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... Analysis of Agricultural Commodities and Trade (IMPACT). These models are linked in order to estimate future production, consumption, and trade of key agricultural commodities, following different scenarios of climate change, water availability, and population and income growth (among other factors) ...
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Earth`s climate system - University of Reading
Earth`s climate system - University of Reading

... Methane hydrates (positive feedbacks) ...
Uncertainty and Complexity: Thresholds in Climate Change
Uncertainty and Complexity: Thresholds in Climate Change

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Uncertainties in future projections of extreme precipitation in the

... narrow spread of predicted increases in maximum rainfall based on ClausiusClapeyron, centred on a median of around 9% above the levels in the control simulations. The median of the actual, simulated values (solid curve) is higher than this at around 12%, with a much broader interquartile range, refl ...
Current State of International Climate Negotiations
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... that puts world on path to staying below 2 degrees – WWF’s public ask • “Foundations” outcome, which is not as ambitious as we would like, but builds the key elements of a global regime so that action and targets can be quickly ramped up later • Delay scenario, where legal text resolutions of key is ...
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... A Look into the Future Global warming is here to stay • Annual rates of emissions of CO2 are increasing, and will continue to do so for the foreseeable future (at least 30 years, due to coal generation plants) [see next 2 slides] • Polluting aerosols will be tackled and reduced due their short atmo ...
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... • Many studies using high resolution (eddy-permitting) ocean models that show an improved simulation of the ocean (mean state and variability) • More complex to show how increased ocean resolution directly impacts on simulation of climate (e.g. atmosphere/land where people live) – may well need suff ...
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... effects of historical land cover change may have exerted signi®cant impacts on the climate, with the main effect being a northernhemisphere cooling attributed to increased surface albedo (Brovkin et al., 1999). However, these effects have so far been neglected from higher-resolution GCM simulations ...
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... encroaching and eroding their already limited space. Excellencies, Global mean warming is now approximately 0.8°C above preindustrial levels. As mentioned in the recent ‘Turn Down the Heat’ report of the World Bank, present emission trends is putting the world plausibly on a path toward 4°C warming ...
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PowerPoint Presentation - Agriculture and Climate Change

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... • The CARLA project is addressing NAPA priorities 1 and 3 • It is the first targeted project to implement the NAPA, which identified six districts of Karonga, Salima, Dedza, Zomba, Chikhwawa and Nsanje as the most vulnerable to the impacts of climate change • The CARLA also builds on initiatives whi ...
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... 6. What are three factors that affect the percentage of water I the atmosphere? 7. Compare an atom of oxygen to an atom of ozone. 8. What purpose does the ozone serve? 9. What are particulates, and how do large and small particulates differ (besides their size!) 10. As altitude increases what happen ...
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... Randel, W.J., K.P. Shine, J. Austin, J. Barnett, C. Claud, N.P. Gillett, P. Keckhut, U. Langematz, R. Lin, C. Long, C. Mears, A. Miller, J. Nash, D.J. Seidel, D.W.J. Thompson, F. Wu and S. Yoden, 2009: An update of observed stratospheric temperature trends. J. Geophys. Res., 114, ...
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... human influence on global climate.” IPCC (2001) “Most of the warming of the past 50 years is likely (>66%) to be attributable to human activities.” IPCC (2007) ”Most of the observed increase in global average temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely (>90%) due to the observed increase ...
inglés332.92 kb
inglés332.92 kb

... Starting in 2007, a first period of crisis in global negotiations on climate change occurred, which at that time revolved around the so-called Bali roadmap. This was agreed to develop, agree and adopt a new global climate agreement on key themes, including financing, adaptation, the Kyoto Protocol, ...
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... possible, and at a scale no other energy source can match. So, how significant is the side effect? This raises another problem with the statement “97% percent of climate scientists agree that climate change is real.” It tells us nothing about the meaning or magnitude of “climate change”—whether it’s ...
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... This slide show summarizes the scientific consensus on humancaused climate change, as embodied in the United Nationssponsored Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2001 Report (www.ipcc.ch), the source of the figures shown (annotations added for this class). The skinny version is, with high conf ...
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... network (ANN) model. The ANN model quantifies a most suitable forest type based on the conditional on the transition to the best-suited type. In that model, they evaluates the effect of the increase 10C mean annual temperature and the decrease 10% mean annual precipitation change. Depending on the s ...
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Observed and Simulated HIRS Diurnal Cycles
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... • NOAA-14 shows the most drift in LECT over a decade (or so) • So ask how much would the diurnal cycle contribute to changes? • Expected climate change signal is 0.20.3K/decade. For water vapour would expect essentially no change if RH constant holds. • From change in LECT and estimated diurnal cycl ...
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... modelled CO2 fluxes in line with observations and improving predictive ability for CO2. • The QUEST Earth System Model’s land nitrogen model is the first of its kind to use resource optimization analysis of the costs of nitrogen uptake by plants. The modelled nitrogen cycle constraints on growth res ...
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... In this tutorial, we will read, analyze, and discuss a number of scientific papers on subjects related to climate change. Through our discussions of the papers, you will learn how to read scientific literature critically and how to identify both the limits of a study and the general principles that ...
climate science and the uncertainty monster
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... Bayesian  reasoning  -­‐-­‐  independent  lines     of  evidence  that  are  explained  by  the   ...
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General circulation model

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