Hawaii?

... history of tropical cyclones in the North Pacific with a future (2075–2099) scenario, under which greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise, resulting in temperatures about 2°C higher than today. ...
Read the complete document. - The Carbon Sense Coalition
Read the complete document. - The Carbon Sense Coalition

... I have read the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) and related documents. The IPCC AR4 report makes these statements: • Most of the observed increase in globally averaged temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentratio ...
Climate Change Adaptation in New England Agriculture
Climate Change Adaptation in New England Agriculture

... ›› Alter harvesting schedule – Investigate benefits of altering planting or harvesting dates to take advantage of a longer growing season or avoid adverse weather affecting crops (e.g., heat stress), keeping in mind timing of market demands to maintain profitability.43 For example, maple syrup farme ...
MASC 432 - UNC Marine Sciences
MASC 432 - UNC Marine Sciences

... Overview: How will major river systems respond to global changes in climate and human impacts on the Earth’s surface? Rivers are the active interface between the continents and the oceans. This course examines the hydrological, geological and biogeochemical processes that control the flux of materia ...
WORLD EXTREME HEAT RECORDS
WORLD EXTREME HEAT RECORDS

... To see how pervasive and serious the station dropout and missing data is, go to this site , scroll down to the map and click on any region. You will see stations listed - notice the highly variable reporting periods. Start clicking on stations. You will get plots. But before you move to other stati ...
The twofold aspect of climate change on navigation: the search for
The twofold aspect of climate change on navigation: the search for

... peak global warming is approximately proportional to cumulative emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG) [6]. Thus, there is a limited budget of GHG emissions in order to reach a given warming target with respect to a reference period (”climate stabilization”). The Copenhagen Accord has set such a target ...
Here - Icecap
Here - Icecap

... To see how pervasive and serious the station dropout and missing data is, go to this site , scroll down to the map and click on any region. You will see stations listed - notice the highly variable reporting periods. Start clicking on stations. You will get plots. But before you move to other stati ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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