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Vulnerability Assessment
Vulnerability Assessment

... • Outcome vulnerability: a linear result of the projected impacts of climate change on a particular exposure unit (biophysical or social), offset by adaptation measures. • Contextual vulnerability: both climate variability and change are considered to occur in the context of political, institutiona ...
The Global carbon cycle - UNESDOC
The Global carbon cycle - UNESDOC

... it difficult to rapidly reduce the carbon intensive character of global development. Energy systems respond slowly to energy innovations because of the huge capital and institutional investment in fossil-fuelbased systems for both stationary and transport energy. The interplay of these forces is such ...
Synopsis of FEWS NET-related Climate Change and Food Security
Synopsis of FEWS NET-related Climate Change and Food Security

... We followed up on this study with a careful study of thousands of eastern African rainfall gauge observations. This analysis suggested that a warming Indian Ocean was likely to produce increasing dryness in extremely vulnerable areas of eastern and southern Africa. These results were presented in an ...
Projections of precipitation, air temperature and potential
Projections of precipitation, air temperature and potential

Climate Change and Recreation
Climate Change and Recreation

... thoughts and questions. Explain (explore) that climate change is the long-term change in weather patterns, such as less annual average precipitation. Then focus the discussion to: What changes have you seen/observed/already know about with regards to changes in recreation? In what ways have changes ...
The Experiences of Chinese Ports in Adapting to Climate
The Experiences of Chinese Ports in Adapting to Climate

... concentrated  within  8  countries,  namely  China,  USA,  India,  Japan,  Netherlands, Thailand, Vietnam and Bangladesh ‐ For  population,  90%  of  the  exposure  would  be  concentrated  within  11  countries,  namely  China,  USA,  India,  Japan,  Thailand,  Vietnam,  Bangladesh, Myanmar, Egypt, ...
Document
Document

... “Hazard map” based on flow simulations and input uncertainty characterizations Regions for which probability of flow > 1m for initial volumes ranging from 5000 m3 to 108 m3 -- flow volume distribution from historical data ...
How much water will be available in the upper
How much water will be available in the upper

... For the UCRB (Fig. 1), the ensemble of GCM models projects increases in temperature by 4-6 °C, precipitation projections vary in direction, magnitude, and spatial pattern, but drier conditions are more likely, especially in the San Juan and Colorado River watersheds (Fig. 2). The SWAT model yielded ...
Response of river flow regime to various climate change scenarios
Response of river flow regime to various climate change scenarios

... the ecological integrity of a river basin[3]. River flows respond to changes in basin runoff which is more sensitive to changes in precipitation and evaporation than other climate variables. For a catchment with a low runoff ratio, the effect of a 10% reduction in precipitation may range from a 50% ...
2012_11_28_AGU_Poster_StewartEtAl
2012_11_28_AGU_Poster_StewartEtAl

... For the UCRB (Fig. 1), the ensemble of GCM models projects increases in temperature by 4-6 °C, precipitation projections vary in direction, magnitude, and spatial pattern, but drier conditions are more likely, especially in the San Juan and Colorado River watersheds (Fig. 2). The SWAT model yielded ...
Consequences of Global Warming of 1.5 °C and 2 °C for Regional
Consequences of Global Warming of 1.5 °C and 2 °C for Regional

... The world leaders gathered for the 21st Conference of the Parties (COP21) in Paris in December 2015 agreed to take steps towards limiting the global mean annual surface air temperature (GMAT) increase to well below 2˚C above pre-industrial levels, and to pursue efforts towards a target of 1.5˚C [1]. ...
Course Title - Institute for Security Studies
Course Title - Institute for Security Studies

... Drought in South Africa and the U.S. leads to higher prices of corn. Increased food prices lead to a disgruntled urban population in Kenya who take to the streets in protest. Kenyans react negatively to the presence of Somali refugees in their midst, as the refugees are seen as competing for limited ...
A Modelling Study on the Variability of Global Storm Activity on Time
A Modelling Study on the Variability of Global Storm Activity on Time

