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The Art and Science of Cause and Effect
The Art and Science of Cause and Effect

... • Experiments are the only guaranteed way to prove a causal model. • But experiments cannot be done on many important social and criminal justice problems. • So we approximate them as best we can with correlational data. • It is important to check each step in this process carefully, paying close at ...
Carbon Sequestration via Wood Burial
Carbon Sequestration via Wood Burial

Category 1: Increasingly Severe Weather
Category 1: Increasingly Severe Weather

... concerned is the Greenland ice sheet. If this melts, it could cause sea levels to increase a total of 23 feet by the end of the century. Melting on the top of the ice is causing water to seep down deep into the ice and is casing the whole ice sheet to move faster on the slicker surface. The north po ...
World Civic Forum UN-DESA Expert Group Meeting on “Citizen
World Civic Forum UN-DESA Expert Group Meeting on “Citizen

... urbanization and resource depletion, making them vulnerable to the further challenges thrown up by climate change.  Whilst developed countries pay 0.1% of GDP in losses, developing countries pay 2-3%, or sometimes as much as 15% of GDP, as seen with hurricanes in the Caribbean.  Developing countri ...
Global Warming, Climate Change and Sustainability
Global Warming, Climate Change and Sustainability

... heated. Melting of ice on glaciers and polar ice caps adds of this amount is large. Its difference between the middle to the rise. The projected total rise is estimated to be up of an ice age and the warm periods in between is only to one metre this century and the rise will continue for about 5 or ...
Slide 1
Slide 1

THEMATIC SCHOOL ON MATHEMATICAL BIOLOGY, PARTICLE
THEMATIC SCHOOL ON MATHEMATICAL BIOLOGY, PARTICLE

... for instance, in the formalization of fronts propagating in inhomogeneous media. After introducing the notion of viscosity solutions of Hamilton-Jacobi equations, we will discuss homogenization in periodic and random media for these equations. Then we will explicit estimates for the error between th ...
Climate Change: The Proof and the Process - e
Climate Change: The Proof and the Process - e

... water vapor, into the atmosphere. The CO2 content of the atmosphere has been increasing since at least 1850. The CO2 concentration increased from about 280 ppm in 1850 to about 392 ppm in 2014, which is higher than at any other time in at least the past 650,000 years. In 2007, world emissions of CO2 ...
Can aerosols spin down the water cycle in a warmer and moister
Can aerosols spin down the water cycle in a warmer and moister

... decreases of global solar radiation at 60% of all sites in the former Soviet Union were reported [Abakumova et al., 1996] while during the same period precipitation rates did not change significantly in the former Soviet Union [Easterling et al., 2000]. We suspect that these observed changes in the ...
Welcome Prof. Dr. Atta-ur-Rahman, Minister for Science
Welcome Prof. Dr. Atta-ur-Rahman, Minister for Science

... Developing new and innovative farm production practices, including new crop varieties and irrigation techniques Empowering communities and local stakeholders for their active participation in vulnerability assessment and implementation of adaptation Mainstreaming climate change into development plan ...
Lecture9 EU climate change
Lecture9 EU climate change

... • Use of market-based policy instrument can achieve GHG emission reductions at lower cost than command-andcontrol approach • Desirability of a uniform tax on all emitters as the marginal value of abatement is equal • Channels of market-based approaches – Firms adapt by switching from higher to lower ...
PDF
PDF

... This argument appears to have arisen because one or two climate scientists did suggest that we were heading for an ice age, but this was never widely accepted in the climate community. But these claims did get wide wide distribution through the media, so it is not surprising that some people now thi ...
Baltic Sea region
Baltic Sea region

... amplitudes estimated from the simulated 1946-95 trends in the greenhouse gas, greenhouse gas plus aerosol and solar forcing experiments. ...
Potential Climate Change impacts on Sugar Maple Trees in NEW
Potential Climate Change impacts on Sugar Maple Trees in NEW

... sugar maple trees preferred habitat why important Climate change air temperature snow cover Changes in proportion of precipitation Snow removal and temperature effects on soil Seasonal patterns of carbohydrates ...
A framework for modelling fish and shellfish
A framework for modelling fish and shellfish

... also related to the stratification, and hence the vertical mixing of nutrients into the euphotic zone and ultimately primary production (Hunt et al., 2002). Evaluation of the 20th century model hindcasts was carried out for the region extending from 558N to 658N and 1658W to 1758W for the average SS ...
General equilibrium models and uncertainty in
General equilibrium models and uncertainty in

... 1. mostly emphasise real shocks only, ignoring other economic and environmental shocks. This issue is also pointed to by Fischer and Heutel (2013) who conclude that other types of uncertainties should be added beside productivity to the environmental RBC models. 2. calibration 3. As a result of cali ...
Mtg01
Mtg01

... shallower than the warm less dense subtropical air leading the a steep “slope” and, hence, a strong pressure gradient that gives rise to the Polar-Front Jet Stream (Fig. 6). Let’s compare the 300 mb chart that corresponds to the surface chart we inspected earlier at the Unisys site. Can we locate th ...
Eastside Audubon Resolution for WSACC 1. Title of Resolution A
Eastside Audubon Resolution for WSACC 1. Title of Resolution A

... Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, and since the 1950s, many of the observed changes are unprecedented over decades to millennia. The atmosphere and ocean have warmed, the amounts of snow and ice have diminished, and sea level has risen. Each of the last three decades has been successive ...
I attended the recent ASHRAE (American Society of Heating
I attended the recent ASHRAE (American Society of Heating

... Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and the Montreal Protocol. The summary report is available for download from the IPCC website. Key Point #1: The implementation of the Montreal Protocol has been successful in stemming the destruction of stratospheric Ozone and the replacement substanc ...
Climate Change – Can science teachers play a part
Climate Change – Can science teachers play a part

climate change brief - Montana State University
climate change brief - Montana State University

... climate for a bounding box centered in the GYE. This approach uses data from meteorological stations as input and interpolates between these stations based on topography and other factors. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) released in 2013 the most recent projections of future cli ...
PDF - The Marine Biological Association
PDF - The Marine Biological Association

... community composition in the region has had an observable economic impact on fisheries, with landings of cold-adapted species halved but landings of warm-adapted species increasing by a factor of 2.5 since the 1980s3 ; a pattern also identified in other marine ecosystems14 . With a uniquely rich fis ...
Special Climate Change Fund : Opportunities*
Special Climate Change Fund : Opportunities*

... assist the most vulnerable and those with the greatest need. Highlighting this link could help to mobilize resources in the donor community. SCCF should serve as a catalyst to leverage additional resources from bilateral and other multilateral sources in both the adaptation and technology transfer a ...
Impacts of Climate Change on Forests of the Northern Rocky
Impacts of Climate Change on Forests of the Northern Rocky

... the hydrologic cycle and atmospheric composition, but some key feedbacks are not considered in the current generation of climate models. Also not considered were changes in forest species composition, and changes in extremes of precipitation that may have potentially stronger effects on ecological s ...
The Cost of Climate Change What We’ll Pay if Global Warming
The Cost of Climate Change What We’ll Pay if Global Warming

... the world continues to emit heat-trapping gases at an increasing rate. We base our economic projections on the most pessimistic of the business-as-usual climate forecasts considered “likely” by the scientific community.1 In this projected climate future, which is still far from the worst-case scenar ...
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