Notes on Probabilistic Graphical Models 1
... The framework of probabilistic graphical models provides a general approach for this task. The approach is modelbased, allowing interpretable models to be constructed and then manipulated by reasoning algorithms. These models can also be learned automatically from data, allowing the approach to be u ...
... The framework of probabilistic graphical models provides a general approach for this task. The approach is modelbased, allowing interpretable models to be constructed and then manipulated by reasoning algorithms. These models can also be learned automatically from data, allowing the approach to be u ...
CO2 as a primary driver of Phanerozoic climate: COMMENT
... Royer et al. do not dispute the existence of the CRF/temperature correlation of Shaviv and Veizer (2003), only its role relative to that of CO2. The CRF effect should therefore be incorporated as a complementary factor into the existing climate models. Once this solar amplification is included, the ...
... Royer et al. do not dispute the existence of the CRF/temperature correlation of Shaviv and Veizer (2003), only its role relative to that of CO2. The CRF effect should therefore be incorporated as a complementary factor into the existing climate models. Once this solar amplification is included, the ...
Climate_policy_11052015
... • The adaptation strategy is divided into two parts. The first part, describes the goals, challenges and fields of action in adapting to climate change. The second part, due to be available by the end of 2013, will build on this, presenting a plan of action which brings together specific adaptation ...
... • The adaptation strategy is divided into two parts. The first part, describes the goals, challenges and fields of action in adapting to climate change. The second part, due to be available by the end of 2013, will build on this, presenting a plan of action which brings together specific adaptation ...
The Artificial Intelligence of Geoengineering
... can individually toggle “states” from 10 to 100 times per second using up as little energy as a 20-watt light bulb. The supercomputer needs 200,000 watts4 and has the creative capacity of a doorstop. Although science knows a great deal more about AI and brain mapping than back in the 1950s, we are a ...
... can individually toggle “states” from 10 to 100 times per second using up as little energy as a 20-watt light bulb. The supercomputer needs 200,000 watts4 and has the creative capacity of a doorstop. Although science knows a great deal more about AI and brain mapping than back in the 1950s, we are a ...
Rapid evolution of thermal tolerance in the water flea Daphnia
... populations of the reef coral Acropora hyacinthus25 at relatively small spatial scales. In other systems, phenology has been shown to evolve, as in the case of egg hatching date in the winter moth Operophtera brumata26 . However, the present study is the first to demonstrate both the capacity for ra ...
... populations of the reef coral Acropora hyacinthus25 at relatively small spatial scales. In other systems, phenology has been shown to evolve, as in the case of egg hatching date in the winter moth Operophtera brumata26 . However, the present study is the first to demonstrate both the capacity for ra ...
A comprehensive set of high-resolution grids of monthly climate for
... It is desirable that any study of the potential consequences of future climate change should use the best available information about projected climates. These projections are most commonly obtained from global climate model (GCM) simulations of the climate response to a given scenario of future gre ...
... It is desirable that any study of the potential consequences of future climate change should use the best available information about projected climates. These projections are most commonly obtained from global climate model (GCM) simulations of the climate response to a given scenario of future gre ...
United Nations Economic Commission for Europe Institute of
... 14.45 – 15.30 Round-table on climate change adaptation activities by different sectors Different sectors will be invited to inform about their climate change adaptation activities and expectations Moderator - Nickolai Denisov, Zoï environment network, Geneva, Switzerland The following issues will be ...
... 14.45 – 15.30 Round-table on climate change adaptation activities by different sectors Different sectors will be invited to inform about their climate change adaptation activities and expectations Moderator - Nickolai Denisov, Zoï environment network, Geneva, Switzerland The following issues will be ...
view presentation slides - Southeast Florida Regional Climate
... Miami Dade County Public Schools – Cus tom multi-ye ar s tructure d cove r ...
... Miami Dade County Public Schools – Cus tom multi-ye ar s tructure d cove r ...
