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global_change
global_change

... Scenarios are great, but, is it a way to waffle? In some ways, direct predictions - even with uncertainty - are far more useful. Although guessing wrong is also problematic. Scenarios are a way of building predictions, but not testing them. A story from Coweeta We had this iconic tree - the Chestnut ...
3.1.4 Groundwater and climate change
3.1.4 Groundwater and climate change

... calculates a decrease in winter precipitation for the whole eastern coast of USA, while HadCM3 estimates a decrease in the west and central parts of the country. Model results for Central and South Europe are also contradictory. ECHAM4/OPYC3 calculates a decrease in winter precipitation and thus a d ...
Ice Ages and Climate Change - Florida Atlantic University
Ice Ages and Climate Change - Florida Atlantic University

... hearing on June 15, 2011 discussed the relationship of fire to climate • Forest Service Chief Tom Tidwell said, “Throughout the country, we're seeing longer fire seasons, and we're seeing snowpacks that, on average, are disappearing a little earlier every spring," - As a result, fire seasons have le ...
CHAPTER 11 DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS Learning Objectives
CHAPTER 11 DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS Learning Objectives

... • When using a spreadsheet as a mathematical model, the user can enter data or make changes directly to the spreadsheet cells, or by using a GUI • The pricing model described earlier in Figures 11.611.10 could have been developed using a spreadsheet, and had the graphical user interface added • The ...
50th Reunion Faculty Lecture
50th Reunion Faculty Lecture

... remainder removed by the ocean or land sinks • There is scientific certainty of the atmospheric greenhouse effect – that as CO2 levels increase, more heat from the sun’s radiation is absorbed. ...
MCLEOD - Universitas Brawijaya
MCLEOD - Universitas Brawijaya

... • When using a spreadsheet as a mathematical model, the user can enter data or make changes directly to the spreadsheet cells, or by using a GUI • The pricing model described earlier in Figures 11.611.10 could have been developed using a spreadsheet, and had the graphical user interface added • The ...
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

... networks that monitored the Fukushima radiation plume and forecasted its movement are the direct descendants of systems and computer models developed to trace fallout from weapons tests. Tracing radioactive carbon as it cycles through the atmosphere, the oceans, and the biosphere has been crucial to ...
teachers notes climate change 2
teachers notes climate change 2

... community and strategies employed by the government to adapt and to migrate. This gives a more global view of the varying impacts of climate change and their effects on society by ...
Document
Document

... Smoke, dust, aerosols …and stuff. ...
Midwest Region.indd - USA National Phenology Network
Midwest Region.indd - USA National Phenology Network

... changes in plant and animal phenology over the past century across the United States. This summary is based on long-term studies (10 years or more) published in the primary scientific literature since 2001. A forthcoming manuscript synthesizes the findings of the eight regional information sheets. T ...
As Paris Agreement enters into force, focus turns to making it work
As Paris Agreement enters into force, focus turns to making it work

... The Paris Agreement officially enters into force Nov. 4, three days before the start of COP22, the latest round of United Nations climate talks, and a month after the European Union's vote to ratify the agreement pushed the deal across the legal threshold. The landmark agreement [1] required ratific ...
Slide 1
Slide 1

... The yearly amount of damage inflicted by hurricanes in the United States, 1900-2000 after normalizing for population growth, wealth, and inflation. (from Pielke, Jr., 2002). ...
Paris 2015 UN Conference on CC
Paris 2015 UN Conference on CC

... Paris, France, in December 2015, with the goal of reaching a new global climate agreement that will have "legal force" and be "applicable to all" countries. UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) The UNFCCC is an international treaty aimed at stabilizing greenhouse gas (GHG) concentratio ...
We live in the age of repeated global warming and glaciers
We live in the age of repeated global warming and glaciers

... Mile high sheets of ice slid southward over North America 17 times during the last 1.65 million years. Each time the climate warmed the ice melted, then it returned when the climate cooled. Data from the Vostok ice core from Antarctica, which covers 420,000 years, show that warm periods lasted about ...
Brev
Brev

Linguistic and discursive perspectives on climate change knowledge
Linguistic and discursive perspectives on climate change knowledge

... The speaker accepts that “such changes are projected to occur over millennial time scales”. Implicitly this point of view is also orienting the discourse towards a conclusion that there is ‘no reason to worry now’. However, by the connective but, it is emphasised that what counts here and now for th ...
the presentation by Dr. R K Pachauri
the presentation by Dr. R K Pachauri

... Abrupt and irreversible impacts Most aspects of climate change will persist for many centuries even if emissions of CO2 are stopped. • Sustained mass loss by ice sheets (some of which irreversible) would cause larger sea level rise. • Sustained warming greater than some threshold (greater than abou ...
Slide 1
Slide 1

... The ECHAM climate model has been developed from the ECMWF atmospheric model. It provided a future climate scenario data of a spatial resolution approximates to about 2.8º longitude/latitude and the time-step of 24 minutes. The model condition based on the emission scenario of IPCC SRES A2 & B2. ...
Lecture8 EU climate change
Lecture8 EU climate change

... Differences in climate impacts • Impacts of climate change are modelled using climate damage functions for each region • Damage functions provide monetary estimates of climate impacts as a function of average temperature increase, often expressed as percentage loss of GDP • Generally, damages assum ...
SorceMeetingNotes
SorceMeetingNotes

Greenhouse effect
Greenhouse effect

... As already mentioned in the previous paragraphs, the greenhouse effect is a natural phenomenon, provoked by a mixture of gases that are present in the atmosphere (and defined greenhouse gases) without which there would not be any life on the Earth. In the last century, however, the intense human pro ...
A dynamic equation for the potential energy anomaly for
A dynamic equation for the potential energy anomaly for

... RP*10 ...
Pulse response functions are cost-e cient tools to model the link
Pulse response functions are cost-e cient tools to model the link

... even for models of simple structure. A typical example of inadequate interdisciplinary collaboration found in literature is then the coupling of a complex economic model to a very poor representation of the carbon cycle to estimate the abatement and mitigation cost of climate change. Such diculties ...
(SPARC) (Thomas Peter, ETH Zurich)
(SPARC) (Thomas Peter, ETH Zurich)

... Discrepancy between what the report says in terms of understanding and what is in models: • we need to show modelling groups why stratosphere is relevant if they are going to commit resources • need to provide information in user friendly way for IPCC report (calculate forcings, give advice on model ...
Pacific puzzle
Pacific puzzle

... online tool (http://go.nature.com/8VQXYx) that can be used to calculate the rate of warming using various start dates and any of the available data sets. But he warns that there is little to be gained from looking at short-term trends; instead we should be focused on long-term warming. “Drawing simp ...
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General circulation model

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