... linked to significant changes of storminess” – with observed or indirect data. Therefore, we resort to the output of several multi-centennial simulations with a climate model, forced realistically with variable solar output, effect of volcanic aerosols and greenhouse gases (GHGs) (González-Rouco et ...
increase - WordPress.com
increase - WordPress.com

... between La Niña and strong monsoon seasons in Australia, including with the frequency of extreme rainfall. • There is no robust evidence that global warming has influenced the frequency or intensity of La Niña; the 2010-11 event was strong, but not outside the range of past events. ...
[Summary Sheet PDF]
[Summary Sheet PDF]

... sensitive areas, such as wetlands, alpine areas and coastal areas. In this context adaptation included social adaptation to changing climatic conditions as well as ecological adaptation. Climate change adaptation was investigated from a wholistic perspective that examined connections between the soc ...
I. Topic: How physical process, climate changes, and natural
I. Topic: How physical process, climate changes, and natural

... Ask the students if they know any of the hazards that could form or alter the physical characteristics of a place. For example, “what can earthquakes do to the Earth?” Focus on physical systems, not human systems. For example, have them think of changes caused by transient weather conditions. What w ...
Climate Change as a Regulator of Tectonics on Venus
Climate Change as a Regulator of Tectonics on Venus

... are overlain by younger plains units in some areas, the ridged plains must have occupied a still larger fraction of the surface area of Venus at the time of their emplacement. On the basis of stratigraphic relations, impact crater densities, and the small fraction (⬃1%) of impact craters embayed by ...
How Will Climate Change Affect Agriculture in Washington?
How Will Climate Change Affect Agriculture in Washington?

... key vulnerability going forward. Since 2007, new studies have quantified impacts on specific crops and locations, and evaluated the combined effects of warming and CO2. New research has also begun to integrate impacts and economic modeling as a means of assessing market influences and the potential ...
Climate Change: The Scientific Debate
Climate Change: The Scientific Debate

... Change Science ...
Climate Change Law and Policy - IUCN Academy of Environmental
Climate Change Law and Policy - IUCN Academy of Environmental

... During the course, my office is in Room [X] and I will be holding office hours on most Wednesdays from 1.00PM to 2.00PM. I can be reached at [email protected]. ASSESSMENT Class Participation: 10% Essay: 90% Class participation will take into account factors such as preparation for seminars and willingne ...
173736_INTRODUCTION 12-1-11
173736_INTRODUCTION 12-1-11

... Change-agents on this order are exceptional. The last comparable culture-shift was the transformation set in motion by the onset of the modern, scientific worldview beginning about half a millennium ago with Galileo et al. And arguably the last equivalent climate change—one with salubrious consequen ...
Comments on Pennsylvania 2015 Climate Change Impacts
Comments on Pennsylvania 2015 Climate Change Impacts

... address  the  2015  Climate  Change  Impacts  Assessment  Update  prepared  pursuant  to   Section  3  of  the  Pennsylvania  Climate  Change  Act  (71  P.  S.  § 1361.3)  which  requires   the  Department  to  update  and  publish  a  re ...
The Climate and Cryosphere
The Climate and Cryosphere

... The term “cryosphere” collectively describes the portions of the Earth's surface where water is in a solid form and describes the elements of the earth system containing water in its frozen state and includes sea ice, lake and river ice, snow cover, solid precipitation, glaciers, ice caps, ice sheet ...
PDF
PDF

... Contemporary, state-of-the art general circulation models (GCM) including the Australian CSIRO 3.5, Canadian CGCM 3.1 and Japanese MIROC 3.2 models all predict that average temperature will keep rising and precipitation will have a mild change for most states in the continental United States for the ...
Changes in Climate will modify the Geography of Crop Suitability
Changes in Climate will modify the Geography of Crop Suitability

... between regions and over time. Porter et al. (2007) predict that if global temperatures do not increase more than 40C over the next century, arable agricultural production can probably adapt to changes in mean global temperature using breeding, selection and management. Plant breeding, however, is a ...
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General circulation model

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