The climate debate in the USA - The Global Warming Policy
... I am very concerned that climate science is becoming biased, owing to biases in federal funding priorities and the institutionalization by professional societies of a particular ideology related to climate change. Many scientists are becoming advocates for UN climate policies, which is leading scien ...
... I am very concerned that climate science is becoming biased, owing to biases in federal funding priorities and the institutionalization by professional societies of a particular ideology related to climate change. Many scientists are becoming advocates for UN climate policies, which is leading scien ...
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES A SUMMARY AND INTERPRETATION
... (IPCC), the emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG) due to human activity, largely combustion of fossil fuels such as coal, are "very likely" altering the earth's climate, most notably by increasing temperature, changing precipitation patterns and increasing weather variability. Without coordinated poli ...
... (IPCC), the emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG) due to human activity, largely combustion of fossil fuels such as coal, are "very likely" altering the earth's climate, most notably by increasing temperature, changing precipitation patterns and increasing weather variability. Without coordinated poli ...
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Department of Economics Working Paper Series
... of days per year when the typical American will experience a mean (average of the minimum and maximum) temperature that exceeds 90 °F is projected to increase from the current 1.3 days to 32.2 days (Deschenes and Greenstone, forthcoming). Over the past several years, it appeared that the United Stat ...
... of days per year when the typical American will experience a mean (average of the minimum and maximum) temperature that exceeds 90 °F is projected to increase from the current 1.3 days to 32.2 days (Deschenes and Greenstone, forthcoming). Over the past several years, it appeared that the United Stat ...
Climate change, ocean processes and ocean iron fertilization
... However, recent studies demonstrate that CO2 released from fossil fuel emissions is accelerating and the rate of increase of emissions since 2000 exceeds all IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) for various human development paths (e.g. projections of population growth, energy use, rate ...
... However, recent studies demonstrate that CO2 released from fossil fuel emissions is accelerating and the rate of increase of emissions since 2000 exceeds all IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) for various human development paths (e.g. projections of population growth, energy use, rate ...
Sub-activity 6.1.1 Pressures on environment and
... System modelling, climate impacts and public perception, links between climate and water security will be addressed in line with results of the 4th IPCC assessment report. Adaptation to climate change and its impacts in Europe and Africa, and actions supporting the 'Bali Roadmap' and related post-20 ...
... System modelling, climate impacts and public perception, links between climate and water security will be addressed in line with results of the 4th IPCC assessment report. Adaptation to climate change and its impacts in Europe and Africa, and actions supporting the 'Bali Roadmap' and related post-20 ...
here - NUS – Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences
... (Professor David Taylor, email: [email protected]) Tropical East Asian environments are amongst the fastest changing in the world. However, there is little well-dated, high-resolution evidence of past environmental changes against which current rates and magnitude can be compared. This raises questi ...
... (Professor David Taylor, email: [email protected]) Tropical East Asian environments are amongst the fastest changing in the world. However, there is little well-dated, high-resolution evidence of past environmental changes against which current rates and magnitude can be compared. This raises questi ...
Novel policy tools to assess the environmental impacts of air pollutants
... are more likely (than for long-lived pollutants) to be lost as the result of globally averaging opposing effects for different regions (e.g. compare values in Figure 2b with those in Figure 3, especially for precipitation and PM2.5). • The regional metric values can vary substantially in magnitude ...
... are more likely (than for long-lived pollutants) to be lost as the result of globally averaging opposing effects for different regions (e.g. compare values in Figure 2b with those in Figure 3, especially for precipitation and PM2.5). • The regional metric values can vary substantially in magnitude ...
1 May 13, 2008 Johnson Center, Dewberry Hall George Mason
... we are feeling impacts of greenhouse gases put in the atmosphere up to 100 years ago; we are experiencing extreme variability in climate, which in turn means that historical climate patterns may not be a reliable planning guide for the future; climate changes will require significant changes i ...
... we are feeling impacts of greenhouse gases put in the atmosphere up to 100 years ago; we are experiencing extreme variability in climate, which in turn means that historical climate patterns may not be a reliable planning guide for the future; climate changes will require significant changes i ...
abstracts - Swedish Institute at Athens
... interactions in preindustrial time that is adapted to regional- to global-scale studies. The model is informed by a suite of variables describing the characteristics of societies that cannot be predicted on the basis of environment, e.g., diet, presence of agriculture, or range of animals exploited. ...
... interactions in preindustrial time that is adapted to regional- to global-scale studies. The model is informed by a suite of variables describing the characteristics of societies that cannot be predicted on the basis of environment, e.g., diet, presence of agriculture, or range of animals exploited. ...
Climate Change and Ecosystem Responses - lterdev
... et al. (1989). Not surprisingly, the models differed from one another in underlying assumption about climate behavior and varied somewhat in their predictions. However, they also showed consistencies. A doubling of preindustrial, atmospheric CO, concentration will be reached sometime in the twenty-f ...
... et al. (1989). Not surprisingly, the models differed from one another in underlying assumption about climate behavior and varied somewhat in their predictions. However, they also showed consistencies. A doubling of preindustrial, atmospheric CO, concentration will be reached sometime in the twenty-f ...
PDF
... imply that the availability of water will, in general be reduced. However, this outcome is not certain. Jones et al (2001) present a number of possible scenarios for regional impacts of climate change. As noted above, allthough all simulations include an increase in mean temperatures and evaporation ...
... imply that the availability of water will, in general be reduced. However, this outcome is not certain. Jones et al (2001) present a number of possible scenarios for regional impacts of climate change. As noted above, allthough all simulations include an increase in mean temperatures and evaporation ...
Water resources
... Why ACRE & Water Resources? ● The problem ● characteristics of multi-year drought ● short hydrologic record lengths < 100 years ● reliability of water supply systems – over-rated &/or over-allocation? ...
... Why ACRE & Water Resources? ● The problem ● characteristics of multi-year drought ● short hydrologic record lengths < 100 years ● reliability of water supply systems – over-rated &/or over-allocation? ...
PDF
... As part of the RECIPE project, three energy-economy-climate models were employed. IMACLIM-R, developed by CIRED (see Crassous et al., 2006), is a recursive computable general equilibrium model capturing explicitly the underlying mechanisms driving the dynamics of technical parameters, structural cha ...
... As part of the RECIPE project, three energy-economy-climate models were employed. IMACLIM-R, developed by CIRED (see Crassous et al., 2006), is a recursive computable general equilibrium model capturing explicitly the underlying mechanisms driving the dynamics of technical parameters, structural cha ...
Winter 2012
... change over South Asia. Using GFDL’s CM3 climate model, the observed drying trend of the South Asian summer monsoon is shown to be of anthropogenic origin, and attributed to increased aerosols rather than human-influenced greenhouse gas emissions. This work also demonstrated that the decrease in the ...
... change over South Asia. Using GFDL’s CM3 climate model, the observed drying trend of the South Asian summer monsoon is shown to be of anthropogenic origin, and attributed to increased aerosols rather than human-influenced greenhouse gas emissions. This work also demonstrated that the decrease in the ...
Appendix B: Meteorology and Climate
... In summer, the mean monthly weather patterns change with the North Pacific High moving northward and displacing the Aleutian Low (Figure B.1 bottom left). This pressure pattern tends to deflect most storms to the north as indicated by Figure B.3 (Environment Canada 1992). The clockwise airflow aroun ...
... In summer, the mean monthly weather patterns change with the North Pacific High moving northward and displacing the Aleutian Low (Figure B.1 bottom left). This pressure pattern tends to deflect most storms to the north as indicated by Figure B.3 (Environment Canada 1992). The clockwise airflow aroun ...